2016-01 County Sales & Price Public
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Transcript of 2016-01 County Sales & Price Public
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7/24/2019 2016-01 County Sales & Price Public
1/14
CALIFORNIA HOUSINGMARKET UPDATE
Monthly Sales and Price Statistics
January 2016
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SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES
California, Jan 2016 Sales: 383,670 Units, +8.8% YTD, +8.8% YTY
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
*Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualizedSERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Jan-16:383,670
Jan-15:352,640
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CALIFORNIA SALES(JAN 2000 PRESENT)
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)
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BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)YoY % chg.
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CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)YoY % chg.
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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)YoY % chg.
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SALES SHARE BY PRICE RANGE
16%
19%
17%14%
18%
7% 7%
2%
12%
18%
16%14%
20%
9%7%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Jan-15 Jan-16
SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
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MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES
California, Jan 2016: $468,330, -4.3% MTM, +9.2% YTY
$-
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000 P: May-07$594,530
T: Feb-09$245,230-59% frompeak
SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Jan-16:$468,330
Jan-15:$428,980
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CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Month-to-Month % Chg
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PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
Jan 2016: $227, Down 1.4% MTM, Up 7.0% YTY
$227
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400PRICE PERSQ.FT.
SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
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SALES PRICE -TO-LIST PRICE RATIO
Jan 2016: 97.9%, Flat 0.0% MTM, Up 0.7% YTY
97.9%
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%Sales-to-List Price Ratio
SERIES: Sales-to-List Ratio
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
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INVENTORY CONTINUED TODECLINE FROM LAST YEAR
Jan 2015: 4.9 Months; Jan 2016: 4.3 Months
Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, andContingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.
0
2
4
6
8
1012
14
16
18
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
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INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLYIN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009
BUT REMAINED TIGHT
Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, andContingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.
2.4
4.24.7
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0 Bay Area Central Valley So CA
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
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DEMAND INCREASED IN JANUARYBUT SUPPLY CONTINUED TO DECLINE
7% 7%
12%
-7% -8% -8%-10%
0%
10%
20%
San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley
Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year%Ch
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Jan 2016