Climate Change: Impacts and Responses Topic 1: Introduction.
5/4/10MET 61 topic 04 1 MET 61 Topic 4 Climate & Climate Dynamics.
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Transcript of 5/4/10MET 61 topic 04 1 MET 61 Topic 4 Climate & Climate Dynamics.
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 1
MET 61
Topic 4
Climate & Climate Dynamics
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 2
Climate
– A time average of weather– Typically over 30 years
Climate Variability
– Variations year-to-year– Decade-to-decade
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 3
Climate is complicated! We must study:
– External factors (oceans, sun etc.)– How the atmosphere behaves…
• Day-to-day• Month-to-month• season-to-season• Year-to-year• Decade-to-decade
– Need to fully understand this variability to best understand anthropogenic changes
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 4
Source of Climate Variability?
External? – SSTs– Biosphere– Cryosphere– Solar variations (e.g., sunspots)– Volcanic activity– Anthropogenic activity
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 5
Source of Variability?
Internal?– Internal to the basic dynamics of the earth-
atmosphere system?
• With fixed forcing, we would still year year-to-year variability etc.
– This is internal variability
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 6
Present climateAnnual surface pressures
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 7
World climate map
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 8
Present climate
– Read §10.1
– The result of net radiative forcing
– Solar heating (positive) – infrared cooling (negative)
– Recall Ex. 4.6 (p.119)
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 9
– Solar constant (So) is 1368 W m-2
– Intercepted by area Re2
– And assuming an albedo of A=0.3
– Incoming radiation =• (1-A).So.(Re
2)
– Outgoing is emitted by the earth’s surface (area 4Re
2) according to Stefan-Boltzman
– Outgoing radiation = .Te
4.(4Re2)
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 10
– Equate and solve for Te.... Te = 255 K
– This is the radiative equilibrium temperature
– The observed global mean temperature is 288 K … 33 K warmer
– Difference is due to the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere with greenhouse gases
– Above is modified by emissivity factors etc.
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 11
– Fig. 10.2 → annual average net radiative driving of the earth-atmosphere system
– High latitudes: deficit– Low latitudes: surplus
Equator → pole transport(s) required
– Baroclinic eddies in mid-latitudes– Hadley cells in tropical latitudes– Oceans
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5/4/10 MET 61 topic 04 12
– Fig. 10.5 → annual variation of incident radiation @ top of atmosphere
→ winter-summer driving of climate
– Fig. 10.6 → net radiation @ top of atmosphere