ADBTF14_F Autonomous Vehicles for Mobility on Demand

8/11/2019 ADBTF14_F Autonomous Vehicles for Mobility on Demand

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James Fu

Project Lead

Autonomous Vehicles

Future Urban Mobility (FM-IRG)

Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology (SMART)


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Marcelo H.AngJr.

David Hsu

Liu Wei

Shen Xiaotong

Scott Pendleton

Chen Min

Hans Andersen

Feng Mengdan

James Fu Guo Ming

Chong Zhuang Jie

Baoxing Qin

Tawit Uthaicharoenpong

Cody Kamin

Weng Zhiyong

Daniel Morton

Diluka Moratuwage

EmilioFrazzoli

DanielaRus

Sertac Karaman

Autonomous Vehicles Group

Visiting PhD Students

UROP, FYP Students

Interns


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CREATE Centre (Singapore)


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The future within reach

Credit: Minority Report (2002)


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Self-driving cars no longer

science fiction...


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and one needs not be a $300B giant to make one


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The Ultimate Transport System

Source: URA Website

Jurong Lake District


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Source: URA Website


MRT

Bus Stop

Demand

More Bus Routes!


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Source: URA Website


MRT

Bus Stop

Demand

Make them walk!


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Source: URA Website


MRT

Bus Stop

Demand

Dynamic Route


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Demand Supply

Predictive

Real-time

Autonomous Vehicles


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Why Automated Vehicles?

Safety Accessibility

Productivity

EfficiencyEnvironment


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Safety:

Cost of a statistical life: $9.1M

2011 AAA report (2009 data):

The societal cost of traffic accidents is about

$300B/year.

Cost of congestion:

Texas Transportation Institute, 2012: approx.

$100B/year

Health costs of congestion:

Harvard School of Public Health, 2010:

approx. $50B/year

Increased productivity/leisure:

Estimate $1.2T/year

Car sharing:

Assuming a sharing factor of 4, estimate

$1.8T/year of benefits to individuals.

Other studies [Burns et al., 13, Fagnant,

Kockelman 14] suggest higher sharing

factors, up to ~10.

A financial perspective (US Market)

Safety Congestion

Health

ProductivitySharing


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Reinventing the Automobile

Active Safety

Availability

Accessibility

Native integrationHigh utilization

Efficient design

Affordability

Autonomy Car Sharing

Electric Vehicles

Disruptive technology:

Automation can enable new

ways of thinking aboutautomobiles and

transportation systems in

general. In particular, it can

provide affordable,

convenient, on-demand

mobility.

Does not require infrastructure

Complements and encourages publictransport

Higher throughput

Fewer vehicles

Less congestion

Decreased travel times

Better accessibility

Increased productivity

Increased safety

Lower environmental impact

Reclaim parking and excess roads Complement mass transit

Higher travel flexibility

Lower cost

...


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Our work insummary


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Our work in summary More videos are available at youtube:

search FMAutonomy channel


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If only autonomous vehicles

In 2011, Singapore had:

Total population: 5,184,000

Total vehicles: 956,704

How many autonomous vehiclesfor Mobility-on-Demand would

be required?

Approximately 300,000 shared cars

(vs. ~800,000 passenger vehicles) couldsatisfy the mobility needs of the entire

population, with waiting times within 15-20

minutes at peak hours.

K. Spieser, K. Treleaven, R. Zhang, E. Frazzoli, D. Morton, and M. Pavone. Toward a systematic approach to the design and

evaluation of automated mobility-on-demand systems: a case study in Singapore. In S. Beiker, editor, Road Vehicle Automation,Lecture Notes in Mobility. Springer, 2014. To appear.


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The Next Step

Sept - Nov 2014


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ADBTF14_F Autonomous Vehicles for Mobility on Demand

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