2016 暗黑操盤手的告白-試閱

73

Transcript of 2016 暗黑操盤手的告白-試閱

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  • What does not kill me makes me stronger.

    Nietzsche

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  • 2

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  • 3

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  • 4

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  • 5

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  • LMPS TW

    1981 1983

    198419881995

    2005

    20092011 2014

    6

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  • 40

    5757

    Coursera

    20152015

    7

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  • 20 100

    Job

    8

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  • 9

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  • 2010

    2013

    10

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  • 2015TOP30

    2

    CCTV

    2014 CCTV 78.58%13.8%

    2013 1 5.253.35%

    142.89% 3.13

    53.66% 7.46%

    2012 CCTV

    11

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  • Job

    2007 2011

    12

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  • 70 4

    20% 30%

    2

    2%

    2011

    20

    60%

    13

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  • 5,000

    20

    2016

    2015

    Top30

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  • PHIGROUPPProfessional

    HHonestIIntegrityGGroup

    PHIGROUP

    15

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  • ContentsRecommend 002Recommend 008Preface Job 012

    The Dark Trader

    1.1 0251.2 034 Lesson1 Lesson2 Lesson3

    1.3 039

    1.4 042

    1.5 067

    1.6 075 948

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  • The Dark Trader

    2.1 091 Points 1 Points 2 Points 3 Points 4 Points 5

    2.2 102

    2.3 116 Proofs 1 Proofs 2 Proofs 3 Proofs 4

    2.4 136 8

    2.5 147

    2.6 156

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  • The Dark Trader

    3.1 163

    3.2 177 V.S 11.2.4.8.16 21.1.1.1.1

    3.3 196 Excel

    3.4 206

    3.5 212

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  • Contents

    3.6 235 Points 1 Points 2

    3.7 240

    The Dark Trader

    4.1 247

    4.2 251

    4.3 263

    4.4 276

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  • 4.5 286 Level l Level 2 Level 3 Level 4

    4.6 290

    4.7 304 Article 1 Article 2 Article 3 Article 4

    4.8 320

    4.9 330

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  • ContentsThe Dark Trader

    5.1 343

    5.2 374

    5.3 F 380

    5.4 386 1 2 3 4 5 DDE

    399

    066 135 T 145 146 60 1 272 294

    INFO

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  • The Dark Trader

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  • 1.1

    3 Fed

    25

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  • 80

    1 8080

    8080

    20

    100 350

    9

    8050 8000 8000

    3 Tick

    26

    The Dark Trader

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  • Jesse Lauriston Livermore

    BMW

    Warren Edward Buffett

    0.382 0.618

    27

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  • 0.382 0.618TradeStation

    1-1

    28

    The Dark Trader

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  • 3 14

    10

    100 Tick

    29

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  • 3 15

    100

    23

    30

    The Dark Trader

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  • PHIGROUP

    31

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  • Andr Kostolany

    32

    The Dark Trader

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  • 33

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  • 1.2

    1-2

    34

    The Dark Trader

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  • Lesson1

    5

    35

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  • 5%

    36

    The Dark Trader

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  • Lesson2

    5 10

    3 25

    37

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  • Lesson3

    KD

    KD

    KD 5

    38

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1.3

    4,000

    39

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  • M

    40

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1.4

    2008 5 20

    42

    The Dark Trader

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  • FedFed

    5.25 3

    21Bill

    GrossFed

    3

    380 320

    1,180

    0.5

    920

    43

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  • 1 100 40 100 40 2.5

    1 80001 2008000200 160 160 1 1 80 1 2

    1-3

    20

    100

    44

    The Dark Trader

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  • 20

    100

    382

    400

    45

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  • 1-1

    2317 1,000 176.5 71,751 162.5 161,782 -14,969 -20.86

    2347 6,000 68.16 409,392 62 370,354 -39,228 -9.58

    2347 32,000 77.98 1,004,953 62 1,975,221 -523,734 -52.12

    2347 900 66.9 60,210 62 55,554 -4,741 -7.87

    2354 20,000 182.15 1,485,187 158.5 3,155,973 -492,218 -33.14

    2451 3,000 439.66 529,879 371 1,108,075 -212,804 -40.16

    2454 40 371 14,840 371 14,775 -86 -0.58

    2473 1,000 36.2 15,251 33.65 33,503 -2,748 -18.02

    2474 2,000 115 92,327 107 213,054 -17,273 -18.71

    2498 300 583 174,900 600 179,204 4,055 2.32

    2854 25,000 22.47 227,549 14.5 360,897 -201,653 -88.62

    2885 20,000 30.02 242,354 18 358,407 -242,948 -100.25

    2891 5,000 31.6 64,225 20 99,558 -58,667 -91.35

    3034 3,000 121.5 147,019 68.7 205,189 -159,830 -108.71

    3481 12,000 64.87 313,608 51.3 612,877 -166,732 -53.17

    3481 3,000 64.3 193,174 51.3 153,220 -39,954 -20.68

    5512 85,000 19.29 825,334 10.7 905,476 -736,861 -89.28

    6022 34,000 19.9 340,864 10.65 360,499 -317,365 -93.11

    6202 6,000 53 128,453 36.3 216,837 -101,616 -79.11

    9945 51,000 34.65 714,664 25.1 1,274,436 -495,232 -69.30

    -3,824,604

    46

    The Dark Trader

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  • 2317 200

    200

    100 20

    400

    47

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  • 1.4 .xls

    1-4

    -1000000

    -2000000

    -3000000

    -4000000

    -5000000

    -6000000

    -7000000

    -8000000

    -9000000

    -10000000

    48

    The Dark Trader

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  • 100,000 151.00 15,100,000 21,517

    45,300 -7,999,592 -34.73 23,032,775

    1-5 800

    [3102]

    49

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  • 500

    150 50

    100

    230

    5EPS 10

    Martin Schwartz 2

    200

    190

    50

    The Dark Trader

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  • 20

    150

    52.6 150

    53

    1-6 160

    190 150

    51

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  • 1-6

    52

    The Dark Trader

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  • Winner Take All

    53

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  • D.T 2,000

    1-7 D.T

    1,300

    -1,000,000-2,000,000-3,000,000-4,000,000-5,000,000-6,000,000-7,000,000-8,000,000-9,000,000

    -10,000,000-11,000,000-12,000,000-13,000,000-14,000,000-15,000,000-16,000,000-17,000,000-18,000,000-19,000,000-20,000,000-21,000,000

    54

    The Dark Trader

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  • D.T2006

    5 9 2007 12 D.T

    1-2

    2007 7 11123006

    600

    900 288 70

    55

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  • 1-2 D.T 7 11

    2007/7/11 1,000 120.5 85,866 98,100 -12,234 -12.5

    2007/7/11 4,000 96 56,981 209,600 -152,619 -72.8

    2007/7/11 47,000 104 445,171 2534,800-2,089,629 -82.4

    2007/7/11 2,000 103.5 24,447 110,000 -85,553 -77.8

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 26,147 110,300 -84,153 -76.3

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 26,946 110,700 -83,754 -75.7

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 27,544 111,000 -83,456 -75.2

    2007/7/11 2,000 103.5 27,042 111,200 -84,158 -75.7

    2007/7/11 10,000 103.5 137,205 557,100 -419,895 -75.4

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 28,441 111,400 -82,959 -74.5

    2007/7/11 1,000 103 14,221 55,700 -41,479 -74.5

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 28,441 111,400 -82,959 -74.5

    2007/7/11 1,000 103 14,221 55,700 -41,479 -74.5

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 28,441 111,400 -82,959 -74.5

    2007/7/11 2,000 104 26,438 111,400 -84,962 -76.3

    2007/7/11 1,000 103.5 67,087 81,100 -14,013 -17.3

    2007/7/11 1,000 104 69,079 82,300 -13,221 -16.1

    2007/7/11 1,000 103 70,281 82,400 -12,119 -14.7

    2007/7/11 1,000 103 70,281 82,400 -12,119 -14.7

    2007/7/11 2,000 103 150,335 169,400 -19,065 -11.3

    56

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1-3 D.T 7 12

    2007/7/12 1,000 109 8,217 55,700 -47,483 -85.2

    2007/7/12 2,000 109 16,536 111,500 -94,964 -85.2

    2007/7/12 2,000 109 16,536 111,500 -94,964 -85.2

    2007/7/12 10,000 108.5 292,333 654,500 -362,167 -55.3

    2007/7/12 5,000 108.5 145,915 327,100 -181,185 -55.4

    2007/7/12 5000 108 148,519 327,200 -178,681 -54.6

    2007/7/12 10,000 108.5 290,432 653,600 -363,168 -55.6

    2007/7/12 5,000 109 142,513 326,700 -184,187 -56.4

    2007/7/12 5,000 108.5 145,017 326,700 -181,683 -55.6

    2007/7/12 2,000 108.5 58,027 130,700 -72,673 -55.6

    2007/7/12 3,000 108.5 86,895 196,000 -109,105 -55.7

    2007/7/12 5,000 108 151,313 328,500 -177,187 -53.9

    2007/7/12 5,000 108 145,412 325,800 -180,388 -55.4

    2007/7/12 5,000 107.5 155092 329,200 -174,108 -52.9

    2007/7/12 5,000 107.5 168,553 335,600 -167,047 -49.8

    2007/7/16 10,000 73 294,607 291,328 3,279 1.1

    2007/7/16 50,000 78.3 1,674,577 1,489,276 185,300 12.4

    2007/7/16 23,000 16.65 161,180 149,074 12,106 8.1

    57

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  • 2.5

    900 2,250 2.5

    600

    2250 600900 600 5.5

    3

    2.5

    17 4,000 0.4

    700

    1

    D.T

    58

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1-4 D.T

    1,741,590,677

    0.4% 6,966,363

    A Gross Profit 19,648,430

    B Gross Loss 40,222,804

    C -20,574,374

    D 2,686

    E 2,043

    F 4,729

    G 56.80%

    H 43.20%

    I 7,315

    J 19,688

    59

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  • D.T 56.8 43.2

    13.6 19,688 7,315 2.69

    1,000

    1,300 700

    D.T

    D.T

    2,000 D.T 2,000

    D.TD.T

    60

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1-8

    $6,000,000

    $4,000,000

    $2,000,000

    $

    -$2,000,000

    -$4,000,000

    -$6,000,000

    61

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  • Richard

    Dennis

    62

    The Dark Trader

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  • 63

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  • Nick Leeson

    64

    The Dark Trader

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  • 65

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  • I N F O

    66

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1.5

    100

    40

    31

    67

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  • 10

    1 2 100

    2

    100

    68

    The Dark Trader

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  • 69

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  • 70

    The Dark Trader

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  • 2,000

    1

    2

    71

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  • 72

    The Dark Trader

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  • 1-5

    73

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  • 1

    2.5 3 25 45

    1-9

    MaxDDMax Drawdown

    Profi t

    74

    The Dark Trader

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