02-29-2012 Presentation 104 Chris Ingram
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Transcript of 02-29-2012 Presentation 104 Chris Ingram
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NRW - its Role and Challenges in Moving
Indian Cities towards a 24x7 Supply
Manila, 29th February 2012
Chris Ingram B.Eng, C.Eng, FICE, FCIWEM
NRW Management Specialist & World Bank Consultant
Bill Kingdom, World Bank Lead Water Supply
and Sanitation Specialist
and Dinesh Rathi: Principal – DRA Consultants Pvt. Ltd., Nagpur, India
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Population = 1,100 million. Predicted
to overtake China by 2050. Already50+ cities over 1 million.
Excess of water demand over supply
is a major problem in India.
Intermittent supply was generallydeemed to be the solution. This hasbeen practised nationally for ageneration or more!
No Indian City has 24x7 water supply!
Introduction
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Detrimental effects include:
Excess valve operation
Adverse health outcomes fromingress of polluted ground water
Reduced customer confidence
Abandonment of metered supplies
replaced with flat rate tariffs.
Poor levels of service.
Limited the Utilities’ ability to justify tariff
increases.
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The Government of India’ s aspirations for
improved services.
World Bank undertook preliminaryassessments of performance in three typicalcities to guide the future preparation of Service Improvement Plans (SIPs) in projectcities with a view to supporting this via apossible Project.
Government of India’ s 11th Five-Year Plan
(2007-12) specifically refers to NRWreduction for the first time
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This paper provides1. Initial findings on the NRW situation in
three typical cities in India
2. Outlines the NRW managementactivities required as an integralelement of the project “SIPs” .
3. Describes results from recent projectswith NRW elements in 24x7
4. Outlines future planned works and
Conclusions for the way forward
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1. None of the 3 Utilities had aclear NRW Management Plan.
2. No staff had NRW training
3. No access to the resources and
equipment needed for introducing
NRW Management4. Other major constraints were
observed.
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Results of the Assessment
Water Balances made
using ULBs own figures Huge NRW > 65%
Incredible ILIs >1,000!!!
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Summary of findings:
High levels of physical losses (evenwith low pressures!)
Due to un-metering, how much of so-called “physical loss” is actual
wastage, and is therefore actuallycommercial?
How much is due to poorinfrastructure?
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Problem with Intermittent Supply
Difficult for:
ALC
Hydraulic modelling
Night flow measurements
Metering(=> inaccurate water balances)
So this presents a huge challenge!
How can we move forward????
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If we move to 24 hr supply from(say) 4 hour supply, leakagelevels will potentially increase(x6)!
But Wastage will certainlydecrease if meters are installed
The Scale of the Challenge to
move to 24x7 supply
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So how can weprovide 24x7 supply
and reduce NRW atthe same time?
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Typically, in Bhubaneswar averagemonthly billed quantities = 43m3(even at 4hrs supply per day!)
This is more than sufficient for anaverage household size of 6persons.
(6 x 130 l.c.d. x 30 days = 23.4m3)
So enough water is usually available!
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Gradual acceptance
of metering so meter
all SCs
Therefore reduced losses
(with more
uniform pressure)
Increase supply time
(Starting with small
Demo Zone /DMAs)
Therefore less
wastage
Carry out ALC.
Fix leaks.
Replace SCs
Losses increase – But wastage decreases
more!
Better (more uniform
24 hour) pressure profile
Make Hydraulic Model
and calibrate when ~ 50% iscovered
Expand Demo
Zones
Carry out essential
structural adjustments
of network
More ALC.
Fix More Leaks.
More DMAs
The NRW Cycle towards 24x7
Wastage & Leakage
decrease further
Increase supply
still time further
More ALC, More DMAs
Finally Reach 24x7
Supply Time
with acceptable NRW !!
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NRW reduction will be a coreactivity to achieving the
objectives of the proposedproject
2 Phases – during SIP 1
(pre-feasibility studyactivities) and SIP 2
(feasibility study activities).
The Way Forward
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(Pre FS level assessment)
Water Balance – assess NRW
componentsPrepare Pilot DMA designs
Hydraulic modelULB’s investment commitments
Management Model decision
SIP Stage 1 - Objectives
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Feasibility Study Level: to deepenunderstanding of challenges => preparefirst tranche of large scale investments.
Prepare calibrated hydraulic model Set up the Pilot DMAs to accurately
quantify Water Balance & confirmintegrity via ZPTs
Leak detection and repair, together withmeter investigation and tracing illegalconnections should then proceed.
SIP Stage 2
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Clear indications will beavailable regarding the impactof a 24x7 supply and effects of
constant pressure on thenotional leakage levels.
Continue to operate DMAs
Detailed assessments of all PilotDMAs will be made with robust
Water Balances being available.
SIP Stage 2
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Clarify the causes of the physical andcommercial losses
Figures become available for Nos. of piperepairs and replacements, service connection
replacements and metering requirements etc. tobe included in the main project implementation.
In particular the necessity of reducingleakage levels without resorting to
wholesale pipe replacements will becarefully investigated.
Result of SIP2 => Develop strategy for NRW
reduction e.g. Roll out program – where and when
to establish DMAs, approach to ALC, costs etc.
SIP Stage 2 (continued)
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3 Recent Experiences
Nagpur
Karnataka
Malkapur
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Recent NRW reduction in KarnatakaState showed that when a 24x7 supplywas provided, together with meteredservice connections, overall consumptionlevels actually reduced.
The effect of a 24x7 supply on potentialincreased leakage but offset by reduced
wastage therefore needs to be carefullyinvestigated and quantified.
Recent Experiences (1)
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Results from Demo Zones in Karnataka
State
Parameter Situationbefore
Situation afterintervention
Hours of supply 2 hours in 3-7
days
24x7
Volume of watersupplied to demo
zones in Mld
22 18 (18% less)
Water connection(180,000 people)
many thru.433 public
fountains
By 24,000 individualconnections
Losses More than50%
7%
Metering Negligible ornone
100%
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NRW reduction in Nagpur, Maharashtra State.Pilot area of Dharampeth. (Demo Zone)
Objectives:
• Comprehensive study/ diagnosis of the system
• Rehabilitation of the distribution network
• Replacement of House Service Connections andcustomer metering
• Reduction in NRW using DMAs & standard methodology
•
Improvement in billing system & Service level toCustomers
• 24x7 water supply to 15,000 Customers
• O&M of the demo area for 5 years
Recent Experiences (2)
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Rehabilitation works 95% completed
More than 65% customers already
receiving 24x7 supply
House to house service connections in
slum areas
NRW reduced from 50+% to 27% in Oct
2011
Improvement in the water quality andpressure
25-year O&M contract for full city
commenced from Ist Dec-2011 – To
implement Pilot experience
Recent Experiences (2)
Nagpur Results
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Recent Experiences (3)
Malkapur, Karad City, Maharashtra
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Parameter Situation Before
Project
Situation on
Completion
Population served 40,000 @ 55 l.c.d. 67,000 @ 110 l.c.d. Hours Supply ~6 hours every 2 days 24x7
NRW >40% 12%
Customer Metering N/A (Flat rate) 100% O&M Cost Recovery 36% ~100% Revenue -Rs 300 million/year +Rs 40 million/ year
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The Immediate Future3 Projects being Tendered by DJB in Delhi all on aPPP Basis
Malviya Nagar: 24x7
Mehrauli & Vasant Vihar Service Level
Improvements Nangloi: (Precise ToR TBA)
All have
Strong bid participation criteria
2 years construction +10 years O&M
approx. 40,000 connections
NRW reduction element with performance
bonus incentives (and penalties!)26
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Conclusions Current Indian approach to management of the
distribution network is unsustainable
NRW capacity and practices are very weak
NRW is critical to improving utility sustainability andproviding good service to customers
Pilots have demonstrated that significant improvementscan be made
Challenge now is to scale up – for which strong incentivesare needed to encourage improved performance of service
providers. These may be financial incentives or politicalpressure (from consumers) or both.
Such scale up will demonstrate new paradigm for sector
24x7 is definitely not a “pipe dream” –
with integral NRW Management!27
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Thank you for yourattention