2005 Full Year Results Roadshow Presentation Full Year Results Roadshow Presentation 2 Disclaimer...
Transcript of 2005 Full Year Results Roadshow Presentation Full Year Results Roadshow Presentation 2 Disclaimer...
3-7 April 2006
2005 Full Year ResultsRoadshow Presentation
2
DisclaimerInvesting in the shares of Panalpina World Transport Holding Ltd involves risks. Prospective investors are strongly requested to consult their investment advisors and tax advisors prior to investing in shares of Panalpina World Transport Holding Ltd.
This document contains forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. These statements may be identified by such words as “may”, “plans”, “expects”, “believes” and similar expressions, or by their context. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.
The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. The information in this presentation is subject to change without notice, it may be incomplete or condensed, and it may not contain all material information concerning the Panalpina Group. None of Panalpina World Transport Holding Ltd or their respective affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this document, or its content, or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
This document does not constitute, or form part of, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any shares and neither it nor any part of it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This information does neither constitute an offer to buy shares of Panalpina World Transport Holding Ltd nor a prospectus within the meaning of the applicable Swiss law.
Disclaimer
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Executive Summary
• 2005: the year of the successful Panalpina IPO
• Double digit turnover growth: +13.8%
• Operational result improved by +19.2%
• Highest net earnings in company’s history
• Consistent performance in the Regions. Asia was in line but willhave a special focus in 2006
• US restructuring showing promising signs
• Air and Oceanfreight grew faster than the market. Our SCM business grew 22.7%
• Buoyant oil & gas. Strengthened market leadership
• 2006: a new CEO will be appointed
M. Ribar, CFOExecutive Summary
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Business Highlights: Our Strategy at Work
Business Highlights
• Increased market share on Asian trade flows
• Strengthened market leadership in O&G. Hi-Tech also outstanding performance
• Maintained balanced GA/SME customer mix (20/80) with nice business wins
• Strong productivity gains in 2005 as a result of 2004 initiatives
• Achieved double digit organic growth. 2 bolt-on acquisitions in O&G
• The “asset light” model works: SCM Turnover +22.7%
• Operational software (new release) roll out is on track. Air and Seawarder roll out to be completed by 2007
• Ongoing Management Incentive Plan will involve more than 220 managers
M. Ribar, CFO
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Freight Forwarding Industry Trends are Favourable
• Global economic growth was still solid in 2005 at 3.3% (3.8% in 2004):– US, Europe, and Latin America slightly softer than previous year– Japan and rest of Asia picked up– China grew almost 10%, India and HK 8%
• 2006 is expected to be another good year for the World Economy with global GDP on a pace of 3.3-3.5% growth
• Outsourcing is a key driver with traffic on the Asia-Europe lane exceeding the transpacific. Foreseen acceleration of European outsourcing
• Increasing need for time definite delivery in several industry verticals
• The catalyst for consolidation wave is volumes and skills in managing integrated logistic solutions
Market and Competition M. Ribar, CFO
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Regional Focus: Performance
EMEA: The year of Oil & Gas• Positive business development in the O&G sector (Angola, Kazakhstan, Russia)
• Full year impact from Grampian acquisition (4.8% of revenue growth)
• Strongly supported by business gains in the UK, Germany, Switzerland and the Benelux
NORAM: Positive signs of turnaround• Turnover grew 16.7% due to business wins across all industry verticals
• Increased sales activity with a more balanced approach to target different market segments
• Remarkable business wins in SCM
LATAM: The driver of SCM growth• Enjoyed the favorable economic and political climate in Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela
• Major contract award from a leading mobile phone manufacturer
• Growing share of SME’s accounts in customer portfolio
APAC: The volumes engine• Revenue grew 20% despite weaknesses on Europe to Asia trade lane
• New business gains in O&G in Singapore
• Strong benefits from expansion of local business in China
M. Ribar, CFORegional Focus
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Performance per Division: Airfreight
Air Freight
Net forwarding revenue 20053’415 m CHF (49.1%)
• Central procurement andcapacity management (CPC)
• Strategic partnershipwith leading airlines
• 24x7 hub and charter activities
M. Ribar, CFODivisional Performance
• Turnover growth: 10.7% with some influence from fuelsurcharge
• Volume growth: 5.5%. Market growth estimated at 3.2%
• Well above market growth in Asia-EU and Asia-Noram:- EMEA-ASIA-EMEA +7.6% (30% of Group volumes)- EMEA-NORAM-EMEA +20.0% (20% of Group
volumes)
• Freight rates declined marginally. We expect stable toslightly declining rates in 2006. Market volumes shouldgrow 4-5%
• Stiff competition on busiest trade lane put pressure on themargins. Ongoing customer’s pressure will not ease.
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Performance per division: Ocean Freight
• Turnover growth: 14.3%
• Volumes growth: 12%. Market growth estimated at 10.5-11.0%
• Outperformed market growth in most trade lanes. In particular Asia-Europe grew 20% (market 13.5%)
• Asia-Europe-Asia is the strongest trade lane with 30% of the Group volumes in oceanfreight
• Transpacific and transatlantic contribute 18% and 14% respectively to the Group volumes
• Sharp freight rates decline in Q4 in anticipation of new capacity expected to come in
• We estimate market growth of about 10% for 2006 and rates to decline further but at a slower pace
Ocean Freight
• Central procurement andcapacity management (CPC)
• Strategic partnershipwith leading carriers
• NVOCC Pantainer Express Line• Intermodal services
Net forwarding revenue 20052’403 m CHF (34.5%)
M. Ribar, CFODivisional Performance
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Performance per division: Supply Chain Management• Turnover growth: 22.7%
• Buoyant business conditions in Latam:• Major contract awarded from a mobile phone manufacturer• Increased penetration into large regional accounts
• Excellent business wins also in Noram from major Global Accounts. Strong performance in O&G.
• Full year impact of Grampian acquisition
• SCM is primarily a strong complimentary service to lever currentand perspective customer base volumes in Airfreight and Oceanfreight within industry verticals
• Execution consistent with “asset light” model
Supply Chain Management
• Lead Logistics Provider (LLP) • Competence in key industries• Innovative IT applications• Panprojects
Net forwarding revenue 20051’144 m CHF (16.4%)
M. Ribar, CFODivisional Performance
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Industry Verticals: Highlights
Automotive: Meeting just-in-sequence and just-in-time requirements
Hi-Tech: Network is key
M. Ribar, CFOIndustry Verticals
Retail and Fashion: Matching Seasonality and Short Delivery Periods
Healthcare: Safeguarding the integrity of products
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Oil and Gas: A truly globalized industry
O&G operationsby Panalpina
HoustonHouston
SingaporeSingapore
AberdeenAberdeen
Global centersof the industry
DubaiDubai
Janco Oilfield ServicesSingapore 2005
Janco Oilfield ServicesSingapore 2005
Overseas Shipping Group, Oslo 2005
Grampian, Aberdeen 2004
Overseas Shipping Group, Oslo 2005
Grampian, Aberdeen 2004
Acquisitionsby Panalpina
Industry VerticalsM. Ribar, CFO
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Management Incentive Plan
• Preferential allocation during the IPO to about 67 managers within the Group
• Ongoing Management Incentive Plan involving about 220 people
• Participants will be entitled to buy Panalpina shares at a discount
• The amount of shares will be capped at an amount equivalent to the paid bonus
• Each share comes with a 6 year call option and a 3 year vesting period
• Some impact on personnel expenses to be expected
M. Ribar, CFOManagement Incentive Plan
3-7 April 2006
Financials
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Financial Highlights
• 2004 and 2005 figures impacted by the accounting fraud announced on Jan 4th, 2006. Number base for 2006 not affected.
• We met 2005 financial guidance as:
• Net Forwarding Revenue grew by 13.8%
• GP/NFR margin was 20.2%
• EBITDA1/GP margin was 14.4%
• NWC/GFR at 5%
• Personnel expenses outgrew GP increase as a result of one time costs
• Net Working Capital Intensity at 5% thanks to a better payables management
• Net Cash Flow from Operating activities improved to CHF 142 Mio, +318% over 2004
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
(1) Excluding impact of gain on sale of assets
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Historical Overview (1995-2005)Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
EBIT MarginGross ProfitGross Revenue Net Revenue Net Income Margin
9,153 9,519 10,402 9,915 11,015 11,586 12,042 12,463 12,344 13,224 13,583Headcount
0
1'000
2'000
3'000
4'000
5'000
6'000
7'000
8'000
9'000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
CH
F m
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
% M
argi
n on
GP
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Summary Consolidated Income Statement (2003-2005)2003 20043 2005
Net Forwarding Revenue 3rd 5’362
3.6%
Gross Profit (reported) 1’238.9 1’327.2 1’407.7
-0.7%
23.1%
195.4
195.1
15.8%
138.1
139.3
11.2%
98.1
6’120 6’962
% Growth 14.1%. 13.8%
% Growth 7.1% 6.1%
GP* margin on NFR 21.7% 20.2%
EBITDA (reported) 198.1 214.2
EBIT2 margin on GP 10.7% 10.9%
Consolidate Net Earnings 100.0 120.3
EBIDTA1 (normalized) 195.2 202.2
EBITDA1 margin on GP 14.7% 14.4%
EBIT (reported) 139.0 165.6
EBIT2 (normalized) 141.9 153.9
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
(1) Excluding impact of gain on sale of assets(2) Excluding impact of gain on sale of assets and impairment of financial assets(3) 2004 was restated as per company announcement on Jan. 4th, 2006
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Net Forwarding Revenue by SegmentsNet Revenue Split by Region
(CHF in millions)
North AmericaCentral & South AmericaEurope / Africa / ME / CIS Asia/Pacific
Net Revenue Split by Business Segment(CHF in millions)
Air Ocean Supply Chain Management
• APAC and NORAM shares grew while EMEA came off almost 1%. LATAM relatively stable.
• Air dropped below 50% again. Ocean basically flat at 34.5% from 34.3%. Impact of fuel surcharge is slightly inflating Air revenue’s share.
• Supply Chain Management growth in in 2004 and 2005 proves that “Asset Light” business model works as supported by strong management skills and IT platform
0
1'000
2'000
3'000
4'000
5'000
6'000
7'000
2003 2004 2005
14.9%12.3%
8.5%16.7%
16.7%8.9%
19.4%
20.0%
0
1'000
2'000
3'000
4'000
5'000
6'000
7'000
2003 2004 2005
13.5% 10.7%
14.3%11.5%
23.0% 22.7%
50.7% 50.4%49.1%
35.2%34.4% 34.5%
14.1%15.2%
16.4%
57.0%56.6%
22.6%21.5%
22.1%9.7%9.9%
9.5%10.7%
11.2%11.8%
53636120
6962
57.4%
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
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Regional Overview – Gross Profit Development
In C
HF
mio
.
1320
1330
1340
1350
1360
1370
1380
1390
1400
1410
1420
FY 2004 EMEA NORAM LATAM APAC FY 2005
1’327
22
29
11
19 1’408
2.8%
11.9%
9.9%
9.7% 6.1%
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
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• 2005 Operating Costs grew 5.8% mainly driven by personnel expenses.
• 2005 Operating Costs as a percent of GP decreased by 20 bps to 89.1%.
• Personnel Expenses increase due to:
– Approx. 5 Mio from currency impact
– Approx. 8 Mio one time costs in the US
– Approx. 2 Mio related to ESOP
– Approx. 10 Mio of statutory provisions in several countries
– Headcount increase of 2.7%
• We estimate PGP could decrease by 30 bps this year due to additional productivity gains
Other operating
Operating Cost Development
Personnel
Operating Costs(CHF in millions)
0
200
400
600
800
1'000
1'200
1'400
2003 2004 2005
59.3% of GP
59.0% of GP
59.9% of GP
88.8% of GP1,100
1,1851,254
735
309
56
782
350
53
844
362
4889.3% of GP
89.1% of GP
24.9% of GP26.3% of GP
25.7% of GP13.3% 3.4%
6.4%7.9%
(9.4)%
(5.4)%
Other operating costs D & A
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
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Note: EBIT adjusted for impact of gain on sale of assets and impairment of financial assets
Profitability Development by RegionGross Profit Margin by Region EBIT Margin by Region
19.2%19.4%
31.9%
23.6%
18.5%18.3%
28.7%
22.1%
17.8%18.1%
26.1%
20.3%
Europe / Africa / ME / CIS
Asia / Pacif ic Central & South America
North America
(3.0%)
(9.9%)
35.5%
12.6%
1.2%
13.5%
33.2%
7.6%
-4.0%
9.0%
32.7%
10.5%
Europe / Africa / ME / CIS
Asia / Pacif ic Central & South America
North America
(As a % of Gross Profit)(As a % of Net Forwarding Revenues)
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
• Regional margins not comparable (differences in revenue sharing agreements)
• Rates development in the last 3 ½ year and the impact of fuel surcharge have eroded GP margin. Stiff competition on some trade lanes also played a role.
• Sharp recovery in EMEA EBIT margin due to absence of extraordinary costs incurred in 2004 (16 Mio)
20052003 2004 20052003 2004
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Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Summary2003 20043 2005
332.4
32.2
300.2
263.1
4.0%
740.1
1’486.8
22.7%
246.6
42
36.6
241.0
31.2
209.8
418.7
5.0%
857.9
1’830.7
22.1%
210.0
356.2
4.8%
787.9
1’574.3
21.1%
21112
Cash and cash equivalents (1)
Borrowings
Net cash (debt)
Net Working Capital (2)
% of gross revenue
Total shareholder’s equity
Total assets
% of gross revenue
Net Capital Expenditures
(1) Including financial assets held for trading(2) Net working capital defined as current assets net of cash and equivalents minus current liabilities net of interest
bearing debt(3) Impacted by 2004 restatement
In CHF mio.
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
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Receivables & other assets
Breakdown of Assets(CHF in millions)
0
200
400
600
800
1'000
1'200
1'400
1'600
1'800
2'000
2003 2004 2005
13.4% of GR
13.6% of GR 15.1% of GR
22.7% of GR21.1% of GR
22.1% of GR1'487
1'5741'831
275
879
332
311
1,016
247
334
1,255
241
4.2% of GR 4.2% of GR 4.0% of GR
5.1% of GR
3.3% of GR
2.9% of GR
Non-current assets Liquid funds
Note: GR = Gross Revenue
Borrowings
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
• Very low tangible fixed asset intensity consistent with our strategy
• Capital structure is extremely solid; in line with peer freight forwarders
• Dividend Policy: target payout ratio of approximately 30-40% of the annual profit
Key Assets & Capital Structure Strategy
Payables, Accruals & Provisions
Retained Earnings & Minorities
Breakdown of Liabilities(CHF in millions)
0
200
400
600
800
1'000
1'200
1'400
1'600
1'800
2'000
1'487 1'574
1'831
690
50 32
715
737
5037
750
2003 2004 2005
11.2% of Cash Opex
10.4% ofCash Opex
942
31 50
808
11.7% ofCash Opex
Share Capital Borrowings
Note: Cash Opex = Gross Revenue - EBITDA
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Free Cash Flow Development
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FCF FY 2004 OperatingActivities
WorkingCapital
Finance andTax
InvestingActivities
FCF FY 2005
(78)
18
99
(9)
91 121
In C
HF
mio
.
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials
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Working Capital - OverviewNet Working Capital Intensity
NWC NWC Intensity (%)
• Overall measures to improve working capital begin to yield results• The improvement in NWC Intensity stemmed from a better Payables management. Receivables
suffered from year end spike. • No deterioration in credit quality
5.4%
4.8%
4.0%
3.5%
5.6%
5.0%
5.1%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
12/05 9/05 6/05 3/05 12/04 12/03 12/02
CHF
Mio
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
Monika Ribar, CFOFinancials