Business Opportunities in Saudi Power Sector

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BUSINESS OPPORUNITIES IN SAUDI POWER SECTOR US-Saudi BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES FORUM CHICAGO April 28-29, 2010 Ali Albarrak President &C E O

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Ali Saleh Al-Barrak, President and CEO, Saudi Electricity Company's presentation at the 2010 U.S.-Saudi Business Opportunities Forum in Chicago, IL.

Transcript of Business Opportunities in Saudi Power Sector

Page 1: Business Opportunities in Saudi Power Sector

BUSINESS OPPORUNITIES

IN SAUDI POWER SECTOR

US-Saudi BUSINESS

OPPORTUNITIES FORUM CHICAGO April 28-

29, 2010

Ali Albarrak

President &C E O Saudi Electricity Company

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Electricity Industry in Saudi Arabia Starts as 100%private ownership and operation.

Late 70`S consolidated into four major power co

(SCECO).

The government involved as major shareholder .

Mid 2000 All operating entities merged in one company

Saudi Electricity Company (SEC).

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Incorporated from 10 operating utilities in 2000. Largest electric entity in the region in terms of

capacity ,market capital and shareholder’s equity. Owns 85% generation and 100% transmission ,

distribution and retail . Total assets over 50 billion US$. Annual revenues 6 Billion US$ . Annual growth 6%. 74% directly owned by the Government.

SAUDI ELECTRICITY COMPANY

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Scope of Operations

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High growth in demand ( 7- 8%).

Operate in a very supportive environment .

High credit rating (AA~ ).

Invest in productive assets.

Reliable and secured fuel supply.

government support.

SEC credit strength

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DATANo of

customer ( Million)

Peak load (MW)

Available generation

(MW)

Transmission

(KM)

Energy (GWH)

2000 3.6 22000 22000 30000 114000

2009 5.7 43000 45000 47000 191000

Increase 2.1 21000 23000 17000 77000

Growth (%)

58% 95% 104% 57% 67%

GROWTH (2000 – 2009)

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ACTIVITIES No of Projects COST )billion($

GENERATION 174 17.3

TRANSMISSION 291 9.3

DISTRIBUTION 176 2.1

TOTALS 641 28.7

projects Under Execution

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Load forecast (gwatts) Load forecast (gwatts) 68.4

65.362.6

59.957.4

54.952.5

50.1

46.944

4138.1

35.2

32.530.5

28.22724.423.7

10

16

22

28

34

40

46

52

58

64

70

Series1

1.56.0%

2.67.8%

2.86.0%

2.74.5%

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4.734.96

5.25.42 5.7

5.96.2 6.4

6.77.2

7.6

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

No OF CUSTOMERS (millions)

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Generation Capacity generation capacity installed should meet the expected

7% increase in peak demand and a reserve margin.

90

74

59

41

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

2006e 2007e 2008e 2009e 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e

SEC Installed & new capacity IWPP Installed capacity IPP Installed capacity SWCC Installed capacity Peak Load total capacity

Generation capacity (GW)

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POWER SECTOR CHALLENGES

High annual growth in demand ( will continue 6-7%).

Extremely sharp daily and yearly load curve (air-

conditioning).

Replacement of inefficient old generating units.

High capital investment for expansion.

The need for private sector investment .

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HOW TO MEET THE CHALLENGES ?

More investment in power generation,T&D .

Encourage the developers for more IPP.

Introduce the smart grid transmission system.

Promote energy conservation and load management.

Invest in renewable energy.

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Year Project name Capacity (MW) Date in Service

Rabigh Steam Expansion 2,400 2014

PP-10 (Steam) 990 2014

Duba PP (IPP) 500 2014

Al-Shogaig PP 1,200 2014

Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour 630 2015

Jeddah South 1,200 2015

Al-Shogaig PP 1,200 2015Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour 1260 2016Al-Shogaig PP 800 2016Duba PP 250 2016Jeddah South 600 2016

Major Future Generation projects

2010

2011

2012

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Year Project Capacity (MW) Date in Service

Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour 630 2017Al-Ogair / Salwa PP 630 2017Jeddah South 600 2016Al-Ogair / Salwa PP 1260 2017Jeddah South 600 2018Al-Ogair / Salwa PP 630 2018Al-Shogaig PP 400 2017Al-Ogair / Salwa PP 1,260 2019Al-Shogaig PP 400 2018

2016 Al-Jubail / Ras Al Zour 1,260 2020

total capacity: 25000 MW capital Cost : 50 Bln US$

Major Future Generation projects

2013

2014

2015

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IPP PROGRAM IN SEC

SEC will Continue to encourage private investors

to invest in Future Generation projects .

30 – 40 % of Future generation will be IPP(BOO).

SEC partnership will be 10%-50% in the equity.

Long term power purchase agreements (20years)

With reasonable return on investment .

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WHY IPP?

Providing Financial Option for Highly Capital

Intensive Generation Projects .

Helping To Re-Direct Available Funds To T&D

(Monopoly Activities)

Reallocation Expenditure From CAPEX To OPEX.

Avoiding Mismatch Between Medium Term

Financing and Long Life PP Projects.

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SUCCESSFUL IPP ROJECTS

Two IPP Projects in process:

1. Rabigh Power Plant (closed financialyJuly last yea)• 1200 MW / HFO• IPCOD APRIL 2012 • Investment US$ 2.4 billions

2. Riyadh Power Plant 11 (financial close next month)• 1800 MW / GAS• IPCOD APRIL 2013 • INVESTMENT US 1.5 billions.

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IPP FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES

NAME OF IPP PROJECT

CAPACITY (GW)

PRIVATE SECTOR

SHARE %

PROJECT COMPLETION

QURAYYAH 2 80 2014

DHEBA 1.6 80 2015

SHUQAIQ 1.6 80 2015

ALOGAIR 2.4 80 2016

JEDDAH SOUTH

2.4 80 2017

RAS ALZOUR 2.4 80 2019

) INVESTMENTS OF $20B (TO BUILD 12 GW

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SAUDI NATIONAL GRID by 2018SAUDI NATIONAL GRID by 2018

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Year Project Length KM Date in Service

HAIL-ALJOUF-380KV 300 2014

ASIR_NAJRAN 380KV 400 2014

GAISOUMAH -ALFADLI 380 KV 250 2014

BISHA_DAWASIR 380KV 500 2015

5th 380 KV LINE TO CENTRAK 400 2015

MADINAH-HAIL 360 2015RIYADH-JEDDAH DC line 800 2016TABUK-TABARGAL 600 2016WEAST _SAUTH 2ND LINE 500 2016

Future 380KV transmission lines projects

2010

2011

2012

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Year Project Circuit Length KM

Tabuk-Tabarjal 300Umluj-Wadjh 250South-West 2nd line 500Jouf-Tabarjal 150

2015 Al-grayat- Tabarjal 2002016 Madinah-Tabuk DCLine 800

total capital cost 24 billion $.

Future 380KV transmission lines projects

2013

2014

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BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

Material and Equipment supply.

As an EPC contractor .

Local manufacturing .

Participate in IPP projects .

Opportunity in consultation and engineering.

Invest in future energy retail.

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The growth of electrical energy demand in Saudi Arabia will continue 6-7%.

Power projects needs 80-90 billion US$ as capital investments for the next 10 years .

Private investors have the opportunity to take 30-40% of the generation projects as a BOO projects.

US companies have the opportunity to take part both in EPC and IPP.

There are oportunities in Consultation , Engineering and Services in power sector.

Conclusion

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