2015FY Results - animaholding.it · presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be...
Transcript of 2015FY Results - animaholding.it · presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be...
2015FY Results
Pride and prejudice
2
Disclaimer and safe harbour statements
These slides have been prepared by Anima Holding S.p.A. (“Anima”, the “Company” and together with its subsidiaries the “Group”), solely for a presentationto investors. These slides are being shown for information purposes and neither this document nor any copy thereof may be reproduced, further distributed toany other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. The information contained in this document (“Information”) has been provided by theCompany or obtained from publicly available sources and has not been independently verified.None of the Company or any of their respective affiliates, directors, officers, advisers, agents or employees, nor any other person make any representation orwarranty, express or implied, as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, materiality, completeness or correctness of the Informationor any opinions contained herein. This presentation may contain financial information and/or operating data and/or market information regarding thebusiness, assets and liabilities of the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries and the results of operations and markets in which the Company and itsconsolidated subsidiaries are active. Such financial information may not have been audited, reviewed or verified by any independent accounting firm and/orsuch operating or market information may be based on management estimates or on reports prepared by third parties which neither the Company nor theBanks have independently verified. It is not the intention of the Company to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete orcomprehensive analysis of the Company’s financial or trading position or prospects. This presentation speaks as of its date and will not be updated. TheInformation included in this presentation may be subject to updating, completion, revision and amendment and such Information may change materiallywithout notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the Information contained in this presentation and any estimates, opinions andprojections expressed relating thereto are subject to change without notice. Neither the Company nor any of their respective affiliates, directors, officers,advisers, agents or employees, nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from anyuse of these materials or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This document includes forward-looking statements which include statements regarding ANIMA’s business strategy, financial condition, results of operationsand market data, as well as other statements that are not historical facts. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous factors, risksand uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those projected. Readers are cautioned not to place unduereliance on these forward-looking statements. Except for any ongoing obligation to disclose material information as required by the relevant regulations,ANIMA does not have any intention or obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements after ANIMA distributes this document, whetherto reflect any future events or circumstances or otherwise.
Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, returns and/or opinions contained in this presentation involve elements of subjective judgment andanalysis and are based upon the best judgment of the Company as of the date of this presentation. No representation or warranty is given as to theachievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any valuations, forecasts, estimates, opinions and projections contained in thispresentation. In all cases, recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis on the Company and the Information contained in this presentation.Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words“believes”, “expects”, “predicts”, “intends”, “projects”, “plans”, “estimates”, “aims”, “foresees”, “anticipates”, “targets”, and similar expressions.A multitude of factors can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. Forward-looking statements contained in thispresentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. No oneundertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You shouldnot place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
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2015FY - Table of contents
1
2
Anima…who
Anima…what
Anima…why
Anima…how much3
4
4
ANIMA highlights – Different, yet unique
Source: ANIMA
Organic growth very strong driven by the retail segment
New partnership with Poste Italiane: the beginning of a long term growth opportunity
Operating leverage still effectivewith a 75% EBITDA margin in spiteof new hirings and investments to accomodate the strong growth
€0.25DPS above the 50% payoutratio floor as in 2014 due to strong cash generation and very lean yetflexible balance sheet
66.9 AuM (€bn)
291.2 Total revenues (€m)+28% vs. 2014
150.5 Adj. Net Income (€m)
+36% vs. 2014
+8.6 Net New Money (€bn)
+17% vs. 2014
2015 at a glance
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2015FY - Table of contents
Anima…who
Anima…what
Anima…why
Anima…how much
1
2
3
4
6
Anima AuM evolution
Source: Anima, data in € bn
3.0
NNM
7.6
AuM 2013 EoP
46.6
Mkt effect
2.5
NNM
3.4
AuM 2012 EoP
40.7
Mkt effect
+17% yoy
AuM 2014 Eop
57.1
+15% yoy
66.9
Mkt effect
1.2
NNM
8.6
+23% yoy
AuM 2015 EoP
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1 2.4
2.6
1.5
1.1
Q1
Q2
2.2
2.3
Q3 2.5
Q4 1.6
7
2015 net inflows breakdown
Source: ANIMA – data in €bn
23.21827.247
1.158
3.371
5.237
33.903
39.640
Mkt effectNNM
8.608
Inst
itut
iona
l
AuM 2015 EoP
66.887
Reta
il
AuM 2014 EoP
57.121Retail leading net inflow: 1/3 of total in 2013, 2/3 in 2014 and in 2015
Outflows from insurance linkedproducts more than offset by otherinstitutional business and by growingweight of «wrap» solutions mainlyrelated to Anima target date funds
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INSTITUTIONAL – 41% AuM = €27.2bnRETAIL - 59% AuM = €39.6bn
Strategic partners*
83.9%
Other banks8.7%
FAs6.9%
Other0.5%
Insurance40.8%Pension
funds10.2%
Wrap#
29.7%
BMPS p.fin.§5.5%
Fund users/subadvisory
13.8%
Source: ANIMA Data as of 31-Dec-2015* Includes BMPS, BPM, Cre.Val. and BPPB § €1.5bn mandate expiring June 2016 # Wrap: Anima funds invested by other Anima products (funds and individual mandates)
2015 AuM growth: €3.4bn
Positive NNM results in the subadvisory and fund userssegment with Poste additionally contributing in Q4
Increase of the wrap component (was 19.8% at 2014YE)as a result of product offering
Reduction in the insurance segment
2015 AuM growth: €5.2bn
Strong performance of strategic partners with a share of retail AuM in line with the previous year (was 83.5% at 2014FY)
Improved positive contribution by other channels(banks, FA networks)
Business by segment
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2015FY net inflows in mutual funds breakdown by asset class
Source: ANIMA – data in €m
*includes balanced up to 20% in equities
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
3,500Cash Bond* Balanced Flexible Equity
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2015 funds’ WAP Breakdown of mutual funds by category
Investment performance
Source: Bloomberg - FIDMGEND Index for Italian Industry. ASSOGESTIONI for IT Industry funds breakdown by category
ANIMA
3.48%
IT Industry
1.71%
41.4% 41.2%
8.1% 13.6%
24.1%27.8%
22.3%13.3%
Cash
Equity
Bond
Balanced
Flexible
ANIMA
4.2%
IT Industry
4.2%
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Overall WAP and by category as of December 31st 2015
Source: Bloomberg – Industry represented by Italian mutual funds average by category – Fideuram INDEX
ANIMA
3.48
Industry
1.71
ANIMA
-0.07
Industry
-0.33 ANIMA
1.92
Industry
0.78
ANIMA
9.22
Industry
7.03
ANIMA
2.46
Industry
1.45
Industry ANIMA
4.864.66
WAP
LIQ
UID
ITY
BON
D
BALA
NCE
D
FLEX
IBLE
EQU
ITY
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Istituto Tedesco Qualità e Finanza
Best Big Italian FundManager in 2015
Italian Funds, BIGBest fund manager
MF – Investor Yearbook 2016Italian Asset manager with the
highest average rating *
2015 awards
Pioneer
Eurizon
Eurizon
Pioneer
1
2
3
1
2
3 Eurizon
Arca
1
2
3
* Among AM with at least 30 funds with MF ratingFor further information: www.istituto-qualita.com, www.ilsole24ore.com/altorendimento, Investor Yearbook 2016.
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2015 awards – communication campaign
Going live on Italian financial newspapers, websites, partners’ networks
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Poste Italiane agreement - update
Poste Italiane and ANIMA signed on July 31st 2015 a 10 years commercial agreement
The ANIMA Group shall cooperate with BancoPosta Fondi SGR in the origination, development and management of tailor made investment solutions targeting Poste retail client base, as well as in the training and support of the distribution network
First product (Evoluzione 3D) launched on September 24th 2015: €150m net inflows
As of January 1st 2016 ANIMA is the investment manager of 3 existing open ended funds of BancoPosta Fondi (1 mixed fixed income, 1 balanced and 1 global equities), with AuMof around €1.8bn: NNM positive contribution ytd
On January 13th 2016 start of the placement of the second target date fund: Evoluzione 3D 2016 I (flexible) and on February 24th 2016 start of the placement of the third one: Cedola Dinamica 2022 (balanced) - €147m collected as of March 10th by both funds
Total AuM managed on behalf of Poste Group: around €2.2bn
3 open ended funds and 2 target date funds open to subscription
Source: ANIMA
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2015FY - Table of contents
Anima…who
Anima…what
Anima…why
Anima…how much
1
2
3
4
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€m 2015 % 2014
Net commissions 233.935 195.892
Performance fees 57.313 31.048
Total revenues 291.248 28% 226.940
Personnel costo/w fixedo/w variable
(40.102)(23.254)(16.848)
(33.047)(22.658)(10.388)
Other expense (30.221) (27.122)
Total expense (70.323) 17% (60.169)
EBITDA 220.925 32% 166.771
Non recurring costs (2.750) (3.711)
LTIP expense (12.243) (4.655)
Other income/(cost) (0.337) 2.279
D&A (18.789) (20.480)
EBIT 186.806 33% 140.203
Net financial charges (3.747) (17.752)
PBT 183.059 50% 122.451
Income tax (56.173) (37.600)
Net income 126.886 50% 84.851
Adjusted net income 150.518 36% 110.533
P&L overview
*Including BMPS prop finance mandate expiring June 2016
Non cash PPA amortization; amortization of capitalized costs of financing One off components and non‐recurring costs (M&A, asset disposals, IPO, lay‐off incentives)
bps/avg AuM 2015 2014
Retail 34.5 36.8
Institutional* 31.9 29.2
Institutional ex BMPS p.fin. 29.5 26.1
Average 33.4 33.7
Cost/income 2015 2014
On total revenues 24.1% 26.5%
Ex performance fees 30.1% 30.7%
Substantially stable margins on average
Equity exposure in target date funds isusually reached investing in Anima equityfunds (wrap), thus increasing the institutional margin
Cost income ratio improving also net of performance fees
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Recurrent and performance fees by quarter
Source: ANIMA data in €m
58.559.855.6
50.748.450.846.042.641.239.939.5
60.1+23.4%
3Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q144Q133Q132Q131Q13 4Q15
0.8
8.8
35.3
2.72.5
13.7
4.85.14.84.810.4 11.87.4
31.9
3Q152Q151Q154Q14
12.2
3Q142Q141Q144Q13
42.3
3Q132Q131Q13 4Q15
12.4
0.6
Performance fees pointing usualcontribution between 10 and 20%
At the end of 2015 AuM eligible for performance fees was 28% of total AuM
Two calculation metodologies on Italian(85%) and foreign domiciled funds (15%):
HWM (no calendar year reset) or yearly comparison with the relevant
benchmark of the product
TR index as a benchmark since 2016 (BoInew rule) will reduce overperformance in line with the amount of yearly cashed in dividends
0
10
20
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
20%14%
26%
18%
5%
Performance feesas a % of total net revenues
Performance feesas a % of total net revenues
Steadily increasing contribution of recurrent revenues
HWM
12mo.
Recurrent fees
Performance fees
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Net commission trend Personnel cost trend
Source: ANIMA - data in €m
58.559.855.6
50.748.4
50.846.0
60.1
3Q142Q141Q14 4Q153Q152Q151Q154Q14
Substantially stable margins excluding contribution from placement fees and other revenues
5.9 5.7 5.3 5.7 6.1 6.0 5.5
4.32.9
2.8
8.0
5.7
3.12.1
3.77.7
3Q152Q151Q15
9.1 9.4
4Q15
14.1
4Q14
6.20.5
3Q14
8.1
2Q14
8.6
1Q14
10.2
Increase in personnel cost is mainly due to higher variable compensation with a link to performance fees cashed and overall results of the Group against the budget
31.8 31.7
33.8 35.2
31.7
32.8
31.6
32.9
31.5
32.7
Net commissions (bp)
«Core» Net commissions (bp)
Fixed
Variable
32.1
34.4
32.1
33.4 32.8
31.5
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Improving operating leverage
Source: ANIMA - data in €m
73.5% 75.9%72.1%
2.6%
24.1%
‐7.1%
26.5%27.9%
‐10.5%
30.1%37.6%
30.7%
20152013 2014
EBITDA margin as a % of total revenues
OPEX as a % of total revenues
OPEX as a % of revenues ex perf.fees
20
Focus on cost structure
Source: ANIMA - data in €m
27.1 30.2
22.723.3
10.4
16.8
Opex
Pers. Fixed
2015
Pers. Variable
70.3
2014
60.2
Cost base increased in 2015 mostly because of variable compensation
€26m higher performance fees and €38m higherfixed fees and other revenues translated into€6m higher variable compensation (approx 10% of the top line growth) and €4m higher fixedcosts and opex
Opex include marketing and other cost of sales as well as the outsourcing of non-core activities, being therefore linked to AuM growthbut also providing significant flexibility
For 2016 we expect a lower total cost sincethe full impact of the increased base linked to the Poste partnership (FY instead of H2 only) will be more than offset increased focus on cost control (including lower variable comp.)
28% increase in the top line - 17% cost growth
2016 total cost set to decline vs. 2015
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Net financial position
€m 2015 2014
Bank loan (180.0) (180.0)
TOTAL DEBT (180.0) (180.0)
Cash 285.8 171.1
Securities 67.9 43.7
Perf. fee receivables 11.5 8.1
TOTAL CASH 365.2 222.9
NET FINANCIAL POSITION 185.2 42.9
Source: ANIMA - *subject to AGM approval
222.9365.2
-180.0Total debt
2015
Total cash
185.2
-180.0
2014
42.9
at Holding level
Mainly in operatingcos (subsidiaries)
0.250€*
0.173€
Dividend
2015
0.423€
2014
0.283€
+50%
0.167€
Ret.Earnings 0.116€
€142m cash generation in 2015 (almostequivalent to the adjusted net income)
Dividend proposal for 2015 €75m i.e. €0.25DPS (around 4% dividend yield)
Balance sheet remains very flexible and ready to increase leverage should M&A become available
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2015FY - Table of contents
Anima…who
Anima…what
Anima…why
Anima…how much
1
2
3
4
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Retail gross inflows
Closing remarks
59
100‐41%
2015FY 2016YTD
Base 2015= 100
Monthly gross flows as a % of previous period end AuM
2016 started with strong negative markets, nevertheless ANIMA collected €3.9b in the first two months thanks to the institutional business In the same period the retail suffered due more to a cautious approach to new investments rather than to larger outflows
Retail gross outflows
105100
+5%
2015FY 2016YTD
The good resiliency of the AuM proves how ANIMA was successful both in the asset allocation for retail clients (risk-adjusted returns with focus on capital preservation) and in the support to the distributors to manage clients’ concerns in turbulent phases
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Closing remarks
The reluctance of retail clients to invest in volatile environment usually improves after market stabilise and negative headlines fade away as March preliminary figures confirm
26.0%
32.0%
12.0%
34.0%
12.0%
44.0%38.0%
Feb’16
no
…positive
… negative
2.0%
Mar’16
…very negative
68.0%
42.0%
26.0%13.0%
27.0%
15.0%
don’t know
not really
not at all
4.0%yes
Mar’16Feb’16
5.0%
Source: ANIMA – research carried out by Eumetra Monterosa – sample: 800 people representative of the Italian population
Did you hear financial news? Is it a good moment to invest?
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Closing remarks
Source: OECD – financial asset by country (stats.oecd.org)
In spite of negative markets in the past few weeks, the underlying environment remains very benign for AM industry in Italy
Preference of retail clients remain for liquid investments and capital preservation with increasing demand for advisory
Banks remain very focussed on the feegeneration, with the ECB decision on March 10th 2016 constituting an additionallong term support, since the roll-over of banks’ funding doesn’t represent an issue
The conversion of AuC into AuM was quite strong in the past three years so it is expected to continue yet at a lower pace
02468
101214161820222426283032
2010 2012
Stocks
Life&pension
Deposits
Bank bonds
2014 3Q15
Other bonds
Funds
Italian households’ net wealth in %
26
Closing remarks
ANIMA started its solid growth path 3 years ago also thanks to distribution channelsand client diversificationGrowth expectation (under «normal» market conditions) remains strong supported by the institutional business able to well compensate the expected slowdown in the retail flows
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
2,542 2,686 3,371
898
4,8945,231
‐1,500
4,500
Institutional
Retail
2016E
6,400
3,400
2015
8,602
2014
7,580
2013
3,44026%
74% 35%
65%61%
39%
€1.9b Institu
tional
large on
e‐off flows
~4,500
June
Janu
ary
Il presente materiale non può in nessun caso essere interpretato come consulenza, invito all’investimento, offerta o raccomandazione per l’acquisto o la vendita di strumentifinanziari, né costituisce sollecitazione al pubblico risparmio. ANIMA è esonerata da qualsiasi responsabilità derivante da un uso improprio del presente materiale al pubblico,effettuato in violazione delle disposizioni degli Organi di Vigilanza anche in materia di pubblicità. I rendimenti passati non sono indicativi di quelli futuri. Prima di aderire leggereil Prospetto, disponibile presso la sede della società, i collocatori e sul sito www.animasgr.it.
This document is not intended to be an offer or solicitation, investment advice or recommendation for the purchase or sell any financial instruments and it cannot be disclosed tothird parties and/or distributed to the public.This is an informative report and its content is not intended and cannot be used improperly, also as advertising, for the placementof any fund managed by ANIMA Sgr, accordingly to Italian law. The Company assumes the hereby given information as accurate and reliable, but it does not guarantee itsprecision and it shaIl not therefore be liable for its use by the addressees. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.For detailed information, please consult the sales prospectus available at ANIMA Headquarter, third parties distributors and on our corporate website www.animasgr.it.
Anima Holding spaCorso Garibaldi, 99I – 20121 Milanowww.animaholding.it
Investor RelationsFabrizio ArmoneTel. [email protected]