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    The Recognition and Measurement of Liabilities in IFRS

    Abstract

    An important application for financial accounting theory is in accounting standards, for

    which clarity of conceptual foundation can be viewed as essential in addressing the practical

    complexities of determining financial position and financial performance. Viewed from this

    perspective, the recognition and measurement of liabilities in IFRS is inadequately theorised:

    there is an absence of coherent and consistently-applied theory in both the conceptual

    framework for financial reporting and in accounting standards themselves. Moreover, this

    absence does not result simply from a failure to apply theory that is well-established in the

    literature. Instead, potentially relevant contributions from the literature are few in number,

    largely disconnected from one another, and at best only indirectly focused on the challenge

    at hand. In this paper, we focus on measurement theory, which has come to play an

    increasingly important role in IFRS, but to an extent that we argue takes it beyond the

    boundaries of practical applicability. In contrast, yet for related reasons, a theory of

    conservatism has been downplayed in IFRS, in spite of its relevance as a complement to

    measurement theory under conditions of uncertainty. Our analysis has implications both for

    accounting theory with respect to recognition and measurement and for the application of

    that theory in accounting standards.

    Keywords

    Liabilities; Recognition; Measurement; Conservatism; Conceptual Framework; IFRS.

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    The Recognition and Measurement of Liabilities in IFRS

    1.

    Introduction

    The purpose of this paper is to contribute to accounting theory and financial reporting

    practice with respect to the recognition and measurement of liabilities. Our research is

    motivated by the observation that IFRS is inadequately theoretically grounded in this area.

    Without formal explanation or justification, IFRS standards and proposals contain multiple

    different methods of recognising and measuring liabilities, with inconsistencies among these

    methods and with no two standards or proposals adopting the same method.

    We question why such diversity exists. Does it imply inappropriate application by the IASB

    of established theory, or inadequately developed theory? We do not find answers to either of

    these questions in the literature. Indeed, potentially relevant contributions from the literature

    are few in number, largely disconnected from one another, and at best only indirectly focused

    on the challenge at hand.

    The paper is structured as follows. In the next section, we set out our research motivation,

    data and method. Our paper is both theoretical and (qualitatively) empirical. The paper is

    empirical in so far as we treat the text of IFRS as qualitative data, against which we test the

    IASBs application of measurement theory. The paper is theoretical in so far as we seek to

    analyse and develop recognition and measurement theory and to identify normative

    implications.

    Drawing upon the literature, we set out in Section 3 an analysis of theory concerning the

    recognition and measurement of liabilities. We focus on a specific interpretation of

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    measurement theory, the primary insights of which, for the purposes of our paper, can be

    summarised as follows.

    The process of measurement requires the existence of a currently observable measurement

    attribute. The future cannot be observed directly, and therefore it is not possible to measure

    directly attributes that are expected to exist in the future. In particular, future cash flows are

    not currently measurable. What can be measured is a currently-held expectation of a future

    cash flow, as for example captured in a market price. In this case, while a currently

    observable measurement attribute does exist, the measurement is of current expectations, not

    future cash flows. Viewing measurement in this way, and noting that expectations are

    inherently subjective, an important question is whether (and if so in what way) it is

    appropriate to base the balance sheet valuation of liabilities upon expectations.

    In Sections 4 and 5, we apply our analysis to, respectively, the theoretical position that is

    stated in the IASBs conceptual framework (IASB, 2010; hereafter Framework)1and to

    IFRS standards and proposals. The IASBs approach can be characterised as one of

    presuming measurability for all liabilities. We argue that the distinction between the

    measurable and the immeasurable noted above provides insight into the limitations of this

    approach.2 In particular, there exist categories of liabilities which, for good informational

    reasons, are recognised in IFRS, yet for which measurement theory provides no support.

    Accordingly, we set out in Section 6 implications for extending accounting theory with

    respect to the recognition and measurement of liabilities. In particular, we identify that a

    theory of conservatism has been downplayed in IFRS, in spite of its relevance as a

    complement to measurement theory under conditions of uncertainty. We conclude the paper

    in Section 7, identifying potential avenues for revisions to IFRS and for further research.

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    2. Research Method

    Our motivation for this paper arises from the IASBs inconsistent approach to liability

    recognition and measurement. The evidence for this inconsistency is found in our source

    data, which comprise all accounting standards, exposure drafts and discussion papers issued

    (or revised) by the IASB concerning the recognition and measurement of liabilities, coupled

    with all public-record comment letters sent to the IASB in response to these pronouncements.

    These data are summarised in Table 1.3 Taken together, these documents comprise a rich

    source of information. They contain not only the formal requirements of IFRS, but also the

    IASBs formal explanations for these requirements. Through the issues raised by each

    document, the changes made from previous documents, and the responses of stakeholders,

    these documents also help to reveal areas of tension and challenge, together with the reasons

    why these challenging situations are perceived to exist, and the extent to which they are either

    similar or different in nature across accounting standards.

    ** Insert Table 1 here **

    At first sight, it is surprising that the IASB, with the benefit of extensive stakeholder

    engagement, is knowingly inconsistent4in the development of IFRS. To understand how this

    has happened on such a widespread basis, we sought to analyse the theoretical foundations of

    recognition and measurement in IFRS. This process initially involved considerable iteration

    between our source data and the literature, as we sought to develop a theoretical framework

    with which to address the inconsistency that we observed in practice (Van de Ven, 2007). As

    will be explored in Sections 3, 4 and 5, we found that we were able to achieve traction on our

    research question by focusing on measurement theory. Specifically, we first test

    measurement theory against IFRS data, which leads us to conclude, as will be argued in

    Sections 4 and 5, that the application of this theory in IFRS is flawed.5 We then argue that a

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    direct implication of this conclusion is a need for new theory to complement that which is

    already evident in IFRS. In seeking to contribute to theory development in this way, our

    analysis of measurement theory suggested a natural path to follow. We argue that the limited

    applicability of measurement theory is manifest for liabilities to a greater degree than for

    assets, and that conservatism in accounting is the underlying reason for this. Yet the IASBs

    application of measurement theory has led it to reject conservatism as being nothing more

    than biased measurement, instead of adopting theory to rationalise the presence of

    conservatism. We will argue in Section 6 that, under conditions of measurement uncertainty,

    a theory of conservatism is required. We also argue that this position finds support in the

    literature.

    Our paper therefore focuses on two theories in accounting: measurement and conservatism.

    We argue that the former is used incorrectly in IFRS and is not applicable to all liabilities,

    while the need for the latter is unacknowledged in IFRS. While these conclusions help to

    explain the extant inconsistencies in IFRS, they do not in themselves lead to comprehensive,

    normative prescriptions for liability recognition and measurement in IFRS.

    Acknowledgement of the limitations of measurement theory implies a need for an alternative

    theory, which is provided only partially by extant theory concerning conservatism.

    The paper now proceeds as follows. Drawing upon the academic literature, Section 3

    provides a summary of relevant aspects of recognition and measurement theory, with a

    particular focus on contrasting a measurement perspective with an informational perspective.

    Sections 4 and 5 then apply this analysis of theory to, respectively, an evaluation of the

    Framework, and to the requirements or proposals issued by the IASB. We argue that our

    analysis contributes considerably to understanding extant inconsistencies in IFRS. In Section

    6, we then discuss the implications of our analysis for conservatism in accounting. Section 7

    concludes the paper.

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    3. Extant Recognition and Measurement Theory

    The literature contains many theoretical papers and other contributions, published over

    several decades, relating primarily to the recognition and measurement of assets (for

    example, Edwards and Bell, 1961; Sterling, 1970). Relatively little has been published

    specifically addressing liabilities.6There are perhaps two reasons for this. First, when

    addressing value attributes, it is natural and intuitive to think first of assets. Second, if a

    liability is conceptualised as the opposite of an asset, then an analysis of assets can simply be

    viewed in the mirror for the purpose of analysing liabilities. We will argue later in the paper

    that this reasoning is insufficient for the theoretical analysis of liabilities. In this section,

    however, we are concerned with summarising the extant literature, and so our analysis views

    liabilities as the mirror-image of assets.

    The mirror-like relationship between assets and liabilities is perhaps most straightforward in

    the case of a simple, fixed-rate bank loan, which, as an asset (liability) in a banks

    (borrowers) accounts, is a right to receive (obligation to transfer) economic benefits: the

    liability mirrors the asset, and the accounting for each counterparty can be expected to be

    identical.7 Moreover, and as set out in Table 2, for any measurement attribute of an asset,

    there is an analogue for a liability (see also Baxter, 1975; Nobes, 2001; Lennard, 2002;

    Horton et al., 2011). Taking, for example, the first two cases in Table 2, the exit value for an

    asset is likely to differ depending upon whether it derives value from being held (value-in-

    use) rather than through exchange with a market participant (fair value). Analogously, the

    exit value for a loan held as a liability is either, respectively, the present value of contractual

    payments (cost of performance) or the amount for which the loan could be exchanged in the

    capital market (fair value). The third case in Table 2 (cost of release) is also an exit value

    attribute, being the amount that the counterparty is contractually obliged to accept, at the

    balance sheet date, in full settlement of the outstanding balance.8The fourth case, in contrast

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    to the first three, is an entry cost. For a bank loan held as an asset, the analogue here is the

    amount that the entity would expect to receive if it chose to replace an existing loan. This

    amount can be termed current equivalent proceeds. Cases five and six in Table 2 are hybrids

    of the above (Macve, 2010).

    ** Insert Table 2 here **

    This theoretical consistency holds in spite of data limitations that may exist in practice. For

    many liabilities, for example, a cost of transfer may not exist. Such a case might arise in

    practice for liabilities where inflows occur in advance of performance, for example

    performance obligations arising from revenue contracts with customers (Samuelson, 1993).

    The difference here from the earlier case of the bank loan is that, while there is an inflow of

    economic benefits, the liability is in the form of a performance obligation (an expected

    outflow of goods or services), rather than a contractual future cash outflow.9 Such

    obligations typically have unique, entity-specific attributes, and there may be no readily

    available way of transferring the liability, and hence no cost of transfer. For other liabilities,

    there is no cost of release. This is often the case of with provisions,10which typically have

    either no underlying contract (e.g. lawsuits) or else a contract with effectively no current exit

    option (e.g. pension obligations in most jurisdictions). Moreover, provisions can in general

    be viewed as liabilities for which the debit entry on initial recognition is not an asset with an

    observable value, such as cash.11 Hence there is no observable entry value. Indeed, in a case

    such as a lawsuit, there is arguably no entry value at all, because there is no inflow of

    resource; so the only applicable measurement attribute is exit value.

    In principle, these observations concerning the data limitations for liabilities could also be

    said to hold for some assets. This is illustrated in Table 3, which summarises the four

    possible cases concerning the availability of entry and/or exit prices. The case of the bank

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    loan is the simplest, where both entry and exit values are observable. For many fixed assets,

    there is likely to be an observable entry value without an observable exit value, where value

    is derived in use. In contrast, the example of an asset generated by (some) share-based

    compensation illustrates the case of an exit value that is observable with an entry value is not

    observable. Finally, the case where neither value is observable is possible for certain

    intangible assets, such as internally-generated brands. Overall, therefore, there is not an in-

    principle difference in the four categories in Table 3 between assets and liabilities.

    ** Insert Table 3 here **

    Further, in practice, for both assets and liabilities, and where only the entry value is

    observable, a typical, implicit assumption is that of an exchange of equal value. This means

    that the (unknown) value of the asset or liability can be set equal to the (known) value of the

    corresponding side of the double entry: assets are valued at the cost of resources sacrificed

    and liabilities are valued at the value of resources received. This approach of indirect, proxy

    measurement can be argued to provide the prevailing logic of historical cost accounting

    (Paton, 1922; Sterling, 1970). Equally, if an observable exit value exists but there is no

    observable entry value, the exit value can act as a proxy for the entry value. The assumption

    of an exchange of equal value does not, however, provide an answer for the final case in

    Table 3, which is when neither the entry value nor the exit value is currently observable. In

    principle, recognition in this case would require that the value of the asset or the liability

    must, in some way, be estimated. This creates a problem. As will now be discussed, on the

    interpretation of measurement theory presented in this paper, such values are not actually

    measurable but are instead estimates based only on forecasts. This is a point of considerable

    importance for this paper, and so the remainder of this section is devoted to exploring it

    further.12

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    !+

    There is no universally accepted definition of measurement. A standard reference is Stevens

    (1946), who defines measurement as any process of the assignment of numerals to objects or

    events according to rules. This definition has been criticised for being too loose, because it

    allows more or less any assignment of numbers to categories to be defined as measurement,

    even if the underlying method of assignment is inherently arbitrary (Lord, 1953). On this

    basis, any number reported in a financial statement is by definition a measure, based as it is

    upon the application of a rule, in the form of an accounting standard. If the concept of

    measurement is to have any analytical traction, something more is required.

    Deeper insight comes from considering the process of measurement, which can be broken

    down into three stages: definition of the attribute to be measured, determination of the

    quantum (or measurement scale) and application of a measurement instrument to the item in

    question (Vehmanen, 2007). It is only the third of these stages that is empirical. While the

    measurement attribute and the measurement scale can be determined in principle, the

    application of a measurement instrument can only be done in practice, and it requires the

    existence of a currently observable measurement attribute. This is an essential point.

    Measurement is straightforward in certain cases, such as cash, or assets and liabilities with

    observable market values in active markets, or where there exist certain contractual

    commitments at the balance sheet date.13

    Yet if, for example, the attribute to be measured is

    the cost of performance, and the quantum is money, then a fundamental problem arises,

    which is that a measurement instrument cannot be applied. This is because future cash flows

    are not currently observable. The cost of performance therefore cannot, in the sense

    described here, be measured: the future does not currently exist, and so future cash flows are

    immeasurable (Chambers, 1998; Rosenfield, 2003).

    The concept of measurement error is likewise inapplicable to the (non-existent) future. While

    there is likely to be estimation error in practice for the measurement of any currently

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    observable item, the item is nevertheless in principle measurable (Morgenstern, 1950). This

    measurement is also in principle verifiable and it can therefore be considered to be objective

    (McKernan, 2007). In contrast, forecast error is not measurement error; it is instead the

    difference between a current forecast and a future realisation that does not yet exist. And to

    the extent that any given forecast is a matter of individual opinion about something that is

    unobservable, it is subjective and cannot be verified.14 Moreover, while measurement can be

    viewed, in the simplest case, as relating to a single, measurable amount, forecasts can be

    conceptualised as a probability distribution, making the perceived economic value of the

    asset or liability equal to expected value. The values determined by measurement and by

    forecasting are therefore different in nature.

    It is essential here not to confuse the data in a forecasting model, with which a cost of

    performance can be determined, and future data themselves, which do not currently exist

    (Winston, 1988). It ispossible to use a model to determine the expected value of future cash

    flows, and while the future cash flows themselves do not exist, the currently-held

    expectations do, and so they are in principle measurable. Sterling (1970) cautions that these

    expected values, based upon forecasts, are not a measurement of wealth unless one defines

    wealth as a state of mind, and an important question is therefore whether (and if so in what

    way) it is appropriate to base the balance sheet valuation of liabilities upon measures of

    expectations.15

    It is in this context that the market mechanism comes into play as a measurement instrument,

    because market prices provide observable and verifiable evidence of currently-held

    expectations. In effect, the market transforms subjective expectations about the future into

    currently observable amounts. In contrast, certain other types of expectation, such as those

    underpinning managements forecast of the cost of performance, are not directly observable

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    in practice, meaning that they cannot be measured, and that they are subjective and non-

    verifiable (Nagel, 1986).16

    A further consideration is that measurement can be of different types. Stevens (1946) noted

    the existence of different kinds of scales and different kinds of measurement, not all of equal

    power and usefulness. He proposed a classification of these scales into four types: nominal,

    ordinal, interval and ratio. Chambers (1964, 1965) noted that the secondary metrics common

    in accounting, such as net assets, leverage and return on equity, are conceptually valid only if

    there is ratio measurement, which is the most demanding category in Stevens typology.

    Moreover, for this purpose, there must be only a single measurement attribute used for all

    assets and liabilities, because core properties of additivity and ratio measurement would

    otherwise not hold (Chambers, 1998; Barth, 2006).

    This strict measurement perspective can be contrasted with an informational perspective

    (Christensen, 2010a). While not tightly defined, an informational perspective views

    accounting information as part of a broader information set, providing one source of input to

    users economic decision-making. Proponents of this perspective would argue that, given the

    inherent practical difficulties of a strict measurement perspective under conditions of

    imperfect and incomplete markets, it is inappropriate to rule out of consideration value

    attributes that are not strictly measurable (Beaver and Demski, 1974; Beaver, 1989), nor to

    automatically disallow mixed measurement. In particular, an informational perspective

    would suggest reporting information relevant to the sustainable economic performance of the

    entity, as opposed to a stricter statement of financial position at the balance sheet date,

    especially where that statement does not capture the economic choice that is likely to be

    undertaken by the entity (Macve, 2010; Whittington, 2010). An informational perspective

    would in principle allow the recognition of assets and liabilities that are not strictly

    measurable, for example because recognition of such items is necessary for the timely

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    recognition of unrealised gains and losses, an important part of accruals accounting (Ball and

    Shivakumar 2005).17

    In summary, it has been argued here that liabilities are in principle direct analogues for assets,

    even though the practical context for recognition and measurement may differ. (We discuss

    the implications of that practical context in Section 6.) We argue that an important

    conceptual distinction can be made between a measurement perspective and an informational

    perspective. It is only in the former domain that the language and method of measurement

    can be used without reservation or contention. The implication is that measurability cannot

    be universally presumed to exist. Assets or liabilities may nevertheless be deemed to exist

    even if their values cannot be measured, and information pertaining to them may be useful

    even though it is inevitably subjective.

    The next sections of this paper apply the analysis from this section to the current

    requirements or proposals concerning the recognition and measurement of liabilities in IFRS.

    Our aim is to test whether there is valid application of measurement theory in IFRS. We

    present our analysis in two parts, which are the theoretical foundations of liability

    measurement in the Framework (Section 4) and theory and practice in accounting standards

    themselves (Section 5).

    4. Recognition and Measurement Theory in the Conceptual Framework

    It is striking, and perhaps revealing with respect to theoretical foundations, that the IASBs

    Framework provides remarkably little guidance on recognition and measurement, even

    though it is clear on the importance of both factors for effective financial reporting. To the

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    extent that the Framework does reveal the IASBs position, the communication is often

    implicit.

    A liability is defined in the IASBs Framework as a present obligation of the entity arising

    from past events, the settlement of which is expected to result in an outflow from the entity of

    resources embodying economic benefits. The Framework also states that a liability is

    recognised in the balance sheet when it isprobablethat an outflow of resources embodying

    economic benefits will result from the settlement of a present obligation andthe amount at

    which settlement will take place can be measured reliably(italics added). There are

    therefore two recognition thresholds in the Framework: first, that an outflow of resources is

    probable and, second, that measurement of the settlement amount is reliable.

    While a liability is defined in the Framework as an expected outflow of resources, the

    probable outflow recognition threshold constrains the practical applicability of this definition.

    It does so by excluding outflows that are unlikely to happen. This exclusion is not precise, in

    that probable is not defined, although an interpretation such as more likely than not is

    consistent with both the Framework (Botosan et al, 2005) and with the binary nature of

    recognition (an item is either recognised or it is not).

    Viewed in terms of the analysis in Section 3, the concept of probable is explicitly concerned

    with unobservable future cash flows, and therefore with the absence of strict measurability at

    the balance sheet date, and yet the definition also calls for reliable measurement. There is a

    prima facieconflict here. It is possible, for example in the case of a liability that is a

    derivative financial instrument, to have a currently observable market price, and so objective

    measurement, yet for it to be probable that there will not be an outflow of resources. It is also

    possible, for example in the case of a provision, for the liability to not be reliably measurable

    and yet for it to be (subjectively) determined that there is a probable cash outflow. The point

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    is that the probability threshold is relevant when there is notreliable measurement, and vice

    versa.

    To illustrate, consider Table 4. In the case of the simple bank loan, both recognition

    thresholds are crossed and recognition is unambiguous. Likewise, for a contingent liability,

    neither is crossed, and non-recognition is unambiguous.18 The interesting cases are when one

    threshold is crossed and the other is not, which ought to lead to non-recognition under the

    Framework, but where the opposite conclusion seems to be the more tenable (indeed, and as

    will be discussed in Section 4, it is the opposite conclusion that is reached in practice in

    IFRS; Murray, 2010). These cases are the derivative with an improbable outflow and the

    provision with no observable measure. In the former case, if a currently observable, reliably

    measurable liability exists at the balance sheet date, it is difficult to argue that it should not be

    recognised. In the latter case, if the definition of a liability is met, and there is the

    expectation of an outflow of resource, then it is difficult to argue that the aims of financial

    reporting are best met by non-recognition.

    ** Insert Table 4 here **

    The problem is that probable outflow and reliable measurability are both treated by the

    Framework as necessary conditions for recognition, when either could be sufficient in itself.

    This is made clear in Figure 1, which is proposed as an alternative to the current recognition

    thresholds in the Framework. Consistent with the Framework, a prerequisite for recognition

    is meeting the definition of a liability. The first filter thereafter is whether there is a probable

    outflow, and if there is then the liability is recognised. Critically, this filter is only necessary

    when the recognised liability is a subjective forecast of future cash flows, as in the case of a

    provision. If, in contrast, the market mechanism has transformed uncertain future cash flows

    into quantified risk and thereby created an observable measure, then the probable outflow

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    !'

    threshold is not needed. The second filter is reliable measurability, with the effect that all

    reliably measurable liabilities are recognised. If Figure 1 is applied, three of the four

    categories in Table 4 now lead to recognition, as opposed to only one under the Framework.

    All probable outflows are recognised (not just those that are reliably measurable) and all

    reliably measurable liabilities are recognised (not just those with a probable outflow).

    Contingent liabilities that cannot be measured reliably and do not have a probable outflow

    continue to remain unrecognised, and the imprecise nature of probable outflows remains as

    a pragmatic recognition threshold for immeasurable liabilities. The imprecision is an

    unavoidable corollary of immeasurability: while recognition is desirable, precision is in

    principle unobtainable.

    ** Insert Figure 1 here **

    A possible difficulty with this approach is the inclusion of probable outflows that are not

    observable and therefore not reliably measurable, which conflicts with the traditional

    emphasis on reliability in financial accounting. The analysis of measurement theory in

    Section 3 suggests that this difficulty is unavoidable if forecasts are to be recognised in

    financial statements. In its revision to the Framework, however, the IASB has adopted an

    approach of attempting to avoid the unavoidable, by effectively broadening its definition of

    reliable measurement to encompass subjective forecasts. Specifically, the 2010 Framework

    revision replaces reliability with faithful representation, the components of which are

    completeness (representation is not partial), neutrality (there is no intended bias) and freedom

    from error (the item portrayed is the economic phenomenon in question). As the following

    extract makes clear, faithful representation is considered to be applicable even when

    observable measurement is not possible.

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    Faithful representation does not mean accurate in all respects ... For example, an

    estimate of an unobservable price or value cannot be determined to be accurate or

    inaccurate. However, a representation of that estimate can be faithful if the amount is

    described clearly and accurately as being an estimate, the nature and limitations of

    the estimating process are explained, and no errors have been made in selecting and

    applying an appropriate process for developing the estimate.

    There is confusion here between faithful representation of the process of determining an

    estimate, and faithful representation of the balance sheet item itself. The absence of an

    unobservable price or value means that the amount in question cannot in principlebe

    verifiably complete, neutral or free from error, no matter what process is applied in its

    determination. Curiously, the IASB even appears to have acknowledged this point in the

    above quotation but nevertheless to have persisted in disconnecting faithful representation

    from observability. The Discussion Paper that preceded the revised Framework had included

    the notion of verifiability, but then dropped it, as explained in BC3.36: some respondents (to

    the DP) pointed out that including verifiability as an aspect of faithful representation could

    result in excluding information that is not readily verifiable ... (which) would make the

    financial reports much less useful. The Board agreed and repositioned verifiability as an

    enhancing qualitative characteristic, very desirable but not necessarily required.

    Yet verifiability is the essence of objectivity, because it is the basis on which independent

    observers can reach the same measurement (Sterling, 1970; Nagel, 1986). In relegating the

    requirement for verifiability, the applicability of the IASBs concept of faithful representation

    is broadened, while its meaning is weakened. Viewed in terms of Table 4, the approach fails

    to make the distinction between items that are reliably measurable and those that are not, but

    instead creates a concept that embraces both categories.19 If the concept of faithful

    representation is, in this way, allowed to embrace both objective, verifiable measurement and

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    !)

    subjective forecasts, then it cannot in principle be tightly defined. This is, in effect, an

    informational perspective, not a measurement perspective.20

    The IASBs approach to faithful representation is not inconsistent with its own definition of

    measurement, but this is only because that definition is similarly loose. The Framework states

    that Measurement is the process of determining the monetary amounts at which the elements

    of the financial statements are to be recognized and carried in the balance sheet and income

    statement. (para. 99) Under this definition, anything that ends up being recognised in the

    financial statements has been though some (undefined) process of measurement. Equally, a

    numerical depiction can be deemed to be faithfully representational even if it cannot in

    principle be verifiably complete, neutral or free from error. In short, these definitions

    broaden, and so weaken, the definition of measurement to the extent that it loses any effective

    meaning.

    Elsewhere in the Framework also, the distinction made in Section 3 between the measurable

    and the immeasurable is conspicuous by its absence. The Frameworks definitions of

    measurement and measurement attributes suggest that little consideration was given (in the

    1989 text, still extant) to the concept of measurement, and that the measurement as

    numerical depiction approach was pervasive.

    The Framework (implicitly) defines the measurement attribute as the settlement amount. Yet

    the notion of settlement is ambiguous because it could be interpreted either as settlement at

    the balance sheet date or settlement in due course of business. This is a distinction analogous

    to that between value-in-exchange and value-in-use, as applied to assets. The Framework

    appears to endorse both interpretations, because it describes measurement bases applicable to

    each. Specifically, settlement at the balance sheet date is implied by current cost, which is

    described as follows: Liabilities are carried at the undiscounted amount of cash or cash

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    !*

    equivalents that would be required to settle the obligation currently. For settlement in due

    course, there are two measurement bases, one undiscounted and the other discounted. The

    former, somewhat confusingly, is settlement value and is described as follows: the

    undiscounted amounts of cash or cash equivalents expected to be paid to satisfy the liabilities

    in the normal course of business. The latter, present value, is the present discounted value

    of the future net cash outflows that are expected to be required to settle the liabilities in the

    normal course of business. Finally, the Framework includes a further measurement attribute,

    which fits the criteria of strict measurability, yet is not current. This is historical cost, which

    is described as follows: liabilities are recorded at the amounts of proceeds received in

    exchange for the obligation, or in some circumstances (for example income taxes), at the

    amounts of cash or cash equivalents expected to be paid to satisfy the liability in the normal

    course of business.

    A single measurement attribute could in practice be measured directly or indirectly, making

    the application of more than one method of measurement conceptually acceptable, as is

    explicit in IFRS 13 (Fair Value Measurement).21 There is no evidence, however, that such a

    perspective is intended in the Framework. A more plausible interpretation is that the

    Framework offers neither a single, unambiguous measurement attribute, nor a relationship

    between such an attribute and applicable methods of measurement. Moreover, the Framework

    contains only a limited discussion of measurement methods. It is silent on: first, whether a

    liability is initially recognised at an amount identified in an exchange transaction or else as a

    forecast of future cash flows; second, whether the carrying amount is revised as expected

    cash flows change; third, whether a liability is valued at the most likely settlement amount or

    instead the expected value of future cash flows; fourth, whether there is discounting at any

    specific rate; fifth, whether there is an adjustment for risk.

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    #+

    In conclusion, we cannot reconcile the IASBs approach in the Framework with the analysis

    of measurement theory outlined in Section 3. If liabilities are to be recognised in cases where

    the desired measurement attribute is not observable, which suggests a latent informational

    perspective, then one of two approaches is possible. The first is that adopted by the IASB,

    which is to adopt a notion of faithful representation that is broad enough to encompass both

    amounts that are measurable and amounts that are not. Such an approach has been argued

    here to be inadequate, because it does not allow analytically coherent distinctions to be made.

    The second approach is to apply the notion of faithful representation only when it is

    theoretically valid to do so, meaning that immeasurable items are excluded. This leaves open

    the question of how to account for these items, for which the theory of measurement cannot

    be a sufficient foundation. We will return to this theme in Section 6. We first address, in the

    next section, the application of measurement theory in accounting standards themselves.

    5. Consistency of IFRS Requirements with Underlying Theory

    While the Framework can be viewed as an expression of the theoretical foundations of IFRS,

    it has three limitations in this respect. First, while partially revised in 2010, much of the

    extant text is over twenty years old, dating from 1989. Second, the Framework exists only to

    provide general guidance, and it does not have the authoritative status for financial reporting

    practice of accounting standards themselves. Third, the Framework is a fairly short

    document, without the richness and depth of accounting standards. In this section, we

    therefore extend our testing of measurement theory to the IASBs requirements in standards

    for liability recognition and measurement, including proposals for new standards. The

    recognition and measurement requirements of all of these IASB pronouncements is

    summarised in Table 5. In line with the structure of that table, the subsections below discuss

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    #!

    recognition first, followed by measurement. The analysis of measurement considers first the

    objective of measurement, followed by the existence of observable measures and then the

    approach taken by the IASB when the measurement attribute is unobservable.

    ** Insert Table 5 here **

    Probability recognition threshold

    The first issue we consider is that of a probability recognition threshold. As discussed above,

    such a threshold is included in the Framework. Yet it is present in only one IASB

    pronouncement other than the Framework (column 1 in Table 5), in IAS 37. Moreover, the

    EDs of amendments to IAS 37 (2005 and 2010) propose removing the threshold, which, if

    enacted, would result in the Framework being the sole outlier.## In this context, the IASB has

    stated The IASB regards aligning IAS 37 with other IFRSs - so that all liabilities are

    recognised - as more important than preserving consistency with all aspects of the existing

    20-year-old Framework (IASB, 2010).

    The IASBs stance is rooted in the belief that all liabilities can be measured, and hence

    should be recognised. Under this view, a probability recognition threshold is just an

    arbitrary barrier. This is illustrated in the explanation in that applying such a threshold would

    result in the flawed conclusion that a performance obligation arising from a guarantee, a

    warranty or an insurance contract should not be recognised until it is probable that a claim

    will arise (IASB, 2006). Here the IASB is rightly saying that a probability threshold is not

    needed when there is an observable measurement (an entry value in these cases). However,

    the IASB also claims that a probability threshold would be inconsistent with a measurement

    based on the probability-weighted average of expected cash flows (IASB, 2006), a claim that

    fails to recognise that, in the sense described in Section 3, there can be no strict measurement

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    ##

    based on estimates of expected future cash flows and that it is precisely in such cases that a

    probability threshold has a role to play.

    The difficulty here seems to have been recognised instinctively by respondents to the 2005

    ED, albeit without clearly articulating the source of the problem. In contrast to the IASBs

    clear wish to remove the threshold (except for leases), many respondents to the IAS 37 EDs

    opposed its removal, particularly in the context of single liabilities not held in a portfolio of

    similar liabilities. Their consensus view was that the probability recognition criterion is a

    useful screen to exclude items from the balance sheet when it is uncertain whether a present

    obligation exists, or for liabilities for which there is only a low or remote likelihood of a

    future cash outflow from the statement of financial position.

    The analysis here suggests an absence of theory concerning liabilities that are not strictly

    measurable. The IASBs response has been to assert, incorrectly, the applicability of

    measurement theory in this context. The IASBs stakeholders have instinctively opposed this

    approach. While not explicitly theoretically grounded, the stakeholders viewpoint is

    consistent with the implications for financial reporting of the analysis of measurement theory

    in this paper.

    Reliable measurement threshold

    As with the probability threshold, despite the fact that a reliable measurement threshold exists

    in the Framework, it is rare in standards on liabilities (column 2 in Table 5). The criterion

    that the liability is capable of reliable measurement is explicit only in IAS 37 and in specific

    parts of IAS 19.#$ Elsewhere, it is assumed to be met. IAS 37 mirrors the Framework, both in

    requiring a liability to be recognised only if the obligation can be estimated reliably, and also

    in noting that the use of estimates is an essential part of the preparation of financial

    statements and does not undermine their reliability. It goes on to state that this is especially

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    #$

    true of provisions, even though by nature they are more uncertain than most other items in the

    statement of financial position. It concludes that, except in extremely rare cases, an entity

    will be able to determine a range of possible outcomes and can therefore make an estimate of

    the obligation that is sufficiently reliable to use in recognising a provision. In short,

    measurability is typically presumed.

    This contrasts with the requirements for assets in IAS 38, where it is acknowledged that for

    internally-generated goodwill and some internally-generated intangible assets, it is not

    possible to determine reliably either an entry value (cost) or an exit value. Such assets are

    thereby not recognised. The IASB does not explain why it believes that liabilities such as

    provisions can be measured more reliably than assets such as internally-generated goodwill.

    Moreover, the IASB does not make a distinction between estimates and forecasts, where the

    former are in principle measurable while the latter are not.

    Again, the evidence here is that of inadequate theoretical foundations: measurability is

    assumed inappropriately for certain liabilities, and also, without explanation, measurability is

    assumed to differ between assets and liabilities.

    Specified measurement objective

    As noted in Section 3, the Framework is ambiguous with respect to whether the objective of

    measurement concerns settlement currently or in due course, and four measurement bases for

    liabilities - historical cost, current cost, settlement value and present value - are duly offered

    that support either interpretation.

    In the accounting standards themselves, there is not always a specified measurement

    objective. Indeed, it is remarkable that, whenever an objective is stated, it is in each case

    different from any objective stated elsewhere (column 3 of Table 5). Further, none of these

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    #%

    objectives is described in the same terms as any of the measurement bases described in the

    Framework. This appears to suggest an extraordinary lack of conceptual clarity.

    Although the stated objectives in the standards, exposure drafts and discussion papers are all

    different in some way, they fall into three groups: fair value, cost (subsequently amortised

    cost), and the amount the entity would rationally pay at the end of the reporting period to be

    relieved of the present obligation (or similar wording). The first, fair value, is an observable

    measure if there are active markets. However, the IASB also requires fair value in situations

    where there are no active markets, at which point it ceases to be observable. The second,

    cost, is an observable measure on initial recognition, but amortised cost in subsequent periods

    need not be. The third group, the amount the entity would rationally pay at the end of the

    reporting period to be relieved of the present obligation, is the definition that the IASB has

    developed for liabilities for which it wishes to recognise a cost of performance. Establishing

    such a definition goes some way towards the appearance of an observable measure, because it

    transforms expectations about future cash flows into a current attribute. However, as with

    fair value, only the existence of an active market can transform those subjective expectations

    into an observable measure.

    The third group of objectives, based as they are on attributes that are not observable, have in

    general not been supported by IASB constituents, who have been on the whole unconvinced

    by the IASBs definition of cost of performance. For example, IAS 37 (1998) gives a

    measurement objective of the best estimate of expenditure required to settle the present

    obligation at the end of the reporting period. It states that this is the amount that an entity

    would rationally pay to settle the obligation at the end of the reporting period or to transfer it

    to a third party at that time. In the 2005 ED of amendments to IAS 37, the objective was

    clarified as being the amount the entity would rationally pay at the end of the reporting period

    to be relieved of the present obligation (Rees, 2006). Although the IASB regarded this as a

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    #&

    clarification of the original measurement objective, many respondents disagreed. They argued

    that existing IAS 37 does not require the use of a transfer amount and that an amount that the

    entity would pay to transfer or settle the liability at the reporting date is not a relevant

    measure for a liability that is almost certainly going to be discharged when it falls due. In

    other words, they instinctively opposed the attempt to transform cost of performance from an

    estimate of future cash flows into a current attribute. Nonetheless, in the 2010 ED of

    amendments to IAS 37, the IASB continued to aim for a strict measurement perspective,

    proposing that an entity should measure a liability at the amount that it would rationally pay

    at the end of the reporting period to be relieved of the present obligation. Again, the strict

    adherence here to the language of measurement, and the presumed generalisability of

    measurement, contrasts sharply with stakeholders practical instincts and concerns, with the

    latter being explicable in terms of the theoretical analysis in Section 3.

    Link to transaction amount

    One aspect of liability measurement that is not discussed in the Framework, but that has a

    strong influence in the IASBs standards and proposals, is whether the amount initially

    recognised should be linked to an amount observed in a transaction. There is an obvious

    difference between those liabilities where initial recognition is at an amount identified in an

    exchange transaction, as opposed to cases where determination of an amount to be recognised

    relies on estimates of future cash flows (column 4 in Table 5).

    Liabilities for which an initial measure can be identified in an exchange transaction are

    covered by IFRS 9, the insurance contracts ED and the revenue recognition ED. In all these

    cases, the initial measurement of the liability is linked to the amount identified in the

    exchange transaction (albeit only after substantial debate in the insurance project). In terms

    of measurement theory, these proposals could be characterised as a preference for an

    observable measure over a forecast of future cash flows.

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    #'

    Using an observable transaction price, when one exists, does not solve the problem of what to

    do when one does not exist, or if it is thought desirable to remeasure the liability subsequent

    to initial recognition. In these cases, and in the absence of active markets, there is no

    observable measure. Nonetheless, the IASB has shown little inclination to take a pure

    measurement approach by thereby not recognising a liability. Rather, as discussed above, it

    has tried to extend a measurement approach to the cost of performance by defining it as a

    current attribute. In the absence of active markets or specific transactions, however, the cost

    of performance is not an observable measure. This lack of observability leads to problems

    for the IASB in specifying how the amount it wishes to be recognised should be determined.

    We discuss these problems next.

    Cash flows

    If cost of performance could be observed, there would be no need to consider what cash

    flows should be included in its measurement. Because it cannot be observed, the IASB has

    specified that the probability-weighted average of all possible cash flows (expected value)

    should be used (column 5 of Table 5), arguing that this is necessary to meet the measurement

    objective of an amount that the entity would pay to transfer or settle the liability at the

    reporting date (for example, 2005 and 2010 EDs of amendments to IAS 37). This approach

    has been generally accepted when there is a portfolio of similar liabilities to be measured.

    However, in relation to single liabilities, respondents to the IAS 37 EDs disagreed with use of

    expected value and the proposed measurement objective, arguing that that the most relevant

    information is given by the best estimate of what the cash flows ultimately will be.

    The debate over expected value illustrates clearly the IASBs confusion over measurement.

    The IASB has repeatedly argued that expected value is necessary to arrive at a meaningful

    measure, whereas under a strict measurement perspective the question would never arise. In

    turn, the IASBs constituents are not persuaded by the IASBs desire to follow its perceived

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    #(

    principle of measurement. Ironically, many of them regard this approach as too driven by

    theoretical but impractical concepts.

    Discount rate

    As with cash flows, if cost of performance could be observed, there would be no need to

    consider what discount rate to use. However, because it cannot, this has become a major

    issue in the measurement of liabilities. IFRSs, EDs and DPs are uniform in their

    requirements and proposals that all measures that are based on estimates of future cash flows

    should be discounted, whenever the impact of discounting is material (except for IAS 12).24

    There are differences, however, on which discount rate to use to reflect the time value of

    money (column 6 of Table 5).

    There is one (almost) universal feature, which is that all the discount rates being considered

    by the IASB are current rates. The only exception to this is the rate proposed in the leases

    ED.25

    However, even having established an almost common approach to including the time

    value of money, further questions arise as to how this should be done. For example the

    insurance contracts DP and ED raise the issue of the liquidity characteristics of the liability

    and propose that the discount rate should reflect the liquidity characteristics of the item being

    measured. All other IFRS, EDs and DPs are silent on this issue.

    So the question of the discount rate illustrates another aspect of the problems facing the IASB

    when there is no observable measure. Even if there is consensus on the principle, how much

    guidance is needed on how the amount to be recognised should be determined?

    Risk adjustment

    The final set of problems relate to adjustments for risk. There are differences in IFRS on

    whether to include a risk-adjustment for the uncertainties surrounding the cash flows and, if a

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    #)

    risk-adjustment is included, what the objective of the risk-adjustment is, how to treat

    diversifiable risk, and how to treat credit risk (column 7 of Table 5).

    As with the cash flows and discount rate, the question of the effect of risk would not need to

    be considered if cost of performance were an observable measure. But as with the previous

    issues the IASB has had to consider the effect of risk in trying to extend measurement theory

    to the cost of performance. It has been a particular issue in the IAS 37 and insurance

    contracts projects, both of which require/propose an adjustment for risk, but only after

    significant debate and disagreement over its objective and the impact of diversifiable risk

    (IAS 37 2010 ED, Insurance Contracts ED). The IASBs arguments are all expressed in

    terms of achieving the stated measurement objective (IAS 37 2010 ED). In contrast,

    respondents to the proposals both in the IAS 37 project and the insurance project are

    generally much more concerned with the practical aspects of how such an adjustment should

    be made, and whether it can be determined in a reliable and comparable way. In doing so,

    they are implicitly acknowledging the difficulties that arise because the measurement

    objective is not an observable measure.

    Finally, the inclusion of own credit risk in the measurement of a liability is a controversial

    subject. IAS 37 is silent on the matter. The insurance DP (2007) argued that credit

    characteristics should be included in the measurement of an insurance contract liability. In

    2009, IASB issued a staff-developed DP on the subject that set out some common views on

    credit risk. The responses to the DP demonstrated clearly that most respondents took an

    informational approach to the issue. The responses indicated that, broadly, constituents

    wanted to include credit risk when a liability was assumed in an exchange transaction with an

    observed price, yet did not want to include it in the measurement of a liability if its effects

    had to be estimated rather than included in an observed price. Consistency of measurement

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    #*

    across different liabilities was not an overriding concern; indeed, it was down the list of

    priorities.

    As a result of these responses, the IASB decided not to continue with a standalone project on

    own credit risk. Instead it decided to consider credit risk in the conceptual framework

    measurement project and on a standard-by-standard basis. In 2010, it issued the ED of

    amendments to IAS 37 that remained silent on credit risk, and the insurance contracts ED that

    includes it only in the residual margin that calibrates the liability measurement to the

    transaction price.26

    A general conclusion here is that while the IASBs thinking can be characterised by

    adherence to a presumed generalisability of measurement, the concerns of stakeholders arise

    when the boundaries of the applicability of measurement theory are reached. While certain

    aspects of financial reporting practice are adequately theorised from a measurement

    perspective, others require adoption of an informational perspective, from which theorising is

    notable for its absence. In the next section, we therefore turn to the need for new theory to

    complement that which is already evident in IFRS. We note that this need for new theory is

    greater for liabilities than for assets, primarily because the practice of conservatism has

    greater consequence for liabilities in terms of the applicability of measurement theory.

    6. The Need for Additional Theory

    The analysis in Sections 4 and 5 has applied measurement theory to identify areas of tension

    and inconsistency in IFRS. It was argued in Section 4 that a probable outflow recognition

    threshold is not needed when recognition is restricted to items that are reliably measurable,

    but that it has a role to play when strict measurement is not possible. The IASB has in effect

    avoided this issue by means of a broad definition and interpretation of measurement, and

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    $+

    thereby a presumption of measurability for all recognised items. The consequences of this

    position, as discussed in Section 5, have included disagreement with stakeholders over both

    the probable outflow recognition threshold and the boundaries of measurement. The IASBs

    position has also generated confusion through the conflation of measurement objectives that

    are in practice measurable (fair value when active markets exist or cost) with those that are

    not (the amount that an entity would rationally pay to be relieved of the liability). While the

    IASB describes all three of these objectives as measurable, the third is an amount based on

    forecasts rather than on observable measurement, and it therefore introduces the subjective

    complexities of probability distributions of expected cash flows, discount rates and risk

    adjustments.

    If recognition was in practice restricted to items that are observable, and so in principle

    reliably measurable, these tensions and inconsistencies would not arise. In other words, the

    central problem is that IFRS requires items to be recognised even though they cannot be

    reliably measured. A central question, therefore, which we address in this section of the

    paper, is why such recognition is required in the first place.

    This question is particularly important for liabilities. This is in part for practical reasons. An

    important difference between assets and liabilities is that entry values are more likely to be

    observable for assets, because their acquisition is usually associated with the sacrifice of

    monetary resource.27 This makes both entry valuation and indirect exit valuation relatively

    difficult to attain for liabilities than for assets. The recognition of a provision, for example, is

    not triggered by a transaction stated in monetary terms. In other words, while (as argued in

    Section 3) measurability may be no different in principle between assets and liabilities, it is

    likely to be more problematic in practice for liabilities.28

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    $!

    There is also an important theoretical reason for the required recognition of immeasurable

    liabilities, but not of immeasurable assets. We have so far argued, in Section 3, that

    measurement attributes for assets are in principle the mirror-image of those for liabilities, and

    that while the theoretical literature has focused mainly on assets, this is understandable in the

    absence of anything conceptually distinctive about liabilities. Sections 4 and 5 have shown,

    however, that recognition is in practice required for liabilities that cannot strictly be

    measured, and for which theoretical support therefore needs to come elsewhere than from

    measurement theory. We will now argue that this theoretical foundation concerns

    conservatism, the implications of which are different for liabilities than for assets.

    Conservatism is the differential verifiability required for the recognition of gains and losses,

    whereby expected losses are recognised with less verification than expected gains (Basu,

    1997; Watts, 2003a). Hence, while conservatism makes it possible to argue against

    recognising asset values that are based upon forecasts, the same need not apply to liabilities.

    Rather, conservatism would encourage their recognition. Referring back to Table 3, if, in

    practice, entry values and exit values are unavailable, the principle of conservatism is

    conventionally applied. In the case of a lawsuit, for example, a liability of uncertain amount

    is typically recognised in the accounts of the defendant, while, even with no difference at all

    in either the amount under consideration or the associated uncertainty, an asset is typically

    not recognised in the accounts of the plaintiff. Consistent with this reasoning, it was argued

    in Section 4, using Table 4, that the Frameworks recognition criteria for liabilities would be

    conceptually more coherent if there was recognition when an outflow of resources is probable

    (as well as for all measurable liabilities, see Figure 1). In contrast, the practice of

    conservatism for assets means that a probable inflow recognition threshold would not be

    needed, thereby simplifying the algorithm in Figure 1 to the questions of definition (does an

    asset exist?) and measurement (can the asset be measured reliably?). In summary,

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    $#

    conservatism creates a challenge that is specific to liabilities, because, in contrast with assets,

    it leads to their recognition even when they cannot strictly be measured. This distinction

    between assets and liabilities is based upon verifiability, which makes the application of

    conservatism inseparable from issues of measurability.

    To some extent, conservatism has been viewed in the academic literature as evidence of

    tradition and convention, rather than as a practice that can be justified conceptually (Sterling,

    1970). In contrast, a more recent strand in the literature has provided theoretical support for

    conservatism. In particular, a contracting explanation (Watts, 2003a) identifies a need for

    conservatism as a means of addressing the moral hazard that arises when management and

    investors have asymmetric information and asymmetric payoffs. Central to this explanation is

    the role of verifiability, because it is optimal for contractual metrics to have a higher standard

    of verifiability for assets than for liabilities. Empirical evidence supports both the existence

    of conservatism and the contracting explanation (Basu, 1997; Watts, 2003b; Ryan, 2006;

    LaFond and Watts, 2008; LaFond and Roychowdhury, 2008; Giner et al, 2011).

    The IASB has explicitly rejected conservatism, however, through its use in the Framework of

    the languageof measurement, by which anything that is deemed to be representationally

    faithful is treated conceptually as a measure. In evaluating conservatism as a candidate for

    an aspect of faithful representation, the Framework (BC3.27) argues that its inclusion in this

    regard would be inconsistent with neutrality. Yet the Framework defines neutral

    information as without bias, which has little practical meaning when applied to unverifiable

    subjective estimates. In explicitly ruling out conservatism in this way, the Framework argues

    from a position that is tenable only when there isreliable measurement, and yet the theory of

    conservatism outlined above applies only when there is notreliable measurement.29

    The

    Framework therefore dismisses conservatism on inappropriate grounds, misinterpreting it as a

    deliberate process of biased measurement, rather than (in the context of liabilities) as a

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    $$

    justification, based upon asymmetry of information and payoffs, for recognising probable

    outflows in the absence of observable measurement.30

    Conservatism is also not used to support IASB proposals for requirements in standards, even

    when it would be a natural argument to use. For example, in terms of conservatism, not

    having a probability recognition threshold for liabilities is more conservative than having

    one. But the IASB does not use conservatism as a justification for the proposed removal of

    the threshold from IAS 37. All its arguments are based on the view that liabilities can be

    measured, and therefore should be recognised. Conservatism also could be used as an

    argument in discussions of credit risk. The IASB is aiming for a measurement attribute of the

    amount that an entity would pay to transfer or settle the liability at the reporting date. This

    would include the effect of its creditworthiness. However, conservatism would argue against

    recognition of a liability at the smaller amount caused by including the effect of credit risk

    and recognition of a gain when an entitys creditworthiness decreases. Although the IASB

    seems willing to accept its constituents dislike of the inclusion of credit risk (which is surely

    in part derived from a desire for conservatism), it does not use conservatism to justify this

    departure from its stated measurement objective.

    It is only in the insurance and revenue recognition projects that conservatism is

    acknowledged as a desirable attribute, albeit not by name. The basis for conclusions to the

    insurance contract DP argued that the observed price for the transaction with the

    policyholder, although useful as a reasonableness check on the initial measurement of the

    insurance liability, should not override an unbiased estimate of the amount another party

    would require to take over the insurers contractual rights and obligations. The justification

    for the IASBs change from this approach in the insurance ED was the desire to avoid day

    one gains, consistent with the revenue recognition project.

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    $%

    While conservatism does not find theoretical endorsement in IFRS, it is nevertheless

    prevalent in accounting standards themselves, and it is therefore in practice consistent with

    the theory outlined above from the literature. A simple need, therefore, is to embed a theory

    of conservatism from the literature into IFRS. Where the literature falls short in this regard,

    however, is that it is insufficiently normative. Empirical evidence points to the existence of

    conservatism in practice, and underlying theory explains this practice in terms of economic

    benefits. This is a positive approach, describing and attempting to explain behaviours that

    have evolved in practice. Yet standard setting is a normative activity. It exists as a market

    intervention, as a mechanism of policy with the explicit aim of creating outcomes that the

    market itself would not be expected to generate. Viewed in this light, the literature leaves

    several questions unanswered. There are therefore implications for future research, as will be

    discussed in the final section of the paper.

    In conclusion, the argument here is that there is a role for conservatism, both in the theory of

    recognition and measurement, and also in practice in IFRS, yet this role is denied by the

    Framework and elsewhere in IFRS. While the literature provides some insight into a theory

    of conservatism, there is a need for further normative contributions to inform the

    implementation of conservatism in accounting standards.

    7. Conclusions

    We set out to understand why IFRS contains multiple and inconsistent recognition and

    measurement requirements for liabilities. We apply measurement theory to extant and

    proposed IFRS, identifying where the theory can be said to hold and where it cannot. We

    argue that, while measurement attributes for liabilities are conceptually analogous to those for

    assets, measurement is relatively problematic for liabilities in practice, primarily because

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    $&

    conservatism encourages the recognition of liabilities that have no observable measure.

    However, the IASB does not acknowledge either the limitations of measurability or the

    existence of conservatism. This leads the IASB to seek all its answers within the context of

    measurement, thereby missing the opportunity to adopt insights resulting from a theory of

    conservatism. In contrast, conservatism has become increasingly important in the literature,

    in particular in positive empirical studies. The literature does not, however, offer a

    sufficiently normative theory of conservatism, and it therefore falls short from the perspective

    of adoption by the IASB in the Framework and in accounting standards. Our paper therefore

    has implications for both revisions to IFRS and for further research.

    The implications for revising IFRS are as follows. First, measurement should be defined

    more tightly in the Framework, in line with the analysis in Sections 3 and 4. This tightening

    would make verifiability a necessary requirement for reliable measurement, in contrast with

    the present state where verifiability is desirable but not necessarily required. The tightening

    would also clarify that the notion of faithful representation relates uniquely to observable

    amounts, and cannot in principle relate, as in the present Framework, to the faithful

    description of the process of forecasting an unobservable amount. Second, the recognition

    thresholds in the Framework should be re-defined in line with Figure 1 and the associated

    analysis in Section 4. Accordingly, all measurable amounts would be recognised, with the

    probable outflow recognition threshold being reserved for immeasurable amounts. Third, the

    probable outflow recognition threshold should be justified conceptually in the Framework.

    Such justification cannot in principle be based upon measurement theory, for the reasons

    argued in Section 4. Instead, and as argued in Section 6, a theory of conservatism is required

    in IFRS, for which the literature provides a foundation. Fourth, and in line with the analysis

    in Section 5, individual accounting standards should make a clear distinction between

    amounts that are measures and those that are forecasts.

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    Beyond these proposed changes to IFRS, there is also scope for further improvement, yet for

    this to be possible there is a need for a normative theory of conservatism. Meeting this need

    is an implication of the paper for further research. The potential for research in this area can

    be illustrated with two examples.

    The first example concerns the degree of differential verifiability that IFRS should require for

    the recognition of gains and losses, and the extent to which this should vary in different

    applications. For practical purposes, accounting standards need to specify not just whether

    conservatism should be applied, but also to what degree. This requires understanding the

    informational value of conservatism in different settings, for example where asymmetries of

    incentives and information are likely to arise and why. One possible line of enquiry, which

    addresses the underlying behavioural aspects of conservatism, is suggested by decision

    theory. The concept of Choquet expected utility concerns decisions that are made in the

    absence of a known distribution, where a decision-makers utility is a function of his or her

    degree of ambiguity aversion, which in turn determines the desired level of conservatism

    (Gilboa and Schmeidler, 1989). In this setting, which can be modelled analytically and/or

    tested experimentally, the level of ambiguity can be determined endogenously by the game-

    theoretic actions of other players, and so it enables analysis not just of information

    asymmetry but also of incentive asymmetry.

    The second example concerns financial statement presentation, in particular whether amounts

    recognised conservatively should be presented differently from amounts that can be

    interpreted as unbiased measures. On this question, a normative approach would seek to

    develop financial statement presentation in a way that is currently not required. In this

    context, an implication of the IASBs presumption of measurability is the effective denial of

    the role of forecast error in balance sheet valuation, because errors are presumed to arise from

    measurement alone (Christensen, 2010b). Viewed from this perspective, the probable

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    outflow recognition criterion appears unacceptably imprecise and arbitrary. Indeed, it is not

    needed if all liabilities are viewed as measurable. Yet if the concept of forecast error is

    acknowledged, amounts recognised on the basis of an estimated probable outflow provide

    useful information, albeit of a different nature than measurable amounts. Managements

    willingness and ability to forecast future outcomes provide information both ex ante, at the

    time of the forecast, and ex post, in comparing the outcome that was forecasted with that

    which ultimately arose. Acknowledgement of the role of forecasting error, and of a

    distinction in financial statement presentation between measures and forecasts, and between

    ex ante forecasts and ex post forecast revisions, would enhance the informational usefulness

    of the financial statements (Barker, 2004; Glover et al, 2005).

    In conclusion, our paper is motivated by extant and important conceptual inconsistencies in

    IFRS, for which the literature offers limited directly relevant analysis. We seek to apply

    measurement theory in order to explain these conceptual inconsistencies, which leads to three

    conclusions: first is the need to revise the treatment of recognition and measurement in IFRS,

    in order to make it consistent with measurement theory; second is the need to introduce a

    theory of conservatism in IFRS, in order to justify financial reporting practice than cannot be

    explained by measurement theory; and third is the need to develop a normative theory of

    conservatism in the literature, in order to enable and justify a greater impact on policy and

    practice.

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    Figure 1: Recognition Algorithm (Liabilities)

    Does the item meet

    the definition of aliability? No Do not recognise

    Yes

    Is an outflowprobable?

    Yes No

    Recognise Is the item

    reliably

    measurable?

    No Do not recognise

    Yes

    Recognise

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    Table 1: IFRS Sources on Liability Recognition and Measurement

    Date Comment letters End of comment

    period

    Framework 198931

    N/A N/A

    IAS 12 Income Taxes 1996 N/A N/A

    IAS 17 Leases 1997 N/A N/A

    IAS 19 Employee Benefits 1998 N/A N/A

    IAS 37 Provisions, contingent liabilities

    and contingent assets

    1998 N/A N/A

    IFRS 2 Share-based payments 2004 N/A N/A

    IFRS 4 Insurance contracts 2004 N/A N/A

    IAS 37 ED June 2005 123 Oct 2005

    Insurance contract DP May 2007 162 Nov 2007

    Revenue recognition DP December 2008 211 [July 2009

    Board paper]

    June 2009

    Pensions DP (for contribution-based

    promises)

    March 2009 150 Sept 2009

    Leases DP March 2009 302 July 2009

    Credit risk DP June 2009 123 Sept 2009

    IAS 37 ED/Working draft of revised

    standard

    January 2010 211 May 2010

    Revenue recognition ED June 2010 973 Oct 2010

    Insurance contracts ED July 2010 248 Nov 2010

    Leases ED August 2010 760 Dec 2010

    IFRS 9 Financial Instruments October 2010

    (liabilities)

    N/A N/A

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    Table 2: Assets vs Liabilities - Measurement Attribute Analogues

    Measurement Attribute Assets Liabilities

    1. Current holding

    value

    Value-in-use

    (Entity-specific present value

    of expected economic

    benefits)

    Cost of performance

    (Entity-specific present value

    of economic benefits

    expected to be consumed in

    settlement of the liability)

    2. Current market exit

    value

    Fair value

    (The price that would bereceived to sell an asset in an

    orderly transaction betweenmarket participants at the

    measurement date.)

    Cost of transfer (fair value)

    (The price that would be paidto transfer a liability in an

    orderly transaction betweenmarket participants at the

    measurement date.)

    3. Current contractual

    exit value

    Cost of liquidation

    (The amount that the entity is

    currently, contractually

    obliged to accept to liquidate

    the asset.)

    Cost of release

    (The amount that the entity is

    currently, contractually

    entitled to pay in full

    settlement of the liability.)

    4.

    Current entry value Replacement cost(The outflow of economic

    benefits that would be

    required to replace theservice potential of the

    existing asset).

    Current equivalentproceeds

    (The inflow of economic

    benefits corresponding to thecurrent replacement of the

    liability).

    5. Mixed

    measurement: exit

    value

    Recoverable amount

    (Higher of value-in-use and

    value-in-exchange)

    Settlement amount

    (Higher of cost of

    performance or cost of

    release)

    6. Mixed

    measurement: entry

    and exit value

    Deprival value

    (Lower of replacement cost

    or recoverable amount)

    Relief value

    (Lower of current equivalent

    proceeds of settlement

    amount)

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    Table 3: Measurement Attributes on Initial Recognition33

    Is an exit value observable?

    Yes No

    Is an entry value

    observable?

    Yes Asset:

    Bank loan

    Liability:

    Bank loan

    Asset:

    Some intangible assets andspecialised PPE

    Liability:

    Performance Obligation

    No Asset:

    Donated assets

    Liability:Some shared-based

    payments

    A