презентация для инвесторов, ноябрь 2009

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EVRAZ GROUP Corporate Presentation November 2009

Transcript of презентация для инвесторов, ноябрь 2009

Page 1: презентация для инвесторов, ноябрь 2009

EVRAZ GROUPCorporate Presentation

November 2009

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2Evraz Group in Brief

◦ World-class steel and mining company, one of the 15 largest steel companies in the world in 2008

◦ Leader in the Russian and CIS construction and railway products markets

◦ A lead player in the European and North American plate and large diameter pipe markets

◦ One of the world’s lowest cost steel producers due to production efficiency and high level of vertical integration

◦ One of the leading producers in the global vanadium market

◦ In 2008, Evraz produced 17.7 million tonnes of crude steel, 13.3 million tonnes of pig iron and 16.1 million tonnes of rolled products

◦ 2008 consolidated revenue amounted to $20.4 billion

◦ 2008 EBITDA reached $6.3 billion

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3Evraz’s Global Business

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Source: Management accounts

* Adjusted EBITDA represents profit from operations plus depreciation and amortisation, impairment of assets and loss (gain) on disposal of PP&E, forexgains/(losses).

** As of the end of the period*** Segment sales volumes to third parties

9M09 Financial Summary

Revenue 7,118 17,100 (58)%

5,951 (85)%Adjusted EBITDA* 874

Adjusted EBITDA margin 12% 35%

9M 2009 9M 2008US$ mln unless otherwise stated Change

(24)%7,256 9,565

13.7Steel Sales*** (million tonnes) 10.7 (22)%

Net Debt**

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59M09 Financial Highlights

◦ Group revenue decreased by 58% vs. 9M08 to US$7.2bn driven largely by decrease in average prices and sales volumes of steel products

◦ Geographical diversification of the business helped to stabilise operations in crisis environment

◦ International assets performed well in the first quarter with subsequent deterioration due to the later start of destocking in the mature markets

◦ Recovery of export demand for semi-finished steel helped to fully utilise Russian assets as from 1 July 2009

9M09 Steel Segment Revenue by ProductUS$ mln‘000 tonnes

3,108 1,482

4,415

1,544

1,737

820

2,6281,082

8221,040

158

528

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

9M08 9M09Semi-finished Construction RailwayFlat-rolled Tubular Other steel

13,498

5,866

9M09 Steel Segment Sales Volumes by Product

4,163 4,112

4,439 3,110

1,8301,166

2,146

1,495528

579296

516

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

9M08 9M09

Semi-finished Construction Railway Flat-rolled Tubular Other steel

13,673

10,707

Consolidated Revenue and EBITDA

6,533

3,2802,413 2,226 2,479

372 305 163 406

2,251

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,000

3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Revenue EBITDA

US$ mln

Source: Management accounts

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6Execution of Management Action Plan

◦ Production optimisation◦ Shutdown of inefficient capacity◦ Shift of production to semi-finished products, where demand is relatively high◦ Take advantage of flexibility between billet and slab production depending on market situation◦ Full utilisation of available capacity in Russia (13.2 mtpa of crude steel) achieved from 1 July 2009

◦ Cost saving measures◦ Cash cost of one tonne of semi-finished steel products in Russia decreased by 35%◦ Labour costs decreased by 32% compared to 1H08◦ Services and auxiliary materials costs decreased by 42% compared to 1H08

◦ Capex savings◦ Capex in 9M09 was US$321 million (64% down vs. 9M08) out of US$500m FY2009 guidance◦ Exit from Cape Lambert Project in Australia

◦ Financial management◦ Total debt decreased to US$8.6 billion, net debt decreased to US$7.4 billion as of 15 November 2009◦ US$965m raised from concurrent GDR and five-year convertible bond offerings in July 2009◦ RUB20 billion (approx. US$688m) raised from five-year bond offering in October 2009◦ One-year extension of US$1.8 billion VEB loan due in 4Q09 approved

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48%

68% 5%

4%8%

9%12%

4%7%

8%18%

9%

0

1,000

2,000

3,0004,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

1H08 1H09Raw materials Transportation Staff costs Depreciation Energy Other

7Maintaining Cost Leadership

◦ Constant review of product and resources flows for potential efficiency gains

◦ Mining segment cash costs have reduced significantly:

◦ Approximately 75% of consolidated cost is rouble denominated

◦ Russian-based assets have benefited from declines in utilities and staff costs

◦ Low proportion of fixed costs in the US operations with key raw materials being scrap and our own slab

Cost of Revenue, Steel Segment Cash Cost, Coal Products and 100% Fe Iron Ore Products

Cash Cost*, Slabs & BilletsUS$/t

US$/t

* Average for Russian steel mills, excl. SG&A and amortisation

US$ mln

6,172

3,953

Source: Management accounts

50

107

30

73

0

30

60

90

120

Coal products Iron ore products, 100% Fe

1H08 1H09

345375

221248

0

100

200

300

400

Slab, Russia Billet, Russia1H08 1H09

%% is given to total Steel Segment Cost of Revenue

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◦ Total debt of approx. US$8.6 billion, net debt of US$7.4 billion as of 15 November 2009

◦ Debt due by end of 3Q10, after VEB credit facility extension and repayment of the VTB RUB10 billion loan (~US$344 million), is approx. US$1.1 billion

◦ Cash and cash equivalents amounted to approximately US$1.2 billion as of 15 November 2009

Debt Maturities and Liquidity Profile

Debt Maturities ScheduleDebt Maturities Schedule

US$ mln

Breakdown of Debt Due by 30 September 2010

Breakdown of Debt Due by 30 September 2010

US$ mln

17

595

1,3671,185

705

1,451

2,479

30215

509

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

805

57

276

$3.2bn syndicated loan Revolving debt Term loans

Source: Management accounts

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◦ One-year extension of VEB US$1.8 billion loan facility initially due in 4Q09 approved

◦ RUB20 billion (approx. US$688 million) five-year bond issued in October

◦ Evraz signed US$950 million three-year credit facility with Gazprombank in October (currently not utilised)

◦ VTB RUB10 billion (approx. US$344 million) loan was repaid in November 2009

◦ The remaining current maturities are expected to be covered by free cash flows and

refinancing of current debts

◦ Evraz is currently in compliance with all its financial covenants

◦ On 12 November Evraz received consent from syndicate of bank lenders to amend debt

covenants, allowing flexibility to implement current strategy

◦ On 12 November Evraz launched consent solicitation from bondholders to amend debt

covenants

Recent Capital Market Developments

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10Market Improvement since the Beginning of 2009

◦ Recovery in prices for semi-finished products is driven by demand from Asia, the Middle East and North Africa

◦ Expected steelmaking capacity utilisation until year-end:

◦ Russia – 100%

◦ Ukraine – 100%

◦ North America – 70%

◦ Czech Republic – 65%

◦ South Africa – 70%

◦ Russian mining assets are running at 100% capacity in coal and 87% in iron ore

◦ Steel volumes in 2H09 to grow by approximately 10% compared to 1H09 due to the restart of blast furnace

◦ Prices for semi-finished products in 2H09 are higher than 1H09

Prices for Evraz Steel Products

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Semi-finished, Russia Construction, RussiaFlat-rolled, Europe Flat-rolled, NATubular, NA Construction, SA

US$/t

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113Q09 Operational Results

Production of Rolled Products‘‘000 tonnes

◦ In 3Q09, consolidated crude steel output increased by 22% vs. 2Q09 reflecting overall higher production volumes at Evraz’s steel mills (except for Ukraine)

◦ Production volumes of rolled products rose on the back of better demand than in 2Q09◦ Russia +23%◦ Europe +38%◦ North America +8%◦ South Africa +5%

◦ Growth of production in all major product segments vs. 2Q09 except for railway products in Russia and North America and tubular products in North America

0300600900

1,2001,500

Semi-finishedproducts

Constructionproducts

Railway products Flat-rolled products Tubular products Other steel products

3Q08 2Q09 3Q09

+12%* - 8%*

- 50%* - 23%*

- 54%* - 16%*

* year-on-year comparison

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12Steel Production: Russia

◦ Destocking/restocking cycle in Russian domestic market completed

◦ Inventories at a normal level

◦ Russian government infrastructure spending, potentially a major driver of demand for construction steel and railway products, is unlikely to have significant impact this year due to seasonality

Production of Rolled Products‘000 tonnes

1,293815 1,046 1,084

1,497

1,058

625843 798

936

567

433

306 285

263

4350

64

71

7972

70

129

127

122

3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Semi-finished Construction Railway Flat-rolled Other steel

3,110

1,992

2,309 2,364

2,897

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13Steel Production: North America

Evraz Inc. NA’s Production of Rolled Products‘000 tonnes

◦ Relatively good performance at the beginning of 2009 with subsequent deterioration in line with market trends

◦ Stability of demand for large diameter pipes in Canada due to long contracts (Keystone XL project)

◦ Destocking in the market is largely over with apparent demand remaining distinctly limited

◦ Well-positioned to benefit from expected government infrastructure investments

103 56 69 65 108

122112 112 121 79

321

183 160 115 186

253

309 266

153117

3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Construction products Railway products Flat-rolled products Tubular products

799

660606

454 490

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14Steel Production: Europe and South Africa

Production of Rolled Products, Europe

‘000 tonnes

Production of Rolled Products, South Africa

‘000 tonnes

44 33

287

205183 168

226

21 16 17

14

28

47

6

3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Other steel products

Flat-rolled products

Construction products

64 597353

12 34

50

97

74 42

5598

3

6

82

2 5

3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09

Other steel productsFlat-rolled productsConstruction productsSemi-finished products

176

135

121

149157

344

254

202 192

264

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10%31% 9%

6%

26%

20%27%

16%

14%

9%

14%

18%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1H08 1H09

Raw materials Transportation Staff costs Depreciation Energy Other

6,250

12,147

8,859

3,597

11,271

8,809

4,7954,915

0

2,0004,000

6,000

8,000

10,00012,000

14,000

1H08 1H09 1H08 1H09

Coking coal Iron ore

Consumption Production

15Mining: Positive Margins Even in the Downturn

Iron Ore and Coking Coal Coverage*

* Self-coverage is calculated as a sum of coking coal production by Mine 12, Yuzhkuzbassugol production and pro rata to Evraz’s ownership production of Raspadskaya , in coal concentrate equivalent, divided by Group’s total coking coal consumption excluding coal, used in production of coke for sale to third parties

Cost of revenue, Mining Segment

133%

◦ Full self-coverage in raw materials achieved, allowing cash preservation

◦ Mining segment remained EBITDA positive even at the lowest levels of raw material prices

◦ Sustainability of vertically-integrated model in market downturn

Mining Segment PerformanceUS$ mln

2,012

652

94

837

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1H08 1H09

Revenue EBITDA

99%

79%

93%

Source: Management accounts

‘000 tonnes

1,196

685

%% is given to total Mining Segment Cost of Revenue

US$ mln

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16Summary

◦ Difficult economic situation in the first half of 2009

◦ Increased geographical diversification of business helped to stabilise the situation

◦ Strengthening global demand for semi-finished steel allowed us to fully utilise Russian steelmaking starting from 1 July 2009

◦ Post April 2009 improvement in benchmark prices for semi-finished steel products is reflected only in 2H09 revenues due to the nature of export contracts

◦ Management action plan in line with expectations in terms of cost savings and working capital release

◦ Decrease in debt level, successful US$965 million capital raising exercise in July and RUB20 billion five-year bond issue in October

◦ Completion of destocking in our key markets, alongside improvement in Asian demand, makes us confident of achieving better results in the second half of 2009

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Appendices

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18Revenue by Market

First Half of 2008 First Half of 2009

4%12%

2%16%

14%

4%

1%2%

5%

40%

Russia Ukraine Other CIS AmericasEurope Middle East China ThailandOther Asian Africa & RoW

3%7%

3%

5%

10%

9%

30%

3%

2%

28%

Russia Ukraine Other CIS AmericasEurope Middle East China ThailandOther Asian Africa & RoW

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This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of Evraz Group S.A. (Evraz) or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of Evraz or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the document.This communication is only being distributed to and is only directed at (i) persons who are outside the United Kingdom or (ii) investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”) or (iii) high net worth companies, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. This document contains “forward-looking statements”, which include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including, without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words “targets”, “believes”, “expects”, “aims”, “intends”, “will”, “may”, “anticipates”, “would”, “could” or similar expressions or the negative thereof. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond Evraz’s control that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Evraz to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking, including, among others, the achievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of recent acquisitions, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions.Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Evraz’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Evraz Group S.A. will operate in the future. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date as of which they are made, and Evraz expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Evraz’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based.Neither Evraz, nor any of its agents, employees or advisors intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document.

The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice.

Disclaimer 19

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+7 495 232-13-70 [email protected]

www.evraz.com