17-182 InTech

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    InTech Limited

    Started in 2000

    Services Offered- Dial Up, Broadband,Software Solutions

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    IT Industry

    Increasing growth since late 90s due favorable taxpolicy.

    High potential of the industry attracted interest fromeverywhere

    Hardware sector dominates the market but recentlysoftware and network is rising

    Only 6 companies in this sector

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    Market Share of InTech

    InTechsmarket share 3%

    Highest Aamra Technologies 45%

    Daffodil Computers 20%

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    Financing and Dividend Policy

    Usually uses equity financing, very low

    debt InTech gave stock dividend for

    previous 5 years

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    SWOT Analysis

    Strength

    Diversified product range Rapid implementation of new technologies

    Cost leadership

    Weakness

    Low investment

    Low capital

    Small customer base

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    SWOT Analysis

    Opportunities

    Government have given high priority to this sector Entry in international market

    Innovative managed service solutions

    Threat

    Rapid and unpredicted technology change

    Volatile customer needs

    Wide range of competitors

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    Peer Company

    Information Systems Network Limited

    (ISNL)

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    ReformulatedIncome

    Statement

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    Reformulated Income

    Statement of InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Total Operating

    Revenue39.77 M 37.73 M 35.75 M 33.77 M 27.65 M

    Total Operating

    Expenses20.42 M 17.33 M 20.10 M 23.12 M 22.96 M

    Operating Income

    From Sales After Tax19.66 M 18.06 M 16.24 M 11.97 M 3.05 M

    Non Operating

    Income

    .02 M .01 M .03 M 2.11 M 3.18 M

    Operating Income

    After Tax19.67 M 18.07 M 16.27 M 14.08 M 6.23 M

    Financial Expenses

    After Tax.03 M .01 M .01 M .17 M 1.00 M

    Comprehensive

    Income

    19.64 M 18.07 M 16.26 M 13.91 M 5.23 M

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    Reformulated Income

    Statement of ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Operating revenues 51.2M 52.06M 48.9M 47M 41M

    Operating expenses: 27M 32M 35M 29M 23M

    Operating income from

    sales (before tax):-1.8M (7.4M) -11.6M (8.7M) (2.4M)

    Operating income from

    sales (after tax)

    -0.76M (4M) (6.4M) (4.3M) .24M

    Total operatingincome(after tax)

    5.6M 8M 9.6M 9.8M 10M

    Net financing income : 2.6M 2.6M 0.22M 0.22M 0.22M

    Comprehensive income

    before MI2.9M 5M 9.4M 9.6M 10M

    Comprehensive income

    to common

    1M 3.7M 7.7M 7.9M 4M

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    TrendAnalysis of

    InTech

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    Income Statement Trend

    Analysis

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Total Operating

    Revenue144% 136% 129% 122% 100%

    Total Operating

    Expenses89% 75% 88% 101% 100%

    Operating Income

    From Sales After Tax644% 592% 532% 392% 100%

    Non Operating Income

    0% 0% 1% 66% 100%

    Operating Income

    After Tax316% 290% 261% 226% 100%

    Financial Expenses

    After Tax3% 1% 1% 17% 100%

    ComprehensiveIncome

    376% 346% 311% 266% 100%

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    Balance Sheet Trend Analysis

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Total Operating

    Assets 147% 134% 123% 112% 100%

    Total Operating

    Liabilities61% 68% 102% 101% 100%

    Total Net Operating

    Assets

    151% 137% 124% 113% 100%

    Total Net Financial

    Assets2% 2% 2% 3% 100%

    Common

    Stockholders Equity146% 133% 121% 110% 100%

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    ReformulatedBalance

    Sheet

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    Reformulated Balance Sheet

    of InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Total Operating

    Assets217.76 M 198.59 M 182.73 M 166.38 M 148.32 M

    Total OperatingLiabilities

    3.95 M 4.45 M 6.66 M 6.58 M 6.50 M

    Total Net

    Operating Assets213.81 M 194.14 M 176.07 M 159.79 M 141.81 M

    Total Net Financial

    Assets.07 M .10 M .10 M .12 M 4.19 M

    CommonStockholders

    Equity213.89 M 194.25 M 176.17 M 159.91 M 146.01 M

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    Reformulated Balance Sheet

    of ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Net

    operating

    assets

    215M 184M 166M 147M 80M

    Operating

    Assets

    243M 203M 180M 159M 94M

    Operating

    Liabilities

    27M 18M 14M 12M 14M

    Net Financial

    Obligation

    29M 27M 10M (4M) (8M)

    Common

    Stockholder'

    s equity

    185M 156M 156M 151M 89M

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    ReformulatedCash Flow

    Statement

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    Reformulated Cash Flow

    Statement of InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Cash Flow from

    Operations(11.40 M) 51.31 M 50.17 M (3.52 M) (5.73 M)

    Cash

    Investment8.92 M (94.03 M) (42.95 M) 13.75 M (21.89 M)

    Free Cash Flow (2.48 M) (42.72 M) 7.22 M 10.23 M (27.63 M)

    Net Cash Flow

    to Debtholders

    and Issuers

    (2.47 M) (42.70 M) 7.25 M 10.39 M (26.61 M)

    Net Cash Flow

    to Shareholders(.02 M) (.02 M) (.03 M) (.16 M) (1.02 M)

    Total Financing

    Flows(2.48 M) (42.72 M) 7.22 M 10.23 M (27.63 M)

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    Reformulated Cash Flow

    Statement of ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Cash from

    operation(C)

    5M 9M 5M 12.9M 9.9M

    Cashinvestment(I)

    4.8M 20M 12M 12M 9M

    Free cash

    flow

    (C-I)

    0.37M -10M -7M 0.9M 0.63M

    Debt

    financing

    0.37M-10.6M -7M 0.93M 0.63M

    Total

    financing

    flows

    0.37M -10.6M -7M 0.93M 0.63M

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    CommonSize

    Analysis

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    Common Size Analysis InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Revenue from Operations 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

    Total Operating Revenue

    84.05% 84.36% 87.83% 84.58% 84.21%

    Total Operating Expenses

    43.15% 38.76% 49.38% 57.92% 69.93%Operating Income From

    Sales After Tax

    41.54% 40.39% 39.89% 29.98% 9.29%

    Non Operating Income 0.03% 0.03% 0.08% 5.28% 9.69%

    Operating Income After

    Tax

    41.57% 40.42% 39.97% 35.26% 18.98%

    Financial Expenses AfterTax

    0.06% 0.01% 0.03% 0.42% 3.05%

    Comprehensive Income

    41.51% 40.40% 39.95% 34.84% 15.92%

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    Common Size Analysis ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Revenues from operations 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    Total Operating Revenue

    50% 48% 50% 44% 51%Total Operating expenses 54% 62% 73% 63% 57%

    Operating income from

    sales after tax-1% -8% -13% -9% 1%

    Other operating income

    after tax12% 23% 33% 30% 24%

    Operating income after tax

    11% 15% 20% 21% 25%Financial expenses after tax 5% 5% 0% 0% 1%

    Comprehensive income

    before MI6% 10% 19% 20% 24%

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    Profitability

    Analysis

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    ROCE

    InTech Limited

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    ROCE = Earnings/ CSE = RNOA-

    (FLEV*SPREAD)

    9.21% 9.31% 9.24% 8.91% 4.95%

    ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008ROCE = Earnings/ CSE = RNOA+

    (FLEV*SPREAD) 1.59% 3.48% 6.06% 6.34%11.19

    %

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    Second Level Breakdown

    InTech Limited

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    1. PM (Operating profit margin) =

    OI (after tax)/ Sales41.54% 40.39% 39.89% 29.98% 9.29%

    2. ATO (Asset turnover) = Sales/

    NOA0.22 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.23

    RNOA = PM*ATO 9.19% 9.30% 9.22% 7.49% 2.15%

    ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 20081. PM (Operating profit margin) =

    OI (after tax)/ Sales-1% -8% -13% -9% 1%

    2. ATO (Asset turnover) = Sales/

    NOA0.24 0.28 0.29 0.32 0.51

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    Third Level Breakdown

    InTech Limited

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    1. Profit margin drivers (Sales PM =

    Gross margin ratio - Expense ratio) 0.4154 0.4039 0.3989 0.3096 0.10482. Turnover drivers (1/ATO)

    Operating asset/ Sales: 4.6022 4.4406 4.4892 4.1673 4.5163

    Operating liabilities/Sales: 0.0834 0.0995 0.1637 0.1649 0.1980

    4.5188 4.3411 4.3255 4.0024 4.3183

    3. Borrowing cost drivers:

    ISNLParticulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    1. Profit margin drivers (Sales PM =

    Gross margin ratio - Expense ratio)0.0575 0.10481 0.1935 0.2048 0.2425

    2. Turnover drivers (1/ATO) 4.2031 3.5302 3.4088 3.1308 1.9608

    3. Borrowing cost drivers(NBC): 0.1140 0.1302 0.0286

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    Growth andSustainability

    Analysis

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    InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Change in ROCE = Change in

    RNOA + Change in Financing-0.11% 0.07% 0.53% 4.88%

    First Level1. Change in RNOA

    Core OI from sales/NOA 0.09193 0.09303 0.09222 0.07490 0.02151

    Core sales PM = Core OI from sales/

    sales

    0.41541 0.40387 0.39891 0.29976 0.09287

    ATO 0.22130 0.23036 0.23119 0.24985 0.23157

    Core other items/ NOA 0.00007 0.00007 0.00018 0.01320 0.02243

    Unusual items/ NOA 0.00014 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.000002. Change in Financing

    Change in ROCE (SPREAD change) -0.0188% 0.0023% 0.0982% -3.2285%

    Change in ROCE (FLEV change) 0.0061% -0.0002% 0.0001% 3.6899%

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    ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Change in ROCE = Change in

    RNOA + Change in Financing

    -2% -3% -32%

    Level 1:1. Change in RNOA

    Core OI from sales/NOA -0.00356 -0.0217 -0.0385 -0.0596 0.0030

    Core sales PM = Core OI from sales/

    sales

    -0.01496 -0.0768 -0.13146 -0.09304 0.0060

    ATO 0.2379 0.2832 0.2933 -2.1307 -0.9608

    Core other items/ NOA 0.0296 0.0654 0.0966 0.0966 0.1233

    2. Change in FinancingChange in ROCE (SPREAD change) -0.23% -0.60% 0.24% 0.37%

    Change in ROCE (FLEV change) 0.10% -0.55% 0.37% 0.73%

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    InTech

    Particulars 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

    Second Level

    1. Change in RNOA -0.10% 0.07% 0.43% 4.42%

    2. Change in Financing 34.98% -3.81% -130.74% 116.83%

    Analysis of changes in

    growth in shareholders'

    equity

    Change in NFA (.03 M) .00 M (.02 M) (4.07 M)Change in CSE (change in

    sales) 11.26 M 17.37 M 3.12 M 30.60 MChange in CSE (change in

    ATO) 8.41 M .70 M 13.15 M (12.61 M)Change in CSE 19.64 M 18.07 M 16.26 M 13.91 M

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    ISNL

    Particulars 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008

    Level 2:

    Change in RNOA -2% -1.5% -33% 29%

    Change in NBC -0.4% 7.4% 6.7% -2.0%

    Analysis of changes in

    growth in shareholders'

    equity

    Change in NFO 2.15 M 16.94 M 15.36 M 3.79 MChange in CSE (change

    in sales) (2.79 M) 10.78 M 5.94 M 11.25 MChange in CSE (change

    in ATO) 34.50 M 6.32 M 13.60 M 55.00 MChange in CSE 29.56 M .16 M 4.19 M 62.46 M

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    Pro FormaIncome

    Statement

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    Valuation

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    Valuation using Residual

    Earnings

    InTech Limited

    Valuation on Residual EarningsParticulars 2013A 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E

    EPS 1.02 0.98 1.05 1.13 1.21 1.30

    DPS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

    BPS 12.21 12.19 12.24 12.37 12.58 12.87

    PV of RE -0.538 -0.417 -0.320 -0.244 -0.184

    Total presentvalue of RE

    -1.70

    PV of CV 0.01

    Value per

    share

    10.51

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    Valuation Based on Earnings

    Per Share

    InTech LimitedValuation Based on Earnings Per Share

    Earnings Per Share 2013 1.02

    Overall Market P/E Ratio 15.07

    Value per Share

    15.37

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    Valuation on Free Cash Flow

    InTech Limited

    Valuation on Free Cash Flow

    Year FCF DR (13%) PV of FCF

    2013 (2.48 M) 1.0000 (2.48 M)2014 5.91 M 1.1300 5.23 M2015 (5.13 M) 1.2544 (4.09 M)2016 4.46 M 1.4429 3.09 M2017 (3.87 M) 1.6305 (2.38 M)

    2018 3.37 M 1.8424 1.83 M2018 onwards 34.66 M 1.8424 18.81 M

    Total PV of FCF 20.01 MNumber of share outstanding 17.52 MValue per share 1.14

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    Implication forthe strategy

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    Using cost leadership to gain competitiveadvantage

    Diversifying business

    Less use of debt financing and investment onoperations

    Gives customer service high priority