An Overview of the Global Barometer Survey

Marta Lagos

Corporación Latinobarómetro

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

Pre

sent

ed a

tE

astA

sia

Bar

omet

erC

onfe

renc

e

From

the

Vie

ws

of th

e G

loba

l Bar

omet

er S

urve

ysTa

ipei

8-9,

Dec

embe

r 200

3

Mar

ta L

agos

1

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

GLO

BA

L PU

BLI

C O

PIN

ION

IN 6

3 C

OU

NTR

IES

ww

w.g

loba

lbar

omet

er.o

rg

Afr

obar

omet

er15

cou

ntrie

s

1

999

Asi

an B

arom

eter

16

cou

ntrie

s20

01La

tinob

aróm

etro

17

cou

ntrie

s

1

995

New

Eur

ope

Bar

omet

er16

cou

ntrie

s19

92

PUB

LIC

OPI

NIO

N O

N N

ATI

ON

S, S

TATE

S, D

EMO

CR

AC

Y,

THE

ECO

NO

MY,

PU

BLI

C P

OLI

CIE

S, IN

STIT

UTI

ON

S,

INTE

RN

ATI

ON

AL

REL

ATI

ON

S, M

EDIA

AN

D S

OC

IETI

ES.

2

0.

Def

initi

on: G

loba

l Bar

omet

er S

urve

ys i

s a

net

wor

k of

BA

RO

ME

TER

S f

ound

ed w

ith g

oal

of

coor

dina

ting

and

havi

ng a

sin

gle

com

mon

out

put.

1.M

embe

rshi

p: G

loba

l BA

RO

ME

TER

is fo

unde

d by

four

BA

RO

ME

TER

S in

four

regi

ons

of th

e w

orld

: A

frica

, Asi

a, L

atin

Am

eric

a an

d N

ew E

urop

e. T

he F

ound

ers

are:

•Y

un-H

an C

hu•

Ric

hard

Ros

e•

Mic

hael

Bra

tton

•R

ober

t Mat

tes

•M

arta

Lag

os

2.Th

e E

xecu

tive

Boa

rd: O

ne re

pres

enta

tive

per B

arom

eter

coo

rdin

ated

by

a ch

airm

an.

3.Th

ree

area

s of

dev

elop

men

t: / C

omm

ittee

s

•D

ata

Col

lect

ion

and

Arc

hivi

ng:

•S

tand

ard

met

hodo

logy

•Fu

ndin

g

4.In

tern

atio

nal A

dvis

ory

Boa

rd:

Lead

ing

Aca

dem

ics

/ Pol

lste

rs /

Sur

vey

Res

earc

hers

.

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

SU

RVE

YS

3

AFR

O B

AR

OM

ETER

MSU

Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ityM

icha

el B

ratto

nm

brat

ton@

msu

.edu

CD

D-G

hana

The

Gha

na C

entr

e fo

r DD

emoc

ratic

Dev

elop

men

tG

yim

ah-B

oadi

cdd@

ghan

a.co

m

IDA

SATh

e In

stitu

te fo

r Dem

ocra

cyin

Sou

th A

frric

aR

ober

t Mat

tes

bob@

idas

act.o

rg.z

aW

AVE

1: 1

2 co

untr

ies.

July

1999

-Sep

tem

ber2

001

Bots

wan

aN

ov./D

ec. 1

999

Nig

eria

Jan.

/Feb

. 20

00

Gha

naJu

ly 1

999

Sout

h Af

rica

July

/Aug

ust

2000

Le

soth

oAp

ril/J

une

200

0Ta

nzan

ia

M

ar./S

ep.

2001

Mal

iJa

nuar

y 2

001

Uga

nda

June

/Jul

y 2

000

Mal

awi

Nov

./Dec

. 199

9Za

mbi

a

O

ct./N

ov.

1999

Nam

ibia

Sep.

/Oct

. 199

9Zi

mba

bwe

Sep.

/Oct

. 1

999

WA

VE 2

: 1

5 co

untr

ies

June

2002

-Sep

tem

ber2

003

1. C

ape

Verd

e

June

200

28.

-Mal

awi

Oct

ober

200

22.

Moz

ambi

que

July

200

29.

-Les

otho

Nov

embe

r 200

23.

Uga

nda

Augu

st 2

002

10.-T

anza

nia

Ju

ne 2

003

4. S

outh

Afri

ca

Sept

embe

r 200

211

.-Bot

swan

aJu

ly 2

003

5. G

hana

Sept

embe

r 200

212

.-Zam

bia

July

200

36.

Mal

iN

ovem

ber 2

002

13.-N

amib

ia

Au

gust

200

37.

Sen

egal

Dec

embe

r 200

214

.-Ken

ya

Au

gust

200

38.

Nig

eria

Se

ptem

ber 2

003

•SA

MPL

E:R

ando

m a

dults

ove

r 18

year

s of

age

, mul

tista

ge a

rea

clus

ter s

ampl

e. E

qual

pro

porti

ons

of m

en a

nd w

omen

.•S

AM

PLE

SIZE

: 120

0 pe

r cou

ntry

, exc

ept 2

400

in N

iger

ia, S

outh

Afri

ca, K

enya

and

Uga

nda.

•SA

MPL

E ER

RO

R: 2

.5•L

AN

GU

AG

ES:

From

2 in

Cap

e V

erde

and

Tan

zani

a to

7 in

Nig

eria

and

9 in

Uga

nda.

•REP

RES

ENTA

TIO

N:

Bet

wee

n 85

% to

100

% b

ased

on

the

num

ber o

f lan

guag

es c

over

ed•A

PPLI

CA

TIO

N M

OD

E: T

rain

ed in

terv

iew

ers

cond

uct t

he in

terv

iew

s or

ally

in a

face

-to-fa

ce s

ettin

g in

the

lang

uage

of t

he

resp

onde

nt's

cho

ice.

4

ASI

A B

AR

OM

ETER

East

Asi

a B

arom

eter

Pro

ject

Offi

ceSo

uth

Asi

a B

arom

eter

Dep

artm

ent o

f Pol

itica

l Sci

ence

Cen

ter f

or th

e St

udy

of D

evel

opin

g So

ciet

ies

Nat

iona

l Tai

wan

Uni

vers

ityN

ew D

elhi

–In

dia

Prof

. Yun

-han

Chu

-Pro

f. Fu

HU

Prof

Yoge

ndra

Yada

vyu

nhan

@nt

u.ed

u.tw

-huf

u@nt

u.ed

u.tw

lokn

iti@

del3

.vsn

l.net

.inw

ww

.eas

tasi

abar

omet

er.o

rg

WA

VE 2

: 11

Cou

ntrie

s Ea

st A

sia

-5 C

ount

ries

Sout

h A

sia

= To

tal 1

6 co

untr

ies

2004

-20

05

1.

Taiw

an

2004

9.

Hon

g Ko

ng

2004

2.Th

aila

nd20

0410

. Sou

th K

orea

20

043.

Mai

nlan

d C

hina

20

0411

. Phi

lippi

nes

2005

4.M

ongo

lia20

0512

. Jap

an

2005

5.In

done

sia

2005

13. V

ietn

am20

056.

Cam

bodi

a 20

0514

. Ban

glad

esh

2004

7.Pa

kist

an20

0415

. Ind

ia20

048.

Nep

al20

0416

. Sri

Lank

a20

04

•SA

MPL

E: A

dult

popu

latio

n, p

roba

bilit

y sa

mpl

epr

opor

tiona

l to

popu

latio

n si

ze.

•SA

MPL

E SI

ZE: 1

,200

~1,5

00, w

ith 3

,000

in C

hina

, and

800

in H

ong

Kong

.•

SAM

PLE

ERR

OR

: 2.5

% o

r les

s•

LAN

GU

AG

ES: U

p to

7 la

ngua

ges

•R

EPR

ESEN

TATI

ON

: Mor

e th

an 4

8% o

f the

wor

ld p

opul

atio

n.•

APP

LIC

ATI

ON

MO

DE:

Fac

e-to

-face

in la

ngua

ge o

f res

pond

ent's

cho

ice.

5

Ecua

dor

El S

alva

dor

Gua

tem

ala

Hon

dura

sM

éxic

oN

icar

agua

Pana

má

Para

guay

Per

úU

rugu

ayVe

nezu

ela

Arge

ntin

aB

oliv

iaB

rasi

lC

olom

bia

Cos

ta R

ica

Chi

le

SAM

PLE:

Adul

ts o

ver 1

8 ye

ars

of a

ge, m

ultis

tage

rand

om a

nd q

uota

sam

ple

SAM

PLE

SIZE

: 120

0 pe

r cou

ntry

, exc

ept 6

00 in

Asu

nció

n Pa

ragu

ay,

SAM

PLE

ERR

OR

: 3LA

NG

UA

GES

: M

ainl

y Sp

anis

h. M

aya

and

loca

l lan

guag

es a

lso

used

in m

inor

ities

.R

EPR

ESEN

TATI

ON

: Be

twee

n 85

% to

100

%

APP

LIC

ATI

ON

MO

DE:

Fac

e-to

-face

Cor

pora

ción

Lat

inob

aróm

etro

Dar

ioU

rzúa

2080

, San

tiago

Chi

leM

arta

Lag

osm

lago

s@la

tinob

arom

etro

.org

ww

w.la

tinob

arom

etro

.org

LATI

NO

BA

RÓ

MET

RO

Para

guay

Per

úU

rugu

ayVe

nezu

ela

Arge

ntin

aB

rasi

lC

hile

Méx

ico

Wav

e1

1995

:

Wav

e2

sin

ce19

96:

6

NEW

EU

RO

PE B

AR

OM

ETER

Cen

tre fo

r the

Stu

dy o

f Pub

lic P

olic

y,U

nive

rsity

of S

trath

clyd

e,P

rofe

ssor

Ric

hard

Ros

e, F

BA

.pr

of_r

_ros

e@ya

hoo.

ac.u

k-w

ww

.csp

p.st

rath

.ac.

uk.

WA

VES:

sin

ce 1

992

seve

n w

aves

com

plet

ed i

n 16

New

Eur

ope

coun

trie

sC

entra

l and

Eas

tern

Eur

ope,

Bal

kans

, and

Com

mon

wea

lth o

f Ind

epen

dent

Sta

tes

(CIS

):

Bel

arus

: 5

sinc

e 19

92B

ulga

ria: 7

sinc

e 19

91C

roat

ia: 5

si

nce

1992

Cze

ch R

epub

lic: 7

sinc

e 19

91E

ston

ia: 5

si

nce

1993

Hun

gary

: 7si

nce

1991

Lith

uani

a: 5

si

nce

1993

Slo

vaki

a: 7

sinc

e 19

91U

krai

ne: 5

si

nce

1992

P

olan

d: 7

sinc

e 19

91La

tvia

: 6

sinc

e 19

93R

ussi

a: 1

1 si

nce

1992

R

oman

ia: 6

si

nce

1992

Ser

bia

& M

onte

negr

o: 3

sinc

e 19

98S

love

nia:

6

sinc

e 19

92M

oldo

va: 1

in

200

0

•SA

MPL

E: A

dults

ove

r 18

year

s of

age

, ,m

ulti-

stag

e, ra

ndom

sam

ples

. •

SAM

PLE

SIZE

: 100

0 e

xcep

t 20

00 fo

r Rus

sia.

•SA

MPL

E ER

RO

R: 2

,.5 %

•LA

NG

UA

GES

: Que

stio

nnai

res

in th

e st

ate

lang

uage

with

a m

ajor

exc

eptio

n fo

r the

Bal

tic s

tate

s,•

whe

re R

ussi

an a

s w

ell a

s a

Bal

tic la

ngua

ge a

re a

pplie

d.•

REP

RES

ENTA

TIO

N: 1

00%

•A

PPLI

CA

TIO

N M

OD

E: F

ace

to fa

ce in

the

lang

uage

ofth

ere

spon

dent

´sch

oice

.7

PRO

JEC

TS1.

IDEA

FLA

GSH

IP R

EPO

RT:

•Th

e fir

st fl

agsh

ip re

port

will

revi

ew th

e ex

istin

g da

ta to

pro

duce

a c

hapt

er o

n se

lect

ed d

ata.

The

firs

t rep

ort/c

hapt

er w

ill be

pro

duce

d fo

r 200

5.

•E

dito

r/ re

spon

sibl

e of

pro

duct

ion:

The

cha

pter

will

be e

dite

d an

d co

ordi

nate

d by

R

icha

rd R

ose

at S

trath

clyd

e U

nive

rsity

, Sco

tland

.

•A

naly

sis

of th

e da

ta:

The

flags

hip

chap

ter i

s a

good

opp

ortu

nity

to lo

ok a

the

data

fo

r the

firs

t tim

e w

ith a

intra

-reg

iona

l and

inte

rreg

iona

l per

spec

tive.

2. U

ND

P P

RO

JEC

T : P

ropo

sal t

o be

sub

mitt

ed to

UN

DP

Hea

dqua

rters

.

3. P

roje

ct fo

r Car

ibbe

an B

arom

eter

: 14

Cou

ntrie

s

San

ta L

ucia

Jam

aica

Hai

tiG

uyan

aG

rena

da

Dom

inic

aTr

inid

ad &

Tob

ago

Beliz

eS

urin

ame

Bar

bado

sS

t Kitt

s &

Nev

isB

aham

asS

an V

icen

te &

Gre

nadi

nes

Ant

igua

y B

arbu

da

8

MEM

BER

STA

TES:

14

Cou

ntrie

s

NEW

MEM

BER

STA

TES:

10

Cou

ntrie

s

Latv

iaC

ypru

s

Slov

akia

Slov

enia

Pola

ndM

alta

Hun

gary

Lith

uani

a

Swed

enFr

ance

Est

onia

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Finl

and

Italy

Por

tuga

lSp

ain

Aus

tria

Gre

ece

The

Net

herla

nds

Ger

man

yLu

xem

bour

gD

enm

ark

Irela

ndBe

lgiu

m

EUR

OB

AR

OM

ETER

–24

CO

UN

TRIE

SW

e ca

n lin

k w

ith q

uest

ions

that

hav

e tim

e se

ries

from

th

e 70

s on

war

ds in

the

Euro

pean

mem

ber s

tate

s an

d m

ore

rece

ntly

with

app

lican

t / n

ew m

embe

r sta

te c

ount

ries.

9

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

SU

RVE

YSVA

RIA

BLE

S IN

ALL

REG

ION

S

10

VI.-

EC

ON

OM

IC E

VA

LUA

TIO

NS

•Cur

rent

cou

ntry

eco

nom

ic e

valu

atio

n•P

ast c

ount

ry e

cono

mic

eva

luat

ion

•Fut

ure

coun

try e

cono

mic

eva

luat

ion

•Cur

rent

per

sona

l eco

nom

ic e

valu

atio

n

VII.

-ME

DIA

EX

PO

SU

RE

VIII

.-R

ELI

GIO

N•R

elig

ion

•Fre

quen

cy o

f rel

igio

us s

ervi

ces

IX.-

SO

CIO

DE

MO

GR

AP

HIC

S•S

ex•A

ge

•Edu

catio

n•O

ccup

atio

n•H

ouse

hold

I.-D

EM

OC

RA

CY

•Mea

ning

of D

emoc

racy

•Sat

isfa

ctio

n w

ith d

emoc

racy

•Sup

port

to d

emoc

racy

II.-I

NST

ITU

TIO

NS

•Tru

st in

inst

itutio

ns

III.-

PO

LITI

CS

•Int

eres

t in

Pol

itics

IV .-

PA

RTI

CIP

ATI

ON

•Par

ticip

atio

n in

vol

unta

ry o

rgan

izat

ions

•Dis

cuss

/tal

k po

litic

s•V

ote

In T

he L

ast E

lect

ions

•Par

ties

did

you

vote

for

V.-I

NTE

RPE

RSO

NAL

TR

UST

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

VA

RIA

BLE

S IN

ALL

REG

ION

S

11

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

SU

RVE

YS

WEB

SITE

WIT

H V

AR

IAB

LES

IN A

LL /

SOM

E R

EGIO

NS

12

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

HO

MEP

AG

E

13

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

W

EBSI

TE C

ON

TEN

TS

14

DA

TA

15

40

586060

65

71

7576

8081

8485

40

49

54

57

64

68

84

020

4060

8010

0

Leso

tho

Nam

ibia

Mal

i

Sout

h Af

rica

Mal

awi

Zim

babw

e

Zam

bia

Gha

na

Uga

nda

Nig

eria

Tanz

ania

Bots

wana

Taiw

an

Kore

a

Chi

na

Mon

golia

Phili

ppin

es

Japa

n

Thai

land

29

69

7274

3335

40

454646

50505151525355

6768

7778

020

4060

8010

0

Rus

sia

Pol

and

Cze

ch R

Hun

gary

Gua

tem

ala

Bra

zil

Par

agua

y

El S

alva

dor

Col

ombi

a

Ecua

dor

Chi

le

Bol

ivia

Nic

arag

ua

Pan

amá

Per

ú

Méx

ico

Hon

dura

s

Vene

zuel

a

Arg

entin

a

Cos

ta R

ica

Urug

uay

SUPP

OR

T O

F D

EMO

CR

AC

Y

AFR

OB

AR

OM

ETER

EAST

ASI

A B

AR

OM

ETER

NEW

EU

RO

PE B

AR

OM

ETER

LATI

NO

BA

RÓ

MET

RO

GLO

BA

L B

AR

OM

ETER

: New

Eur

ope

Bar

omet

er(2

001)

; Afro

baro

met

er(1

999-

2001

); E

astA

sia

Bar

omet

er(2

001-

2003

); La

tinob

aróm

etro

(200

3)

56

60

64

686871747576777878

83

889192

Port

ugal

Bel

gium

Ger

man

y

Gre

at B

ritai

n

Fran

ce

Irela

nd

Italy

Luxe

mbu

rg

Nor

ther

n Ire

land

Aus

tria

Finl

and

Spa

in

The

Net

herla

nds

Gre

ece

Sw

eden

Den

mar

kEU

RO

BA

RO

MET

ER

Sour

ce: E

urob

arom

eter

1997

16

16171920

2425

29

35

4040

43

59

16

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