Bus Rapid Transit System (BRTS) - Case Studies in Indian Scenario
2030 Transit-Oriented Development Scenario: Travel Model Results
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Transcript of 2030 Transit-Oriented Development Scenario: Travel Model Results
2030 Transit-Oriented Development Scenario:Travel Model Results
Presentation to the TPB Citizen Advisory CommitteeApril 14, 2005
Regional Mobility and Accessibility Study
Don McAuslan for Mark MoranMetropolitan Washington Council of Governments
TodScenTravMod2005-04-14.ppt
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TOD Scenario: What is it?
• Land use: TOD land use– Places more of the region’s future household
and job growth around current and planned Metrorail stations, commuter rail stations or other transit centers
– Derived from Round 6.4 land activity forecasts• Transportation network: TOD network
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TOD land use: Households• Assumes a shift of
125,000 households (35% of the forecast 2010 to 2030 growth, but only 5.2% of the total 2030 HHs)
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TOD land use: Jobs• Assumes a shift of
150,000 jobs (19% of the forecast 2010 to 2030 growth, but only 3.6% of the total 2030 employment)
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Transportation network: Fixed guideway improvements
• Heavy rail (Metrorail, commuter rail)• Light rail (LRT)• Bus rapid transit (BRT)• Transitway (indicates BRT or LRT)
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Transportation network: 20053-2-2005
DRAFT
7 0 7 14 Miles
Current Transit Network (2005)Metrorail and Commuter Rail
Metro Lines
Commuter Rail
Major Roads
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Transportation network: 2030 CLRP
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Transportation network: 2030 CLRP+
• CLRP+ assumes no capital improvements, only enhancements to transit service
• Most significant service enhancement: the lifting of the 2005 transit constraint through the DC core
• CLRP+ is the baseline network
3-2-2005
DRAFT
7 0 7 14 Miles
Transit Improvements in the 2030 CLRP+ NetworkCompared to the 2030 CLRP Network
Metro Lines
Commuter Rail
Major Roads
Light Rail
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Transportation network: TOD, Map 1 of 2
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Transportation network: TOD, Map 2 of 2
LRTBIC
LRTBICLRTBIC
LRTC1
LRT6B
LRTC5
LRTC3
LRT6B
LRTC4A/6A
LRT6A/B
LRT6A/B
LRTC3LRTC2
LRTVA1N
LRTC1/C7
LRTCP1
MGRNA
MGRNA
LRTC1/C7
LRTC3
LRTC4A
LRTC7
LRTC1
LRTMD1
LRTC2
LRT6A/B
LRT6A/BLRTC2
LRT201LRTC3
N
Transit Improvements in the 2030 Transit-Oriented Development NetworkCompared to the 2030 CLRP+ Network
Metrorail, Commuter Rail, Light Rail, Bus Rapid TransitMap 2 of 2
3-2-2005
DRAFT
Light Rail
2030 TOD Transit Way Improvements
Metro Lines
Commuter RailMajor Roads
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Map legend: Fixed guideway extensions in TOD network
PROJECT_ID DESCRIPTIONBUSWAY97 MD 97 TransitwayLRT193 MD 193 Greenbelt Rd TransitwayLRT201 MD 201 (Kenilworth Ave.) TransitwayLRT210 MD 210 (Indian Head Hwy) TransitwayLRT270 I-270 TransitwayLRT4 MD 4 (Pennsylvania Ave.) TransitwayLRT50 US 50 John Hanson Hwy TransitwayLRT5301 MD 5/301 LRTLRT6A/B DC LRT Corridor 6A/BLRT6B DC LRT Corridor 6BLRTBIC BiCounty TransitwayLRTC1 DC LRT Corridor 1LRTC1/C7 DC LRT Corridor 1/7LRTC2 DC LRT Corridor 2LRTC3 DC LRT Corridor 3LRTC4A DC LRT Corridor 4ALRTC4A/6A DC LRT Corridor 4A/6ALRTC5 DC LRT Corridor 5LRTC7 DC LRT Corridor 7LRTCP1 Columbia Pike TransitwayLRTMD1 MD 1 (Baltimore Ave.) TransitwayLRTVA1N VA 1 Transitway, NorthLRTVA1S VA 1 Transitway, SouthMGRNA Green Line Metrorail Extension WW BridgeMORNA Orange Line Metrorail Extension W FFXVFAUQMASS VRE Extension to Fauquier Co.VMASS VRE Extension to Haymarket
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2030 CLRP+ vs TOD:Fixed guideway miles
• Fixed guideway miles have increased from 412 to 691 miles (67%), but most of the increase is in the transitway category, which includes BRT/LRT lines that may operate in mixed traffic, separate right-of-way, or a combination of the two.
• Metrorail miles increase by 23% and commuter rail miles by 12%.
Fixed Guideway MilesMetrorail, Commuter rail, Transitway (BRT, LRT)
130
293
19
237
412
691
160
263
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2030 CLRP Plus 2030 Transit Oriented Devel.
Mile
s
Metrorail Commuter Rail Transitw ay (LRT/BRT) Total
Source: rail_link_miles2.xls, staprotp.rpt
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Transit Stations CLRP+ TOD Change
Total Number of Stations 166 431 265
Number of Transit Stations Within a Regional Activity Cluster 109 265 156
Number of Transit Stations Outside a Regional Activity Cluster 57 166 109
Regional Activity Clusters CLRP+ TOD Change
Total Number of Regional Activity Clusters 24 24 ---
Number of Regional Activity Clusters With One or MoreTransit Stations 17 22 5
Number of Regional Activity Clusters Without a Transit Station 7 2 -5
Transit Stations: How many and where?
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TOD model results• Compared to the 2030 CLRP+, the 2030 TOD
scenario results in 109,000 more transit trips per day (7.9% increase)– 58,000 due to TOD network– 51,000 due to TOD land use
• Regional transit mode share goes from 5.7% to 6.3% (a small increase, but the largest increase of all the scenarios tested to date)
• Home-based work mode share goes from 20.5% to 22.1% (again, the highest of any of the scenarios tested to date)
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TOD model results, 2
• VMT drops by about 1% (from 149.8 million to 148.3 million vehicle miles of travel)
• HBW walk and bike trips increased 6.4%, from 253,000 to 270,000
• Carpool commuters: There is a drop of 13,000 daily trips (2.0%)
• AM congestion: the number of AM lane miles with a volume-to-capacity ratio > 1.0 drops by 4.6% (from 2,560 to 2,440 miles)
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Households Within ½-Mile of a Transit Station:2030 CLRP+, Transit Oriented Development,
Higher Household Growth
CLRP+
16%
84%
TOD
27%
73%
Total Households, CLRP+ and TOD: 2.4 Million
Total Households, Higher Household Scenario: 2.6 Million
Higher Household Growth
28%
72%
Inside 1/2-Mile
Outside 1/2-Mile
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Employment Within ½-Mile of a Transit Station:2030 CLRP+, Transit Oriented Development, &
Higher Household Growth
CLRP+
36%
64%
TOD
46%
54%
Total Employment in 2030: 4.2 Million
Higher Household Growth
45%
55%
Inside 1/2-Mile
Outside 1/2-Mile
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Acknowledgments• Program Manager: Bob Griffiths• Travel model development and overview: Ron Milone and Jim
Hogan• Network development: Bob Snead, John Bethea, Wanda Hamlin,
Joe Davis, Bill Bacon• Mapping and technical support: Meseret Seifu, Don McAuslan• Travel modeling: Mark Moran
Thank you
Questions?