AEROSPACE TECHNOLOGY CONGRESS 2016 - FTF of VLO CM. Intercept and destroy 6th gen MCAV/UCAV. Deny...

COMPANY UNCLASSIFIED | NOT EXPORT CONTROLLED | NOT CLASSIFIEDStefan Andersson | FT2016 Session C5 | Issue 1

Exploration of Future Combat Air System(FCAS) in a 2040 Perspective

AEROSPACE TECHNOLOGY CONGRESS 2016

Stefan Andersson, Program Manager Future Combat Air SystemSaab AeronauticsThis document and the information contained herein is the property of Saab ABand must not be used, disclosed or altered without Saab AB prior written consent.


HISTORY OF COMBAT AIR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT

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1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

FCAS FCASFCAS

• Innovative solutions

• Courage to use new technologies

• Balanced design adapted to Customer needs and conditions

• Continuous and evolutionary development

• Close collaboration between industry and the Armed Forces


SAAB FCAS PROGRAM

• A Saab initiative for defining capabilities and productsfor Sweden and Export in three time perspectives:2025, 2035 and 2045

• Ongoing program since January 2014

• Iterative and evolutionary approach

• In line with the Swedish parliamentary investigation,Air Defense 2040 (2014)

• Provide options for:‒ Gripen upgrades‒ New combat air system products‒ Enhancements and/or new products in other Business Areas

• Focus on System-of-System (SoS) capabilities

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SCOPE

Systems of systems, FCAS SoS, solutionscomprising:

• Aircraft systems, s.c. FCAS Components

• Operation Support Systems and Training solutions

• Logistics and operation support

• Enabling systems, such as Development, V&V andManufacturing systems

• Integration with the complete Defence System-of-Systems‒ Air, Land and Naval forces incl. surveillance systems‒ Air, Land and Naval command and control systems (C2)‒ Space and cyber systems/forces‒ Air traffic control (ATM)

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DefenceSystem-of-

System

CooperatingSoS

FCASSoS

FCASComponentFCAS

ComponentFCASComponent


SAAB FCAS PROGRAM SET UP

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TechnologyOpportunitiesand Threats

OperationalNeeds and Concept

Validation

WBS 2.0

• Industrial Capab.• Business Concept• Collaboration –

Domestic andInternational

WBS 1.0

TechnologyExploration and

Development

WBS 3.0FCAS

ConceptDevelopment

WBS 4.0

Sub-system ConceptsTRL>4

Feedback

Concept Models:Characteristicsand Capabilities

NeedsScenariosConopsValidation results

OperationalContext andRelevance• Technology Trends

• TRL1-TRL6 R&T• Technology Demos• Sub-system Demos

• Operational Needs• Operational Scenarios• Concept of Operation• Validation Environment• Concept Evaluation and

Validation

• SoS Concepts• Component Concepts• Functional Concepts• Cost prediction (LCC)• Concept Assessment• Methods and Tools


OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS PROCESS

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NEEDS

CUSTOMER

SCENARIOS

CPS

CONOPS

TECHNOLOGYTRENDS

TECHNICALSTUDIES

SYSTEMDESIGN

THREATS

COMPETITORS

OCD


FORESEEN OPERATIONAL NEEDS

Key Capabilities• Seamless collaboration across all domains (SoS)• Secure Information and robust networking• Covert and silent - if needed• Adaptable and resilient• Superior situational awareness

…for the future battlefield• Complex, cluttered, deceptive, high tempo• Wider arena and operational depth• Targeted attacks against civil infrastructure• High velocity / long range / energy weapons

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Peace Time Operations

SCENARIOS AND MISSIONS

Baltic Sea- East/South Perspective

Norwegian Sea- North/West Perspective

Sub-Sahara- International op

Other incl.Space & Cyber

Maintaining Swedishterritorial integrity

Surveillance of enemytroop activities

Intercept and destroyswarm of VLO CM

Intercept and destroy 6thgen MCAV/UCAV

Deny and destroylanding party from sea

Escort a landing partyfrom sea

Attack on enemy airbasedefended by IADS

Covert, time sensitivedeep strike

Wide area Sea and Airsurveillance

Escort of supplies forhumanitarian relief

Intercept fighters andattack helicopters

Destruction of armouredvehicles and air defense

Urban CASNetwork decapitation

Destruction of cavedstorage facilities

Protection of Swedishhigh value assets

Protection of EU summitin Copenhagen

Cyber Espionage tocopy / counter systems

Cyber Attach todisturb / deny operation

ExportScenarios

Hitec Conflict

Trading routsE.g. Shipping

Resource disputes

Border control

Counter spaceSystems

Space Operations

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CONCEPT VALIDATION - CAMPAIGN ANALYSIS

Purpose

• Investigate impact on Support Activitiesand Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)

• Exercise method and tools

• Learn about life-cycle aspects of FCAS

Method

• Based on FCAS SoS concepts andCONOPS

• Simulations of a FCAS SoS and itsSupport System during a campaign

• Provide input (activities andconsumables) to LCC calculations

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EXPLORING AND DEVELOPING TECHNOLOGIES

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System Test,Launch & MissionOperations

System/SubsystemDevelopment

TechnologyDemonstration

TechnologyDevelopment

Research toProveFeasibility

Basic/AppliedResearch

TRL 9TRL 9

TRL 8TRL 8

TRL 7TRL 7

TRL 6TRL 6

TRL 5TRL 5

TRL 4TRL 4

TRL 3TRL 3

TRL 2TRL 2

TRL 1 TRL 1Dt

Short and Long Term Thinking• Activities at all TRL’s at the same time

• Part of forecasting and R&T investment decisions

Short and Long Term Thinking• Activities at all TRL’s at the same time

• Part of forecasting and R&T investment decisions

Use of Demonstrators• Sustain Systems Integration Capability

• Bridge the gap between Research andProduct Development

• Build Confidence and Trust

Use of Demonstrators• Sustain Systems Integration Capability

• Bridge the gap between Research andProduct Development

• Build Confidence and Trust

Time


TECHNOLOGY TRENDS - OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS

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Stealth

SEP & Maneuverability

LightweightFighters

Network EnabledMultirole

Stand-Off strike

Availability &Affordability

VLO UAS

Plasma flow control

Multi-spectrumElectronic Attack

Enhanced sensors &datafusion

Civil / Dualtechnology

….. Avionics - Architectures, computers, databuses, software – several new generations in shorter cycles …..

Stealth detection (Low freq & EO)Functional (Nano) materials

Smaller weaponstailored for IWB

Energy weapons (HPM, Laser)

MultifunctionSensors and EW

Morphing geometry

Cyber Threats

ISR UAS

TVC - ThrustVectoring

Variable Cycle Engines

Quantum computing

Extended AIM2M, H2M Collaboration

AutonomousUCAV

Additive Manufacturing - StructureRoom Temp.

Superconductors

Quantum communication


FCAS CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT

System of system (SoS) perspective

• Capabilities are based on operationalneeds and doctrines at a global level

• Capabilities are achieved by componentsand their interaction

• Need for common architectural framework

‒ SoS capabilities

‒ SoS services

‒ SoS components and interfaces

‒ SoS evaluation criteria (MOP, MOE)

• FCAS SoS is designed w.r.t the total SoS

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FCAS COMPONENTS - AIRCRAFT CONCEPTS• Manned / optional unmanned aircraft systems

‒ Gripen E/F, M etc‒ Small Multirole Fighter‒ Medium Multirole Fighter‒ Medium VLO Multirole Fighter

• Unmanned aircraft systems‒ Extra Small Unmanned Fighter‒ MALE (ISR/AEW UAV)‒ ISR UCAV‒ XLarge VLO UCAV‒ VLO UCAV

• Expendable UAV (ADDER/MALD)

Example of configurations to evaluate andunderstand future options.

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Expendable UAVs

Gripen

New Fighter (Manned/unmanned)

Unmanned Combat / ISR Air System


COMBINING COMPONENTS INTO FCAS SoS CONCEPTS

• Autonomy / Decision• Communication• Sense• Self defense• Signature• Maneuverability• Speed• Flight Level• Range• Endurance• Payload• Support• Robustness• Flexibility

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Co-operating

SoSFCASSoS

FCASComponentFCAS

Component

FCASComponent

GlobalSystem-of-

SystemSen

seS

urvi

veS

ize

Sus

tain

FCAS SoSRequirements


FUNCTIONAL CONCEPTS - ACROSS COMPONENTS

• Collaborative behavior‒ Manned systems‒ Manned and unmanned systems‒ Unmanned system

• Use of AI‒ Decision support‒ Autonomous systems‒ Cognitive sensors, radios etc

• EW and Multi-function sensors

• Covert and robust communication

• Navigation and time

• Weapons, Precision Engagement

• Training

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NEXT STEP I - FASTER

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SoS (CD)Concept Description

SoS (CD)Concept Description

Inner Loop

CONOPS (OA)Concept of OperationCONOPS (OA)Concept of Operation

SystemsTechnologies

DoctrinesTactics

NeedsCardinal PointSpecification

NeedsCardinal PointSpecification

ScenariosMissions, Tasks, Threats

ScenariosMissions, Tasks, ThreatsConcept Candidate

Operational ConceptDescription

Concept CandidateOperational Concept

Description

EvaluationConcept DemoEvaluationConcept Demo

Outer Loop

AutomatedOptimizing

Visual

FCAS Concept Design Space Exploration


NEXT STEP II - DEMOS

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Gripen E/F

PRODUCTS

Operational Needs and Concept Validation

FCAS Demos• Features• Technologies• Indus. capability

CONCEPTS Concept Development

NEEDS

Unmanned / Manned CAS

FCAS

Complementary Air Systems (e.g. MALE, AEW)

FCAS, phase 1

FCAS, phase 2

R&T - Technology Development (TRL 1-4)

New CapabilitiesDEMOs(TRL 4-7)

TECHNOLOGYEXPLORATION

Other systems (e.g. Weapons, C4I, Decoys)

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QUESTIONS ?THANK YOU !

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