2011 NC Aging Demographics

8/2/2019 2011 NC Aging Demographics

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A profile of North

Carolinians

-Swarna ReddyNC DAAS


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NC is aging!

Retirees

Foreign-born population (Immigrant andrefugees)

Life expectancy

Baby Boomers


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NC ranks, 2010

10th in total population

9th in population 65+

10th in population 85+

Total population2000 - 8 million

2010 - 9.5 million

- UC Census 2010, 2005-2009, ACS


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Total Population Change, 2000-2010

Counties Decrease

Halifax -2,679

Martin -1,088

Washington -495

Jones -228

Lenoir -153

Mitchell -108

Hyde -16

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

Wak

e

Mecklen

burg

Union

Guilfo

rd

Increase


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Population in NC, 2010-2030

Total population 9.5 million Total population 12.6 million

65+ 1.2 million 12.9% 65+ 2.1 million 17.6%85+ 147,461 1.5% 85+ 240,016 2.0%

Baby Boomers

2.4 million 24.8%

Baby Boomers

1.8 million 14.5%(46-64 years old) (66-84 years old)

2010 2030

Centenarians 1,404 (213 males, 1,191 females)


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0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

2000 2010 2020 2030

0-17 60+ 85+

NC Population Growth 2000-2030

Source: NC State Data Center


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New

Alexander

AlleghanyAshe

Avery

Buncombe

Burke

Cabarrus

Caldwell

Catawba

Cherokee

Cleveland

Davie

GastonGraham

Haywood

Henderson

Iredell

Jackson

McDowell

Macon

Madison

Mecklenburg

Mitchell

Polk

Rowan

Rutherford

Surry

Swain

Union

Watauga WilkesYadkin

Yancey

Clay

Transylvania

Lincoln

Granville

NashAlamance

Anson

Bladen

Caswell

Chatham

Columbus

Cumberland

Davidson

Durham

Forsyth FranklinGuilford

Harnett

Hoke

JohnstonLee

MontgomeryMoore

Orange

Person

Randolph

Richmond

Robeson

Rockingham

Sampson

Scotland

Stanly

StokesVance

Wake

Warren

Beaufort

Bertie

Carteret

Chowan

Craven

Dare

Duplin

Edgecombe

Gates

Greene

Halifax Hertford

Hyde

Jones

Lenoir

Martin

Hanover

Northampton

Onslow

Pamlico

Pasquotank

Pender

Perquimans

Pitt

Tyrrell

Brunswick

Washington

Wayne

Wilson

Camden

Currituck

Profile of County Population, Ages 0-17 and 60+ in NC, 2010

Counties with more 60+ than 0-17 (43)

Counties with more 0-17 than 60+ (57)

Source: US Census 2010, June 2011


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New

Alexander

AlleghanyAshe

Avery

Buncombe

Burke

Cabarrus

Caldwell

Catawba

Cherokee

Cleveland

Davie

GastonGraham

Haywood

Henderson

Iredell

Jackson

McDowell

Macon

Madison

Mecklenburg

Mitchell

Polk

Rowan

Rutherford

Surry

Swain

Union


Yancey

Clay

Transylvania

Lincoln

Granville

NashAlamance

Anson

Bladen

Caswell

Chatham

Columbus

Cumberland

Davidson

Durham


Harnett

Hoke

JohnstonLee

MontgomeryMoore

Orange

Person

Randolph

Richmond

Robeson

Rockingham

Sampson

Scotland

Stanly

StokesVance

Wake

Warren

Beaufort

Bertie

Carteret

Chowan

Craven

Dare

Duplin

Edgecombe

Gates

Greene

Halifax Hertford

Hyde

Jones

Lenoir

Martin

Hanover

Northampton

Onslow

Pamlico

Pasquotank

Pender

Perquimans

Pitt

Tyrrell

Brunswick

Washington

Wayne

Wilson

Camden

Currituck

Age Groups 0-17 and 60+, 2030

Counties with more 60+ than 0-17

Counties with more 0-17 than 60+

(71)


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New

Alexander

AlleghanyAshe

Avery

Buncombe

Burke

Cabarrus

Caldwell

Catawba

Cherokee

Cleveland

Davie

GastonGraham

Haywood

Henderson

Iredell

Jackson

McDowell

Macon

Madison

Mecklenburg

Mitchell

Polk

Rowan

Rutherford

Surry

Swain

Union


Yancey

Clay

Transylvania

Lincoln

Granville

NashAlamance

Anson

Bladen

Caswell

Chatham

Columbus

Cumberland

Davidson

Durham


Harnett

Hoke

JohnstonLee

MontgomeryMoore

Orange

Person

Randolph

Richmond

Robeson

Rockingham

Sampson

Scotland

Stanly

StokesVance

Wake

Warren

Beaufort

Bertie

Carteret

Chowan

Craven

Dare

Duplin

Edgecombe

Gates

Greene

Halifax Hertford

Hyde

Jones

Lenoir

Martin

Hanover

Northampton

Onslow

Pamlico

Pasquotank

Pender

Perquimans

Pitt

Tyrrell

Brunswick

Washington

Wayne

Wilson

Camden

Currituck

Greater than 150%

100 to 150% increase

50 to 99% increase

Figure C. Projected Growth of Population Ages 65 and Older from 2010 to 2030

Source: Based on 2010 and 2030 projections from Office of State Budget and Management

Range: 3% -170%

3 to 49% increase

Projected growth for the State is 74%


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New

Alexander

AlleghanyAshe

Avery

Buncombe

Burke

Cabarrus

Caldwell

Catawba

Cherokee

Cleveland

Davie

GastonGraham

Haywood

Henderson

Iredell

Jackson

McDowell

Macon

Madison

Mecklenburg

Mitchell

Polk

Rowan

Rutherford

Surry

Swain

Union


Yancey

Clay

Transylvania

Lincoln

Granville

NashAlamance

Anson

Bladen

Caswell

Chatham

Columbus

Cumberland

Davidson

Durham


Harnett

Hoke

JohnstonLee

MontgomeryMoore

Orange

Person

Randolph

Richmond

Robeson

Rockingham

Sampson

Scotland

Stanly

StokesVance

Wake

Warren

Beaufort

Bertie

Carteret

Chowan

Craven

Dare

Duplin

Edgecombe

Gates

Greene

Halifax Hertford

Hyde

Jones

Lenoir

Martin

Hanover

Northampton

Onslow

Pamlico

Pasquotank

Pender

Perquimans

Pitt

Tyrrell

Brunswick

Washington

Wayne

Wilson

Camden

Currituck

100% rural (22)

70% to 99.9% rural

40% to 69.9 rural

Less than 40% rural

Source: US Census 2000

Rural Counties in North Carolina


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Median Age

37.4 years

78 counties had higher median age than thestate (Clay 49.6 years)

Watauga county had a drop in median age from 2000-2010 of -1.5 years. Migration, aging baby boomers, low

birth rates, increased life expectancy and aging in place will be some of the driving forces in the changes inmedian age in the future.


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Age Dependency Ratio

Number of people 65 and over

------------------------------------------- X 100

Number of people aged 18-64

(2010=20.5%)

(2030=30%)

More money spent on health, social security, shortage of labor force


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Funding Formula Factors

50% 30% 10% 10%

60+ Poverty Minority Rural


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Grandparents Raising Grandchildren under 18 Years

89,622 grandparents (30 years or older)

32,411 males, 57,211 females

62,376 (69.6%) were 30-59 years old

27,246 (30.4%) were 60 and over

A number of these grandparents have

disabilities and live below poverty levelNC ranks 8th nationally in grandparents responsible forgrandchildren under 18


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Other statistics, age 65 and over

23% are veterans

80% own their homes

29% live alone

Median household income is $29,805

(Wake , Orange, Dare - $42K, rural counties 19K-20K)


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Women outnumber Men

42%

58%

30%

70%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

65+ 85+

Male Female


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Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Race/EthnicityPersons 65 and Over(as a % of age group)

White alone 80.5%

African-American alone 16.4%

American-Indian alone 0.9%

Asian alone 1.1%

Hispanic/Latino alone 1.5%

Immigrant/refugees : Many of them face language barriers, social isolation, and problems inaccessing health care and other programs/services

AI Robeson (7,527) Asian Wake (3.4%) AA Bertie, Hertford (53%)


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Hispanic or Latino, 2010

Total population 800,120

80% of the total population is 0-40 years

61% is Mexican

Age 60 and over 27,339 (3.4%)

77% of people 65 and over live in familyhouseholds

241 people 65 and over in group quarters

60+ - Mecklenburg (4,183), Wake (2,846)Is the person Hispanic, Spanish or Latino origin/ What is the race?


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Marital Status

Age 65-74 Age 75-84 Age 85+

Unmarried Women 46.9 67.9 90.6

Unmarried Men 24.8 30.1 50.6

Because men have shorter life expectancy

Men tend to marry younger women, at ages 65 and older

Women are more than twice as likely to be unmarried(widowed, divorced, separated, or never married) as

men in their age group

Both widowhood and divorce affect emotional andeconomic well-being.

They may result in social isolation and reduce the

likelihood of an available caregiver


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Educational Attainment, 65 and Over

Less than high school, no diploma 30.3%

High school graduate, GED or alternative 31.6%

Some college, no degree 16.1%

Associate's degree 4.0%

Bachelor's degree 10.8%

Graduate or professional degree 7.2%

Older population grew up at a time when educationalattainment was typically lower

Higher level of education high income, higher standard ofliving, better health status

Hyde Graduate (0%), High school or less (75%), Poverty rate (50%)


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Poverty Status

Below poverty 9.0%

100-199% of poverty 21.1%

65 74 years

Poverty rate increases with age.Unmarried women have higher poverty ratesPeople living in poverty are at risk of having inadequate resources for housing,food, health care and other needs. Present research shows that the poverty rate has risen

Below poverty 13.7%

100-199% of poverty 30.2%

75 and Over

Poverty threshold in 2009 for person 65+ was $10,289


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Employment

Persons age 65 and over in civilian labor force(as % of age group) 14.5%

Most people 65 and over retire (social security, pensions, savings..)Some work out of economic necessity

Others for social contact, intellectual challenges or sense of valuethat work often provides

The difference between labor force participation in men and womenhas narrowed over time.* Labor force includes employed and unemployed

Unemployment was 4%. Research shows that older adults once laid off, have a higher waiting period to get

another job compared to other age groups. Unemployment rate is higher for people with high school or less thanhigh school degrees.


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People in Civilian Labor Force, 2010

**As a % of civilian non-institutional population

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

62.6%

15.3%

80.5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

45-54 years 55-64 years 65 years and over


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Life Expectancy, 2009

People are living longer than ever before. Women live longer than men.

Increasing longevity - rising medical costs, increasing demands forhealth services, since older people are typically more vulnerable tochronic diseases

NC

Age Groups Combined

60-64 22.8

65-69 19

70-74 15.5

75-79 12.3

80-84 9.5

85+ 7.2

Source: NC Center for Health Statistics. Life Expectancy in North Carolina, 2009


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Housing for People 65 and Over

96.5% in households

(1,191,369)

68.6% in familyhouseholds

31.4% in nonfamilyhouseholds

3.5% in group quarters

(42,710)

A household includes all the people who occupy a housing unitas their usual place of residence.

38,676 in Nursing facilities

792 in Correctional facilities

2,641 in group homes

273 other


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Rank Cause

1 Heart diseases

2 Cancer

3 Cerebrovascular diseases

4 Chronic lower respiratory diseases

5 Alzheimers disease

Source: NC Center for Health Statistics (2009). Leading Causes of Death

2009.

Leading Causes of Death, 65+

Chronic health conditions affect quality of life, contribute to decline in functioning and ability to live independently for older adults.Some of these diseases to a great degree can be prevented or modified with interventions such as quitting smoking, having properdiet, and increasing physical activity. There are differences in the prevalence of certain chronic conditions by gender, race andethnicity in people age 65 and over. Men report cancer as leading causes of death compared to women. African Americans and

American Indians are at substantially higher risk for diabetes and Alzheimers diseases compared to whites


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Disability Status, 65 and Over

61%

17%22%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0 disabilities 1 type of disability 2 or more types of

disability

About 39% of the population 65+ have at least 1 type of disability.

They may need more health care services and social support

Disability is a long lasting physical, mental or emotional condition. This condition can make it difficult for a person to do activities suchas walking, climbing stairs, dressing, bathing, learning or remembering.


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24%35%

20%

10%11%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor

Health Status, 65 and Over

Proportion of people reporting good to excellent health decreases among theoldest age groups.

Poor health status is often in people with disabilities and chronic diseases


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Baby Boomers

47-65 years old

Have distinct social and demographic attributes

Posses more education

Have more women in labor force More likely to occupy professional positions

More racially and ethnically diverse

Higher rates of divorce and separation

Lower rates of marriage Fewer children

- William H. Frey


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Implications?..

Opportunities

Challenges

Are we ready?

2011 NC Aging Demographics

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