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Vaccine Safety Issues at the Turn of the 21st
CenturyLaura Conklin, MDGlobal Vaccine Safety SummitDecember 3, 2019
21st Century Context
• Sustaining the gains in global vaccination programs requires maintaining public trust in both vaccine efficacy and vaccine safety
• Key vaccine safety issues reviewed by GACVS 1998-2019:
• Use of thiomersal in multi-dose non-live vaccines• Aluminium adjuvants used with several non-live
vaccines• Autism and autoimmunity as a possible
consequence of vaccination• A risk of immune overload with increasing
numbers of vaccinations• Nonspecific detrimental effects of vaccination Source: WHO/UNICEF coverage estimates 2018 revision, July 2019.
Immunization Vaccines and Biologicals, (IVB), World Health Organization
Global and Regional Immunization Coverage of DTP3-containing Vaccines, 1980-2018
Aluminum adjuvants
• Enhances natural immune response• Early 20th century, aluminum has been used as an
adjuvant to immunization in a variety of forms• Public concerns focused on potential
developmental delay and auto-immune conditions • Data reviewed 1999-2012
• Epidemiological studies: Often seriously flawed methodology
• Clinical trials and FDA models: body burden below US regulatory thresholds
• GACVS conclusions• Evidence on the safety of aluminum adjuvants is
overwhelmingly reassuring• Continued research on pharmacokinetics of aluminum in
vaccines could further validate and improve upon the current models
MMF = Macrophagic myofasciitis
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
1999 Sept Aluminum MMF Link
2002 June Aluminum MMF Link
2003 Dec Aluminum MMF Link
2004 June Adjuvants (general)
General safety Link
2004 Dec Adjuvants (general)
General safety Link
2005 Dec Adjuvants (general)
General safety Link
2012 June Aluminum Autism Link
Aluminum Pharmaco-kinetics
Thiomersal
• Vaccine preservative metabolized into ethylmercury
• Public concerns re: neurotoxic effects based on methylmercury
• Removed from immunization schedule in the US as a precaution
• Data reviewed 2002-2012• Pharmacokinetic studies• Large epidemiological studies
• GACVS conclusions• Cumulative exposure from childhood
vaccinations does not result in toxic levels of ethylmercury
• Thiomersal-containing vaccines do not increase the risk of autism or other neurodevelopmental outcomes
• No additional studies warranted
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
2002 June DTP Neurodev delay Link
HepB Leukemia
2003 June HepB, other General safety Link
2004 Dec Thiomersal (animal models)
Autism, Neurodev delay
Link
2005 June Thiomersal Mercury levels Link
2008 June HepB Mercury levels Link
Thiomersal Neuropsych. performance
2012 June Thiomersal Mercury levels, autism,Neurodev delay, special risk groups
Link
Autism • Current evidence supports predominantly genetic
disorder with an inheritance of up to 80%• Public concerns focused on autism link to multiple
sources• Data reviewed 2002-2012
• Large, well-controlled epidemiological studies in multiple countries
• Over 2.5 million children
• GACVS conclusions• Abundance of high quality data• Vaccines do not increase the risk of autism
• Additional data• Taylor et al: Vaccines are not associated with autism: an
evidence-based meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies, Vaccine 2014
• Hviid at al: Measles, Mumps, Rubella Vaccination and Autism: A Nationwide Cohort Study, Ann Intern Med 2019
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
2002 June DTP Neurodev. delay Link
2002 Dec Multiple Autism Link
2004 Dec Multiple Autism, Neurodev. delay
Link
2012 June Aluminum Autism Link
2012 June Thiomersal Mercury levels, autism, Neurodev. delay, special risk groups
Link
Autoimmune conditions• Wide variety of different pathologies • Largely based on the concept of molecular
mimicry • Data reviewed 2002-2016
• Controlled trials, observational studies, and epidemiological analyses
• Multiple countries and sub-populations• Multiple outcomes • Multiple vaccines
• GACVS conclusions• Small elevated risk of GBS after influenza vaccination
but lower than natural infection• Temporal association not sufficient to support causal
relationship• Global evidence supports the fact that vaccines do
not increase the risk of auto-immune diseases• Communication on safety of HPV released in 2019
MS = Multiple Sclerosis; GBS = Guillain=Barre Syndrome; POTS = postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome; CRPS = complex regional pain syndrome
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
2002 June HepB MS LinkInfluenza Bell’s Palsy
2003 Dec Influenza GBS, MS, optic neuritis Link
2005 Dec HepB Chronic Fatigue LinkMeningococcal GBS
2006 Nov Meningococcal GBS Link2007 June Meningococcal GBS Link2007 Dec Influenza, DTP
Tetanus, Mening.GBS Link
HepB Rheumatic arthritisMeningococcal Chronic FatigueRotavirus Kawasaki’s
2008 Dec HPV Central demyelinating disease, other
Link
2013 June HPV GBS, allergic reaction Link2013 Dec HPV MS, other Link2015 Dec HPV GBS, POTS, CRPS, other Link
Influenza (H1N1) narcolepsy2016 Dec Influenza (H1N1) narcolepsy Link
Immune overload• Number of antigens delivered during infancy and
childhood increased• “Overload” poorly defined• Resulting in practice of delayed or alternative dosing
schedules• Data reviewed in 2006
• Vaccines delivered concomitantly or multi-component• Multiple exposures, multiple outcomes • Different populations (malnutrition, natural exposures)
• GACVS conclusions• Strong evidence on the ability of the immune system to
handle multiple vaccinations• Available evidence did not support the hypothesis that
vaccines weaken or harm the immune system
• Additional data• Hough-Telford et al., Vaccine Delays, Refusals, and Patient
Dismissals: A Survey of Pediatricians. Pediatrics, 2016
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
2006 June Multiple (MMR, DTaP, Hib, other)
antibody concentrations, disease outcomes
Link
Non-specific effects (NSE)• Theorized protection or susceptibility to non-targeted infections • Data reviewed 2002-2008
• Observational studies• Meta-analyses• Methodological papers
• GACVS conclusions• Caution is warranted regarding bias• Evidence on NSE are not sufficient to warrant changes in global policy• Claims of DTP increasing childhood mortality are not based on known
biological mechanisms and have not been shown to be scientifically reproducible
• Further studies specifically designed to address both positive and negative NSE needed
• Additional data• SAGE NSE working group 2014• Higgins, J.P., et al., Association of BCG, DTP, and measles containing
vaccines with childhood mortality: systematic review. BMJ, 2016• Sorup, S., et al., Simultaneous vaccination with MMR and DTaP-IPV-Hib
and rate of hospital admissions with any infections: A nationwide register based cohort study. Vaccine, 2016
GACVS report
Exposure Outcome Link
2002 June DTP NSE, child mortality
Link
2003 Dec DTP, BCG NSE, child mortality
Link
2004 June DTP NSE, child mortality
Link
2008 June DTP NSE, child mortality
Link
Conclusions and Future Implications• Over 20 years, GACVS has reviewed scientific studies from
multiple disciplines and populations to inform conclusions on key safety issues
• Continued safety monitoring is critical to address public concerns and maintain trust
• New vaccines, new adjuvants, new populations• Only 64% of countries met WHO minimum criteria for a
functional safety surveillance system in 2015
• Role of GACVS will continue to be important in summarizing the evidence for global immunization programs
Thank youPosition paper contributors:Laura Conklin (US CDC)Anders Hviid (SSI DK)Walt Orenstein (Emory University)Andrew Pollard (University of Oxford)Melinda Wharton (US CDC) Patrick Zuber (WHO)