AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
-
Upload
aniket-patel -
Category
Documents
-
view
222 -
download
0
Transcript of AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
1/53
AFM 373
Lecture 8
Weighted Average Cost ofCapital (WACC)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
2/53
2
ACC 690 Course Overview
1. Introduction; Managing C/A; Cash Flow Forecasting
2. Managing C/L; Issuing Short Term Debt & ABL3. Issuing LTD; Debt Ratings; Debt Covenants
4. Issuing Equity; IPOs, PE, VC
5. Wtd. Average Cost of Capital; Determining Capital Structure
6. Valuation Overview; Intro to M&A7. Mergers & Acquisitions - Structure; Leveraged Buyouts
8. Mergers & Acquisitions - Process; Due Diligence
9. Capital Budgeting; Lease vs. Buy/Borrow
10. Financial Distress & Turnarounds
11. Financial Risk Management & Derivative Use
12. Dividend & Payout Policy; Managing Corporate Investments
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
3/53
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
(WACC)
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
serves three primary purposes:
1. To evaluate capital project proposals.2. To set performance targets for management to
sustain or grow market values, and
3. To measure management performance.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
4/53
Steps in Solving for the WACC
1. Identify the sources of capital (Debt and Equity).
2. Estimate the market values for each source of
capital and determine the market value weights.
3. Estimate the marginal, after-tax, and after-
floatation cost for each source of capital.
4. Calculate the weighted average.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
5/53
What is Included in WACC ?
Cost of Each Type of Capital for the Company,proportionally weighted, typically including:
Debt Costs:
Bank loans
Long-term debtbonds/debentures
Equity Costs:
Preferred equity costs
Common equity costs
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
6/53
6
Weighted Average Cost of Capital - WACC
PSED
PSK
PSED
DK
PSED
EK psdeWACC
Need to calculate for each type of capital:
1) market value of each type of capital
2) % of each type of capital in total capital,
3) and the respective marginal cost of each (Kd , Ke, Kps)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
7/53
Why Use Current Market Rates for
each Type of Capital?
The Firm is making a Key Decision NOW
Therefore, the cost of capital 5 months, 5 years or
5 decades ago is irrelevant.
What is relevant NOW is the rate that each type ofcapital costs in todays economic environment for
this particular firm.
Sometimes called the Marginal Cost of Capital
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
8/53
8
Cost of Debt - Kd
This is the current cost to the firm for borrowing
funds based on:
Current interest rate levels
Default risk of company
Tax Shield from Interest
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
9/53
9
Importance of Tax Deductibility of Interest
Key Concept:
in WACC equation Kd - is after tax cost of debt,
reflecting that interest is tax deductible
Therefore Kd = rd(1-t)
Where:
rd= pre-tax cost of Debt
t = Marginal tax rate of the firm( Fed+ Prov.)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
10/53
WACC- Simple Capital Structure
Once you have the specific marginal costs of capital (after accounting for taxes
and floatation costs) and you have found the appropriate weights to use, the
actual calculation of a WACC is a simple matter.
)1(
V
DTK
V
SKKWACC dea
The cost of equity
times the market
value weight of
equity
The cost of debt
after tax times the
market value weight
of debt
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
11/53
Weighting Each Capital Component
Each Type of Equity would have its own
weighting component
Each Types of Debt would have its ownweighting component
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
12/53
WACC - Spreadsheet Example
(1) (2) (3) (4) = (2)*(3)
Type of
Capital
Specific
Marginal Cost
after tax and
floatation
costs
Market
Value
Weights
Weighted
Specific
Marginal
Cost
Long-Term Debt 5.5% 43.0% 0.02365
Preferred Stock 11.4% 11.0% 0.01254
Common Stock 12.9% 46.0% 0.05934
WACC = 9.55%
WACC is the sum of the weightedspecific marginal costs of each source ofcapital.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
13/53
13
Determining - Current Market Value
of a Bond
Requires market value of debt (not book value)
rd = the market rate of debt given default risk (not necessarilythe coupon rate, but the current market rate for that company to issue at)
This is the rate that you discount back the cash flows at.
N
Nt
tt
)r(1
bondofvalueface
)r(1
CouponBondCorporateofValueMkt
d
1
d
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
14/53
14
Cost of Preferred Equity
If viewed preferred as perpetual, has a fixed dividend,
(PV of a perpetuity formula)
Preferred Share dividends are paid from after tax
dollars - (do not tax effect the rate)
prefofpricemarket
dividend)(or totalshareperdividendK
ps
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
15/53
15
Market Value of Common Equity
For a Public company:
= # of common shares O/S X current stock price
If there are warrants and options, ( in the money) you
must calculate the equity like options current market
value and add to common equity value
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
16/53
16
Market Value of Common Equity
Cost of Equity may be observable in the Market, through
comparable securities.
Various models can be used to estimate Cost of Equity.
We will emphasize Capital Asset Pricing Model(CAPM). According to some studies 80%+ use this method.
Originated by Prof. William Sharpe, Stanford U. in 1964
For his work on CAPM, Sharpe shared the 1990 Nobel Prize
in Economics with Markowitz and Miller.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
17/53
17
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)[calculating the Ke]
jFMFj RRERK ))((
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
RM= Expected Return on MarketSystematic risk of individual security - tendency ofthe security to move with all the other securities in the market and by how
much
Expected Rate of Return or E(Re)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
18/53
Risk-Based Models and the Cost of
Common EquityUsing the CAPM to Estimate the Cost of Common Equity
CAPM can be used to estimate the required return by
common shareholders.
It can be used in situations where DCF methods will
perform poorly (growth firms) CAPM estimate is a market determined estimate
because:
The RF (risk-free) rate is the benchmark return and is measured
directly, today as the yield on 91-day T-bills The market premium for risk (MRP) is taken from current market
estimates of the overall return in the market place less RF (ERM
RF)
i k d d l d h f
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
19/53
Risk-Based Models and the Cost of Common
EquityUsing the CAPM to Estimate the Cost of Common Equity
As a single-factor model, we estimate the common shareholders required
return based on an estimate of the systematic risk of the firm (measured by the
firms beta coefficient)
Where:
Ke = investors required rate of return
e = the stocks beta coefficient
Rf = the risk-free rate of return
MRP= the market risk premium (ERM - Rf)
MRPRK eFe [ 20-26]
Ri k B d M d l d h C f
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
20/53
Risk-Based Models and the Cost of
Common EquityEstimating the Market Risk Premium
Rfis observable (yield on 10+ year Govt Bonds) Not T-bill rates
Getting an estimate of the market risk premium is one of the
more difficult challenges in using this model.
We really need a forward looking of MRP or a forward looking
estimate of the ERM
One approach is to use an estimate of the current, expected MRP
by examining a long-run average that prevailed in the past.
MRPRK eFe [ 20-26]
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
21/53
Canadian Market Risk Premium
(MRP)
(1938-2005)
The consensus is that the Canadian MRP over the
long-term bond yield is between 4.0 and 5.5%.
Stock returns exceeded Bond returns by 5.17%Source: Booth & Cleary ; data from Canadian Institute of Actuaries
Average
Investment Return
Canada T-Bills 5.20%
Canada Bonds 6.62%
Canadian Stocks 11.79%
U.S. Stocks 13.15%
21
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
22/53
Cost of Common Equity
Estimating Beta
After obtaining estimates of the two
important market rates (Rfand MRP), an
estimate for the company beta is required.
In some cases, Beta may have to be
unlevered and re-levered?
Why ?
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
23/53
Unlevering and Re-levering Beta
If the debt level changes dramatically, beta forEquity may have to be re-calculated.
For example, a significant new Debt issuance, or a
large Debt repayment.
Why ?
The main impact of leverage on WACC is the
interest tax shield.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
24/53
Unlevering and Re-levering Beta
We can unlever and relever Beta using the Hamada
Equation (there are several others that serve the
purpose).
Hamada essentially combined the effects of CAPM
with M&M theory. Assumes constant amount of debt (vs. constant D/E)
It separates out the effect of financial leverage from
the underlying business risk of the firm by comparing
a firm with an unlevered counterpart.
U l i d R l i B t
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
25/53
Unlevering and Re-levering Beta
an Example going from D/E of 1.5 to 4.0
( assume a 35% Tax rate)
BL =BU * (1+ (D/E*(1-T))
BU = BL / (1+ (D/E*(1-T))
If Original D / (D+E) =.60
Then D / E= .60 /.40 (i.e. 1.5:1)
Original Levered Beta = 1.25
Then Bu = 1.25 / 1+(60/.40) *(1-.35)
Bu= 1.25 / 1.975
Bu=.63
R l i B t E l
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
26/53
Re-levering Beta- Example
Going from D/E of 1.5:1 to 4:1
with 35% Tax Rate
BL =BU (1+ (D/E)*(1-T))
BU = BL / (1+ (D/E) *(1-T))
New D / (D+E) =.80
Then D / E= .80 /.20 (4:1)
Then New Levered Beta isThen BL = .63 *(1+(1-.35)*.80/.20)
BL= .63 * 2.6
BL= 1.64
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
27/53
Re-levering Beta- Example
with 35% Tax Rate
Now, use the new levered Beta to
determine revised Ke and WACC!
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
28/53
28
Preferred SharesGeneral Features Shares can have a number of designationscommon, ordinary, Class A and
preferred
Preferred shares typically occupy a position between the companies creditorsand common shares
They have a prior claim on assets ahead of common shares in a windup or
dissolution of the company
Prefs are usually entitled to a fixed dividend payment out of net earnings
Cumulative Feature - dividends do not have to be paid, but if skipped unpaiddividends accumulate.
Most are non-voting, unless a certain number of dividends have been missed
(typically 8 quarterly) ; then they have voting privileges
There is no maturity date
Prefs do not have a trust indenture (like debt does). The description of preferreds
is in the companys charter
There are many different features that preferred shares can have, some strengthen
the issuers position and others protect the purchaser
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
29/53
29
Preferred Shares - From an Issuers Perspective
Issuers perspective - Prefs are debt that get treated as equity
from rating agencies and regulators the dividend can be suspended - unlike debt, where the co. would go into default
dividend is paid out of after tax dollars, same as a regular common share
dividend
Motivation to Issue Preferred Shares - overall two main types of
issuers:i) Corporations that are regulated a) firms want more equity but regulator says no- ie
company that has rate of return considerations
b) regulator wants firm to have more equity than they wish
ii) Corporations trying to maintain a debt rating (avoid a lower rating), or corporations that do
not want dilution of have control issues
Many features and options - flavour of the times: hard retraction, soft
retraction, redeemable, auction set
Currently Issuers are - approximately 30% Financial Institutions, 50%
utilities, 20 % industrials
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
30/53
30
Preferred Share Features
Most preferreds have a fixed dividend expressed as a % of
par or a stated value e.g. 8% of par or $2.00 (par is typically $25)
Other Common Features Convertiblethe holder can convert the pref into common shares at a
predetermined price (conversion price) for a certain time period. Once the
underlying common reaches that level the prefs price starts to reflect the
common stocks mkt price
Redeemablemost convertible prefs are redeemablewhich gives the issuer
the right to force conversion into the underlying shares, when the market price
of these shares is above the conversion price.
Retractablemeans the holder can require the company to buy back theretractable preferred on a specified date(s) and at a predetermined price
(retraction price)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
31/53
31
Preferred Shares - Investor Perspective
Dividend Tax Credit
Because dividends are paid from a companys after tax earnings thegovernment gives investors a bit of a tax break (ie pay less tax ondividends)
Dividend Tax Credit: dividends are taxed at a lower rate
The calculation (which is confusing) consists of grossing up theamount of dividend by 25%, calculating the federal taxes and
deducting a federal tax credit of 16.667% of dividend received . Theprovinces also have their own dividend tax credit for provincial taxes
as a rule of thumb most investors consider preferreds as a debtalternative and gross up Cdn preferred dividends by a set amount inorder to equate (compare) returns with those of interest bearing
instruments (bonds, GICs)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
32/53
Market Value WeightsAn Example
Given:
Market price for common stock = $21.50
Bonds are trading for 95% of face value
In order to calculate market value (MV) weights, you will need
to know the total market value of debt, and common stock (and
preferred stock if the company uses it.)
To calculate total MV you need to know the current price of the
security in each class, as well as the total number of securities
outstanding:
Total Market Capitalization = Price Quantity
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
33/53
Market Value Weights - Example
XYZ Company LimitedBalance Sheet
as at January 30, 2xxx
ASSETS LIABILITIES:
Current Assets $147,000 Current Liabilities $75,250
Net Fixed Assets 15,000,250 8.5% 2020 Mortgage Bonds 4,000,000
Common stock (1,000,000 outstanding) 7,155,000Retained earnings 3,917,000
TOTAL ASSETS $15,147,250 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND O.
EQUITY $15,147,250
Number of common sharesoutstanding is read from the
balance sheet.
Face value of bonds are
$1,000, therefore there mustbe 4,000 bonds outstanding.
The following balance sheet date, when combined with market
price data, wil l allow you to calculate MV weights.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
34/53
Market Value WeightsAn Example Continued
Total MV of Equity = Price per share times number of shares = 1M $21.50 = $21.5M
Total MV of Bonds = Price per bond times number of bonds = $950 4,000 = $3,800,000
Type of
Capital
Market
price Number
Total Market
Value
Market
Value
Weight
Bonds $950.00 4,000 $3,800,000 15.02%
Stock $21.50 1,000,000 $21,500,000 84.98%
TOTAL= $25,300,000 100.00%
These weights could now be used to calculate WACC.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
35/53
Bond ValueGeneral Formula
)k(
Fk
)k(IB
n
bb
n
b
1
1111
[ 20-12]
Where:I = interest (or coupon ) payments
kb = the bond discount rate (or market rate)
n = the term to maturity
F = Face (or par) value of the bond
In the example, you didnt have to calculate the bond value because you weregiven the fact that it was trading at 95% of par.
In the event that you do, however, simply use this equation
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
36/53
Floatation Costs
Issuing or floatation costs are incurred by a firm when itraises new capital through the sale of securities in theprimary market.
These costs include: Underwriting discounts paid to the investment dealer
Direct costs associated with the issue including legal andaccounting costs
The result: Net proceeds on the sale of each security is less than what the
investor invests, and
The component cost of capital > investors required return.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
37/53
Average Floatation Costs
Commercial paper 0.125%
Medium-term notes 1.0%
Long-term debt 2.0%Equity (large) 5.0%
Equity (small) 5.0% - 10.0%
Equity (private) 10.0% and up
Average Issuing Costs
Floatation costs for
debt securities is
lowest because debt is
normally privately
placed with large
institutional investors
not requiring
underwriting costs andbecause debt is either
issued by high quality
issuers or sits at the
top of the priority of
claims list in the case
of default.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
38/53
The Component Cost of Debt
The cost of debt is a function of:
The investors required rate of return The tax-deductibility of interest expense
The floatation costs incurred to issue new debt
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
39/53
WACCCommon Calculation
Errors Cost of Debt
Any Ideas ??
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
40/53
WACCCommon Calculation Errors
Cost of Debt
Must Use Using Market Value ofDebt (versus trading at Par 100).
Must use (1-T) to get the after taxcost
Forgetting Floatation Cost
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
41/53
WACCCommon Calculation Errors
Cost of Preferred Shares
Any Ideas ??
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
42/53
WACCCommon Calculation Errors
Cost of Pref. Shares
Must Use Market Value of Pref Shares
Divide dividend per share by current
market price per pref. share
Forgetting Floatation Cost
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
43/53
WACCCommon Calculation Errors
Cost of Common Shares
Any Ideas ??
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
44/53
WACCCommon Calculation Errors
Cost of Common Shares
Must Use Market Value ofCommon
In CAPM, for Rf, should useLonger Term Govt Debt (10 +Years), not short term T-Bill rates.
Forgetting Floatation Cost
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
45/53
WACC -Summary
WACC measures the firms cost of financing today,based on current capital market conditions.
WACC is the Default Firms Discount Rate.
WACC is used to make capital investment decisions.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
46/53
Raptor IndustriesWACC Problem
Review Solution
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
47/53
Determining Capital Structure
in Practice
47
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
48/53
16-48
Leverage in Practice
The tradeoff theory helps explain: Why firms choose debt levels that are below the
maximum, to avoid the costs of financial distress.
Industry differences in the use of leverage because of
different financial distress costs and the volatility of
cash flows.
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
49/53
49
Needs to be viewed as a dynamic processToo aggressive can lead to financial distress andbankruptcy
Excess conservatism can put you at a competitivedisadvantage by having a higher cost of capital, and
may also flag you as a takeover target. The addition of a reasonable amount of debt to
the capital structure can reduce WACC.
Therefore shareholders receive greater should be
reflected in increase stock price. All of the return, in excess of its WACC, are gains
that accrue to common shareholders
49
Management of Capital Structure
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
50/53
Capital Structure in Practice
Factors favouring corporate ability and willingnessto issue debt:
Capital Market Conditions: Is this a Good Time toIssue Equity? Is this a Good Time to Issue Debt?
Profitability (so the firm can use interest taxshield)
Unencumbered tangible assets to be used ascollateral for secured debt.
Stable business operations over time. Corporate size larger companies may have
greater market acceptance.
Growth rate of the firm.50
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
51/53
51
Primary Factors in Determining
Debt Level (Deutsche Bank 2006)
1. Effect on Credit Rating (57%)
2. Ability to Continue Investments (52%)
3. Tax Shield (32%)
4. Ability to Continue Dividends (31%)5. Market Capacity for our Debt (29%)
6. Debt Transaction Costs (25%)
7. Action of Industry Competitors (20%)
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
52/53
15-52
Limits to Debt
What Factors Limit a Companys
Use of Debt ?
-
7/25/2019 AFM 373 Hayes Lecture 8 Capital Structure & WAAC
53/53
Limits to Debt
Covenants in Existing Debt Securityre: Maximum Leverage
Covenants in Existing Debt Securityre: Minimum Debt service
High Interest Rates
Ability to Service New Debt fromForecast Cash Flow