FINAL middle 3rd corr...FINAL middle 3rd corr ... 20
29
1 2015 . 2015 . (Potential Output) 2015 2014 . 3.1 3.4 2014 1.9 2015 1.8 2014 4 2014 4.6 0.3 2015 1.4 2014 4.7 .
Transcript of FINAL middle 3rd corr...FINAL middle 3rd corr ... 20
1
2015
.
2015
.
(Potential Output)
2015
2014
.
3.1 3.4
2014
1.9 2015
1.8 2014
4 2014 4.6
0.3 2015 1.4 2014
4.7 .
2
2.820153.5
2014
20158264.68704.32014
2009.
2015
2015
.
2015
2015
3
1.9 2015 1.8 20141.9 2015 2.8 2014 2010 5.8
20154
1/1)1
)1/1
)1
20142015 2.4 2.2 2015 2.9 2014
1.6 0.9 20140.5 1.2 2015 2.5
2014 .
)12016
4
2014 2.4
2015
.
0.7 2015
2015 3.9 2.1
. 2015
35 2015
1986 50
2015.
2015
.
2015
.
.
2015
2.65 2015
5
2015
2006.
86
0.9
5
2014 1.6 20152011
.
1.5 2015 1.6 2014 .
. 2015
15 1.1
2015 0.2 2014
0.2
2015
3.59
2015
AA-2
2015
"cccccc-
0.2
0.7 2014 3.2
1.4 2014.
2.2 2015
1.3
2008 2014
2.9 .
191.1 2015
6
2016 .
.
60
0.5 2015
2014.
84 )2(
.
6.53
134 15
.
)3( 2015 1.9 2.8
20142015
.
2015 3.4 4
)2( 2016 )3 ( 2016
.
7
)4(
2010
.
4 2015 4.6
2014.
480 2011
531 2015 .
. )5(
2015 6.6
.
2015 0.1 .
.
109
92
)4 (
. )5 (
.
8
6.9 2015
7 7.3 2014 .
2015
2015 .
2007 14 .
1 201511
.
1990 7.3
2015 7.2 2014 .
BRICS6
7.9
9.4
2013 4.9 2015 .
)6( :
9
2015
3.8 0.1 2014 .
2009
9 9
.
14.25
.
25
)7( 2.3
2015 2.6 2014
60 30
.
2015
.
2011 2015 .
.
3.4 2015
5.1 2014
)7(
.
10
60
2015
81.1 2014
2.8 2015
3.7 2015
25 70
50 2015 9.9
.
93.5 2015 2.8
2014
2015 3.8 10
0.1 2015 1.3 2014.
)8( :
.)9( :
. )10( ( )
11
2015
2015
(
16 2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
12
.8.1
2014 15.5 2015
1/2
)2
)1/2
2015 197.1
2015 6.7
7.3 2014 5.9 2015
18 201417.5 2015 0.7 2014 1.2 2015
11.6 2014 10.9 20152012 .
13
2015
2015
.
21.9 2015.
2015
2015
2015 2.3 2014
1.5 2015 1.8 .
1.7 0.4
2.2 )1/3.(
2015
2015
2015
.
0.329 2014
0.484 2015
14
0.178 0.200 1.250 2014 0.132
0.880 2015
2.130 0.360 1.210 1.780 1.490 2015 2.530 0.550 2.090 2.140 2.600 2014
1/4.(
2011
. 2015
2.8 3.6
2011 7.1 2011
2014 3.5 .
2015
.
2018.
.
15
3.4 2015 3.5 20144.3
2015 3.5 20141.7 2015 3.1
2014 0.5 2015 3.7 20141/534
1/5
1/5
16
1.9 2015 0.3 2014
2015 3.9 2015 1/5( .
30 2015164
2015 201.8 2014 18.3 2014 .2015
22 2015.
2015 302.7 232.9 2014 389.5 2014
484.1 2015 24.4 2014 137.5 2015 463.5
320.1 2014 344.7 2015 7.69
369.3 2014 374.6 2015 1.43 1/6.(
2014 197
2004 .
17
192.6 2014 111.7 2015 70
2015 26.7 33
.
2015 700 2007 531
10
2014 561 18 2015
21 2015 55 2014
205 2014 115 2015)1/75
1/7 **Institute of International Finance
.
-112.0
10.0
-55.0
205.0
-64.0
-561.0
-21.0
115.0
-600.0-500.0-400.0-300.0-200.0-100.0
0.0100.0200.0300.0
20142015**
18
)1997 – 1999(
2015
7 7624.8 8183.7 2014 .
327.6
4859.7 2014 4532.1 2015 6.74 .
13.19 2015
2015 6.8 1.4 7.6 10.7
3.9 2014 )1/8.(
19
2015 8264.6
5.05 2014147 2010
2015
4.8 8.51 11.65
1.36 7.05 0.31 1/96
)1/9
34.26
23.82
13.74 10.89
11.62 4.86
396
1,19
3
984
3,20
5
897
1,96
3
401
1,13
6
900
2,83
2
961
1,96
9
0.0
500.0
1000.0
1500.0
2000.0
2500.0
3000.0
3500.0
20142015
20
2015
46.239.4
201460.1
52201545.72014
49.8
19.3
26
1999
2015
:
2008
2015
1.646
201420151.5297.1
0.00920140.0082015
11.11.32820141.110
201516.48)1/10.(
21
2015
2015
2008
2015
2015
1( 7(
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
FTSE 100 5572 5897 6749 6566 6242
CAC 40 3136 3641 4295 4245 4637
DAX 5898 7612 9552 9770 10743
Nikkei 225 8398 10395 16291 17451 19033
Hang Seng 20390 22657 23306 33605 21914
Dow Jones 12880 13104 16577 17833 17425
22
1006242 1520 6566 2014
4.9 17833
2014 17425 2.3
. 2015 7.2
2015 21914 2015 33605 2014.
4245 2014 4637 2015 9.2
2015. 9770
2014 10743 2015 10
17451 2014 19033 2015
9.1
2015
2014 2015
23
2015 2005
2015 2014
2015
2014
40 2015
2015
2015
2014
20152015
11
42
2015
-
11
24
49
2015201450
2015
12(
13(.
.
12 13(.
25
2.8 2015)14( 40
7.2
1089 .
-
.
.
2015
2015
(14) Guerrero T. and Jose M. (2015). “Sovereign Wealth Funds from Muslim Countries: Driving the Halal
Industry and Islamic Finance.
26
2.8 2015
.
90
.
.
2015 2015
0.5
60
. 2015
0.5 .
2015 2.75 2015
2014
1.5 9.8
2015.
27
2
2015
.
2015 6.1
28
70
2015
2015.
200910222015
1407201427.4
35
.
.
10732015
111320143.7
2015
522015
2942014.
2015
29
20152014.
17.1 15.1 .
2015 4.1
.
21.8 2015
2014
2014 2015.
15.8 15.4
2015 3.4.
.
.
