11

Arctic Observation NetworkArctic Observation Network

IPY Collaborative Research: Is the IPY Collaborative Research: Is the Arctic Human Environment Moving to a Arctic Human Environment Moving to a

New State? New State?

University of AlaskaUniversity of AlaskaUniversity of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire

22

SEARCH Science QuestionsSEARCH Science Questions

Is the Arctic moving to a new state?Is the Arctic moving to a new state?

How do cultural and socioeconomic How do cultural and socioeconomic systems interact with arctic systems interact with arctic environmental change?environmental change?

33

HD-Implementation PrioritiesHD-Implementation Priorities

Develop an integrated observation networkDevelop an integrated observation network for identification and long-term monitoring of social for identification and long-term monitoring of social

and economic indicators of human subsystem and economic indicators of human subsystem changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical and biological system changesand biological system changes

Synthesize human dimensions data on a pan-Synthesize human dimensions data on a pan-arctic scalearctic scale including data on resident socioeconomic changes, including data on resident socioeconomic changes,

human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and global-scale development and industrial activitiesglobal-scale development and industrial activities

44

Key groundwork prioritiesKey groundwork priorities

Identify specific ways to improve Identify specific ways to improve knowledge of arctic environmental changeknowledge of arctic environmental change such that people are enabled to make better-such that people are enabled to make better-

informed decisionsinformed decisions Identify predictionsIdentify predictions that will be most useful that will be most useful

to stakeholder groupsto stakeholder groups planning for and responding to change in planning for and responding to change in

areas such as fisheries, marine transportation areas such as fisheries, marine transportation and development, and renewable resource and development, and renewable resource use/subsistence harvestsuse/subsistence harvests

55

Human Dimension of ChangeHuman Dimension of Change

Local infrastructure, Local infrastructure, transportationtransportation

Subsistence activitiesSubsistence activities Coastal erosionCoastal erosion Storm patternsStorm patterns Shipping routesShipping routes FisheriesFisheries

66

Fisheries Resource Development

Social Outcomes

Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism

Focal Areas for Climate-Human Interactions

77

88

Geographic scope of project

99

SEARCH-HD content areas Fisheries

Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism

Mining, Oil & Gas

Marine Transportation

Ecosystem resource inputsEcosystem resource supplyResource ValueResource useResource Direct Economic ActivityResource Indirect EffectResource FeedbackArea PopulationArea Material SuccessArea Ties with NatureArea Cultural ContinuityArea EducationArea Fate ControlArea Health

INDACCIndicator Database of Arctic Community Change

SEARCH-HDQ Variables

Existing data: 1980 to present

1010

AON-HDQ Database

ELOKA Database

Arctic-RIMS Database

AON Database

?

AON Database Relationships AON Database Relationships

1111

Project TeamFisheries

• Gunnar Knapp (Alaska)

• Jahn Petter Johnsen (Norway)

• Thijs Christiaan van Son (Norway)

Marine Mammals

• John Bengtson (Washington)

• Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark)

• Jack Kruse (Alaska)

Resource Development

• Sharman Haley (Alaska)

• Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark)

Tourism

• Steve Colt (Alaska)

• Anna Karlsdöttir (Iceland)

Social Outcomes

• Larry Hamilton (New Hampshire)

• Per Lyster (Greenland)

• Gerard Duhaime (Canada)

Modeling

• Matt Berman (Alaska)

Stakeholder Direction

• Ed Ward (Alaska)

• Brian Lyall (Canada)

• Larissa Abryutina (Russia)

• Kristina Lasko (Sweden)

• Bob Harcharek (Alaska)

• Charles Dorais (Canada)

• Simon Routh (Canada)