AREVA: leading the way to a low-CO2 economy Day 20100929 AREVA Group … · AREVA: leading the way...
Transcript of AREVA: leading the way to a low-CO2 economy Day 20100929 AREVA Group … · AREVA: leading the way...
AREVA: leading the wayto a low-CO2 economy
Dominique Mockly
Senior Executive VP International and Marketing
Warsaw, September 29th 2010
3 challenges forthe world energy sector
Multiplied by 1.5 by 2030
Declining fossil resources
Energy demand GHG emissionsOil & Gas availability
Cut by half by 2050
2005 20302010 2020 20501990 2010 20301960 2040202020001980
World energy demand (Gtoe / y) Oil and gas world energy supply(Gtoe / y)
World GHG emissions(GtCO2eq / y)
Businessas usualscenario
36
74
18
~12
~18
AREVA captures growth through its low carbon strategy aligned with world energy challenges
1,5
2,43,1
4,34,0
3,02,4
0,7
3,4
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Nuclear
Renewables
Energy efficiency and storage
2030
17,0
2006
11,7
0,7
Billions of metric tons of oil equivalent / year
Global energy mixGlobal energy mix
+3.3%/y
Source: World Energy Outlook 2008 stabilization 450 ppm” scenario, AREVA
Fossilresources
x 1.5Energy demand
CO2emissions / 2
2,5
1,4
AREVA: leader in CO 2 free power generation solutions
Renewable Energies
• Development of wind energy, bio-energy, solar power and hydrogen power solutions
AREVA providesNew Renewable Energy solutions
€168M sales (2009)1% of AREVA sales
892 people (2008)1% of AREVA workforce
#1 in Bio-energyOff-shore wind turbine of the highest power rating (5MW) currently in operation
Off-shore wind turbine
Itacoatiara biomass plant (Brazil)
€1.1Bn backlog in 2009X14 over 2006-09
Already more than 2,000 MWe of BiomassPlants Installed Worldwide…
98 Power plantsunder operation or construction
2,430 MWetotal installed capacity
Germany
2 biogas
+ 5 mine gaspower plants for
57 MWe
Brazil
83 biomasspower plants for
2,296 MWe
Chile
1 biomasspower plants for
10 MWe
India
3 biomass
+ 2 waste heatpower plants for
47 MWe
Thailand
2 Biomasspower plants for
20 MWe
USA
12 biomasspower plants for
600 MWein project
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0
Germany
UnitedKingdom
Sweden
Netherlands
Spain
Norway
Finland
Belgium
Others
2015
10.927
8.755
3.312
2.833
1.976
1.5531.3301.446
5.309
2008
End 2008 : 1,4 GW
European off-shore wind market forecastsEuropean off-shore wind market forecasts
… with a strong off-shore wind market forecast in Europe
� An additional installed capacity of 35 GW in Europe between 2009 and 2015
� An increasing number of countries selecting off-shore wind
Source : Base scenario EWEA
2015 : 37,4 GW
Reactors & Services
Back E
nd
Natural Uraniumfuel (UO2)
Enrichment
Conversion/Chemistry
Mining / Natural Uranium
Fro
nt E
nd
Recent strategic move /development
Presence Potential move
Recycling
Treatment
Fro
nt E
nd
N #1
AREVA is the only fully integrated playeron the nuclear power value chain…
Source: AREVA estimates
N #1
N #1
N #1
N #1
N #2
°
°
°
°
°
°
N #1°
2005-2009 … and has increased coverage of customer
needs thanks to integrated offers
NPCIL
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
2005
2009
URANIUM
FUEL
INSTALL
ED
BASE
SERVICES
BACK END
NEW B
UILDS
CONVERSION
ENRICHMENT
RENEWABLE
ENERGY SOURCES
Business in 2005 Businesss, JV & contracts in 2009
10
AREVA’s success is built on a long-lasting and successful culture of partnerships…
Consolidation in the fuel cycle
Since 2004, long-lasting partnerships to develop mines in Canada
Equity stakes in GBII new enrichment plant
Heavy component manufacturing site in the USStrengtheningof industrial
and engineering capacities JV in engineering (in negotiation)
Reactor development
1100 MWe pressurized water reactor
1250 MWe boiling water reactor
JV in fuel (Mitsubishi Nuclear Fuel)
Cooperation in the supply of fuel assemblies
… and on internationalization, USA Platform:Largest Nuclear Supplier and Employer
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4040 LocationsLocations
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•6000 Employees •
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Lynchburg, VA (2,200)
Richland, WA (600+)
Charlotte, NC (500+)
Meriden, CT (650)
•
Future home of Eagle Rock Enrichment Facility (300 )
Future home of AREVA Newport News (400-700)
Bethesda, MD (100+)
MOX Fuel Fabrication
Facility (800-1000)
•
Mountainview, CA (70)
AREVA SOLARGlobal HQ
0
20
40
60
80
100
Capital & operations
Fuel
Carbon
Gas- CCGT
CoalNuclearEPR
Typical breakdown of production costsCommissioning in 2020 – baseload operations
%
Methodology
► The production cost (also called Levelised Cost Of Electricity) includes all the expenses related to the power plant from its construction to the operation and final decommissioning.It is the minimum electricity price beyond which a project is profitable
► The production cost is a common standard in the power industry. It is a relevant indicator to compare the cost of electricity and attractiveness between different technologies with different lifetimes and cost structures
Nuclear, unlike competing technologies, has limited dependency on fuel and carbon prices
Source: AREVA analysisCarbon value 30€/tCO2
The nuclear growth prospectsare shared widely…
International agencies forecastsInternational agencies forecasts Nuclear vendor forecastsNuclear vendor forecasts
WEO Reference - 2009
IAEA Low - 2009
DOE Reference - 2009
WNA Reference - 2009
AREVA - 2009
WEO 450ppm - 2009
IAEA High - 2009
WNA High - 2009
WW net capacity by 2030
720
WW net capacity by 2030
2008 net WW capacity: 373 GWe 2008 net WW capacity: 373 GWe
680
670
659
498-524
818
459
511
509
600
659
708
807
… thirty Countries Going Ahead with Nuclear Power
Nuclear countriesDeclared interested countries
Morocco
EgyptAlgeria
Chile
Venezuela
Nigeria
Senegal
Namibia
Libya
Tunisia
ItalyTurkey
GCC
KazakhstanGeorgia
Azerbaijan
Indonesia
VietnamThailand
Poland Belarus
Ghana
Source: WNA retreated
IAEA Assessment on nuclear power prospects
« Financial crisis has had a modest impact » on nuclea r power projects because « it has not affected the longer te rm drivers of nuclear energy »
Expansion plans in China and elsewhere in Asia offs et announcement of delays for new build projects in Eu rope and North America”
It ”would result in the greatest number of new coun tries entering nuclear energy production that has ever occurred in such a shortperiod of time”
Nuclear power is on the rise in Europe,AREVA is ready to address the challenge
July 2009: End of nuclear energy ban put in place in 1987
June 2010: Swedish parliament votes the end of a three-decade ban on building new nuclear reactors
January 2008: UK government giving go-ahead for new generation of nuclear power stations to be built
Many recent favorable political actions towards nuclear energyMany recent favorable political actions towards nuclear energy
More than 30 000 employees in Europe
Manufacturing operations in Belgium, France, Germany, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom
Supply Chain: up and running with more than 600 already qualified across Europe
EPR™ reactor: designed in cooperation with reference European utilities and more than 99% compliant with the EUR
AREVA: the European referenceAREVA: the European reference
Wrap-up
AREVA is a reliable – fast growing long term partner
AREVA is willing to develop additionnal partnership in Poland