Alleghany ashe wilkes pathways to prosperity LMI Data
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Transcript of Alleghany ashe wilkes pathways to prosperity LMI Data
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
nc
Data for Career Pathway Development:
Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes CountiesPathways to Prosperity Employer Roundtable MeetingJanuary 28, 2014
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Career Pathway Goals
1. Jobs and career opportunities
2. Seamless transition to higher ed
3. Talent pipeline for area businesses
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Many young North Carolinians can’t find jobs
Unemployment RateAll ages 9.2%
16-19 25.4%20-24 16.0%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey(Annual Average Unemployment Rates, 2012)
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Meanwhile, a skills gap?
“Can We Fix the Skills Gap?” – Forbes, 8/2/13
“Building a Country That Builds Things: The manufacturing industry faces a serious skills gap” –U.S. News and World Report, 10/4/13
“Skills Gap: Where Are the Qualified Workers?”--Wilkes Journal-Patriot, 12/3/12
“Stubborn Skills Gap in America’s Workforce” – NYTimes.com, 10/8/13
“Is There Really a Skills Gap?”--U.S. News and World Report, 6/19/13
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Questions1. What are the largest and fastest-growing
industries and occupations in the area?
2. At certain education/experience levels, which area occupations have been growing and pay well?
3. What other considerations are important for career pathway programming?
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Reviewing the Area’s Industries (1)
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
• XX - Industry Sector (20 broad sectors) • XXX - Industry Sub sector • XXXX - Industry Group…
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Jobs by Industry Sector, 2013
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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County Differences – Industry Emp. Share
Source: EMSI, 2013 2-digit industry employment
Alleghany Ashe Wilkes
1 – Healthcare & Social Assistance (20%)
1 – Manufacturing (16%)
1 – Manufacturing (20%)
2 – Government (19%)
1 – Government (16%)
1- Government (20%)
3 – Manufacturing (14%)
1 – Healthcare & Social Assistance (16%)
3 – Retail (13%)
4 – Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting (9%)
4 – Retail – 15% 4 – Management of Companies & Enterprises (10%)
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Employment Change, Industry Sectors
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and HuntingMining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
UtilitiesConstruction
ManufacturingWholesale Trade
Retail TradeTransportation and Warehousing
InformationFinance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and LeasingProfessional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and EnterprisesAdministrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Educational Services (Private)Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and RecreationAccommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Public Administration)Government
(3,000) (2,000) (1,000) 0 1,000
Industry Sector Employment Change:Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2003-13
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Employment Change - %
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and HuntingMining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
UtilitiesConstruction
ManufacturingWholesale Trade
Retail TradeTransportation and Warehousing
InformationFinance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and LeasingProfessional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and EnterprisesAdministrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Educational Services (Private)Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and RecreationAccommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Public Administration)Government
(100%) 0% 100% 200% 300%
Industry Sector Employment Change (%):Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2003-13
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Industry Sector Trends
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Employment Trends (2003-13):Large Industry Sectors, Alleghany, Ashe, and Wilkes Counties
ConstructionManufacturingWholesale TradeRetail TradeManagement of Companies and EnterprisesAdministrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation ServicesHealth Care and Social AssistanceAccommodation and Food ServicesGovernment
Jobs
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
12
Reviewing the Area’s Industries (2)
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
• XX - Industry Sector (20 broad sectors) • XXX - Industry Sub sector • XXXX - Industry Group…
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
13
Top-10 Employing Subsectors, 2013Industry Subsector 2003
Jobs2013 Jobs
Change % Change 2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job
Local Government 4,769 4,440 (329) (7%) $41,854
Food Manufacturing 3,020 2,626 (394) (13%) $32,446
Food Services and Drinking Places
2,251 2,356 105 5% $14,099
Management of Companies and Enterprises
3,186 2,256 (930) (29%) $60,893
Ambulatory Health Care Services
1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246
State Government 1,290 1,178 (112) (9%) $45,076
General Merchandise Stores 861 921 60 7% $22,633
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
1,052 830 (222) (21%) $27,517
Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384
Wood Product Manufacturing 874 796 (78) (9%) $49,192
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Subsector Trends, 2003-13
Source: EMSI
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Employment Trends for the 10 Largest Subsectors as of 2013:Alleghany, Ashe and Wilkes Counties
Local Government
Food Manufacturing
Food Services and Drinking Places
Management of Companies and En-terprises
Ambulatory Health Care Services
State Government
General Merchandise Stores
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Social Assistance
Wood Product Manufacturing
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Subsectors with Greatest Growth 2003-13Industry Subsector(-Minimum of 100 jobs in 2013)
2003 Jobs
2013 Jobs
Change % Change 2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job
Chemical Manufacturing 18 115 97 539% $78,667
Educational Services (Private)
45 162 117 260% $22,313
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
59 135 76 129% $46,985
Real Estate 93 187 94 101% $24,894
Crop Production 261 483 222 85% $28,492
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
324 497 173 53% $54,488
Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
168 242 74 44% $36,271
Ambulatory Health Care Services
1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
183 243 60 33% $39,952
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Top 10-employing Sectors, Filtered byStable/Growing Jobs and Avg. $/Job > $20k
Industry 2003 Jobs
2013 Jobs
Change % Change
2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job
Ambulatory Health Care Services
1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246
General Merchandise Stores 861 921 60 7% $22,633
Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384
Administrative and Support Services
608 731 123 20% $27,885
Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers
611 728 117 19% $32,495
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
679 716 37 5% $57,911
Hospitals (Private) 486 596 110 23% $42,244
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
324 497 173 53% $54,488
Crop Production 261 483 222 85% $28,492
Textile Mills 253 282 29 11% $32,031
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Close-up On Manufacturing
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Manufacturing Employment Trends
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Employment Trends in the Largest Manufacturing IndustriesAlleghany, Ashe and Wilkes Counties
Food ManufacturingTextile MillsWood Product ManufacturingPlastics and Rubber Products Manu-facturingComputer and Electronic Product ManufacturingElectrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component ManufacturingTransportation Equipment Manufac-turingFurniture and Related Product Manufacturing
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Manufacturing Employment Trends
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Closeup on Trends in Large Manufacturing Industries Other than Food Manufacturing
Textile MillsWood Product ManufacturingPlastics and Rubber Products Manu-facturingComputer and Electronic Product ManufacturingElectrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component ManufacturingTransportation Equipment Manufac-turingFurniture and Related Product Manufacturing
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Occupations
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Employment in Major Occupational Groups Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2013
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Production Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Management Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Occupational Groups with > 100 Annual OpeningsAlleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties
Source: EMSI
Major Occupation Group 2013 Jobs
Average Annual Openings
Median Hourly Earnings
Production Occupations
3,769 219 $13.30
Sales and Related Occupations
3,281 200 $12.76
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
4,679 178 $14.56
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
2,854 152 $8.89
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
2,934 143 $13.26
Construction and Extraction Occupations
1,100 104 $14.96
Healthcare Support Occupations
1,439 102 $10.55
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Top 10 Occupations Requiring On-the-Job Training:Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties
Occupation2013 Jobs
% Change 2003-13
Median Hourly
EarningsEducation Level
Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 216 23% $10.28 Short-term on-the-job trainingPolice and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 115 6% $15.52 Moderate-term on-the-job trainingSocial and Human Service Assistants 91 6% $12.49 Short-term on-the-job training
Insurance Sales Agents 89 14% $20.18 Moderate-term on-the-job training
Pharmacy Technicians 89 11% $12.26 Moderate-term on-the-job training
Highway Maintenance Workers 71 3% $14.72 Moderate-term on-the-job training
Medical Secretaries 58 9% $13.52 Moderate-term on-the-job trainingExtruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 42 24% $11.90 Moderate-term on-the-job trainingFarmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals 42 50% $11.86 Short-term on-the-job trainingRefuse and Recyclable Material Collectors 41 8% $10.06 Short-term on-the-job training
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Top 10 Occupations Requiring Post-secondary Educ.Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties
Occupation2013 Jobs
% Change2003-13
Median Hourly
EarningsEducation Level
Nursing Assistants 366 -16% $10.57 Postsecondary non-degree awardAutomotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 224 -20% $13.45 Postsecondary non-degree awardLicensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 130 -16% $19.19 Postsecondary non-degree awardEmergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 95 27% $17.45 Postsecondary non-degree awardHeating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 87 -20% $16.78 Postsecondary non-degree award
Dental Assistants 67 43% $16.34 Postsecondary non-degree awardWelders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 61 -24% $15.44 Postsecondary non-degree awardBus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 61 -9% $16.94 Postsecondary non-degree award
Firefighters 52 8% $10.24 Postsecondary non-degree awardTelecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 43 -17% $27.71 Postsecondary non-degree award
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Top 10 Occupations Requiring Associate’s Degree Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties
Occupation2013 Jobs
% Change2003-13
Median Hourly
EarningsEducation Level
Registered Nurses 521 0% $26.91 Associate's degreePreschool Teachers, Except Special Education 120 19% $9.37 Associate's degree
Dental Hygienists 68 55% $28.22 Associate's degreeComputer User Support Specialists 67 -27% $21.96 Associate's degree
Paralegals and Legal Assistants 63 2% $15.24 Associate's degree
Radiologic Technologists 53 10% $24.45 Associate's degree
Respiratory Therapists 27 0% $23.72 Associate's degreeMedical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 26 13% $18.55 Associate's degree
Physical Therapist Assistants 26 4% $24.24 Associate's degreeAppraisers and Assessors of Real Estate 25 9% $18.11 Associate's degree
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Large and Growing Occupations Requiring Associate’s Degree or Training Credentials
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Where Alleghany Works
2011
Count Share
Alleghany County 1,414 44.6%
Surry County 197 6.2%
Ashe County 176 5.5%
Wilkes County 173 5.5%
Forsyth County 166 5.2%
Mecklenburg County 130 4.1%
Iredell County 102 3.2%
All Other Locations (incl. Galax & Grayson Co., VA) 814 25.7%
Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Where Ashe Works
2011Count Share
Ashe County 4,105 46.3%
Watauga County 1,226 13.8%
Wilkes County 412 4.7%
Buncombe County 373 4.2%
Mecklenburg County 254 2.9%
Henderson County 202 2.3%
Catawba County 180 2.0%
Burke County 153 1.7%
All Other Counties (NC; 3.6% in TN or VA; …) 1,955 22.1%
Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Where Wilkes Works
2011
Count Share
Wilkes County 11,595 45.6%
Wake County 1,576 6.2%
Surry County 1,508 5.9%
Forsyth County 1,390 5.5%
Iredell County 1,049 4.1%
Yadkin County 915 3.6%
Mecklenburg County 797 3.1%
Guilford County 654 2.6%
All Other Locations (NC; < 1% ea. VA, GA…) 5,917 23.3%
Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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The Primary Commuting Region
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
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Jobs by Industry Sector:6-County Commuting Region
Source: EMSI
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
33
Industry Sector Trends6-County Commuting Region
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Employment Trends (2003-13):Large Industry Sectors, 6-County Commuting Region
Construction
Manufacturing
Retail Trade
Finance and Insurance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Public Administra-tion)
Government
Jobs
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
34
Employment in Major Occupational Groups6-County Commuting Region
Office and Administrative Support OccupationsSales and Related Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related OccupationsTransportation and Material Moving Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical OccupationsManagement Occupations
Production OccupationsEducation, Training, and Library Occupations
Business and Financial Operations OccupationsBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Construction and Extraction OccupationsPersonal Care and Service Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair OccupationsHealthcare Support Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media OccupationsProtective Service Occupations
Computer and Mathematical OccupationsCommunity and Social Service Occupations
Legal OccupationsArchitecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science OccupationsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Military occupations
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
35
Occupations Highly Accessible to Young Adults
Higher than Average % of Employment < 25 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors
Hairdressers, Hairstylists and CosmotologistsVeterinary Technicians
Nursing AssistantsPreschool Teachers, Except Special Education
Dental AssistantsEmergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics
Source: EMSI (Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes, Forsyth, Surry & Watauga Counties)
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
36
Opportunities As Older Workers Retire?
Higher than Average % of Employment 55+ Morticians, Undertakers, Funeral Directors
Real Estate Sales AgentsLegal Secretaries
Medical Records and Health Information Technicians
Registered NursesLicensed Practical NursesBus and Truck Mechanics
Source: EMSI (Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes, Forsyth, Surry & Watauga Counties)
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
37
Biz/admin/jack-of-all-trades skills needed?• Business establishments with < 10 employees are dominant in
the High Country WDB area
Agricu
lture,
Fores
try, F
ishing &
Hunting
Constructi
on
Wholes
ale Tr
ade
Transp
ortation an
d Ware
housing
Informati
on
Finan
ce an
d Insu
rance
Real E
state
and Ren
tal an
d Leasi
ng
Profes
sional
and Te
chnica
l Serv
ices
Manag
emen
t of C
ompanies
and En
terpris
es
Administrati
ve an
d Wast
e Serv
ices
Health
Care an
d Socia
l Assi
stance
Accommodati
on and Fo
od Servi
ces
Other Se
rvices
, Ex.
Public Admin
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% with 0-9 Employees, by Industry
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW), 2nd Qtr. 2013 Some industries are omitted due to data suppression
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
38
Vetting the Data
How well do the data reflect your experiences?
What other trends or issues do you see? Anticipated hiring Opportunities, threats Skill or credential “gaps”?
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
39
Beyond the Data
Career ladders and lattices Job stability (e.g., cyclical industries) Student demand Employer engagement
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
40
Some Tools Commerce/Labor & Economic Analysis:
www.nccommerce.com/lead AccessNC (business, community data)
Demand driven data delivery (D4) - labor force stats
Wage data by occupation (U.S., state, sub-state): http://www.careeronestop.org/SalariesBenefits/
NC Works Online: www.ncworks.gov Career ladder/lattice tools (O*NET): http://
www.onetcenter.org/ladders.html
Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
QUESTIONS?
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION:
Anne BaconSenior Workforce Analyst
Labor & Economic Analysis DivisionNC Department of Commerce
[email protected](919)707-1579
(919)707-1500 (main)