Breast Cancer in LMICs: Meeting the Challenge of Closing the Cancer Divide.”

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    Breast Cancer in LMICs:Meeting the Challenge ofclosing the cancer divide

    Felicia Marie KnaulFebruary 14, 2012

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    From anecdote

    to evidence

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    January, 2008

    June, 2007

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    Con jf en harvard

    Harvard School of Public Health

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    From anecdote

    to evidence

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    Global Task Force on Expanded

    Access to Cancer Care and

    Control in Developing Countries

    = global health + cancer care

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    Closing the Cancer Divide:A Blueprint to Expand Access in LMICs

    I: Much should be doneII: Much could be done

    III: Much can be done

    1: Innovative Delivery

    2: Access to Affordable Medicines,

    Vaccines & Technologies

    3: Innovative Financing: Domesticand Global

    4: Evidence for Decision-Making

    5: Stewardship and Leadership

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    Applies a diagonal

    approach to avoid

    the false dilemmasbetween disease silos

    -CD/NCD- thatcontinue to plague

    global health

    Closing the Cancer Divide:A BLUEPRINT TO EXPAND ACCESS IN LMICs

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    Challenge and disprove the

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary

    M2. Unaffordable

    M3. ImpossibleM4: Inappropriate

    Should,

    Could, andCan..

    Expanding access to cancer care and control in

    low and middle income countries:

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    The divide is the result of concentrating riskfactors, preventable disease, suffering,impoverishment from ill health and deathamong poor populations.

    fueled by progress in cutting-edge science andmedicine in high-income countries.

    The Cancer Divide:disparities in outcomes

    between poor and rich directly related to inequitiesin access and differences in underlying socio-

    economic and health conditions.

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    Mirrors the overall epidemiologicaltransitionprotracted and polarized*:

    LMICs increasingly face both cancersassociated with infection, and all other

    cancers.

    Cancers that were once considered only ofthe poor, now cease to be the only cancers

    of the poor. (e.g. cervical & breast cancer)

    The Cancer Transition

    * Frenk et al

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    Cancer is a disease of both rich and poor;

    yet it is increasingly the poor who suffer:

    1. Exposure to risk factors2. Preventable cancers (infection)

    3. Death and disability fromtreatable cancer

    4. Stigma and discrimination

    5. Avoidable pain and suffering

    The Cancer Divide:

    An Equity Imperative

    Fac

    ets

    Ri k f t t ti

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    Risk factor concentration:

    Obesity Epidemic, Mexico

    10

    60

    8

    32

    57

    25

    10

    2

    37

    25

    36 37

    29

    2

    Malnutrition Adequate

    Overweight

    Obesity

    1988

    1999

    % women 20-49 years

    2006

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    MortalityIncidence

    Incidence and mortality of cervical cancer(adjusted rate per 100,000 women)

    Incidenceratio

    Mortalityratio

    Russia 19.3 8.6

    Central and Eastern Europe 21.3 9.0

    Less developed regions 25.7 14.1

    More developed regions 13.2 4.6

    World 22.0 11.2

    Th id i f b t

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    The epidemic of breast cancer:Unforseen challenge in LDCs

    Some 45% of the more than 1 million new cases of breastcancer diagnosed each year, and more than 55% of breast-

    cancer-related deaths, occur in low- and middle-income

    countries.*

    Such countries now face the challenge of effectivelydetecting and treating a disease that previously was

    considered too uncommon to merit the allocation of

    precious health care dollars.

    Source: Porter, P. (2007). "Westernizing Womens Risks? Breast Cancer in

    Lower-Income Countries." New England Journal of Medicine 358(3):4

    Curado MP, Edwards B, Shin HR, et al., eds. Cancer incidence in five continents. France: International

    Agency for Research on Cancer, 2007.

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    In developing regions, breast cancer

    Most frequent cause of cancer-related death in developing and

    developed regions

    leading cause if death especially for young women

    268,000 of the 458,000 deaths per year are in LIMCs: 58%

    Most common cancer in developed and developing regions

    4.4 million women alive (diagnosed): how many in developing

    regions?

    2008: 1.38 million new cases; 50% of which are from LIMCs

    10.9% of all incident cancerssecond to lung

    (Globocan, 2010; Boyle y Levin, 2008; Beaulieu, Bloom, y Bloom, 2009).

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    Breast cancer: myths and realities

    It is a disease ofdeveloped countries

    It is a disease ofolder women

    It is of lower prioritythan cervical cancer

    The majority of cases anddeaths occur in the

    developing world

    A large proportion of casesand deathsperhaps the

    majorityhappens in

    women

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    ~40% occur in pre-menopausal

    women (55

    Age of

    Diagnosis

    Age ofDeath

    Source: Author estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2008 and 2010.

    33%

    20%54%

    66.6%

    34.2%65%

    The cancer transition in LMICs:

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    Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IHME, 2011.

    The cancer transition in LMICs:

    breast and cervical cancer 1980-2010

    53%47%

    20%24%

    19%

    -31%

    60%

    -40%

    0%

    40%

    80%

    LMICs High income

    BC cases

    BC deaths

    CC cases

    CC deaths

    % Change in incidence and mortality

    The cancer transition in LMICs:

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    Source: Knaul Arreola Mende . estimates based on IHME 2011.

    LMICs as % of global incidence and mortality

    Breast

    Cervical

    The cancer transition in LMICs:

    breast and cervical cancer 1980-2010

    0%

    30%

    60%

    90%

    1980 2010 1980 2010

    52%

    59%

    49%

    63%

    79%

    87%82%

    88%

    The Cancer Transition Me ico and Costa Rica:

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    Source: Knaul et al., 2008. Reproductive Health Matters, and updated byKnaul, Arreola-Ornelas and Mndez based on WHO data, WHOSIS (1955-

    1978), and Ministry of Health in Mexico (1979-2006)

    1995 2000 2005

    Costa Rica 1995 - 2005

    Breast cancer

    Cervical cancerSource: Instituto Nacional de Estadstica y Censos, Ministerio de Salud,Unidad de Estadstica, Registro Nacional de Tumores de Costa Rica.

    The Cancer Transition, Mexico and Costa Rica:

    breast and cervical cancer, mortality time series.

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    1955

    1965

    1975

    1985

    1995

    2005

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    Source: Lozano, Knaul, Gmez-Dants, Arreola-Ornelas y Mndez, 2008, Tendencias en la mortalidad por cncer de Mama en Mxico, 1979-2008.

    FUNSALUD, Documento de trabajo. Observatorio de la Salud.

    1979

    1985 1995

    Nuevo Len

    2008

    0

    Oaxaca

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    1979 1985 1995

    2008

    The cancer transition within Mexico:

    breast and cervical cancer 1979-2008

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    Adults

    Breast

    Cervix Prostate

    Testis

    HL

    N HL

    Leukaemia

    All cancers

    Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2010.

    Children

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    Survival

    inequalityg

    ap

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    100%

    The opportunity to survive (M/I)

    should not be defined by income.

    Yet it is.

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    Stigma:

    Juanita

    Cancer, and

    especially

    reproductive

    cancers, adds

    a layer of

    discrimination

    onto gender,

    ethnicity, andpoverty.

    The most insidious example of

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    The most insidious example of

    injustice is access to pain controlNon-methadone, Morphine

    Equivalent opioid consumptionper death from HIV or cancer in

    pain by income level

    Russia: 937 mg; ALL Developed

    countries 57,041

    Ch ll d di th

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARY

    M2. Unaffordable: .for the poorM3. Impossible

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies taking

    resources away from other diseases of

    the poor

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    `5/80 Cancer Disequilibrium

    Almost 80% of the DALYs (disability-adjustedlife-years) lost worldwide to cancer are in LMICs,yet these countries have only a very small share of

    global resources for cancer ~ 5% or less.

    Africa

    1% of global spending on health64% of new cancer cases

    15% of the global population.

    I ti i CCC

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    Investing in CCC:

    We cannot afford not toHealth is an investment, not a cost

    World Economic Forum: chronic disease is 1

    of the 3 leading global economic risksEconomic value of lost DALYs: $921 million

    VSL losses: $2.5 billion

    Total economic cost of cancer, 2010

    2-4% global GDP

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    80% of total

    75% ofbreast

    95% of cervical

    Avoidable cancer deaths:

    1/3 to 1/2 or 2.4-3.7 million

    Income Region% of all cancer deaths

    considered avoidableBreast

    Low income 52% 79%

    Lower middle

    income44% 73%

    Upper middle

    income33% 56%

    High income 21% 40%

    LMICs: Avoidable

    deaths

    I ti i CCC

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    Investing in CCC:

    we cannot afford not to

    Assuming that between 50% of

    deaths are avoidable

    Total annual cost: $310 billionInvesting in CCC yields an annual

    return on prevention and treatment of

    between 1.5:1 to 3.7:1.

    Economic cost of inaction, 2009

    $US 2010 billion130-850

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    Second-line TB Drugs

    (Farmer, 2009)% Decline in price 1997-9

    Amikacin 90%

    Ethionamide 84%

    Capreomycin 97%

    Ofloxacin 98%

    Reduced drug and vaccine prices

    HPV vaccine in LMICs: Before 2011: from $US 30 to $US 100 per dose

    PAHO Revolving Fund: decreased from US$ 32 per dose in January

    2010 to US$ 14 per dose in April 2011.

    GAVI: June 2011 Merck offers vaccine at US$ 5 per dose for low

    income countries.

    Hep B vaccine: decline from a 1982 launch price of over $100 to$0.20 a dose has enabled developing countries to dramatically increase

    vaccination rates with support from GAVI

    Challenge and disprove the

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary

    M2. Unaffordable:M3. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies taking

    resources away from other diseases of

    the poor

    Champions

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    Harvard Breast Cancer in Develo in Countries Nov 4 `09

    ChampionsNobel Amartya Sen,

    Cancer survivor diagnosed in India50 years ago

    Drew G. Faust

    President of Harvard University22+ year BC survivor

    Champions from LMICs: Mxico

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    Champions from LMICs: Mxico

    Successes treating other diseases:

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    Successes treating other diseases:MDR-TB treatment

    Source: Paul Farmer., 2009

    cured

    83%

    abandon

    therapy

    2%

    failed

    therapy

    8%

    died

    8%

    Mitnick et al, Community-based therapy for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Lima, Peru. NEJM 2003; 348(2): 119-

    Outcomes in MDR-TB patients in Lima,

    Peru receiving at least 4 months of therapy

    WHO 1997, Multidrug-resistant

    tuberculosis is too expensive to treat in

    poor countries; it detracts attention and

    resources from treating drug-susceptible

    disease.

    Drug % Decline inprice 1997-9

    Amikacin 90%

    Ethionamide 84%

    Capreomycin 97%

    Ofloxacin 98%

    Reduced prices of

    second-line TB drugs

    S i t ti l

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    Mexico: cervical cancer.

    Source: Knaul et al., 2008. Reproductive Health Matters, and updated by Knaul, Arreola-Ornelas and Mndez based on WHO data, WHOSIS (1955-1978), and Ministry of Health in Mexico (1979-2006)

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    1955

    1965

    1975

    1985

    1995

    2005

    Success in treating several cancers.

    Financing innovations:

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    Financing innovations:

    DomesticIntegrate CCC into national insurance programs to

    express previously suppressed demand, beginning

    with cancers of women and children:

    Mexico

    Colombia

    Dominican Republic

    Peru

    China

    India

    Rwanda

    Taiwan

    Innovations in Financing:

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    Innovations in Financing:

    Global

    Integrated, innovative financingmechanisms that have gone to scale -

    Global Fund and GAVI - can be leveragedRMNCH platforms provide models forbroad-based international partnership and

    commitment-building for cancer and NCD.Recent, diagonal partnership initiatives arepromising -pink ribbon red ribbon

    Challenge and disprove the

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    Myths about cancer& NCD

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARY

    M2.Unaffordable AFFORDABLE

    M2. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies takingresources away from other diseases of

    the poor

    Women and mothers in LMICs

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    Women and mothers in LMICs

    face many risks through the life cycle

    Women 15-59, annual deaths

    Diabetes

    120,889

    Breast

    cancer

    166,577

    Source: Estimates based on data from WHO: Global Health Observatory, 2008 and Murray et al Lancet 2011.

    Cervical

    cancer

    142,744

    Mortality

    in

    childbirth

    342,900

    - 35%in 30years

    = 430, 210 deaths

    The Diagonal Approach to

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    The Diagonal Approach to

    Health System Strengthening

    Rather than focusing on disease-specific vertical

    programs or only on horizontal system

    constraints, harness synergies that provide

    opportunities to tackle disease-specific priorities

    while addressing systemic gaps.

    Optimize available resources so that the whole is

    more than the sum of the parts.

    Bridge the divide as patients suffer diseases over a

    lifetime, most of it chronic.

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    Why diagonal?

    Shared risk factors

    Success and life cycle

    Common need for strong healthsystems platforms

    Efficiency

    Economic developmentSocial justice

    Di l St t i

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    Diagonal Strategies:

    Positive Externalities

    Promoting prevention and healthy lifestyles:

    Reduce risk for cancer and other diseases

    Reducing stigma for womens cancers:Contributes to reducing gender discrimination.

    Pain control and palliation

    Reducing barriers to access is essential forcancer, for other diseases, and for surgery.

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    Delivery: Harness platforms byintegrating cancer prevention,

    screening and survivorshipsupport into MCH, SRH,

    HIV/AIDS, social welfare andanti-poverty programs.

    A Diagonal Strategy:

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    Cases:

    Juanita

    Mexico

    Mexico Seguro Popular Insurance

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    g p

    a diagonal strategy that includes financial

    protection for catastrophic illness

    Accelerated universal vertical coverage by disease

    with a specified package of interventions

    2004/5: ALL in children, cervical, HIV/AIDS

    2006: All pediatric cancers

    2007: Breast cancer

    2011: Testicular cancer and NHL

    Seguro Popular and cancer:

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    Seguro Popular and cancer:

    Evidence of impact

    Since the incorporation of childhoodcancers into the Seguro Popular

    30-month survival: 30% to almost 70%adherence to treatment: 70% to 95%.

    Access to medicinesan anecdote

    Breast cancer adherence to treatment:2005: 200/600

    2010: 10/900

    H i l d i l fi i l i i

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    Beneficiaries: Population covered

    Benefit

    s:coveredinterventions

    Horizontal and vertical financial protection strategies:Seguro Popular for Breast Cancer, Mexico

    Catastrophic Illness

    ACCELERATED VERTICAL COVERAGE: Ex: breast cancer,

    Package ofessential personal

    services

    Community Health Services - NUTRITION

    Poor Rich

    M i f f t

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    Mexico: summary of facts

    Since 2006, breast cancer is the second leading cause ofdeath among women aged 30 to 54 years of age and the

    principal cause of death due to tumors.

    Seguro Popular: since 2007 all women diagnosed with

    breast cancer have very complete access to treatmentwith financial protection

    Only 5-10% of cases in Mexico aredetected in Stage 1 or in situ

    i i

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    Early Detection = survival

    Stage at diagnosisSurvival rates,

    US ACS

    0 - 1 98%

    2 - 3 84%

    4 27%

    Fuente: American Cancer Society. Breast Cancer Facts & Figures, 2007-2008. Atlanta, GA. : American Cancer Society, Inc.,

    y Secretara de Salud. Programa de Accin: Cncer de mama. Mxico, D.F.

    Mexico: 70% in late stages

    IMSS M i 40 50% f

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    IMSS Mxico: 40-50% of cases are

    detected in stages III-IV. 85+ in II+

    10%

    30%

    50%

    1992 2002 2006

    Stage I Stage II Stage III & IV

    Stage at diagnosis by level of municipal

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    g g y p

    marginalization, Mexico, IMSS 2006(Mxico, IMSS 2006)

    Source: Authors estimation based on IMSS data, 2006.

    N=221(3.8%)

    N=1737(30%)

    N=2877(49.8%)

    N=946(16.4%)

    % diagnosed

    in Stage 4

    Late detection by state

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Poor (High) Middle Low Very low

    Stage 1 Stage 2

    Stage 3 Stage 4

    < low

    > mid

    > high

    Wh ?

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    Why?

    Social and health systems

    barriers to early detectionand

    non-price barriers totreatment

    Vignette: a series of Missed Opportunities:

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    g ppJuanita

    (patient journey analysis)42; left breast substantially larger than right; arrived at Morelos

    Womens Hospital bc she could not move her swollen arm; father of

    children abandoned household at diagnosis

    History 1:

    - 5 children aged 7-18; breast fed all

    - Cartilla de la mujer: regular PAP and clinic visits

    - Has Oportunidadesattends regular community health platicas

    History 2:

    Felt a breast lump 4 years priorfear kept her from saying anything

    Lump grewlast year asked doctor-pasante at local clinic and given anti-b

    w/out bc

    Is entitled to Seguro Popular and free care

    Cannot travel to Mexico City so seeking care locally and paying out of pocket

    J it

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    br

    Juanita:Advanced metastatic breast

    cancer is the result of a series ofmissed opportunities

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    Barrier 1: financing

    Barrier 2: myth and machismo

    Barrier 3: Inequity in addition to lack

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    + Poorest

    Q1 Q2 Q 3 Q 4Least poor

    QV

    16%

    21% 22%24%

    28%

    Fuente: ENSANUT, 2006

    q y

    of overall access and utilization

    Only 1 in 5women 40-69

    report a

    preventivehealth visit

    including

    mamography2006

    B i 4 P lit i

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    Barrier 4: Poor quality services

    women diagnosed with bc reported problems withproviders when seeking diagnosis.

    In routine, annual repro health/OBGYN visit/ PAP

    screening, there was no BCE

    Physician insisted woman was overreacting and sent herhome with no diagnosis

    Health professionals and first-level care providers

    report lack of sensitivity of health personnel relating to

    the requests of women regarding breast health

    Results from a national qualitative studynigenda et al, 2009

    a series of missed opportunities

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    a series of missed opportunities

    Nurse and midwife

    Works on MCH, SRH and HIV/AIDS

    locally

    Has participated in global advocacy andtraining conferences

    Undertakes research and field surveys

    .has never considered including NCD or

    cancerbcthere is no treatment

    available or it is not a problem

    Policy maker in MOHoffice down the

    hall from women and cancer Manages the cash-transfer, family

    planning program

    Information on NCD and cancers are not a

    topic that is covered in the discussions

    bc it is not a problem and there are no

    materials

    Breast cancer advocate, runs an

    international NGO. Concerned about funding for

    treatment but does not participate

    in debate about health care reform

    Patients are surviving to suffer

    other diseases (diabetes?), but her

    group cannot offer assistance

    they have no linkages to other

    groups

    Does not participate in advocacy

    about women and health more

    broadly, yet one of the mainbarriers to early detection of her

    patients is machismo and gender

    discrimination

    Programs to reduce

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    Programs to reduce

    barriers

    Core project components

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    Core project components1) Expand potential for early detection

    Harness anti-poverty and MCH Oportunidades programTraining of health promoters

    Improved referral system

    Training of primary care-level physicians and nurses

    2) Expand potential for care and treatment in secondary level

    hospitalsSupervision and capacity building from tertiary to secondary

    district hospitals

    Centers for chemotherapy and survivorshipsecondary and

    primary levelAcreditation of secondary centers so SPSS can finance

    3) Increase data-for-decision-making, evaluation and monitoring

    Improved or new registries

    Evaluation and monitoring

    P ti i ti i tit ti

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    Participating institutions:

    Seguro Popular and MOH MexicoMinistry of Health of Jalisco, Morelos, Nuevo Leon, Puebla,

    Sinaloa.

    National Cancer Institute of Mexico

    National Institute of Public Health

    Cncer de mama: Tmatelo a pecho

    Mexican Health Foundation

    The Global Task Force on Expanded Cancer Care and Control inDeveloping Countries through the Secretariat based at the

    Harvard Global Equity Initiative and Seattle Cancer Care Alliance

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    Challenge and disprove the

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    g pminimalists:

    Myths about breast cancer,cancer& NCD

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARYM2. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M3.Unaffordable AFFORDABLE

    M4. Inappropriate : APPROPRIATE

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    Be anoptimist

    optimalist

    Expanding access to cancer care and control in