American Encore - Statewide Dual-Frame Survey Among 600 Arizona LVs - ToPLINE DATA[4]

8/10/2019 American Encore - Statewide Dual-Frame Survey Among 600 Arizona LVs - ToPLINE DATA[4]

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the polling company, inc./WomanTrendon behalf of American Encore

Survey of 601 LVs in Arizona - TOPLINE DATAOctober 2014

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the polling company, inc./WomanTrendon behalf of

American Encore

Statewide Dual-Frame Survey of 601 LVs in Arizona85% Landline / 15% Cell

TOPLINE DATA

Field Dates:October 20-22, 2014Margin of Error:4%

**PLEASE NOTE: Response categories may not equal 100% due to rounding**

SCREENING INTRODUCTION

1. Are you currently registered to vote here in Arizona as a (ROTATED) Republican,Democrat, Independent/Unaffiliated or are you not registered to vote at all here in

Arizona?

41% YES, REPUBLICAN (CONTINUED)37% YES, DEMOCRAT (CONTINUED)22% YES, INDEPENDENT/UNAFFILIATED (CONTINUED)

2. This year, Arizona has elections for Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General,Congress and other offices. Which of the following best describes your plans at thistime

62% TOTAL DEFINITELY/PROBABLY WILL VOTE IN THE ELECTION(NET)

57% I WILL DEFINITELY VOTE IN THE ELECTION5% I WILL PROBABLY VOTE IN THE ELECTION

35% I ALREADY VOTED THROUGH ABSENTEE OR EARLY VOTING

3% I AM NOT SURE YET OR UNDECIDED WHETHER TO VOTE

3. Into which of the following categories does your age fall?

5% 18-2410% 25-3412% 35-44

20% 45-5421% 55-6430% 65 AND ABOVE

2% REFUSED (VOL.)


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4. Would you describe your racial or ethnic background as (READ LIST)

75% WHITE/CAUCASIAN12% HISPANIC/LATINO

5% BLACK/AFRICAN-AMERICAN1% ASIAN

1% NATIVE AMERICAN* MIDDLE EASTERN

2% OTHER, SPECIFIED (VOLUNTEERED)* DONT KNOW (VOLUNTEERED)2% REFUSED (VOLUNTEERED)

5. Region1(RECORDED BY COUNTY FROM SAMPLE)

57% GREATER PHOENIX24% GREATER TUCSON14% NORTH

5% SOUTH

6. Gender (RECORDED BY OBSERVATION)

47% MALE53% FEMALE

1Greater Phoenix:Maricopa

Greater Tucson:Pima, Pinal, Santa CruzNorth:Apache, Coconino, Gila, Mohave, Navajo, YavapaiSouth:Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, La Paz, Yuma


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CANDIDATE IMAGEI am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me ifyou have heard of that person and then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion ofthat person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, justtell me and well move on. (RANDOMIZED ORDER OF NAMES)

(ASKED FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE): And, do you have a STRONGLY(favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable)opinion of that person?)

7. [TREND]Doug Ducey (DEW-see)

Oct. Oct.20-22 6-8

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39% 40% TOTAL FAVORABLE (NET)20% 22% STRONGLY FAVORABLE19% 18% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE

31% 38% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE (NET)

10% 14% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE21% 26% STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE

20% 14% HEARD OF, NO OPINION

8% 5% NEVER HEARD OF

2% 1% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)* 1% REFUSED (VOL.)

8. [TREND]Fred DuVal (Du - VAL)

Oct. Oct.

20-22 6-8

33% 36% TOTAL FAVORABLE (NET)18% 19% STRONGLY FAVORABLE14% 18% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE

28% 30% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE (NET)8% 14% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE

20% 16% STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE

24% 22% HEARD OF, NO OPINION

13% 10% NEVER HEARD OF

2% 2% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)* * REFUSED (VOL.)

2Statewide dual-frame survey among 600 AZ LVs on behalf of American Encore, Oct. 6-8.


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9. Barack Obama

42% TOTAL FAVORABLE (NET)25% STRONGLY FAVORABLE16% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE

52% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE (NET)6% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE

45% STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE

5% HEARD OF, NO OPINION

* NEVER HEARD OF

1% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)* REFUSED (VOL.)

(END ROTATED)


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BALLOT TESTS

10. [TREND]If the election for Arizona Governor were tomorrow, would you vote for(ROTATED) Republican Doug Ducey, Democrat Fred DuVal, or Libertarian Barry J.Hess?

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAID DUCEY/DUVAL/HESS: AND WOULD THAT BE DEFINITELYOR PROBABLY FOR [INSERT CANDIDATE]?)

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAID UNDECIDED: TOWARD WHICH CANDIDATE DO YOULEAN?)

Oct. Oct.20-22 6-8

42% 46% TOTAL DOUG DUCEY (NET)34% 34% DEFINITELY DOUG DUCEY

7% 8% PROBABLY DOUG DUCEY1% 4% LEAN DOUG DUCEY

35% 37% TOTAL FRED DUVAL (NET)28% 28% DEFINITELY FRED DUVAL

6% 6% PROBABLY FRED DUVAL1% 3% LEAN FRED DUVAL

7% 5% TOTAL BARRY J. HESS (NET)4% 2% DEFINITELY BARRY J. HESS2% 2% PROBABLY BARRY J. HESS1% 1% LEAN BARRY J. HESS

15% 10% HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)

- * OTHER, SPECIFIED (RECORDED VERBATIM) (VOL.)* * WOULD NOT VOTE (VOL.)* 1% REFUSED (VOL.)


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11. [TREND]If the election forArizonas Secretary of State were tomorrow, would you votefor (ROTATED) Republican Michele Reagan or Democrat Terry Goddard?

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAID REAGAN/GODDARD: AND WOULD THAT BEDEFINITELY OR PROBABLY FOR [INSERT CANDIDATE]?)

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAID UNDECIDED: TOWARD WHICH CANDIDATE DO YOULEAN?)

Oct. Oct.20-22 6-8

42% 47% TOTAL TERRY GODDARD (NET)29% 33% DEFINITELY TERRY GODDARD

8% 10% PROBABLY TERRY GODDARD4% 5% LEAN TERRY GODDARD

42% 45% TOTAL MICHELE REAGAN (NET)35% 31% DEFINITELY MICHELE REAGAN

5% 10% PROBABLY MICHELE REAGAN2% 4% LEAN MICHELE REAGAN


- * OTHER, SPECIFIED (RECORDED VERBATIM) (VOL.)

* * WOULD NOT VOTE (VOL.)3% 2% REFUSED (VOL.)


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12. [TREND]And, if the election for Arizona Attorney General were tomorrow, would youvote for (ROTATED) Republican Mark Brnovich or Democrat Felecia Rotellini?

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAY BRNOVICH/ROTELLINI: AND WOULD THAT BEDEFINITELY OR PROBABLY FOR [INSERT CANDIDATE]?)

(PROBED THOSE WHO SAY UNDECIDED: TOWARD WHICH CANDIDATE DO YOULEAN?)

Oct. Oct.20-22 6-8

38% 43% TOTAL FELECIA ROTELLINI (NET)29% 29% DEFINITELY FELECIA ROTELLINI

7% 11% PROBABLY FELECIA ROTELLINI3% 3% LEAN FELECIA ROTELLINI

41% 41% TOTAL MARK BRNOVICH (NET)33% 30% DEFINITELY MARK BRNOVICH

6% 8% PROBABLY MARK BRNOVICH1% 4% LEAN MARK BRNOVICH


* - OTHER, SPECIFIED (RECORDED VERBATIM) (VOL.)1% * WOULD NOT VOTE (VOL.)3% 2% REFUSED (VOL.)


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ISSUES(ROTATED NEXT TWO)

13. Are you (ROTATED) more likely or less likely to vote for Fred DuVal knowing heopposed parental consent for girls as young as 14 years old to get an abortion?(PROBED: And would that be MUCH or SOMEWHAT more likely/less likely?)

17% TOTAL MORE LIKELY (NET)12% MUCH MORE LIKELY

5% SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY

48% TOTAL LESS LIKELY (NET)9% SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY

38% MUCH LESS LIKELY

26% NO DIFFERENCE (VOL.)

6% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.)

4% REFUSED (VOL.)

14. Are you (ROTATED) more likely or less likely to vote for Doug Ducey knowing thatsupported scholarships and extra funding that would give low income children access tohigh performing schools? (PROBED: And would that be MUCH or SOMEWHAT morelikely/less likely?)

49% TOTAL MORE LIKELY (NET)32% MUCH MORE LIKELY17% SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY

16% TOTAL LESS LIKELY (NET)

4% SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY12% MUCH LESS LIKELY

28% NO DIFFERENCE (VOL.)

4% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE (VOL.)3% REFUSED (VOL.)


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ADDITIONAL DEMOGRAPHICS

15. Thinking for a moment about your social, economic, and political viewsDo youconsider yourself to be? [IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASKED] And would youconsider yourself to be VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT(conservative/liberal)?

44% TOTAL CONSERVATIVE (NET)25% VERY CONSERVATIVE19% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE

30% MODERATE

17% TOTAL LIBERAL (NET)8% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL9% VERY LIBERAL

2% LIBERTARIAN

4% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)2% REFUSED (VOL.)

16. In politics today, do you consider yourself to be a (ROTATED) Republican,Independent or Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN, ASKED: Are you a Tea PartyRepublican, strong Republican or a not-so-strong Republican? If DEMOCRAT, ASKED:Are you a Progressive Democrat, strong Democrat or a not-so-strong Democrat? IFINDEPENDENT ASKED: Which way do you lean, or usually vote, the DemocraticParty or the Republican Party?

41% TOTAL REPUBLICAN (NET)

5% TEA PARTY REPUBLICAN24% STRONG REPUBLICAN

6% NOT-SO-STRONG REPUBLICAN6% INDEPENDENT LEANING REPUBLICAN

19% INDEPENDENT

36% TOTAL DEMOCRAT (NET)5% INDEPENDENT LEANING DEMOCRAT6% NOT-SO-STRONG DEMOCRAT

20% STRONG DEMOCRAT4% PROGRESSIVE DEMOCRAT

1% OTHER (VOL.)1% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)1% REFUSED (VOL.)

American Encore - Statewide Dual-Frame Survey Among 600 Arizona LVs - ToPLINE DATA[4]

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