An Introduction...CV AV CV AV EV Shared 12 Trends and Outcomes • Safety • Vehicle Miles Traveled...
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Transcript of An Introduction...CV AV CV AV EV Shared 12 Trends and Outcomes • Safety • Vehicle Miles Traveled...
An Introduction
Great Lakes Megaregion
City of Madison
Shared
Shared Mobility
EV
Electric Vehicles
Connected Vehicles
CV
AV
Autonomous Vehicles
CV AV
CV
AV
EV
Shared
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Trends and Outcomes• Safety• Vehicle Miles
Traveled (VMT)• Sprawl• Parking• Energy• Air Quality• Public Health• Equity• Accessibility
• Electric
• Shared
• Connected
• AutomatedMob
ility
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Traffic Fatalities RisingNationally:• Increased for 2nd straight year• Largest two-year increase
in 50 years• Approaching 40,000 deaths
Sources: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, National Safety Council, and Wisconsin DOT
Wisconsin:
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2014 2015 2016
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Pedestrian deaths now up to 15% of all traffic deaths
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Motivations and Opportunities• Safety
• ~90% of crashes attributable to human error• Distracted driving continues to worsen• Need to carefully navigate the era
of partial automation
• Equity• Accessibility• First mile / last mile
• Many other motivations:• Economic development, startup and tech jobs• Underutilized vehicles• Efficient use of infrastructure and land• Health care, agriculture, and other sectors
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Projected Auto Insurance Sector
KPMG Report
June 2017
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TESLA GOOGLE
NAVYA
FORD UBER
GM
CASE IH
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Very Active Industry DevelopmentAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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How AVs OperateAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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How They See…AUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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Breadth, Complexity, Edge CasesAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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SAE Levels of Automation
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Levels Depend on Circumstances
Critical implications for:
• Human operator expectations
• Where certain vehicles can safely operate
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Level
5
4
3
2
1
0
Full
High
Conditional
Partial
Assistance
None
Operational Domain
Tesla Auto-pilot
New Vehicles
Existing Vehicles
…years or decades?
AVMicrotransit
Situational Awareness Expected into Level 3Driver Actively Monitors Environment to Level 2
Waymo,Apple
TeslaFlorida
May 2016
June 17, 2017Destroyer Fitzgerald and ACX Crystal
Tesla, March 2017
Uber, March 2017
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2015• driver assistance common• some partial automation available to consumers
2020 • limited / conditional AVs widely available to consumers
2025 • autonomous shared mobility fleets
2030 • high automation required in all new vehicles
2035 • human operation is the exception in many places
2040• transition to driverless largely complete• fleet turnover continues…
(An) AV Timeline
• Any estimateis debatable
• We are only at the beginning of a long transition period
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• Released September 20, 2016• Guidelines, not regulations• Proposes a 15-point safety
assessment• Model State Policy
Federal AV Policy
1. Data Recording and Sharing
2. Privacy
3. System Safety
4. Vehicle Cybersecurity
5. Human Machine Interface
6. Crashworthiness
7. Consumer Education and Training
8. Registration and Certification
9. Post-Crash Behavior
10.Federal, State and Local Laws
11.Ethical Considerations
12.Operational Design Domain
13.Object and Event Detection and Response
14.Fall Back (Minimal Risk Condition)
15.Validation Methods
NHTSA’s 15-Points
NHTSA’s 15-Points
1. Data Recording and Sharing
2. Privacy
3. System Safety
4. Vehicle Cybersecurity
5. Human Machine Interface
6. Crashworthiness
7. Consumer Education and Training
8. Registration and Certification
9. Post-Crash Behavior
10.Federal, State and Local Laws
11.Ethical Considerations
12.Operational Design Domain
13.Object and Event Detection and Response
14.Fall Back (Minimal Risk Condition)
15.Validation Methods
moralmachine.mit.edu
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• December 2016• Peer network• No funding
USDOTSolicitation
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Ten Designated AV Proving GroundsAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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Wisconsin FacilitiesAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
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Wisconsin Facilities Mandli / Roadview
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LiDAR and Basemapping
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Wisconsin Facilities MGA Research, Burlington
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400 acres, private and secure, numerous testing capabilities
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Wisconsin FacilitiesRoad America, Elkhart Lake
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• Road track: 4.05-mile length, 30-foot width• 1-mile combo paved-dirt track• 12+ miles off-road• 10+ miles access roads• Major race events and media presence
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Wisconsin Facilities
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UW-MadisonCampus
andCity of
Madison
Campus RoadsCity Roads
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Focus Areas
Policy Evolution
Field Evaluation
PhysicalSimulation
Modeling &Analysis
LegalEnviron.
Regulatory &Enforcement
Privacy &Security
Liability &Insurance
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Committee on Automated and Connected VehiclesAUTOMATED VEHICLES IN WISCONSIN
• May 2017 EO #245• Sept 2017 Kickoff• June 2018 Report Due• Members:
• Government: WisDOT, WSP, WEDC, Assembly, Senate, Iowa Co Sheriff, Insurance Commissioner
• Academic/Nonprofit: UW-Madison, Tech Council
• Industry: MGA, Roadview, Waymo, Uber, Tesla, AAM, Global Automakers, Dealers Assn, Harley, Schneider, HNTB
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Governance
AVPG Program Areas
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Infrastructure
Technology
Technology: test environments, vehicles, sensors, hardware, software
Infrastructure: connected data, basemapping, exchange protocols, interactions
Governance: policy, regulations, standards, acceptance, certification
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Joint Program Management Board
AVPG Management Structure
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Executive Committee
Programon AV
Technology
Programon AV
Infrastructure
Programon AV
Governance
Secretariat
GovernmentAdvisory
Board
JointProgramSteering
Committee
