100 % duurzame elektriciteit in 2050. Hoe matchen we vraag en ...
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100% duurzame energie in 2050 – hoe matchen we vraag en aanbod? Kornelis Blok 24/04/2014
Transcript of 100 % duurzame elektriciteit in 2050. Hoe matchen we vraag en ...
100% duurzame energie in 2050 –hoe matchen we vraag en aanbod?
Kornelis Blok24/04/2014
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Inzet elektriciteitscentrales in Duitsland(derde week april, 2013)
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Source: Bruno Burger, Fraunhofer ISE, 2013
Kornelis Blok2
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A scenario for 2030 (Germany)
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Nabe et al., Ecofys, 2012, Preisauswirkungen der Erneuerbaren Energien auf den deutschen Strommarkt
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Power plant dispatch and prices in 2030 (week 35/36)
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Nabe et al., Ecofys, 2012, Preisauswirkungen der Erneuerbaren Energien auf den deutschen Strommarkt
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Impact of limited grid expansion in Germany 2030
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Generation 2030
Ecofys 2013 Impacts of restricted transmission grid expansion in Germany
H: high interconnection capabilitiesL: low interconnection capabilities
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Impact of limited grid expansion in Germany 2030
H: high interconnection capabilitiesL: low interconnection capabilities
24/04/2014 Kornelis Blok
Generation 2030
Ecofys 2013 Impacts of restricted transmission grid expansion in Germany
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Flexibility options for power systems
System
Energy Storage
Supply
Net-work
Demand
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Two case studies for 2050
1. Germany only– using excesses for hydrogen and methane production – By Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel
2. Europe wide– making maximum use of a strong European grid– By Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
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Two case studies for 2050
1. Germany only– using excesses for hydrogen and methane production – By Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel
2. Europe wide– making maximum use of a strong European grid– By Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
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Renewable energy production and load pattern
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Energy Target 2050: 100% Renewable Energy Supply, Fraunhofer-IWES, 2010
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Renewable energy production and load pattern
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Energy Target 2050: 100% Renewable Energy Supply, Fraunhofer-IWES, 2010
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German power system, 2050
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Energy Target 2050: 100% Renewable Energy Supply, Fraunhofer-IWES, 2010
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Electricity balance 2050
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Energy Target 2050: 100% Renewable Energy Supply, Fraunhofer-IWES, 2010
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Two case studies for 2050
1. Germany only– using excesses for hydrogen and methane production – By Fraunhofer IWES, Kassel
2. Europe wide– making maximum use of a strong European grid– By Fraunhofer ISI, Karlsruhe
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Additional interconnector capacity (scenario A)
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Generation potential of renewables in the EU
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Germany’s (possible) load curve and supply in 2050, Week 42
Calculation based on the PowerAce model
Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Spains’s (possible) load curve and supply in 2050, Week 27
Calculation based on the PowerAce model
Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Development of renewable electricity curtailment
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Development of conventional generation (scenario A)
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Development of installed conventional capacity (scenario A)
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Development of storage capacity
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Development of interconnector capacity
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Flexibility options for power systems
System
Energy Storage
Supply
Net-work
Demand
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Thank you!
Prof. dr. Kornelis BlokWetenschappelijk directeur
EcofysKanaalweg 15-G3526 KL Utrecht
Telefoon: 030-6623399 E-mail: [email protected]: @kornelisblok
www.ecofys.com
11/12/2013 Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok25
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sustainable energy for everyone
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Development of average electricity production costs
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Fraunhofer ISI 2011, Tangible ways towards climate protection in the EU
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Vermogensduurkromme elektriciteitsoverschot
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K. Blok 1984, Onbeperkt houdbaar, Stichting Natuur en Milieu
2000 4000 hours
GW
