2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same...

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House Sales OVERVIEW YEAR HALF YEAR CHANGE FROM LAST House Median Price House Rental Price Unit Sales Unit Median Price Unit Rental Price FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS MARKET CONDITIONS HOUSE UNIT HOUSE UNIT Activity across multiple sectors will help to stimulate economic growth, generate employment opportunities, and create new housing stock for a growing population in Lake Macquarie*. Together this strategy is expected to have positive spill-over impact on the market. Lake Macquarie* is set to see approx. $58.9M worth of new projects commencing in the 2 nd half of 2019. LAKE MACQUARIE MARKET UPDATE 2nd Half 2019 A key commercial project for the 2 nd half of 2019 is Calvary St Francis Retirement Village ($6.2M), which will create an additional 17 rooms in two wings, and a community centre. The King Street Mixed-use development ($4.9M) will create 12 units and a medical centre, to be spread across 3 levels. 60 Units/ Apartments 12 Townhouses RENTAL MEDIAN PRICE Q3 2019 SALES AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET Q3 2019 SALES MEDIAN PRICE Q3 2019 In Q3 2019, Lake Macquarie* recorded a median house price of $640,000, and a median unit price of $482,500. This represents annual (Q3 2018 – Q3 2019) median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by -1.7% (to 172 sales), while units increased by 34.2% (to 80 sales). Now is an ideal time to transact as there is a strong unit market and more affordable houses for first time home buyers. *Lake Macquarie market data and key indicators encapsulates aggregate property market conditions within the suburbs Warners Bay, Speers Point, Eleebana, Valentine, Cameron Park and Charlestown.**Estimated values are based on construction value provided by the relevant data authority and does not reflect commercial and/or re-sale value. Source: APM Pricefinder, Cordell Connect database. © Copyright PRDnationwide 2019. 82 RENTAL AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET Q3 2019 80 107 $640K $483K $480 $400 22 22 Dwellings Commercial $13.4M Residential $32.1M Mixed-Use Projects $10.6M Infrastructure $500.0K Industrial $2.4M

Transcript of 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same...

Page 1: 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by 1.7% (to 172 sales), while units - increased

House Sales

OVERVIEW

YEAR HALF YEARCHANGE FROM LAST

House Median Price

House Rental Price

Unit Sales

Unit Median Price

Unit Rental Price

FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS

MARKET CONDITIONS

HOUSE UNIT

HOUSE UNIT

Activity across multiple sectors will help to stimulate economic growth, generate employment opportunities, and create new housing stock for a growing population in Lake Macquarie*. Together this strategy is expected to have positive spill-over impact on the market.

Lake Macquarie* is set to see approx. $58.9M worth of new projects commencing in the 2nd half of 2019.

LAKE MACQUARIEMARKET UPDATE2nd Half 2019

A key commercial project for the 2nd

half of 2019 is Calvary St Francis Retirement Village ($6.2M), which will create an additional 17 rooms in two wings, and a community centre. The King Street Mixed-use development ($4.9M) will create 12 units and a medical centre, to be spread across 3 levels.

60 Units/ Apartments

12TownhousesRENTAL MEDIAN PRICE

Q3 2019

SALES AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKETQ3 2019

SALES MEDIAN PRICEQ3 2019

In Q3 2019, Lake Macquarie* recorded a median house price of $640,000, and a median unit price of $482,500. This represents annual (Q3 2018 – Q3 2019) median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by -1.7% (to 172 sales), while units increased by 34.2% (to 80 sales). Now is an ideal time to transact as there is a strong unit market and more affordable houses for first time home buyers.

*Lake Macquarie market data and key indicators encapsulates aggregate property market conditions within the suburbs Warners Bay, Speers Point, Eleebana, Valentine, Cameron Park and Charlestown.**Estimated values are based on construction value provided by the relevant data authority and does not reflect commercial and/or re-sale value.Source: APM Pricefinder, Cordell Connect database. © Copyright PRDnationwide 2019.

82

RENTAL AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKETQ3 2019

80 107$640K $483K

$480 $40022 22

Dwellings

Commercial$13.4M

Residential$32.1M

Mixed-Use Projects$10.6M

Infrastructure$500.0K

Industrial$2.4M

Page 2: 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by 1.7% (to 172 sales), while units - increased

AVERAGE VENDOR DISCOUNT* KEY COMMENTS

MARKET COMPARISON

PRICE BREAKDOWN

Average vendor discount reflects the average percentage difference between the first list price and final sold price. A lower percentage difference (closer to 0.0%) suggests that buyers are willing to purchase close to the first asking price of a property.

UNITS SOLDHOUSES SOLD

Average vendor discount between Q3 2018 and Q3 2019 has widened for both property types, to -5.4% for houses and -6.1% for units. Market conditions in Lake Macquarie* favour buyers even further, where sellers are willing to negotiate much lower than their initial listing price.

The suburb of Charlestown has historically outperformed the wider Lake Macquarie Local Government Area (LGA) in its median house price, and this continues to be the case in 2019^. The unit market in Charlestown is more affordable than the LGA in 2019^, good news for those wanting to enter the local market.

The dominant proportion of houses sold in Lake Macquarie* across 2019^ were priced at a mid-range segment of $600,000-$700,000 (28.7%). Units recorded a dominant upper-end price point of $550,000+ (26.8%) over the same period. Property is available at a range of price points, which should encourage buyers to become active.

*Lake Macquarie market data encapsulates aggregate property market conditions within the suburbs Warners Bay, Speers Point, Eleebana, Valentine, Cameron Park and Charlestown.^2019 encapsulates sales transactions for the period 01/01/2019 to 30/09/2019 only.Source: APM Pricefinder. © Copyright PRDnationwide 2019.

2019^

The market comparison graph provides a comparative trend for the median price of houses and units over the past 5 years.The main LGA profiled were chosen based on their proximity to the main suburb analysed, which is Charlestown.

-2.3

%

-2.9

%

-4.6

%

-4.8

%

-5.3

%

-5.4

%

-3.5

%

-2.9

%

-2.9

%

-5.7

%

-5.8

%

-6.1

%-7.0%

-6.0%

-5.0%

-4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019

Ch

ang

e fr

om

Lis

tin

g t

o S

ale

Pri

ce

House Unit

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019^

Charlestown House Lake Macquarie LGA House Charlestown Unit Lake Macquarie LGA Unit

11.8%

26.0%

28.7%

16.7%

16.9%Less than $499,999

$500,000 to $599,999

$600,000 to $699,999

$700,000 to $799,999

$800,000 and above

24.1%

17.9%

18.8%

12.5%

26.8% Less than $399,999

$400,000 to $449,999

$450,000 to $499,999

$500,000 to $549,999

$550,000 and above

Page 3: 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by 1.7% (to 172 sales), while units - increased

RENTAL GROWTH

RENTAL VACANCY RATES

RENTAL YIELD

Lake Macquarie

Over the past 12 months, house rental yields in Lake Macquarie* have remained stable, at 3.8% in June 2019. By comparison, Sydney Metro achieved just a 2.8% house rental yield during the same time frame, suggesting investors have the potential to gain higher returns in the Lake Macquarie* rental market.

4+ bedroom houses have provided investors with +3.8% rental growth annually, achieving a median rent of $540 per week.

Lake Macquarie* recorded a vacancy rate of 1.1% in June 2019, even lower than the LGA’s already low rate of 1.5% and much lower than Sydney Metro’s 3.5%. This confirms there is a stronger rental demand in Lake Macquarie*.

*Rental performance graph represents aggregate house median rent prices within the suburbs Warners Bay, Speers Point, Eleebana, Valentine, Cameron Park and Charlestown. Annual rental growth is a comparison between 2018 and 2019 (Q1 – Q3) house median rent figures.^Rental yields shown are as reported at June 2019.Source: APM Pricefinder, SQM Research. © Copyright PRDnationwide 2019.

4.2%

Lake MacquarieLGA

4.3%

SydneyMetro

3.8%2.9%

Lake Macquarie Lake MacquarieLGA

SydneyMetro

3.7%3.8%

2019^

2019

2019*

2 Bedrooms

+0.0% +3.8%

3 Bedrooms 4+ Bedrooms

-2.1%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

Jun-16

Sep-16

Dec-16

Mar-17

Jun-17

Sep-17

Dec-17

Mar-18

Jun-18

Sep-18

Dec-18

Mar-19

Jun-19

Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie LGA Sydney Metro

Page 4: 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by 1.7% (to 172 sales), while units - increased

*Disclaimer: Project development map showcases a sample of upcoming projects only, due to accuracy of addresses provided by the data provider for geocoding purposes. **Projects refers to the top developments within the suburbs Warners Bay, Speers Point, Eleebana, Valentine, Cameron Park and Charlestown. ***Estimated value is the value of construction costs provided by relevant data authority, it does not reflect the project’s sale/commercial value. ****Commencement date quoted for each project is an approximate only, as provided by the relevant data authority, PRDnationwide does not hold any liability to the exact date. Source: Cordell Connect Database, ESRI ArcGIS. © Copyright PRDnationwide 2019.

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT MAP 2ND HALF 2019*

Location Project** TypeEstimated Value*** Commence Date****

1 Calvary St Francis Retirement Village Commercial $6,171,000 17/09/2019

2 Charlestown Square North Piazza Commercial $4,639,000 11/08/2019

3 Charlestown Square Shopping Centre - Target Commercial $1,694,000 11/12/2019

4 Harris Street Seniors Housing Units Commercial $500,000 05/12/2019

5 Charlestown Bowling Club - Emergency Generator Commercial $200,000 16/10/2019

6 Go Karts Go Commercial $150,000 12/12/2019

7 Billbrooke Close Light Industrial Building Industrial $1,400,000 20/11/2019

8 Stenhouse Drive Warehouse Industrial $950,000 03/09/2019

9 Wangi Wangi & Speers Point Jetties Infrastructure $500,000 14/10/2019

10 King Street Mixed Use Development (12 Units) Mixed-use $4,900,000 15/11/2019

11 King & Martin Streets Mixed Use Development (8 Apartments) Mixed-use $3,000,000 19/09/2019

12 King Street Mixed Use Development (6 Apartments) Mixed-use $1,787,000 12/11/2019

13 The Esplanade Mixed Use Development Mixed-use $880,000 24/08/2019

14 Portland Drive Dwellings & Residential Subdivision (53 Dwellings) Residential $13,860,000 18/12/2019

15 Smith Street Units (34 Units) Residential $8,635,000 20/12/2019

16 Mckendry Drive Dwellings & Residential Subdivision (24 Dwellings) Residential $4,800,000 15/11/2019

17 Berringar Road Townhouses (7 Townhouses) Residential $1,900,000 17/12/2019

18 John Street Townhouses (5 Townhouses) Residential $1,700,000 28/11/2019

19 Jobling Street Dwellings (5 Dwellings) Residential $1,248,000 12/12/2019

Commercial

Residential

Industrial

Infrastructure

LEGEND

Mixed-use

Page 5: 2nd Half 2019...median price softening of -1.7% for houses and growth of 6.0% for units. At the same time total house sales slightly slowed, by 1.7% (to 172 sales), while units - increased

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