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Scenario Navigator A platform for the Decision Support Studio

November 8, 2011 1 Scenario Navigator

dr. ir. R.T.H. Chin

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Contents

• What is Scenario Navigator?

• What it was

• What it became

• What it will become, a vision

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What is Scenario Navigator?

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What is Scenario Navigator?

Manager

Developer Analyst

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What is Scenario Navigator?

Interactive

dashboards Charts Reports

Scenario

management

User

management

Tables &

queries

Gantt

charts

Running

simulation

models

Project

database

Supporting

simulation

engines

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What it was

Simulation

Consultant Analyst Report

Desktop software

Mainly supporting the analyst and the modeler

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What it became as well

Simulation as a service

Running models on servers

A web interface to Scenario Navigator

Simulation in the cloud

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What it will become, a vision

A platform for the Decision Support Studio

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Multi-Actor

Manager

Manager

Manager

Expert Analyst/Engineer Engineer

Customer

Contractor

Simulation consultant

Analyst/Engineer

Reports to

Provides model and SN project

Manager

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Singerian Inquiry

Infrastructure

Environment

Energy

Safety

Production

Commercial

Financial

Corporate

HRM

Challenge

Solution

No solution

•Interdisciplinary - Integrative

•Quantitative - Qualitative

•Objective - Subjective

•Long term - Short term

•Public - Private

Monitoring performance

Gaining insight

Building knowledge

Querying from

different viewpoints

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Dynamic Modeling Cycle

Conceptual

models

Empirical

model ( =

simulation

model)

Models of

alternative

solutions

Chosen

solution

Problem

situation

Changed

situation

Conceptualization Specification

Find solutions

Choice Implementation

New cycle

Validation

Analysis

Evaluation

Consistency check

The simulation – way of solving problems

Image source: TU Delft, Faculty of Technology Policy and Management, Systems Engineering section

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People, Process, Technology

People

Process

Technology

Planning Objective

Ideas Strategy

Tools Deliverables

Direction

Deadlines

Creativity Skills Experience

Workflow

Recipes/Howto’s Reports Presentations Mail

Focus

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A Suite of Services

Analyzing Controlling Archiving Running Managing

Comparing Visualizing Reporting

Monitoring

Scheduling

Versioning Linking

Experimenting

… More Communicating

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A Platform

A platform for decision support services

Project

Structure

Scenarios Data Sources Charts Gauges

Dashboards User

Management

Users Roles

Run Queue

Model

Engines

Etc

Services

Architecture, Components, APIs

Analyzing Controlling ArchivingRunningManaging

Comparing Visualizing Reporting

Monitoring

Scheduling

Versioning Linking

Experimenting

… MoreCommunicating

Analyzing Controlling ArchivingRunningManaging

Comparing Visualizing Reporting

Monitoring

Scheduling

Versioning Linking

Experimenting

… MoreCommunicating

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The Disappearing Computer

Ubiquitous computing: the post-desktop model of human-computer interaction

Nodes in a network:

•Smartphone

•Laptop

•Tablet

•Multi-touch table

•Augmented reality

•…

Microsoft Surface. Source: Microsoft Corp.

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Corporate Infrastructure

SAP

SharePoint

MS Office

Mail

CRM

Scenario

Navigator

Book keeping

Resource management

Sharing information

Productivity

Communication

Networking

CAD

Design

Decision support

Models

Domain Modeling

Models Models

An ecosystem of systems

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The Studio

Collaborative

Multi-actor

Ubiquitous

Visual

Interactive

Distributed

Creative

Dynamic

MS Office SharePoint Scenario

Navigator Mail SAP CAD CRM

Simulation servers

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In the near future

• Experimental design

• Scenario comparison

• Advanced visualizations

• Run plans

Model1

Model2

Model3

X Z

13 21

C1

6

KPIs

S1

5 20 5 S2

14 19 7 S3

--

++

+

Judgment1

+

+/-

+

Judgment2

Results of simulation runs

Estimated value

Number of counters

Eff

icie

ncy

Results of simulation runs

Estimated value

Number of counters

Eff

icie

ncy

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Questions

Questions