29 th July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi Potential of CSP in India...

2929thth July 2009 July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

Potential of CSP in Potential of CSP in IndiaIndia

Shirish Garud, Shirish Garud,

Fellow and Area Convenor,Fellow and Area Convenor,

TERITERI

2929thth July 2009 July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

Outline Outline

Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP• Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario• Global trendsGlobal trends• Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan

Solar ResourceSolar Resource Potential for CSP in IndiaPotential for CSP in India

• Grid Connected Large ScaleGrid Connected Large Scale• Distributed Distributed

Way ForwardWay Forward


Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP• Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario• Global trendsGlobal trends• Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan


Electricity fuel mixElectricity fuel mix

71%

7,231 MW

29%

2,944 MW

Other RE

WindTotal installed capacity as on 31.3.2009 is 148265.4

78%

90%

9,755 MW

10%

1,141 MW

Other RE

Wind

10,897 MW23%

Hydro

RES34%

Nuclear3%

Gas10%

Diesel1%

Coal52%

RES Gas Nuclear Diesel Coal

39,222 MW


Energy supplyEnergy supply Coal

• Major energy source. Biomass

• Primary source of cooking energy in > 80% rural households.

Electricity• All India average shortage ~ 11.6 %• Peak Load supply shortage ~ 15 %• Base Load supply shortage ~ 9 %

Energy security concern• Around 75 % of the petroleum supply is

imported• Even coal is being imported


……Energy supplyEnergy supply

Poor electrification status• 78 million households (44%) in the

country do not have access to electricity • 1,25,000 villages are un-electrified• Electricity supply situation is generally

poor in even electrified villages


1010thth Plan (2002-2007) Plan (2002-2007) performanceperformance

Achievement 51.5% of the target

SECTORSECTOR THERMAL (MW)THERMAL (MW) HYDRO (MW)HYDRO (MW) NUCLEAR (MW)NUCLEAR (MW) TOTAL (MW)TOTAL (MW)

TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved

CentralCentral 12790.0012790.00 6590.006590.00 8742.008742.00 4495.004495.00 13001300 1180.001180.00 22832.022832.000

12265.0012265.00

StateState 6676.006676.00 3553.643553.64 4481.004481.00 2691.002691.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 11157.011157.000

6244.646244.64

PrivatePrivate 5951.005951.00 1970.601970.60 1170.001170.00 700.00700.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 7121.007121.00 2670.602670.60

TotalTotal 25417.0025417.00 12114.2412114.24 14393.0014393.00 7886.007886.00 1300.01300.000

1180.001180.00 41110.041110.000

21180.2421180.24


Import dependenceImport dependence

FuelFuel ScenarioScenario 2001/022001/02 2011/122011/12 2021/222021/22 2031/322031/32

CoalCoalBAUBAU 4%4% 9%9% 49%49% 72%72%

Energy efficientEnergy efficient 4%4% 10%10% 52%52% 64%64%

OilOilBAUBAU 69%69% 65%65% 74%74% 88%88%

Energy efficient Energy efficient 69%69% 61%61% 48%48% 76%76%

GasGasBAUBAU 0%0% 17%17% 34%34% 34%34%

Energy efficient Energy efficient 0%0% 22%22% 34%34% 34%34%

Source: TERI study


Estimated growth in electricity generation Estimated growth in electricity generation capacity (2006-2031)capacity (2006-2031)

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031

Ins

tall

ed

Ca

pa

cit

y (

MW

)

7% GDP growth

8% GDP growth

Source: Planning Commission, 2005


Energy mix under alternative Energy mix under alternative scenariosscenarios

Percentage distribution of primary commercial energy supply-2031

0

20

40

60

80

100

Reference Evolution Resolution Ambition

Scenarios

%

Coal Natural Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewables


National Solar MissionNational Solar Mission Proposed targetsProposed targets

• 20 GW by 202020 GW by 2020• 100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total 100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total

power generation capacity estimated for power generation capacity estimated for that yearthat year

• 4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing 4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing capability by 2017capability by 2017


Global investments in renewable energyGlobal investments in renewable energy

Source: REN21, 2009

Bill

ion

Dol

lars

Investments in solar PV 32% (US$38.4 billion)


Global scenario in RE Global scenario in RE developmentdevelopment

All countries taking bold action in promoting All countries taking bold action in promoting and installing RE systemsand installing RE systems• EU: target of EU: target of 20%20% energy from renewables by energy from renewables by

20202020• Australia: target of Australia: target of 20% 20% energy (GWh of energy (GWh of

electricity) from renewables by 2020electricity) from renewables by 2020• China: China: 15%15% RE in energy mix by 2020, RE in energy mix by 2020, 30% or 30% or

moremore by 2050 by 2050• USA: in the process of finalising a USA: in the process of finalising a 20%20% target to target to

be achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)be achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)

India needs to be ambitious in setting a India needs to be ambitious in setting a target (in terms of GWh, not GW)target (in terms of GWh, not GW)


Solar Resource in India Solar Resource in India

5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential 5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential Sunny areasSunny areas

• Most of the country receives more than Most of the country receives more than 4kWh/m4kWh/m22 /day /day

• More than 300 sunny days in the most part of More than 300 sunny days in the most part of the countrythe country

Potential being mapped by IMD, and few Potential being mapped by IMD, and few other institutes.other institutes.

IMD, MNRE has published solar energy IMD, MNRE has published solar energy resource handbookresource handbook•


Solar radiation map of India

If one percent of the land is used to harness solar energy for electricity generation at an overall efficiency of 10%; 492 x 106 MU/year electricity can be generated


Government initiativesGovernment initiatives

GBI (Generation Based incentives) GBI (Generation Based incentives) for Solar power projects (2008)for Solar power projects (2008)

Solar Mission under National Action Solar Mission under National Action Plan for Climate ChangePlan for Climate Change

GBIs and incentive schemes from GBIs and incentive schemes from state governments state governments


CSP worldwideCSP worldwide

More than 10 different technology More than 10 different technology combinations combinations

More than 400MW installed capacityMore than 400MW installed capacity More than 8GW installed capacity projects More than 8GW installed capacity projects

announcedannounced


Role India can playRole India can play

Global hub for manufacturing CSPGlobal hub for manufacturing CSP Global test facilitiesGlobal test facilities

• Different climatic conditionsDifferent climatic conditions• Abundant sunlightAbundant sunlight• Technical man power Technical man power

Large scale Power plants Large scale Power plants • 4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible• Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka,

MP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential states MP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential states


What India should do What India should do GovernmentGovernment

• Back up the plans with realistic and strong policy Back up the plans with realistic and strong policy pushpush

Solar plants and manufacturing base developmentSolar plants and manufacturing base development Low cost financing and fiscal incentivesLow cost financing and fiscal incentives

• IndustryIndustry Move fast to develop manufacturing capabilityMove fast to develop manufacturing capability Develop R & D baseDevelop R & D base Appropriate technology adaptation Appropriate technology adaptation

• Financing and insurance institutionsFinancing and insurance institutions Low cost financingLow cost financing Risk mitigation instruments for solar plantsRisk mitigation instruments for solar plants


Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward Strong long term policy initiativeStrong long term policy initiative Support to various promising technologies Support to various promising technologies

• Cost should not be barrier in initial projectsCost should not be barrier in initial projects National Plan for large scale solr power National Plan for large scale solr power

development development • Solar Park conceptSolar Park concept• Solar CSP test facilities in atleast two locationsSolar CSP test facilities in atleast two locations• Incentives for industries to develop sub-Incentives for industries to develop sub-

components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings, Structures) components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings, Structures) • Indigenous technology development Indigenous technology development


Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward

Long term low cost finance for capital Long term low cost finance for capital investmentsinvestments

RE targets for Distribution agencies RE targets for Distribution agencies can be enhancedcan be enhanced

RE targets for industries, Gencos? RE targets for industries, Gencos?


TERI’s activitiesTERI’s activities Feasibility studies for solar power Feasibility studies for solar power

plantsplants• Two projects under finalisationTwo projects under finalisation

Institutional Expertise inInstitutional Expertise in• SimulationsSimulations• Solar radiation analysisSolar radiation analysis• Development of technologies,Development of technologies,• Strong R & D capabilitiesStrong R & D capabilities

Think tank for the GovernmentThink tank for the Government Working on solar park conceptWorking on solar park concept


Be the change you want to see in the world

A technological society has two choices. First it can wait until catastrophic failures expose systemic deficiencies, distortion and self-deceptions…

Secondly, a culture can provide social checks and balances to correct for systemic distortion prior to catastrophic failures.


Thank you!!!Thank you!!!

Contact:Contact: [email protected]@teri.res.in [email protected]@reeep.org Cell- 09811602069Cell- 09811602069 www.teriin.orgwww.teriin.org

29 th July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi Potential of CSP in India...

Documents

Transcript of 29 th July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi Potential of CSP in India...