Access to finance in Tajikistan
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Transcript of Access to finance in Tajikistan
CENTRAL ASIA INITIATIVE
INVESTMENT AND COMPETITIVENESSIN CENTRAL ASIAFocus on Tajikistan
1st Working Group meeting on Access to Finance and RemittancesDushanbe, 12 March 2014
With the financial assistance of the European Union
OECD Private Sector Development 2
Objectives of today’s meeting
1. To present the OECD project with Tajikistan: expected benefits, governance, planning
2. To present the methodological framework of the OECD assessment of access to finance policies in Tajikistan
3. To highlight the potential of using remittances for SME development and access to finance, to present and discuss international case studies, and to identify policy instruments that could be relevant for Tajikistan
4. To agree on next steps until next WG meeting in June
OECD Private Sector Development 3
Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
OECD Private Sector Development 4
Expected benefits of the project: enhancing country competitiveness and providing global visibility
1. Enhancing country competitiveness• Developing targeted and practical action plans for
reforms• Following-up on implementation and building
capacity
2. Providing global visibility• Reviewing reform action plans with OECD countries• Showcasing Tajikistan’s reform agenda as a model in
Eurasia
OECD Private Sector Development 5
The OECD at a glance
A forum where governments can compare policy experiences and address the economic,
social and governance challenges of globalisation as well as to exploit its opportunities
34 Member countries Broad policy expertise
Horizontal policy areas Competitiveness and Investment Public Governance and Territorial
Development Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local
Development Employment, Labour and Social Affairs Trade Education Tax Policy and Administration
Sector-specific policy areas Agriculture Industry Science and Industry Financial and Enterprise Affairs
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States
This map is for illustrative purposes and is without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory covered by this map
OECD Private Sector Development 6
Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Republic of Moldova, and Ukraine
Eastern Europe and South Caucasus Initiative
Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan
Central Asia Initiative
The OECD Eurasia Competitiveness ProgrammeOECD Council Mandate covering two regions and thirteen countries
The OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programme was launched in 2008 and aims at contributing to economic growth and development in eleven countries of the former Soviet Union as well as Afghanistan and Mongolia.
This map is for illustrative purposes and is without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory covered by this map
OECD Private Sector Development 7
Project Steering GroupPrivate sector representatives
Relevant ministries and government agencies
Chairman: First Deputy Prime MinisterDeputy Chairman: Minister of Economy
OECD (including relevant experts)
Proposed governance for the project includes 2 public-private Working Groups reporting to a Project Steering Group
OECD Secretariat, GIZ and Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Tajikistan
OECD Secretariat, GIZ and Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Tajikistan
European Commission
Chairman: Deputy Chairman, SCISPM
Working Group 2Investment and Trade Promotion for SMEs
GIZ
Working Group 1Access to Finance for
SMEs
Chairman: Deputy Minister, MEDT
OECD Private Sector Development 8CONFIDENTIAL – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
1. Provide data (e.g. data request, questionnaires)
2. Co-operate in developing the analysis
3. Review materials
Working Group Members
1. Co-ordinate the project
2. Analyse data and develop materials with the support of international experts
3. Draft key conclusions and propose recommendations for discussion
WG Secretariat: OECD and GIZ
1. Sets overall priorities of the project2. Reviews and comments on progress accomplished by the Working Groups
(approves proposals, recommends adjustments) 3. Decides on recommendations to be implemented
Steering Group – Chaired by the First Deputy Prime Minister
WG members collaborate with the OECD and GiZ to develop an action plan that will be reported to the Steering Group for final endorsement
OECD Private Sector Development 9
Tajikistan in the peer review process Roundtable members to comment on draft report and draft guidelines
Project Steering GroupTajikistan
Eurasia Competitiveness Roundtable
Policy reform plan and draft guidelines finalised by Tajikistan with support of the OECD and GiZ
Policy reform plan to be peer reviewed by Roundtable members
Finalisation of reform plans and guidelines based on comments provided by Roundtable members
Using remittances to improve access to finance in Tajikistan
Reviewers
Follow up on reform implementation
Tajikistan
1 2 3
4
Tajikistan, March-October 2014Paris, November 2014 Dushanbe, December 2014
OECD Private Sector Development 10
Working Group Schedule: 3 meetings are suggested for 2014The objective is to get ready for the Roundtable in November 2014
2013 2014
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
COUNTR
Y LEVE
L
Working Group,
Dushanbe
Project Steering Group,
Dushanbe
REGIONA
L
Eurasia Competitiveness
Roundtable,Paris
1st Roundtable Peer review of
action plans for reforms in the
Kyrgyz Republic
2nd Roundtable Peer review of two
action plans for reforms of Tajikistan
1st Meeting Decision on focus and set up of two thematic
working groups
2nd Meeting Review of the initial results
and recommendations
3rd Meeting Endorsement of final
recommendations
3 meetings will be conducted for each of the two Working Groups
Design of draft action plans for reform
OECD Private Sector Development 11
Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
OECD Private Sector Development 12
Access to finance in Tajikistan - Bank use for Private Sector Development is limited, Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs) fill the gap
Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators; National Bank of Tajikistan; IMF Financial Access Survey; bne:Invest in Tajikistan; AMFOT (2013) Analysis of AMFOT members activity in 2013; http://www.microworld.org/en/news-from-the-field/article/tajikistan-microfinance-supports-independence; http://www.crif.com/site/en/News/Press-Review/Lists/List/Attachments/1070/Tajikistan.pdf; AMFOT analysis of member activity 2008, 2010, 2012.
Account used for business purposes (% age 15+)0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%11%
3% 3%
1% 1%
Kazakhstan Uzbekistan AfghanistanKyrgyz Republic Tajikistan
Regular banking services are rarely used for business in comparison with other countries in Central Asia
• The first Credit Information Bureau has been created in June 2013• Currently, regulation regarding the creation of a Tajik secondary market is being drafted• At least eight leasing companies are operating in Tajikistan• Several pieces of legislation have been drafted or adopted (e.g., Credit Unions, Islamic Banking and Finance Law)
Reforms are taking place
At the same time, MFIs and the number of MFI clients have increased strongly in Tajikistan
2002 2004 2008 2010 20120
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
411
85
123 125
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Num
ber o
f MFI
s
Num
ber of clients
OECD Private Sector Development 13
OECD peer review methodology for access to finance in Tajikistan 15 policy indicators will be assessed across three policy sub-dimensions
Dimensions Sub-dimensions
1 Access to finance for SMEs
Sub-Dimensions
1.1 Legal and regulatory framework
1.2 Sources of external finance
5.3 ACAAs
Sub-dimensions Indicators
1.1 Sources of external finance for SMEs
Indicators
1.2.1 Credit guarantee schemes
Indicators Level of Reform
Indicators
1 2 3 4 5
Credit guarantee schemes
Public start-up funding
Supply-chain financing
Assessment of access to finance policies to define priorities for reform implementation
• Legal and regulatory framework• Cadastre• Collateral and provisioning requirements• Registration systems for moveable assets• Credit information services• Laws and procedures on distressed companies,
receivership and bankruptcy• Creditor rights
• Sources of external finance• Credit guarantee schemes• Financial support services for start-ups• Supply-chain financing instruments• Microfinance facilities• Credit unions• Availability of risk capital • Leasing
• Financial literacy
OECD Private Sector Development 14
OECD structures the policy development path of each policy indicator from 1 to 5 to measure the level of policy development
Policy indicator levels:
• Level 1: There is no framework (e.g. law, institution, project, initiative etc.) in place to cover the area concerned.
• Level 2: There is a draft or pilot framework and there are some signs of government activity to address the area concerned.
• Level 3: A solid framework is in place for this specific policy area.• Level 4: Level 3 + some concrete indications of effective policy implementation of the framework.• Level 5: Level 4 + some significant record of concrete and effective policy implementation of the framework.
This level comes closest to good practices as identified by OECD standards.
Level of Reform1 2 3 4 5
No microcredit facilities (neither small credit
lines nor microfinance sector) in the country.
Microcredit facilities (either small credit lines or microfinance) exist at the level of pilot projects
with limited impact.
Microfinance sector present and operating
throughout the country. Facilities mainly state or donor funded. Limited range of microfinance
products.
Microfinance facilities self-sustainable. Special
facilities for targeted groups such as youth and
women entrepreneurs. Legal and regulatory
framework for microfinance industry
under preparation.
Level 4 plus wide range of microfinance products. Appropriate legal and
regulatory framework in place for microfinance
Example indicator: Microfinance Facilities
OECD Private Sector Development 15
The assessment of the Kyrgyz Republic identified a need to further strengthen several access to finance-related policy areas
1.1
.1 C
adas
tre
1.1
.2 C
oll
ate
ral a
nd
pro
visi
on
ing
req
uir
em
en
ts
1.1
.3 R
egi
stra
tio
n s
yste
ms
for
mo
veab
le a
sse
ts
1.1
.4 C
red
it in
form
atio
n s
erv
ice
s
1.1
.5 L
aws
and
pro
ced
ure
s o
n d
istr
ess
ed
co
mp
anie
s,
rece
ive
rsh
ip a
nd
ban
kru
ptc
y
1.1
.6 C
red
ito
r ri
ghts
1.2
.1 C
red
it g
uar
ante
e s
che
me
s
1.2
.2 F
inan
cial
su
pp
ort
se
rvic
es
for
star
t-u
ps
(vo
uch
ers
, gr
ants
, etc
.)
1.2
.3 S
up
ply
-ch
ain
fin
anci
ng
inst
rum
en
ts (w
are
ho
use
re
ceip
ts, c
on
trac
t fa
rmin
g, e
tc.)
1.2
.4 M
icro
fin
ance
Fac
iliti
es
1.2
.5 C
red
it U
nio
ns
1.2
.6 A
vail
abil
ity
of R
isk
Cap
ital
(e.g
. ve
ntu
re c
apit
al,
pri
vate
eq
uit
y fu
nd
s)
1.2
.7 L
eas
ing
1.3
.1 F
inan
cial
lite
racy
1.1 Effective Regulatory Framework 1.2 Access to External Finance 1.3 Other factors that affect de-mand and
supply of fi-nance
0
1
2
3
4
5
3
2
3 3 3 3
2
1
2
4
3
2
4
1
EXAMPLE OF RESULTS
Source: OECD Peer Review Assessment of the Kyrgyz Republic (2013)
• Review current collateral and provisioning requirements• Streamline procedures for registration of moveable assets• Expand the activities of the existing guarantee funds and develop a regulatory framework for risk capital• Enhance financial literacy through targeted support programmes on business planning and financial management
Example recommendations
OECD Private Sector Development 16
Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
OECD Private Sector Development 17
Remittances are a significant source of Tajikistan’s external revenueTheir share to GDP is higher than FDI, Exports and Aid combined
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Bilateral Aid
FDI
Re-mit-
tances
Exports
Remittances and other sources of external revenue as a share of Tajikistan’s GDP
• Remittances amounted to more than 3.6 billion US Dollars in 2012• 87% of which are channelled through low cost formal channels
• An estimated 10-30% of remittances correspond to small export revenue
Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators, National Bank of Tajikistan
Share of Tajikistan’s
GDP
OECD Private Sector Development 18
Growing remittances are rarely used for private sector development, where access to finance barriers persist
•Remittances are a very high and reliable inflow, despite their seasonality•Aggregate remittance savings are almost as high as domestic credit to the private sector
Sources: Buckley and Hofmann (2012), World Bank: Tajik Living Standards Monitoring Survey, World Development Indicators; * Calculation based on WDI data and ILO (2010) Migrant remittances to Tajikistan the potential for savings, economic investment and existing financial products to attract remittances
Lending to the private sector as a share of GDP is small compared to other countries in Eurasia
Tajikistan Azerbaijan Kazakhstan Moldova Armenia Mongolia0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
13%
20%
37% 38%
43%
52%
Growing remittances inflows are not translated into higher shares of credit to the private sector
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Remittances: 46%
Domestic credit to the private sector: 13%
Of which: long term savings: 5%*Savings from remittances: 11%*
Share of Tajikistan’s GDP
OECD Private Sector Development 19CONFIDENTIAL – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
The potential of remittances policies has already been identified, but further policies could be implemented
Access to financeSituation in Tajikistan • Very large inflows of remittances, that are reliable on the long term, but little usage for
access to finance
• The National Labor Migration Strategy aims to improve the use of remittances in the economy
• GIZ works on financial literacy, development of the microfinance sector & product development
• Several donors provide advice and support to the banking system and MFI sector
What could be further done?
Potential impacts of using remittances for access to finance extend to skills and knowledge, and access to foreign markets
?
OECD Private Sector Development 20
Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
OECD Private Sector Development 21CONFIDENTIAL – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Migration and remittances – policy instruments focus on financial inclusion, SME development advisory and investment advice
Financial inclusion: Improve the transfer of remittances into savings Establish co-operation between Money Transfer Organisations (MTOs) and Micro
Finance Institutions (MFIs) The people’s network, Mexico
Create remittance-specific products and build financial knowledge The people’s network, Mexico
SME development support: Encourage migrant entrepreneurship Actively encourage returning migrants to start up their own business PARE 1+1, Moldova
Paisano invierte en tu tierra, Mexico
Match investments by migrants with public money PARE 1+1, Moldova Paisano invierte en tu tierra, Mexico
Help SMEs tap into the diaspora market and/or profit from migrants’ expert knowledge
Paisano invierte en tu tierra, Mexico
Provide services, such as business consultancies, information services, training in small-scale business management and financial support, etc
PARE 1+1, Moldova Paisano invierte en tu tierra, Mexico
Investment advice: Inform on investment opportunities for migrants Create an agency contacting migrants and informing them about investment
opportunities Mexico
Connect migrants and high potential SMEs/local investment opportunities Mexico
Financial literacy: All policy instruments should be complemented by efforts to increase remittance receivers’ and senders’ financial literacy and knowledge.
Three case studies will be investigated: Mexico, Moldova and Turkey.
OECD Private Sector Development 22
Mexico – the world’s second biggest receiver of remittances
Sources: World Bank. 2010. Migration and Remittances Factbook 2011: Second Edition. Terrazas, Aaron. 2010. “Mexican Immigrants in the United States.” Migrationpolicy.org. http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/mexican-immigrants-united-states-0. World Bank. 2013. World Development Indicators 2013. Washington, D.C.,: World Bank. http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/978-0-8213-9824-1. Özden, Çağlar. 2013. “Low Hanging Fruit on the Development Tree: Patterns of Global Migration & Opportunities” presented at INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AND GLOBAL PUBLIC GOODS: Patterns of Global Migration and Opportunities for Policy Makers, World Bank; World Development Indicators
• 13 million Mexicans live abroad, 11 % of the population
• Largest destination country is the US, Mexico-USA is the biggest migration corridor
• Mostly, but not solely low-skilled employment: 14% of migrants are high-skilled workers
Background: A large number of migrants…
CASE STUDY
…that remits a substantial amount
• Mexico is the second largest recipient of remittances in absolute terms
• In 2012, the country received remittances of 23 billion USD
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $5,000,000,000.00
$10,000,000,000.00
$15,000,000,000.00
$20,000,000,000.00
$25,000,000,000.00
$30,000,000,000.00
After growing for decades, remittances to Mexico have stabilised at high levels
OECD Private Sector Development 23
Remittances are first transferred to savings, in addition, programmes aim to promote entrepreneurship and investment
Source: Ministry of Economy of Mexico, Information brochure “Sácale provecho a tus remesas” (2012), Instituto de los Mexicanos en el Exterior; De la Torre, Augusto, Juan Carlos Gozzi, and Sergio Luis Schmukler. 2007. “Innovative Experiences in Access to Finance: Market Friendly Roles for the Visible Hand ?” Policy Research Working Paper Series 4326. The World Bank
CASE STUDY
• Compatriot, invest in your country:Financial support and advisory services supporting the creation and strengthening of agribusinesses or the export of typical Mexican products to diaspora markets
• Investment promotion to rural property:Advising migrants on how to and where to invest in farming co-operatives
Investments in agriculture• 3x1 Programme for migrants:
Matching public money with migrant investments in the development of livestock agricultural projects, infrastructure, manufacturing or others
• Business initiation programme for migrants:Facilitating productive options for Mexicans abroad who wish to start , build or reactivate a micro, small or medium business in Mexico
Creation of businesses
• The peoples’ network:Facilitate the transfer of remittances into savings/investment accounts at Microfinance Institutions and banks by creating a network that is connected to large Money Transfer Organisations and banks abroad.
The basis: Financial inclusion of remittance senders and receivers
2
1
OECD Private Sector Development 24
Good fundamentals: Remittances are connected to bank accounts and tailored financial products are provided
Source: De la Torre, Augusto, Juan Carlos Gozzi, and Sergio Luis Schmukler. 2007. “Innovative Experiences in Access to Finance: Market Friendly Roles for the Visible Hand ?” Policy Research Working Paper Series 4326. The World Bank. Taber et al. (2004) Integrating the Poor into the Mainstream Financial System: The BANSEFI and SAGARPA Programs in Mexico; BANSEFI (2010) The Importance of the receiving network: L@Red de la Gente – The Value of being close. Presentation at Directo a México Conference, Atlanta, GA. BANSEFI http://www.bansefi.gob.mx/redgente/Paginas/Quees.aspx accessed 28 February 2014.
• Coverage of rural areas by banks was low, many loosely regulated or unregulated financial institutions filled the gap
• Support programme to strengthen credit and saving unions:- New regulatory and supervisory framework - Capacity building of existing MFIs- Creation of a shared technological platform- Provision of centralised back-office software and services
• National Savings and Financial Services Bank (BANSEFI) as driver of the process
First step: Strengthening MFIs Second step: Linking MFIs and remittances
• On top of existing MFI, BANSEFI developed and implemented a commercial alliance - a network of savings and credit institutions
• The network was then linked to Money Transfer Organisations, facilitating the transfer of remittances through
• the “traditional” sending of remittances• directly depositing remittances to an
account
• Development of accounts that link different savings and investment products, migrants can allocate different proportions to savings or investments
CASE STUDY 1
OECD Private Sector Development 25
Example programme: Compatriot invest in your land Focus is on SME advisory and co-financing of agribusiness investments
CASE STUDY
Description of the programme
• Target group:Farmers in Mexico or abroad that want to invest in Mexico using remittances
• Content of the programme: Targeted co-financing for storage,
cooling, packaging, processing and marketing
Assistance in the creation of business plans or export certification, especially for the US nostalgia market for Mexican products
• Strong emphasis on outreach:Through Mexican associations in US cities as well as information provided in Mexico
• Many migrants come from rural under-developed areas
• Agriculture provides around 15% of employment
• However, the sector lacks financing
• In addition, a substantial market of Mexicans in the US emerged, demanding Mexican nostalgia products
Rationale
Source: Ministry of Economy of Mexico, Information brochure “Sácale provecho a tus remesas” (2012), Instituto de los Mexicanos en el Exterior
2
OECD Private Sector Development 26
Lessons learnt and questions for Tajikistan
Source: OECD analysis
CASE STUDYCASE STUDYCASE STUDY
• Complementarity:Leverage existing programmes and institutions
• Focus on the fundamentals:Combine entrepreneurship programmes with efforts to increase migrants’ participation in the financial sector
• Communication:Reach out to and inform migrants abroad about programmes at home
• Service-oriented:Provide convenient services and a simple choice to migrants
Key success factors
• What kind of programmes and services are already existing in Tajikistan and abroad?
• How can migrants’ participation in the financial sector be further facilitated?
• Are there any migrant associations abroad? How strong are migrants’ ties to Tajikistan?
• How can services be provided as convenient as possible (abroad/local – urban/rural)?
Example questions for Tajikistan
OECD Private Sector Development 27
Moldova has experienced high levels of migration and remittances, policy instruments aim to translate remittances to investments
Sources: Source: Ibabanji (2012) Program on attracting remittances into the economy “PARE 1+1”. Presentation at the ETF seminar “Migration and Skills”, 6 – 7 March 2012, Torino; UN in Moldova Magazine (2012) Building Future at Home, “Program on attracting Remittances into the economy ‘’PARE 1+1’’for 2010-2015,
High migration and remittances inflows…
CASE STUDY
…a small percentage used for investment
• Number of migrants: around 300,000 persons, or 25 % of the economically active population
• Remittances level: 23% of GDP
• Remittances are the major source of financial inflows
• 45% of migrants go to the EU, the same number is migrating to CIS countries
• Remittances use: mostly used for basic household consumption, consumer durables, purchase of housing, and debt repayment.
• Less than 7 % are used to finance business investments, 5 % are deposited into savings accounts
General problems include:
• Lack of awareness regarding business development opportunities
• Weak entrepreneurial skills
• Lack of incentives for SME establishment and development
• Limited access of migrants and remittance beneficiaries to financial resources
OECD Private Sector Development 28
PARE 1+1 programme: Focus on strengthening entrepreneurial skills and knowledge and matching remittances investments with public money
It consists of four pillars:
1. Information and Communication:- consultation and information
2. Training and Entrepreneurial Support:- training courses
3. Business Financing/1+1 Rule:- investments by migrants are matched with an equivalent subsidy by PARE 1+1
4. Post-financing Monitoring and Program Evaluation
Policy instrument: PARE 1+1 programme
CASE STUDY
Main results
Objective: mobilization of human and financial resources of the Moldovan migrant workers in order to sustain the economic development of the Republic of Moldova by stimulating the establishment and development of SMEs.
• Creation of 153 start-ups in the following sectors:
• 313 companies assisted• They provide 1600 jobs• Attraction of >4 million Euro• This is 2.5 times the value of programme investments
42 %
29 %
30 %Agriculture
Production
Services
Sources: Source: Ibabanji (2012) Program on attracting remittances into the economy “PARE 1+1”. Presentation at the ETF seminar “Migration and Skills”, 6 – 7 March 2012, Torino; UN in Moldova Magazine (2012) Building Future at Home, “Program on attracting Remittances into the economy ‘’PARE 1+1’’for 2010-2015,
OECD Private Sector Development 29
Lessons learnt and questions for TajikistanCASE STUDYCASE STUDY
• Communication:- Motivate migrants through success stories- Communication with the diaspora is critical
• Governance:Involvement of the local public administration in the implementation of the programme
• Financial support:Match remittances investment with public funds
• Improving business climate: Important to create an enabling environment for SMEs - Moldova ranks 81st globally, up from 93 (2013)
Lessons learnt
• Which communication channels to the diaspora exist?
• Could support services first focus on urban areas or pilot regions?
• Are public or donor funds available for co-financing?
• Is the general business climate supportive enough for migrant entrepreneurial activity?
Example questions for Tajikistan
Source: OECD analysis, 2014 Review of Pare 1+1: “Program on attracting Remittances into the economy ‘’PARE 1+1’’for 2010-2015, report elaborated in Chisinau 2014. World Bank, and International Finance Corporation. 2013. Doing Business 2013: Smarter Regulations for Small and Medium-Size Enterprises. Doing Business 2013. Washington, D. C: World Bank : International Finance Corporation.
OECD Private Sector Development 30
In the 1970’s Turkey witnessed large levels of state-supported labor migration
Sources: World Bank. 2013. World Development Indicators 2013. Washington, D.C.,: World Bank. http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/978-0-8213-9824-1. Içduygu, A. (2005), "Migration, Remittances and their Impact on Economic Development in Turkey", in OECD, Migration, Remittances and Development, OECD Publishing
• For decades Turkey has been one of the top 10 remittance recipients among developing countries
• By 1980, 2.3 million Turkish citizens had emigrated, around 5% of the population.
• They remitted more than 2 billion USD, which corresponded to 3% of the GDP
Background Migration was seen as a development tool
• Most of the migration originated from rural underdeveloped areas and went to Europe
• Migration was intended to be temporary
• Goal was to develop sending regions of migrants
• Migrants kept strong ties to Turkey, created diaspora organisations
CASE STUDY
OECD Private Sector Development 31
Turkey’s focus on state-driven top-down remittance policy instruments resulted in limited success
Source: Içduygu, A. (2005), "Migration, Remittances and their Impact on Economic Development in Turkey", in OECD, Migration, Remittances and Development, OECD Publishing; Faist, Thomas, and Eyup Özveren, ed. 2004. Transnational Social Spaces: Agents, Networks, and Institutions. Harzig, Christiane, Danielle Juteau Lee, and Irina Schmitt. 2006. The Social Construction of Diversity: Recasting the Master Narrative of Industrial Nations. Oxford. Koc, Ismet, and Isil Onan. 2004. “International Migrants’ Remittances and Welfare Status of the Left-Behind Families in Turkey.” International Migration Review 38 (1): 78–112 Köksal, Nazli Elif. 2006. “Determinants and Impact on the Turkish Economy of Remittances.” MATISSE.
• Creation of Worker’s Joint Stock Companies (>600 companies) • Aim: invest in the industrialisation of
underdeveloped regions• Created with capital from shareholders
working in Europe (at least 50% of migrants as shareholders)
• OR: created with savings from migrants abroad, local shareholders (min. 50%) and state investments
• Establishment of the State Industry and Workers’ Investment Bank• To support Worker’s Joint Stock Companies
Inadequate project identification: Goals of companies were not in line with economic considerations
Bad financial and technical planning and management
Lack of good governance Inadequacy of communications Mismatch between financial resources
and workers’ entrepreneurial abilities
Result:Only 20-30 companies remain up to now
Policy instrument Lessons learnt
CASE STUDY
OECD Private Sector Development 32
Lessons learnt and questions for Tajikistan
Source: Içduygu, A. (2005), "Migration, Remittances and their Impact on Economic Development in Turkey", in OECD, Migration, Remittances and Development, OECD Publishing; OECD analysis
CASE STUDY
Main lesson: Policies have to be based on economic evidence, a strong investment incentive should be present to limit misuse
• Focus on political instead of economic goals – Worker’s Joint Stock Companies had to operate according to political considerations instead of economic needs
• Business skills were not sufficient for large companies based on contributions from numerous remittance senders
Problematic areas
• How can a supportive environment be created in which businesses set their own goals?
• How can efforts focus on creating small, easy manageable independent companies?
Example questions for Tajikistan
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Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
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Suggested areas to be further investigated: Focus should be on financial inclusion or SME development adviceSUMMARY
Financial literacy has to be complementary to any instrument applied
Complementarity:Leverage existing programmes and institutions
Service-orientation:Provide convenient services and a simple choice to migrants
Focus area 1: Financial inclusion• How can migrants’ participation in the financial
sector be further facilitated?
• How can services be provided as convenient as possible (abroad/local – urban/rural)?
Creation of entrepreneurial skills:Provide advice and training in entrepreneurial skills to migrant entrepreneurs
Financial support:Match targeted remittances investment with public funds
Focus area 2: SME development advice
• How can efforts focus on creating small, easy manageable independent companies?
• Is the general business climate supportive enough for migrant entrepreneurial activity?
Communication:Reach out to and inform migrants abroad about investment opportunities at home
Focus area 3: Remittances investment information
• How can a supportive environment be created in which investors and businesses set their own goals?
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Agenda
Introduction to the project
Assessment of Access to Finance policies in Tajikistan: Methodological Framework
Remittances as an opportunity for SME development and access to finance Baseline situation in Tajikistan International case studies and lessons learnt Discussion of case studies’ relevance for Tajikistan
Next steps
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How to further assess policy gapsMain components and suggested work plan for Working Group members
Horizontal Assessment
Remittances policy instrument
ComponentsExpected contributions
from WG members Timeline
Availability for content discussions by phone or in Dushanbe
Provision of information on access to finance regulations
Availability for content discussions by phone or in Dushanbe
Provision of data and strategies
Feed-back on if/how good policy practices from other countries could be applicable to Tajikistan
From now on to next WG meeting in June 2014
Fact-finding mission to Dushanbe to be organised in April 2014
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Working Group Schedule: Two more meetings are suggested for 2014The objective is to get ready for the Roundtable in November 2014
2013 2014
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
COUNTR
Y LEVE
L
Working Group,
Dushanbe
Project Steering Group,
Dushanbe
REGIONA
L
Eurasia Competitiveness
Roundtable,Paris
1st Roundtable Peer review of
action plans for reforms in the
Kyrgyz Republic
2nd Roundtable Peer review of two
action plans for reforms of Tajikistan
1st Meeting Decision on focus and set up of two thematic
working groups
2nd Meeting Review of the initial results
and recommendations
3rd Meeting Endorsement of final
recommendations
3 meetings will be conducted for each of the two Working Groups
Design of draft action plans for reform
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Points of decision
1. To agree on the project schedule
2. To agree on the focus area of the Working Group
3. To agree on the assignment of responsibilities and expected contributions from Working Group members
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OECD contact details
Grégory LECOMTEProject Manager and Policy Analyst,OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programmee-mail: [email protected]
Sebastian KUPFERSCHMIDPolicy Analyst, OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programmee-mail: [email protected]
Martin POSPISILPolicy Analyst, OECD Eurasia Competitiveness Programmee-mail: [email protected]