2007 Paris FINAL - GE · GE Aviation Scott C. Donnelly President & CEO 2007 Paris Air Show 2 GE...
Transcript of 2007 Paris FINAL - GE · GE Aviation Scott C. Donnelly President & CEO 2007 Paris Air Show 2 GE...
GEAviation
Scott C. DonnellyPresident & CEO
2007 Paris Air Show
2GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related
to future, not past, events. In this context, forward-looking statements often
address our expected future business and financial performance, and often contain
words such as "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "believes," "seeks," or
"will." Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to
different degrees, uncertain. For us, particular uncertainties arise from the behavior
of financial markets, including fluctuations in interest rates and commodity prices;
from future integration of acquired businesses; from future financial performance of
major industries which we serve including, without limitation, the air and rail
transportation, energy generation and healthcare industries; from unanticipated
loss development in our insurance businesses; and from numerous other matters of
national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business,
competitive or regulatory nature. These uncertainties may cause our actual future
results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking
statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.
3GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
What’s new since Farnborough
• ’06 op profit up 13%, 1Q07 op profit up 17%
• Smiths closed May 4th, expanding “beyond the engine”
• GEnx is the fastest selling big engine in GE Aviation history, passed 850 units
• Aviation utilization is strong … 1Q07 commercial spares up 20%
• Congressional reviews in progress on F136 program
4GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Fuel ($ / gallon)(1Q Average)
$1.84 $1.78
7.0%
5.4%
2.7%
1Q06 1Q07
5.9%
Aircraft orders(Airbus & Boeing)
323
1Q06 1Q07
266
Pax capacity & traffic growth(1Q07 over 1Q06)
Cargo capacity & traffic growth(1Q07 over 1Q06)
ASK RPK
ATK RTK
Sources: International Air Transport Association (IATA), US DOE, Airbus, Boeing
Aviation industry is strong
5GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
0 – 10%10 - 20%20 - 30%
China16%
Americas 5.7%
Europe 5.3%
Asia 4.6%(w/o India & China)
MEA15%
India28%
Industry strength expected to continue‘06 revenue passenger mileage growth
6GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Aviation business model
~70% of GE & CFM orders from non-US customers
Everywhere in the world
GEnx … 850+ engines to-date
Differentiate with technology
$39B CSA backlogWin life-cycle service
1,747 commercial deliveries in 2006
Grow installed base
(a- 1,055 ‘06 deliveries CFM, 692 ‘06 deliveries GECFM is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
(b- Commercial + Military CSA backlog
–a)
-b)
7GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Aviation portfolio
$3.8 $5.9 $3.5
(a- Includes GE’s 50% of CFMCFM is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
(b- Systems & Unison Engine Components on Smiths ’06 fiscal calendar
$0.8
Digital Systems Electrical Power Mechanical Systems
Unison Engine Components
$0.2 $0.8 $0.6
A leading aviation technology business
Commercial Engines
Commercial EngineServices
Military Engines & Services
($ in billions)
’06 Rev
’06 Rev
Systems
–a)–b)
–b)
8GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
GE + Smiths – B787
• Simpler maintenance
• Weight savings + LRU reduction
• Reduce A/C production cycle time
• Intelligence to manage complex systems
• Faster time to market for upgrades
Common core computing
Common core – remotedata concentrators
Leading/trailing edge actuators
Landing gear actuation &Controls / brakemonitoring
Nose gear steering controls
Flight deck interface /flight voice recorder
Flight datarecorder
GEnx
Expanding capability “beyond the engine”
9GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Additional growth opportunities
Target systems
• Flight control actuation
• Landing gear systems
• Electric power systems
• Integrated modular avionics
• Flight management
• Flight data recorders
• Video processing
• Vehicle health monitoring
• Aero structures
Platform
PotentialShip-set
A350XWB
Airbus ANSR
Boeing 737RS
$2.7
$1.0
$1.0
($ in millions)
(a- excludes engines
–a)
10GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
4.38.2
14.64.6
12.6
21.9
Product lineage Commercial installed base (K)
Fleet in active commercial serviceSource: ACAS, GE internal studies
GP7000 developed by GE/P&W Engine AllianceCFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
LEAP56TM is a trade mark of CFM International, a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
Commercial … win with technology
1971
1979
1992
1995
2008
Next
2008
CF6
CFM
CF34
GE90
GEnx
LEAP56TM
GP7000
EA‘96 ‘06 ‘16F
GE
CFM
11GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Tech investment … family additions
*GP7000 developed by GE/P&W Engine Alliance**HF118 developed jointly by 50/50 JV between GE & Honda
Service ‘05
EMBRAER 190 CF34-10
ARJ21 CF34-10
Service ‘09
Boeing 777-300ER GE90-115B
Service ‘04 Service ‘08
Boeing 787 GEnx
GE/Honda** HF118
Service ‘08
Airbus A380 GP7000*
Service ‘04
747-8 GEnx
Service ’09
Highest R&D commitment in history … $7B since 2000
’03 ’05 ’06
Total R&D
$0.9$1.1
$1.2
($ in billions)
Service ‘10
12GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Invest … grow installed base
1996 2006 2016F
25,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
CFM PW RR IAEGE CFM PW RR IAEGE CFM PW RREA IAEGE
Fleet in active commercial serviceSource: ACAS, GE internal studies
1,200 of 2,100 current year adds CFM (including spare engines)CFM International is a 50/50 JV with Snecma EA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney
Commercial Engines
20,000~2,100 additions
in 2007
13GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
CFM56 … world’s most popular engine
Highlights
• 33-year JV with Snecma
• 998 new engine wins through May ’07
• Key wins at Air Berlin, Air China, Air One SpA,
Ryanair, SALE, Skybus, SpiceJet & TUI AG
German
• ~1,000 cumulative upgrade orders
• CFM56 Tech Insertion entering service
Focus
• Support … ~12,600 commercial engines around the world
• Production ramp up … ~1,300 engines per year through 2010
• LEAP56 … define and validate technologies for future
CFM International is a 50/50 joint venture with Snecma
LEAP56TM is a registered trade mark of CFM
TM
14GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
GE90 value … ask airlines that fly it
Highlights
• GE90-115B ~ 3 yrs in service, 1 million flight hours
• ZERO in-flight shutdowns
• More than 750 GE90-115B engine wins since 2000 … 116 May 2007 YTD
• 28% more fuel efficient per seat, 23% lower seat mile cost
• Guinness Book of World Records … highest thrust
15GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Embraer 190
Bombardier CRJ705
CF34 … now a 70-110 pax game
• 230 CF34 Embraer jets in service
• 1.5MM hours of engine operation
• EMB195 at Flybe since October ‘06
• 500+ engines to be delivered to Embraer over next 3 years
• 1,400 CF34 CRJs in service
• 35MM hours of engine operation
• CRJ1000 launched February ’07, 38 firm orders
• CRJ700 -8C5B1 fleet upgrade delivering customer valueEmbraer 190Bombardier CRJ1000
16GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
CF6 … continued strong demand
• Middle of the market interim lift … 767 and A330 bridge to 787
• 74 new engine wins through May ’07
• CF6-80C2 win at UPS (27 767-300ER freighters)
• Customers recognize value & reliability
• Delivered more than 5,600 engines to date,
trusted for over 300 million flight hours
• Tech CF6 set to launch in 4Q07
17GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
• Wins for 68 GP7000 powered aircraft
• Significant hub to hub advantage … cost & capacity
• Certified December 2005 … A380 flight test 3Q06
• First Emirates ship set in Toulouse for installation … performance better than spec
GP7000 certified … taking flight
GP7000 developed by GE/P&W Engine AllianceEA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney
18GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
GEnx … balanced system design
• 50% lower emissions (NOx) than previous generation
• 50% lower noise footprint
• 15% fuel efficiency improvement
• > $1.2MM annual fuel savings per aircraft
Accepted in the market
850+ engine wins to-date
GAP
19GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
• Fuel burn … 10 - 15% better
– Lightweight / composite structures
– Component technology
LEAP56TM is a trade mark of CFM International (CFM), a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
LEAP56 … foundation for the futureTM
• Maintenance cost … 15% lower
– Lower parts count
– Longer life-limited parts
• Environment
– 60% lower emissions (NOx)
– 10 – 15 dB lower noise vs. current regulations
20GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Relative to Rolls-Royce engine applications*
(2)
(4)
(6)
A33
0-20
0
A33
0-30
0
767-30
0ER
747-40
0
777-20
0(5k nm
)
777-20
0ER
(5k nm)
A38
0-80
0(6k nm
) **
Delta Block Fuel (%
) (5.2)
(1.4) (1.3)
(2.0)
(3.2) (3.2)
787-8
Aircraft CompanyPublished Data Aircraft company
published report
GE engines … more fuel efficient
(0.8)
GE A
dvanta
ge
GE A
dvanta
ge
GE assessment
(2.3)
* @ 3000 nm unless stated
787-9
(1.0)
(2.3)
Advantage increases with range
(0.5)
** A380-800 powered by Engine Alliance, a JV b/w GE and Pratt & Whitney
21GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Support … we build our reputation on it
• Keep 8,200 GE and 12,600 CFM engines flying
• The expertise
– 150 field service engineers
– 4,000 GE engineers
– Full technical resources of GE
• The tools … Lean & Six Sigma
– Improving profitability & value
– Lowering cost of ownership
-CFM International is a 50/50 joint venture with Snecma
22GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Grow services opportunities
40+ Years
Parts and Services
7X
Design and testNew
engines
0
GE90
CF6
CF34
CFM
GEnx
GP7000
Engine lifecycle revenue Average fleet age 8 years
CFM International is 50/50 joint venture with Snecma GE/P&W Engine Alliance is a 50-50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney
~40% of GE & CFM engines have not had first shop visit
23GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Customized service agreements
‘01 ‘05 ‘06
• Evolve with customer needs
– OnPointSM new offerings
– Reduce customer cost
OnPointSM backlog
$38
$24
$34Frontier KLMFedExSouthwest China
Southern
• Solid customer base
Emirates Air AsiaAlaskaRyanair Singapore
• Win with growing carriers
($ in billions)
24GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
• Improved fuel burn
• Lower maintenance • Lower noise &
emissions
~2015+CFM56 Technology Evolution
CFM56-7
CFM56-5B/P
Gen 1& 2 Gen 3 Gen 4
Technology roadmap … customer value
CFM56-3 CFM56-5
CFM56-5C CFM56-5B/3CFM56-7B/3
LEAP56
• Advanced composites
• Improved fuel burn• Higher stage loadings• Lower noise & emissions
• Lower maintenance
1984
Infusing technology into previous generations via upgrade programs
Tech Insertion LEAP56TM
25GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Helping customers win … upgrades
• Chosen by the world’s leading airlinesCustomer benefit
• Continually developing new upgrades
1999 GE90 3D aero kit
2000 CF6-6 turbine
2002 CFM56-3 TOW kit, CF6-50 turbine
2003 CF6-80A / C2 turbine
2004 CFM56-5C / P
2005 CF34-8 upgrade
2007 CFM56-5B / -7B Tech Insertion, Tech CF6Savings over ~10 years
Maint. cost
Fuelburn
Residualvalue
Total cash
savings
~$1.1B
CFM International is 50/50 joint venture with Snecma
KLM EmiratesSouthwest
Air China Alaska Airlines
FedEx
China Southern Continental vivaAerobus
LAN
26GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Approach on alternate material
• Delivering customer value
–OnPoint Solutions, 30% of fleet & growing
**CFM International is 50/50 joint venture with Snecma
• Reducing cost of ownership
–More repair & used material … GEAM and The Memphis Group
• Build upon diagnostics proprietary database
• Technology upgrades
– Reduced fuel burn & emissions
–Operating savings and improved residual value
60%
76%
Others OEM OEM w/tech
100%
CFM56-3 cost ($/EFH) experience
27GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
’03 - ’0613% CAGR
Services
Engines 2.5
4.2
3.5
4.9
$9.7
‘03 ’06’05
$8.4
$6.7 4.1
5.6
Strong commercial outlook($ in billions)
• $11.2B 1Q07 commercial product backlog, up 63% versus 1Q06
• Great service business with large installed base & $38B CSA backlog
• Systems and engines for next generation wide & narrow bodies
• Continuing to introduce new high technology products
–Improved fuel burn
–Lower maintenance cost
–Environmentally friendly
Revenue
28GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Military engines … win with technology
Fighters
1954
1960
1971
1980
1970
1979
1998
2011
J79
J85
TF34
F404
F101
F110
F414
F136
Transport / Tankers
GEnx
LEAP56
TF39
CF6-6
CF6-50
CF6-80C2
CFM56-2
Next
Next
1964
1968
1969
1985
1982
1997 CFM56-7
Turboshaft
1957
1964
2002
1978
1988
1984
T58
T64
CT7-8
GE38
T700
CT7-9
CT7
2013
CFM International is a 50/50 JV with Snecma
29GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Environment … need outpaces funding
SA-10/20
SA-18
Infrared Searchand Track
• US military facing tough choices–Global War On Terror utilization unabated
–Consuming life of already aged equipment … operating and maintenance cost � 2X in 10 yrs
• Developing pent-up demand–Must recapitalize / modernize– Force structure matched to evolving threat environment
• Longer cycle solution– Process / funding driven– 3 to 5 year lead-time for procurement funding
30GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Positioning for the future
C-5M LHD-8 MMA
F-16E/F F110/ SLEP F-15K
JSF LCA Korea PKX
H-60M US-101 UCAV X-45CCH-53K
’03 ’05 ’06
$0.5 $0.5$0.6
Sustaining developmentinvestment
($ in billions)
Military R&D
31GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Large turbo-shaft power segment
• Excellent value proposition
– 10% lower fuel consumption
– 50% - 80% operation & support cost advantage
• Modern entry in largest revenue segment
Adjacent Opportunities
H-47
Euro Heavy LiftE-2D
V-22
Marine
Sikorsky CH-53K
GE38-1B selected to power U.S. Marine Corps CH-53K
32GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
JSF program update
Cumulative engine & spares cost
F136
Sole Source
Competitive
$100B
•Congressional studies complete– Lack of agreement on cost of competition
– Agreement on all other competition benefits
•Congressional review underway– House & Senate Armed Services Committee provided full funding ($480MM)
– House (June ’07) and Senate (Aug ’07) Appropriation Committee marks to follow
•12 years of Congressional support for competition
30+ Years of Service
33GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
Revenue
’03 - ’064% CAGR
Services
Engines 1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
$3.5
‘03 ’06’05
$3.5$3.1
1.6
1.9
Positioned to fulfill long-term demand($ in billions)
•GE active in $50B of $66B revenue market (’07-’16)
– $20B combat fighters
– $14B rotorcraft
– $16B special mission & marine
• Continuing to invest in R&D
• Joint strike fighter
– Congressional marks soon
– Presence with power systems, stores management and actuation
34GE – Aviation
Paris Air Show 2007
OP 20.2% 21.6% 22.1%
GE Aviation
'04 '05 '06
$11.1
$11.9
$13.29%
CAGR
GE Aviation … great business
• Winning technology
• Deep domain knowledge
• Growing installed base & services, $39B backlog
• Reliable execution … margin expansion
• Strong track record of organic & inorganic growth
Great business model
($ in billions)
Revenue