BGOV OnPoint: Senate Races to Watch · Carlson is a lawyer, Spano is a state representative; Rep....

BGOV OnPoint:

Senate Races to

Watch

Oct. 22, 2018

Election Reporter

Quantitative Analyst

2

Democrats Need a Net of Two Seats to Win

Control of Senate

If there’s a 50/50 split, as there was in early 2001, the vice president would break the tie, so control

determined by the party in the White House

Senate

Note: Independents, shown in yellow, caucus with the Democrats and are included in the Democratic tally.

Source: Bloomberg Government

Democrats

49Republicans

51

3

Democrats Are Defending Far More Seats

Notes: There are 103 seats shown in the three graphics because of three special elections – two in 2018 and one in 2020. The winners of the Nov. 6 special

elections in Minnesota and Mississippi will finish the six-year terms won by Franken and Cochran in 2014, and be up for re-election in 2020. The 2020 graphic

includes a special election for the Arizona seat formerly held by John McCain (R), who died in August. McCain’s successor, Sen. Jon Kyl (R), won’t run in the

special election. The winner of that election will be up for re-election in 2022. Independent Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine are running

for re-election in 2018 and caucus with the Democrats; they are shown in blue.

Source: U.S. Senate

Senate Seats up for Election

Two special elections in 2018 after Al Franken (D-Minn.) and Thad Cochran (R-Miss.) resigned

26

912

22

Now held by Republicans Now held by Democrats

2018 2020 2022

12

22

4

All Senate Races, Part 1

State Incumbent

Democratic

nominee

Republican

nominee Note

Arizona Jeff Flake Kyrsten Sinema Martha McSally

California Dianne FeinsteinDianne Feinstein and

Kevin de León

Feinstein favored over de León, a state legislator who's

more liberal

Connecticut Chris Murphy Chris Murphy Matthew Corey

Delaware Tom Carper Tom Carper Robert Arlett

Florida Bill Nelson Bill Nelson Rick Scott

Hawaii Mazie Hirono Mazie Hirono Ron Curtis

Indiana Joe Donnelly Joe Donnelly Mike Braun

Maine Angus King Zak Ringelstein Eric BrakeyKing, who caucuses with the Democrats, is seeking

re-election

Maryland Ben Cardin Ben Cardin Tony Campbell

Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl

Michigan Debbie Stabenow Debbie Stabenow John James

Minnesota Amy Klobuchar Amy Klobuchar Jim Newberger

Minnesota

(special)Tina Smith Tina Smith Karin Housley

Mississippi Roger Wicker David Baria Roger WickerWicker benefited from Chris McDaniel switching from

opposing him in the primary to challenging Cindy Hyde-Smith

Mississippi

(special)Cindy Hyde-Smith

Hyde-Smith running in Nov. 6 nonpartisan single-ballot race

along with McDaniel (R) and ex-Rep. Mike Espy (D)

Missouri Claire McCaskill Claire McCaskill Josh Hawley

Montana Jon Tester Jon Tester Matt Rosendale

5

All Senate Races, Part 2

State Incumbent

Democratic

nominee

Republican

nominee Note

Nebraska Deb Fischer Jane Raybould Deb FischerRaybould, a Lincoln city councilwoman, seeks to deny second

term in Republican state

Nevada Dean Heller Jacky Rosen Dean Heller

New Jersey Bob Menendez Bob Menendez Bob Hugin

New Mexico Martin Heinrich Martin Heinrich Mick RichGary Johnson, New Mexico’s Republican governor from 1995

to 2003, seeking seat as Libertarian candidate

New York Kirsten Gillibrand Kirsten Gillibrand Chele Farley

North Dakota Heidi Heitkamp Heidi Heitkamp Kevin Cramer

Ohio Sherrod Brown Sherrod Brown Jim Renacci

Pennsylvania Bob Casey Bob Casey Lou Barletta

Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Sheldon Whitehouse Robert Flanders

Tennessee Bob Corker Phil Bredesen Marsha Blackburn

Texas Ted Cruz Beto O’Rourke Ted Cruz

Utah Orrin Hatch Jenny Wilson Mitt RomneyRomney, a former Massachusetts governor, favored over

Wilson, a Salt Lake County councilwoman

Vermont Bernie Sanders Lawrence Zupan

Sanders, who caucuses with the Democrats, won Democratic

nomination but again rescinded it to seek re-election as an

independent.

Virginia Tim Kaine Tim Kaine Corey Stewart

Washington Maria Cantwell Maria Cantwell Susan Hutchison

West Virginia Joe Manchin Joe Manchin Patrick Morrisey

Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin Tammy Baldwin Leah Vukmir

Wyoming John Barrasso Gary Trauner John Barrasso

BGOV OnPoint:House Races to Watch

Oct. 24, 2018

Election Reporter

Quantitative Analyst

2

Key House Races

Republicans control 240 seats compared with 195 for Democrats when vacant districts are assigned to the parties that most recently held them• Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats for a majority of 218• There are 25 Republican-held districts that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 election and

12 Democratic-held districts that Donald Trump carried

In midterm elections since World War II, the average result has been a net loss of 26 House seats for the White House’s party• Democratic advantages: Midterm election history, President Donald Trump’s subpar

approval rating, candidate recruitment and fundraising• Republican advantages: Battle-tested incumbents, redistricting, demographic sorting

patterns, outside money

This slide deck provides an overview of: • Current House balance of power• How the White House’s party has fared in past House midterm elections• Profiles of 80 House races worth watching

3

Democrats Need a Net of 23 Seats to Win Control of House

HouseNotes: There are seven vacant districts. Republicans are the defending party in five districts and the Democrats are the defending party in two districts. Source: Bloomberg Government data

Democrats

193Republicans

235

4

House Races: Alaska – CaliforniaState-district Location

2016 presidential election results

Democraticnominee

Republican nominee What you need to know

Alaska-At Large Statewide district Trump 51% -Clinton 37% Alyse Galvin Rep. Don Young

House “dean” Young, 85, has touted his seniority and legislative wins including opening ANWR to oil drilling; Galvin, an education activist, is an independent who won Democratic primary

Arizona-2 Most of Tucson Clinton 50% -Trump 45% Ann Kirkpatrick Lea Marquez

Peterson

Kirkpatrick previously served rural Arizona in House; Marquez Peterson leads Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce; incumbent Rep. Martha McSally (R) is running for Senate

Arizona-6 Parts of Phoenix and Scottsdale

Trump 52% -Clinton 42% Anita Malik Rep. David

Schweikert

Schweikert has won easily but Ethics Committee probe of his office spending could give Malik an opening

Arkansas-2 Little Rock Trump 52% -Clinton 42% Clarke Tucker Rep. French Hill

State Rep. Tucker is bladder-cancer survivor, opposes Pelosi; former banker Hill on Financial Services Committee

California-10 Modesto, Tracy, Turlock

Clinton 49% -Trump 46% Josh Harder Rep. Jeff Denham Water a big issue in Central Valley district; Harder is

a venture capitalist

California-25 Santa Clarita, Palmdale

Clinton 50% -Trump 44% Katie Hill Rep. Steve Knight Hill has background in homeless policy; Knight won

2nd term in 2016 by 53%-47%

California-39 Fullerton, Chino Hills

Clinton 51% -Trump 43% Gil Cisneros Young Kim

Cisneros is veteran and lottery winner; Kim is Korean-American former assemblywoman and ex-aide to retiring Rep. Ed Royce (R)

California-45 Irvine, most of Mission Viejo

Clinton 50% -Trump 44% Katie Porter Rep. Mimi Walters

Porter, a law professor, co-wrote a book with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), under whom she studied at Harvard

California-48 Huntington Beach, Costa Mesa

Clinton 48% -Trump 46% Harley Rouda Rep. Dana

Rohrabacher

Rohrabacher facing toughest challenge of 30-year career from Rouda, a real estate executive and former Republican

Notes: Republicans are the incumbent party in districts shaded red; Democrats are the incumbent party in districts shaded blue.

5

House Races: California – FloridaState-district Location


Democraticnominee


California-49 Oceanside, Carlsbad

Clinton 51% -Trump 43% Mike Levin Diane Harkey

Levin, a lawyer, is a favorite of liberal Progressive Change Campaign Committee; Harkey is member of CA's tax-writing board of equalization; Rep. Darrell Issa (R) retiring

California-50 Escondido, San Marcos

Trump 55% -Clinton 40%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

Rep. Duncan Hunter

Hunter and his wife indicted in August over campaign spending; Campa-Najjar worked in Obama Labor Department.

Colorado-6 Aurora, other Denver suburbs

Clinton 50% -Trump 41% Jason Crow Rep. Mike Coffman

Coffman, an Army and Marine Corps veteran on Armed Services Committee, beat well-funded state senator in 2016; Crow is a lawyer and former Army Ranger who served in Iraq and Afghanistan

Florida-6Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, Deltona

Trump 56% -Clinton 40% Nancy Soderberg Michael Waltz

Ads by Waltz, a former Green Beret commander and White House aide, are tying Soderberg, a professor and veteran national security official, to Nancy Pelosi; ex-Rep. Ron DeSantis (R) running for governor

Florida-15 Lakeland, Tampa suburbs

Trump 53% -Clinton 43% Kristen Carlson Ross Spano Carlson is a lawyer, Spano is a state representative;

Rep. Dennis Ross (R) retiring

Florida-16 Bradenton, Sarasota

Trump 53% -Clinton 43% David Shapiro Rep. Vern

Buchanan

Democrats have targeted Buchanan's ethics and vote for GOP tax-cut law; Buchanan ads brand Shapiro as "millionaire lawyer" and link him to Nancy Pelosi

Florida-18 Port St. Lucie, Jupiter

Trump 53% -Clinton 44% Lauren Baer Rep.

Brian Mast

Mast, an Army veteran of Afghanistan war, opposed for second term by Baer, who served in Obama State Department

Florida-26

Part of Miami-Dade County, plus Monroe County (Keys)

Clinton 56% -Trump 40%

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

Rep. Carlos Curbelo

Curbelo, who's seeking compromise on immigration policy, is popular in anti-Trump, Hispanic majority district; Ecuador-born Mucarsel-Powell is a former university official

Florida-27Miami Beach, Coral Gables, most of Miami

Clinton 58% -Trump 39% Donna Shalala Maria Elvira Salazar

Retiring Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) a popular moderate; Shalala is ex-HHS Secretary, Salazar a Cuban-American broadcast journalist

6

House Races: Georgia – KansasState-district Location


Democraticnominee


Georgia-6 Atlanta suburbs Trump 48% -Clinton 47% Lucy McBath Rep. Karen Handel Handel won close 2017 special election; McBath

became gun-control activist after son slain

Georgia-7 Most of Gwinnett and Forsyth Counties

Trump 51% -Clinton 45% Carolyn Bourdeaux Rep. Rob Woodall

Woodall, first elected in 2010, sits on Budget and Rules Committees; Bourdeaux is a public policy professor and former Senate aide

Illinois-6 West, northwest Chicago suburbs

Clinton 49% -Trump 42% Sean Casten Rep. Peter Roskam Roskam on Ways & Means; Casten has background

in "clean" energy

Illinois-12Belleville, Carbondale, East St. Louis

Trump 54% -Clinton 40% Brendan Kelly Rep. Mike Bost

Kelly, a prosecutor and Navy veteran, seeking district that shifted to Trump in 2016 after narrowly supporting Obama

Illinois-13Champaign, Decatur, most of Springfield


Betsy Dirksen Londrigan Rep. Rodney Davis Londrigan has invoked son's recovery from serious

illness in advocating for ACA

Illinois-14 Batavia, Geneva, part of Naperville

Trump 48% -Clinton 44% Lauren Underwood Rep. Randy

HultgrenUnderwood is a registered nurse with a heart condition

Iowa-1 Cedar Rapids, Dubuque

Trump 48% -Clinton 45% Abby Finkenauer Rep. Rod Blum

Finkenauer is 29-year-old state representative; Freedom Caucus member Blum attacking Finkenaueron health care, immigration, abortion

Iowa-3 Des Moines, Council Bluffs

Trump 48% -Clinton 45% Cindy Axne Rep. David Young

Two-term Rep. Young sits on Appropriations Committee. Axne is a former state government employee

Kansas-2 Topeka, Lawrence Trump 56% -Clinton 37% Paul Davis Steve Watkins

Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R) retiring; Davis is former state House minority leader; Watkins is Army veteran who won GOP primary with help from super-PAC funded by his father

Kansas-3 Overland Park, Kansas City, Olathe

Clinton 47% -Trump 46% Sharice Davids Rep. Kevin Yoder Yoder is chairman of House Appropriations

subcommittee that oversees border wall funding

7

House Races: Kentucky – MinnesotaState-district Location


Democraticnominee


Kentucky-6 Lexington, Frankfort Trump 55% -Clinton 39% Amy McGrath Rep. Andy Barr McGrath is a former fighter pilot; Barr heads Financial

Services' Monetary Policy and Trade Subcommittee

Maine-2 Lewiston, Bangor, rural Maine

Trump 51% -Clinton 41% Jared Golden Rep. Bruce Poliquin

Golden is a state representative and Marine Corps veteran; district shifted to Trump in 2016 after voting for Obama in 2012

Michigan-6 Kalamazoo, Portage Trump 51% -Clinton 43% Matt Longjohn Rep. Fred Upton

Upton, a former Energy and Commerce chairman, is touting his role in 21st Century Cures Act. He’s been held under 60% in the past 3 elections and accused Longjohn, a doctor, of embellishing his credentials

Michigan-7 Jackson, Adrian, Monroe Trump 56%-39% Gretchen Driskell Rep. Tim Walberg

Rematch of 2016 race Walberg won 55%-40%, the best showing of his career; Driskell is a former state representative

Michigan-8 Lansing, Rochester Hills

Trump 51% -Clinton 44% Elissa Slotkin Rep. Mike Bishop Bishop on Ways & Means Committee; Slotkin was

Defense Department official in Obama administration

Michigan-11 Livonia, Troy, Novi

Trump 50% -Clinton 45% Haley Stevens Lena Epstein

Stevens worked on auto-rescue policy in Obama administration; Epstein is wealthy businesswoman; Rep. Dave Trott (R) retiring after two terms

Minnesota-1 Rochester, Mankato Trump 53% -Clinton 38% Dan Feehan Jim Hagedorn

Rare takeover opportunity for GOP as Rep. Tim Walz (D) runs for governor; Feehan is an Army veteran and former Defense Department official; Hagedorn, a son of a former congressman, almost beat Walz in 2016

Minnesota-2 Eagan, Burnsville Trump 47% -Clinton 45% Angie Craig Rep. Jason Lewis Rematch of 2016 race Lewis won by less than

2 points

Minnesota-3 Bloomington, Plymouth Park

Clinton 50% -Trump 41% Dean Phillips Rep. Erik Paulsen Paulsen sits in Ways & Means Committee and ran

well ahead of Trump in 2016

Minnesota-8 Duluth, Hibbing Trump 54% -Clinton 39% Joe Radinovich Pete Stauber

Rep. Rick Nolan (D) didn't seek new term in ancestrally Democratic Iron Range district that shifted to back Trump in 2016; may be best GOP pickup opportunity in nation

8

House Races: Missouri – New JerseyState-district Location


Democraticnominee


Missouri-2 St. Louis suburbs Trump 52% -Clinton 42% Cort VanOstran Rep. Ann Wagner

Wagner has touted work to curb online sex trafficking and Dodd-Frank regulations; VanOstran, a young lawyer, invokes his mother's cancer in advocating for ACA

Montana-At-Large Statewide district Trump 56% -Clinton 36% Kathleen Williams Rep. Greg Gianforte Gianforte won 2017 special election 50%-44% after

assaulting reporter; Williams is a state representative

Nebraska-2 Omaha Trump 49% -Clinton 46% Kara Eastman Rep. Don Bacon Eastman in primary beat moderate ex-Rep. Brad

Ashford, whom Bacon unseated in 2016

Nevada-3 Henderson, part of Las Vegas

Trump 48% -Clinton 47% Susie Lee Danny Tarkanian Lee and Tarkanian lost House bids in 2016; Rep.

Jacky Rosen (D) running for Senate

Nevada-4Part of Las Vegas, most of N. Las Vegas

Clinton 49% -Trump 45%

ex-Rep. Steven Horsford

ex-Rep. Cresent Hardy

Unusual race between two ex-House members; Hardy unseated Horsford in pro-GOP 2014 and then lost in 2016 to Rep. Ruben Kihuen (D), who didn't seek second term amid sexual harassment allegations

New Hampshire-1 Manchester, Dover, Derry

Trump 48% -Clinton 46% Chris Pappas Eddie Edwards

Pappas, an elected executive councilor, would become state's first gay member of Congress; Edwards, a former police chief, would be its first black congressman

New Jersey-3South-central: parts of Burlington & Ocean counties

Trump 51% -Clinton 45% Andy Kim Rep. Tom

MacArthur

Kim is an Obama administration alum with a background in national security; MacArthur and Republicans say Kim embellished his résumé

New Jersey-7 Bridgewater, Westfield

Clinton 48% -Trump 47% Tom Malinowski Rep. Leonard

LanceLance is on Energy & Commerce Committee; Malinowski served in Obama's State Department

9

House Races: New Jersey – New YorkState-district Location


Democraticnominee


New Jersey-11 North-central Trump 48% -Clinton 47% Mikie Sherrill Jay Webber

Sherrill, a former prosecutor and Navy veteran, may be favorite over assemblyman Webber in race to succeed retiring Appropriations chief Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)

New Mexico-2Las Cruces, Roswell, Alamogordo

Trump 50% -Clinton 40% Xochitl Torres Small Yvette Harrell Rep. Steve Pearce (R) running for governor; district is

majority-Hispanic

New York-1 Eastern Long Island,Hamptons

Trump 54% -Clinton 42% Perry Gershon Rep. Lee Zeldin Zeldin's campaign referring to Gershon as "Park

Avenue Perry"

New York-11 Staten Island, part of Southwest Brooklyn

Trump 54% -Clinton 44% Max Rose Rep. Dan Donovan

GOP avoided disaster when Donovan won June primary over ex-Rep. Michael Grimm; Rose is military veteran

New York-19 Kingston, Oneonta

Trump 51% -Clinton 44% Antonio Delgado Rep. John Faso Delgado is a lawyer and Rhodes Scholar; Republican

ads have called him a “big-city rapper”

New York-22 Utica, Binghamton, Rome

Trump 55% -Clinton 39% Anthony Brindisi Rep. Claudia

TenneyTenney seeking second term in central New York; Brindisi is state assemblyman

New York-24 Syracuse Clinton 49% -Trump 45% Dana Balter Rep. John Katko

Katko, a former prosecutor, has bipartisan appeal and was re-elected with 60% in 2016; Balter is a professor and activist

New York-27 Buffalo and Rochester suburbs

Trump 60% -Clinton 35% Nate McMurray Rep. Chris Collins Collins, indicted on insider trading charges, seeking

re-election after initially saying he wouldn't

10

House Races: North Carolina – PennsylvaniaState-district Location


Democraticnominee


North Carolina-2Most of Rocky Mount, part of Raleigh & suburbs

Trump 53% -Clinton 43% Linda Coleman Rep. George

Holding

Holding's attack ads against Coleman, a former state representative, and intervention of GOP super-PACs point to a competitive race

North Carolina-9 Charlotte suburbs Trump 54% -Clinton 42% Dan McCready Mark Harris

Harris, a Baptist pastor, unseated Rep. Robert Pittenger (R) in primary; McCready is Marine Corps veteran and solar-energy businessman

North Carolina-13 Most of Greensboro and High Point

Trump 53% -Clinton 44% Kathy Manning Rep. Ted Budd Manning announced in July she won't back Pelosi

for speaker

Ohio-1 Most of Cincinnati Trump 51% -Clinton 44% Aftab Pureval Rep. Steve Chabot Pureval, the Hamilton County (Cincinnati) Clerk of

Courts, would be first Tibetan-American congressman

Ohio-12 Part of Columbus & suburbs; Zanesville

Trump 52% -Clinton 41% Danny O'Connor Rep. Troy

BaldersonRematch of Aug. 7 special election Balderson won by less than 1 point

Ohio-14 Cleveland/Akron suburbs

Trump 53% -Clinton 42% Betsy Rader Rep. Dave Joyce

Joyce, an Appropriations Committee member, voted against GOP health-care bill and has distanced himself from Trump

Pennsylvania-1Bucks County & small part of Montgomery County

Clinton 49% -Trump 47% Scott Wallace Rep. Brian

Fitzpatrick

Redistricting in 2018 made suburban district slightly more Democratic; Fitzpatrick has broken with GOP on environmental and labor votes; wealthy Wallace is grandson of ex-VP Henry Wallace

Pennsylvania-7 Allentown, Bethlehem

Clinton 49% -Trump 48% Susan Wild Marty Nothstein

Rep. Charlie Dent (R), a popular moderate, resigned in May; reconfigured district is more compact and Democratic-friendly

Pennsylvania-8 Scranton, Wilkes-Barre


Rep. Matt Cartwright John Chrin

Cartwright seeking third term in reconfigured district that's ancestrally Democratic but shifted to back Trump in 2016; Chrin is a wealthy former investment banker

11

House Races: Pennsylvania – UtahState-district Location


Democraticnominee


Pennsylvania-10 Harrisburg, York Trump 52% -Clinton 43% George Scott Rep. Scott Perry Redistricting in 2018 made district less GOP-friendly;

Scott is a pastor and 20-year Army veteran

Pennsylvania-16 Erie, New Castle Trump 58% -Clinton 38% Ron DiNicola Rep. Mike Kelly

DiNicola, a Harvard-educated ex-Marine, seeks to deny Kelly fifth term; Trump stumped for Kelly and other Republicans in Erie Oct. 10

Pennsylvania-17 Suburban Pittsburgh Trump 49% -Clinton 47% Rep. Conor Lamb Rep. Keith Rothfus

Lamb, who won nationally significant special election in April, opted to challenge Rothfus after lines redrawn

South Carolina-1 Charleston area Trump 54% -Clinton 40% Joe Cunningham Katie Arrington

State Rep. Arrington, a Trump loyalist, unseated Rep. Mark Sanford (R) in primary; Cunningham is a lawyer and ocean engineer

Texas-7 Western Harris County (Houston)

Clinton 48% -Trump 47% Lizzie Fletcher Rep. John

CulbersonFletcher, a lawyer, seeking to unseat nine-term Rep. Culberson, a House Appropriations "cardinal"

Texas-23 Parts of San Antonio & El Paso

Clinton 50% -Trump 46% Gina Ortiz Jones Rep. Will Hurd Ortiz Jones, a military veteran, seeks to unseat Hurd

in vast Hispanic-majority district

Texas-32 Part of Dallas Clinton 49% -Trump 47% Colin Allred Rep. Pete Sessions Sessions is Rules Committee chairman; Allred played

in NFL and worked in Obama administration's HUD

Utah-4West Jordan, South Jordan, part of Salt Lake City

Trump 39% -Clinton 32% Ben McAdams Rep. Mia Love

Many Republicans voted for Evan McMullin over Trump in 2016; Love seeking third term against McAdams, the mayor of Salt Lake County

12

House Races: Virginia – WisconsinState-district Location


Democraticnominee


Virginia-2Virginia Beach, Williamsburg, Eastern Shore

Trump 48% -Clinton 45% Elaine Luria Rep. Scott Taylor Both candidates are Navy veterans in Navy-heavy

coastal district

Virginia-5 Southside, Charlottesville

Trump 53% -Clinton 42% Leslie Cockburn Denver Riggleman

Rep. Tom Garrett (R) not seeking second term.Cockburn, a longtime journalist, and Riggleman, a distillery owner and Air Force veteran, are first-time candidates

Virginia-7 Richmond suburbs

Trump 50% -Clinton 44% Abigail Spanberger Rep. Dave Brat

Spanberger is former CIA officer; Brat, who unseated Majority Leader Eric Cantor in 2014 primary, is in Freedom Caucus

Virginia-10 D.C. suburbs/exurbs

Clinton 52% -Trump 42% Jennifer Wexton Rep. Barbara

Comstock

Higher-income, well-educated area drifting away from Republicans; Comstock opposed GOP's ACA replacement and supported tax-cut law; Wexton is state senator

Washington-3 Vancouver Trump 50% -Clinton 43% Carolyn Long Rep. Jaime

Herrera BeutlerLong, a college professor, ran competitively with Herrera Beutler in August primary

Washington-5 Spokane, Walla Walla

Trump 52% -Clinton 39% Lisa Brown Rep. Cathy

McMorris RodgersMcMorris Rodgers is No. 4 House Republican; Brown is ex-state Senate majority leader

Washington-8 Seattle suburbs Clinton 46% -Trump 43% Kim Schrier Dino Rossi

Pediatrician Schrier and ex-state Sen. Rossi, who has also run for governor twice and senator once, seek to succeed retiring Rep. Dave Reichert (R)

West Virginia-3 South - Huntington, Beckley

Trump 73% -Clinton 23% Richard Ojeda Carol Miller Ojeda is a state senator and Army veteran; Miller is a

state representative

Wisconsin-1 Kenosha, Racine Trump 52% -Clinton 42% Randy Bryce Bryan Steil

Speaker Paul Ryan not seeking re-election; Bryce is ironworker and Steil is University of Wisconsin regent and ex-Ryan aide

BGOV OnPoint: Senate Races to Watch · Carlson is a lawyer, Spano is a state representative; Rep....

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