Pathwaysand the

AmericanJobs

Agenda

Hans MeederPresident

2

1.HOW AMERICA WORKS

310 M - U.S. population67 M - under age 16243 M - over age 16142 M - currently working12 M - current unemployed7.8% - unemployment rate1.2 M - gave up looking in 2/1315% - “underemployment” rate23 M - underemployed Americans32% - underemployed young adults

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U.S. Census Bureau, Household Data Annual Averages

America is a Country That Works

The Global Jobs AgendaGallup World Poll indicates that a “good job” is the #1 thing that every one in the

world wants.

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What is a “good job”?30 + hours a week of

steady-work

5

Today’s conversation• Talk about the Jobs Agenda• Explore the link of innovation,

entrepreneurship and job creation

• Look at the future of jobs and skills in America

• The Engagement Crisis• Pathways Results• A Leadership Action Agenda

2.INNOVATION --JOB CREATION

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The Innovation Eco-SystemGov

Demand

Invention

FundingInfrastructure

Entrepreneurs

Culture

• Regulations• Taxes/Incentives• Laws (e.g.

• Economy• Big companies• Other companies

• Universities• Corporate R&D• Open innovation

• Debt• Equity• Full range of options

• Physical• Services

• Labor pool• Education• Network

• Individualistic• Celebrate• Failure

© William K. Aulet, 2008, MIT Center for Entrepreneurship

The Innovation Eco-SystemGov

Demand

Invention

FundingInfrastructure

Entrepreneurs

Culture

• Regulations• Taxes/Incentives• Laws (e.g.

• Economy• Big companies• Other companies

• Universities• Corporate R&D• Open innovation

• Debt• Equity• Full range of options

• Physical• Services

• Labor pool• Education• Network

• Individualistic• Celebrate• Failure

© William K. Aulet, 2008, MIT Center for Entrepreneurship

Skilled & ReadyWorkforce

The impact of Start-up Job Creation• Start-up companies account for 3

percent of U.S. jobs, but almost 20 percent of overall job creation.

• All net new job growth in the U.S. since 1977, in fact, is due to start-ups.

• Start-up rate relatively flat at 500,000 per year in U.S..

• VC-backed firms are about 8 times more productive in creating jobs.

– Source: The National Venture Capital Association (NVCA)

•Sources: Kauffman Foundation survey on job creation, 2009. John Haltiwanger, University of Maryland.

Great Again: Revitalizing America's Entrepreneurial Leadership The Coming Jobs War

by Jim CliftonCEO, Gallup

by Henry Nothhaft and David Kline

3.BRIGHT SPOTS IN JOB CREATION. INNOVATION AND JOB CREATION

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3.BRIGHT SPOTS IN JOB CREATION. INNOVATION AND JOB CREATION

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• Re-Shoring of Manufacturing• Energy Production Renaissance

4. WHAT’S COMING FROM DC

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The ancient policy debate

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The ancient policy debate continues

The Fiscal Mess• National Debt approaching $16 trillion

- $52,000 per person• Impass over entitlement reform and

revenues -- the only real solution• Discretionary spending on the

chopping block• $42.7 B (7.9%) in defense • $28.7 B (5.3%) across-the-board

discretionary

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The confidence quandry...

Consumers are cautious..Companies are paying down debt and sitting on loads of

cash.Washington DC doesn’t instill

confidence.

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Secretary of Education Arne Duncan on CTE

“To this end, there’s an urgent need to re-imagine and remake career and technical education... CTE...can no longer simply be about earning a diploma and landing a job after high school. The goal of CTE 2.0 should be that students earn a postsecondary credential or an industry-recognized certification – and land a job that leads to a successful career.”

Rigor, Relevance and the Future of CTE, Remarks prepared for U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan, April 19, 2011

U.S. Department of Education Perkins Reauthorization Proposal

1. Strong Collaborations and Partnerships• Consortia & Match2. Meaningful Accountability and Rewards Based Upon Clear Metrics• Within-state Competitions,Common

Definitions3. Rewarding High-performing Programs• State Conditions, Competitive Resources

for Local Innovations4. Increased Support for Local Program Implementation and Innovation

NO CONGRESSIONAL ACTION YET!

5.FUELING AMERICA’S

JOB CREATION ENGINE

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Skills MismatchSome jobs still difficult to fill

1. Skilled Trades2. Engineers3. IT staff4. Sales Representatives5. Accounting and finance

staff6. Drivers7. Mechanics8. Nurses9. Machinist/Machine

Operators10. Teachers

Source; Manpower, Inc., 2012 Talent Shortage Survey Results

The Skills Mismatch“During the recession, domestic manufacturers appear to have accelerated the long-term move toward greater automation, laying off more of their lowest-skilled workers and replacing them with cheaper labor abroad. Now they are looking to hire people who can operate sophisticated computerized machinery, follow complex blueprints and demonstrate higher math proficiency than was previous required of the typical assembly line worker.”

--- New York Times, July 1, 2010

By 2018, 63 percent of job openings will require workers with at least some college education

0

4

9

13

17

High School or less Some college/Associate's degree Bachelor's degree or better

1614

17

In m

illio

ns

Source: “Help Wanted” Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements Through 2018,Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce

New and replacement demand(46.8 million by 2018)

36%30%

33%

36% 30% 33%

PhD

Professional degree

Master's degree

Bachelor's degree

Associate's degree

Some College

High school graduate

High school dropout $1,198,447

$1,767,025

$2,939,548

$2,254,755

$3,380,050

$3,837,289

$4,650,588

$4,029,948

In general, learning impacts earning…

Source: “Help Wanted” Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements Through 2018,Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce

But, occupat ion matters. . .

43% of young workers with Licenses and Certificates earn more then those with an

Associate’s degree.

27% of young workers with Licenses and Certificates earn more than those with a

Bachelor’s degree.

31% of young workers with Associate’s degrees earn more than those with a

Bachelor’s degree.

The Real ChoiceCollege vs. Career is no longer the

true choice

Today’s choice is:Do youths go to college with a

Generic “College for All” mindset?or

Do they choose Postsecondary with a Plan and a Purpose?

Source: Levy F. and R.J. Murnane (2004) The New Division of Labor: How Computers are Creating the Next Labor Market. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press

U.S. Jobs becoming more complex

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Robotics/Automation/Human Extension

Driverless Taxis??

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31

Robotics/Automation/Human Extension

Robotics/Automation/Human Extension

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Robotics/Automation/Human Extension

6.THE ENGAGEMENT CRISIS

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Today’s Education Challenge• Low student engagement and

low-effort by students, leading to:

• Low on-time graduation rates (70% national average),

• Lack of college/postsecondary persistence (only 40% of 27-year olds have a 2-year or 4-year degree),

• Increasing academic standards, but little impact on actual student achievement.

Many Youths Without Purpose

25%

25%31%

20%

The Purposeful:Found something meaningful, sustained interest, clear sense of future purpose

The Dabblers:Tried potentially purposeful pursuits, yet to commit

The Disengaged:Neither a purpose in life nor inclination to find one.

The Dreamers:Imagining great things, but no practical pursuits

Source: The Path to Purpose, William Damon

GALLUP Student Poll-Engagement

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GALLUP Student PollNational Cohort Fall 2012 USA Overall Data

The Gallup Student Poll is a brief measure of hope, engagement, and wellbeing. The poll taps into the hearts and minds of American students to determine what drives wellbeing and achievement. Distribution and discussion of theGallup Student Poll data will help create a more hopeful story about American youth and education, and will engage parents, teachers, and community leaders in social entrepreneurship.

Hope | GrandMean: 4.40 (out of 5) n=458638

YOUR NATION**Hopeful - 54%Stuck - 32%Discouraged - 14%

HOPE BY GRADE(GrandMean)

5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th4.41 4.43 4.43 4.40 4.37 4.37 4.37 4.40

72% of hopeful students are engaged.

Hope by Grade values not shown when n < 10

Engagement | GrandMean: 4.07 (out of 5) n=459143

YOUR NATION**Engaged - 57%Not Engaged - 27%Actively Disengaged - 16%

ENGAGEMENT BY GRADE(GrandMean)

5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th4.40 4.30 4.14 4.00 3.95 3.84 3.81 3.82 84% of students who strongly agree their school is

committed to building strengths are engaged.

Your school must have an n-size of at least 30 to receive Engagement Index data. Engagement by Grade values not shown when n < 10

Wellbeing | GrandMean: 8.56 (out of 10) n=479439*

YOUR NATION**Thriving - 67%Struggling - 32%Suffering - 1%

WELLBEING BY GRADE(GrandMean)

5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th8.49 8.65 8.64 8.61 8.58 8.50 8.47 8.53

65% of thriving students are engaged.

Wellbeing by Grade values not shown when n < 10

- No data available

* The wellbeing n size represents the total respondent population. Hope, engagement and wellbeing n sizes differ if students chose not to answer one or more hope or engagement items.

Copyright © 2012 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved | Terms of Use | Privacy Statement

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GALLUP Student Poll USA Overall Data |

Glossary of Terms

Hope | the ideas and energy we have for the future

Hopeful | students possess numerous ideas and abundant energy for the future

Stuck | students generate little momentum toward the future

Discouraged | students lack ideas and energy for the future

Engagement | involvement in and enthusiasm for school

Engaged | students are highly involved with and enthusiastic about school

Not Engaged | students are present but not involved with or enthusiastic about school

Actively Disengaged | students undermine the educational process for self and others

Wellbeing | how we think about and experience our lives

Thriving | students think about present and future life in positive terms; they tend to be in good health and have strong social support.

Struggling | students lack positive thoughts and experiences; they tend to worry about meeting the daily demands of life.

Suffering | students think about current and future life in negative terms; they tend to have less access to basic needs (e.g., good food and healthcare)

The wellbeing pie chart includes responses to questions about students' present and future. For example, it includes responses to the questions, "On which step of the ladder would you sayyou personally feel you stand at this time?" (Present) and "On which step do you think you will stand about five years from now?" (Future).

GrandMean calculations for wellbeing do not include responses to the question about students' present. In other words, they do not include responses to the question, "On which step of theladder would you say you personally feel you stand at this time?"

Copyright © 2012 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved | Terms of Use | privacy statement

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7.THE PATHWAYS SOLUTION

Fuel for America’s Job Engine

ANDA Solution to the

Student Engagement Challenge

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A new approach to American education—

• Multiple Pathways• Expanded role for employers

• A new social compact with young people

In many European countries over half of upper secondary students are in vocational educational and training

Source: OECD (2008), Education at a Glance 2008, OECD indicators, Table C1.1, OECD, Paris.

We need a new approach that…• Engages students personal motivation for

hard work and effort…• Helps increase student achievement and

graduation rates…• Leads to higher success rates in college…• Builds a skilled workforce to drive personal

economic success and regional workforce competitiveness…

• Prepares students for postsecondary learning aligned to career opportunities, but not the misplaced priority of “4-year college for all…”

Graduation Rates

60.0000

67.5000

75.0000

82.5000

90.0000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

70.0 72.6 73.1

68.8

82.9

College-Career Pathway Results:Metro Nashville Public Schools, TN

Total Academy Enrollment 15,623

California Partnership Academies, 12th-grade graduation rates,

2009-10 and 2004-05

Benefits and Costs of California Partnership Academies, David Stern and Charles Dayton, Career Academy Support Network, UC Berkeley

7.A CALL TO ACTION

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Call to Action1. Continue to improve the quality of CTE

programs in Pennsylvania using TAP strategies.- Analysis of student performance on

technical skill assessments (NOCTI)- Improved technical skill instruction- Integration of Literacy instructional

strategies- Enhancing mathematics in CTE content- Strengthening collaboration with

sending districts, employers, and postsecondary partners

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Call to Action2. Conduct a strategic review of all CTE

programs and align to current and emerging workforce needs.- Identify Economic drivers in your region.- Convene sector-based committees for

analysis and input- Convene a Strategic Review committee

with representatives of business-industry, postsecondary, economic development, and political leadership.

- Conduct “Alignment Analysis” to determine which programs are well aligned, where there are gaps, and which programs are extraneous.

- Take action on findings46

Call to Action3. Create an Pathways Innovation

Strategy to developing a Pathway System- Begin conversations about what a

Pathways System would look like.- Identify Return on Investment for all

Stakeholders (including general High School administrators and academic teachers).

- Look for willing partners, inside education, and among postsecondary, workforce, economic development, and the employer community.

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If we keep doing what we’re doing, we’re going to keep getting what we’re getting.”

--Steven Covey

a warning

WHAT IS A PATHWAYS SYSTEM?

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3 Aspects of a Pathways System

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2.Rich, meaning-filled

Curriculum &Instruction

I.Schools

Organizedto support Pathways College and

Career-Ready Learners

3.Engaged

Employers, Postsecondary,

Parents, Community-

Assets

Suggested Pathways System Criteria

Goal: A meaningful pathway option for every student• Pathways include, but are not limited to,

approved CTE programs• Pathways all emphasize application,

theory and career exploration• Pathways adopt cross-curricular

strategies and embed the Common Core english and math standards throughout

• Pathways can be customized to the student’s interest

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• Pathways are aligned to the local and regional economy, and have a robust employer-involvement infrastructure

• Pathways can include on-line learning for specialty courses

• Pathways include real-world learning -- internships, mentors, community-based projects

• The pathway system may have special start-up costs, but must be cost-neutral with the current high school system,

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Suggested Pathways System Criteria

Sample Menu of Pathways(a practical blend of pathways/clusters)

• Advanced Manufacturing/mechatronics

• Business & Govt Management, Marketing and Finance

• Communications/information technology

• Culinary & Food Management• Biomedical/pre-medicine• Digital Media• Fine & Visual Arts• Engineering • Health Careers• Hospitality and Tourism

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• Liberal Arts/International Studies

• Machining and Welding• Live & Performing Arts• Scientific Research• Transportation

Technologies• Residential/Commercial

Design and Construction • Sports marketing/mgmt.• Teaching and child

development

Invitation to form Pathways Innovation Network

• Develop a new Pathways delivery model for Pennsylvania

• Need five CTE-District Partners to step forward

• Join forces to create the Pennsylvania Pathways Innovation Network

• 2-year Collaborative Visioning and Design Phase for Pathways

• Seek innovation funding to helping with planning and implementation of the Pathways model

• 3-5 year Implementation

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The Call for Local Leaders• The most important

solutions are local• Have the whole city (or

community) wage a war for jobs

• Align efforts citywide• Don’t allow local

constituencies to look to Washington

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Jim Clifton, President, Gallup

The (your community) Jobs AgendaEvery local leader --

every organization -- has a role to play in creating

and carrying out their local Jobs Agenda.

This is today’s leadership challenge.

The federal Calvary is not on the way.

You can find the Answer. Together

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Thank you!hans@nc3t.org

Hans Meeder, President, NC3TMeeder Consulting, LLC

443-878-3503hans@nc3t.org

Brett Pawlowski, Director of Employer Engagement, NC3T

DeHavilland Associates704-717-2864brett@nc3t.org

Pathwaysand the

AmericanJobs

Agenda

Hans MeederPresident