201003 Moderate Islamists Alanani

8/3/2019 201003 Moderate Islamists Alanani

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01he Saban Center at he Brookings Institution

M CI M ISMISS I B W

W O R K I N G P A P E R

N u m b e r 4 , M a r c h 2 0 1 0

TheMyThof excluding

ModeraTe islaMisTsinThe

arabWorld

Khalil al-Anani


2/28

TheMyThof excluding

ModeraTe islaMisTsinThe

arabWorld

Khalil al-Anani

W O R K I N G P A P E R

N u m b e r 4 , M a r c h 2 0 1 0


3/28


4/28

he Saban Center at he Brookings Institution

M CI M ISMISS I B W

,

,

M q, M B , J, ,

, M J -

P (PJ)

T S

I

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I

xecutive Summary


5/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

T S -

I I

I -

, I -

I , I

S

T S

-- I

:

Rethink the Basic Understanding of Mod-

erate Islamists. T

S

I

I ,

S

I ,

S

Understand the Internal Dynamics of Is-

lamist Movements. T S

I -

z, -

,

Do Not Treat Democracy Promotion Sole-

ly as a Response to Terrorism. T

S -

-

-

S

;

, -

Capitalize on the New Generation of Mod-

erate Islamists. T S

I

T

;

,

, , q, ,

; -

W


6/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

Insight j

Egypt Daily News, q

, Al Hayat,Al Ahram Weekly,Al Ghad(J), Al Watan

()

I 2008, - P V-

S C M P

B I B

C, -

Al Masry Al Youm -

M - M P S

C P

S I

, K

K - S - , C jAl Siyassa Al Dawliya, C P

S S - -

z M

I , z,

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z, ,

Te Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt: Search-

ing or the ruth (2008) Dismantling the GreatWalls: ribalism, Authoritarianism, and Islamism in

the Arab World() -

, Arab Afairsj, Al Mustaqbal Al Arabi j, Arab

he uthor


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

I S C M P B I, , I M I, K P, C W, M,

, K I P

T -

J

cknowledgements


8/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

Introduction: The New Map of Islamists

I

W W -

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The Meaningof ModeraTion

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1 Francois Burgat,Face to Face With Political Islam, (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003), p. 77.


9/28


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11/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

Exclusionary Policies: Who Stoppedthe Tsunami?

W

3 S

, M- B , -

( )

2005,

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J 2006 P ,

W T

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2 M , I P: T , I, J 20063 S S Czz C, , J 20, 2005


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j

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(I) T J

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(marjiiyya) T

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5 T B M B f I S C

6 P, 7 S 2007 , I ,


13/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

I C M (),

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2011 S

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325,

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2008 , S

8 M 16, 2003, , , C, S K B , M S S; 41 S B,

Washington Post, M 18, 20039 M M C W, T , Journal o Democrac 19, 1 (2008), 19-33

10 K 2008 , J B, S I Kuwait imes, M30, 2008

11 J -Q, B -S, -z, z -, Aljarida (K; ), J 5, 2008,

12 -S M, Z, C S P , I ( ), M 2, 2007, ; S , S , 24, 2004,


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M zz, B-

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The induSTryof exTreMiSM

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13 J S, V C,Al Arabiya ( ), J 15, 2008,


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

M

2007 M

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T I S

(IS), , , -

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depoliTiCizing arab SoCieTieS

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15 , M J Cz S , I ( ), 14, 2008,

16 B , T P -Z , q-( ), S 15, 2006,


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

J S

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17/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

Myths Used to Justify ExcludingModerate Isl amists

I

j

I T j -

W

The MyThof one-Man, one-VoTe,

one-TiMe

M W I

q T

I

S

, T - : I

1979, S 1989,

1990 T

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M 2006,

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M, , , K,

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1990,

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18/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

J P

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I , M B- M-

S P (MSP)

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1997 -

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I 2002 2007 -

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P zz B (

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1993 S -

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1991 M, 1994 B

j J

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17

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2007

The MyThof inCluSionand exCluSion

S W I-

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18 , -

,

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I -

I M, K M VI

1999, z

17 , Te Future o Political Islam, ( : P M, 2003), 9718 S C, T M M I, Foreign PolicyW , J 2008,


19/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

T , ,

1980 1990,

, , -

I I ,

9/11

- M

, M-

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j -Q

T, I

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The MyThof STabiliTyinSTeadof

deMoCraCy

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19 T B I, S M S , TeMuslim Brotherhood in the 2007 Jordanian Parliamentary Elections: A Passing Political Setback or Diminished Popularity?(: --S, 2007), 24,


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

I, I-

P, ,

I , 2005

-

f M B,

I

P (P)

M B j

( j

P)20 S, J,

2007 I

- I K

2008 2009 -

, , -

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z z

q, j I ,

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The MyThof proMoTing deMoCraCy

VerSuS eMpowering iSlaMiSTS

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-

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z

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M j

S 2007 ,

z,

M

20 T z (), S , M 14, 2007,


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

howShouldThe uniTed STaTeS deal

wiTh ModeraTe iSlaMiSTS?

T P -

,

I P -

I

, z

M B J, J

P M, M

S P , ,

M B S,

M I ,

M I I ,

I ,

q T

S -

I:

Rethink the Basic Understanding of Moder-

ate Islamists. -

I S B

- S I

S

Iq -

I , -

S

T,

I

-

I

S z

M,

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21 M M, M , I, S J, , J 25, 2008,


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

;

,

I , -

,

, , -

, -

I

S

-

, -

S -

I

S T

I

M I-

S

- -

Understand the Internal Dynamics of the

Moderate Islamist Movements. I S

I z,

,

I-

T

I,

,

I J,

-

M B

I ,

B

-

, ,

q z

, S

I

q -

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S, S

z I

S - T,

S z I

j , -

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I

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Do Not Treat Democracy Promotion Solely

as a Response to Terrorism. ,

S -

-

S


24/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

-

,

j j

, , ,

, -

z

T S

I

-

T -

--

S,

S

W -

J 2009,

-

, ,

S

, 22

I , S z

,

I - T

S -

I

,

W

Open Channels for Direct Dialogue with

Moderate Islamists. I

S I -

--

W

-

z I ,

M S P

B S

- Mj M

I M J -

P

,

S - -, B-

, ,

M

Capitalize on the New Generation of Mod-

erate Islamists. T -

I

T S

-

T -

-

;

, , -

, q, , -

; W

T , ,

-

I M

T

-

,

M B

B

,

M 4, 2008

( M B

) T

22 I M B , , J- 2009


25/28


M CI M ISMISS I B W

S,

J P

ConCluSion

T 9/11

M -

, S

I

I

S

I z

I T S q-

I

T

, S

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--

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M CI M ISMISS I B W

Project on Middle East Democracy and Development

S- C M P Pj M

(M) T j -

S

M

M P V , M -

M , -, - B S, , M

M T - - M T - I

S C M :

C W M, De-mocracy Promotion Under Obama: Lessons rom the Middle East Partnership Initiative, S CM M #13, M 2009;

C W , Eu-rope, the United States, and Middle Eastern Democ-racy: Repairing the Breach, S C P, 18, J 2009;

C W, Freedoms Unsteady March: Americas Role in Building Arab Democracy(W-, C: B I P, 2008);

S , Upgrading Authoritarianism in

the Arab World, S C P, -

13, 2007;

C W & M, Elec-tions in the Arab World: Progress or Peril?, S C- M M #11, 12, 2007;

C W & S , WhatPrice Freedom? Assessing the Bush AdministrationsFreedom Agenda, S C P, 10, S 2006;

M S , An Ambivalent Alliance:

Te Future o U.S.-Egyptian Relations, S C- , 6, J 2006


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M CI M ISMISS I B W

The Saban Center for Middle East Policy

S C M P M 13, 2002 - Mj K II J-

T S C

B I -

M

S

T S C W - , j, - - M T B

T S C j M -

T - C S - M S I, V P P B S C K M P W S C M

T - B , , M S S-

C - CI; Sz M, S f I - ; S , Pj S I W; , B C; S , S C M; B, M T P S P B

T S C : Iq, - - ; I - ; q - - I-P ; , ; - , q z


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201003 Moderate Islamists Alanani

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