关注制造业向中国转移的 投资机会 机械行业 2006 年中期投资策略

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关注制造业向中国转移的 投资机会 机械行业 2006 年中期投资策略. 招商证券研究发展中心 刘荣 二零零六年五月. 目 录. 一、下半年机械行业的投资策略分析 二、 机械行业重点子行业及上市公司分析 船舶行业 机床行业 工程机械行业 港口机械行业 集装箱行业. 一、下半年机械行业的投资策略. 1 、关注景气度提升中的子行业 。 2 、关注国际竞争力提高的上市公司。 3 、关注国产设备的进口替代趋势。 4 、优质公司的价值重估。. 1 、关注景气度提升中的子行业. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of 关注制造业向中国转移的 投资机会 机械行业 2006 年中期投资策略

  • 2006

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    5.07%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%

    0.0%0.0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

    2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%

    15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%

    8.1%8.0%10.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%12.0%

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    6.2%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%

    12.7%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15.0%

    3.3%5.0%5.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%

    15741550155015501550155015501550155015501550

    00000000000

    88936000500080006000500030003000300030003000

    36.8%33.6%27.7%29.8%24.8%22.3%19.6%17.7%15.9%14.7%13.6%

    5.5%5.5%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%

    479500500500500500500500500500500

    603510000100001000010000100001000010000100001000010000

    5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%

    0.7%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%

    13.7%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%

    0.0%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%

    3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%

    29753000300030003000300030003000300030003000

    5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%

    000000000

    0000000000

    0000000000

    3.60%

    9.44%

    1.230

    1%

    5.60

    bloomberg

    BLOOMBERG8.30BLOOMBERG

    CAL

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    936131004591009349987810188510177210066697626947689208289557

    88936000500080006000500030003000300030003000

    83785525605659936113610660405858568655255373

    100459100934998781018851017721006669762694768920828955787184

    HINT: Last year's end bal.31378481107507096419123013153570188987228424271684317806

    HINT: From income statement16732269612134926594305573541739436432604612249175

    HINT: From income statement0000000000

    0000000000

    HINT: Use B A S E formula31378481107507096419123013153570188987228424271684317806366982

    49725853727283959795114031326715343176202004722635

    2204624003360404108649303542345965764429695847306376716

    500000000000

    1691318002216242054324652271172982832215347923653238358

    3185345006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    909315002180202054324652271172982832215347923653238358

    19553000360434244109451949715369579960896393

    3729145006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    06007216858229049941074116012181279

    10037211375136641298115577171351884820356219852308424238

    HINT: Subtract Curr. liab. except debt from Curr. assets except cash & equiv-59663420315769665083780998590994500102060110225115736121523

    INC-FCF

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    272892300038360404342384410860451947497141536912579865608859639302

    9.9%20.1%-5.0%20.0%10.0%10.0%8.0%8.0%5.0%5.0%

    251179300038360404342384410860451947497141536912579865608859639302

    2151930704460503766245195497145468659060637856697470323

    42.7%50.0%-18.2%20.0%10.0%10.0%8.0%8.0%5.0%5.0%

    +) 17851600160016001600160016001600160016001600

    4076007216858229049941074116012181279

    1163214702169391540717667185301938920403214552191922376

    06165575936367288011001139118782412

    3267325549114311370930081745797558558558

    948015402283912157026706302803430337584411704383846669

    1833821427349472806333319368874084343941473574986352542

    799914362256371945225233296013495839388436034675850123

    79.6%78.5%-24.1%29.7%17.3%18.1%12.7%10.7%7.2%7.2%

    133180180180180180180180180180180

    25894000400040004000400040004000400040004000

    -105-100-100-100-100-100-100-100-100-100-100

    1061618442297172353229313336813903843468476835083854203

    272830133710591319151617571956214622882439

    524881141911241400160818642076227724272588

    981916732269612134926594305573541739436432604612249175

    70.4%61.1%-20.8%24.6%14.9%15.9%11.3%9.7%6.6%6.6%

    4946849468494684946849468494684946849468494684946849468

    0.1980.3380.5450.4320.5380.6180.7160.7970.8750.9320.994

    923814709271132060025504289183275935893393184186544569

    83785525605659936113610660405858568655255373

    479500500500500500500500500500500

    -68110169415665738713017781085917560816555115787

    88936000500080006000500030003000300030003000

    9883-86960130051170513101227142770831690343393937941656

    CE111868197051220214226405249080261447273277306234351771400321452085

    154460208633223310237743255264267362289756329003376046426203

    923814709271132060025504289183275935893393184186544569

    ROCE9.5%13.0%9.2%10.7%11.3%12.3%12.4%12.0%11.1%10.5%

    45852150495164604173498185901192105197156201358206337208823211737

    4296898173157550169051179700189003194630199257203848207580210280

    923814709271132060025504289183275935893393184186544569

    21.5%15.0%17.2%12.2%14.2%15.3%16.8%18.0%19.3%20.2%21.2%

    xiangh:

    xiangh:

    BLA

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    23509000000227895690598619142903

    4093445006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    00000000000

    2204624003360404108649303542345965764429695847306376716

    500000000000

    1691318002216242054324652271172982832215347923653238358

    3185345006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    909315002180202054324652271172982832215347923653238358

    144398147019183806184887221865244051268456312722370032427403488126

    15741550155015501550155015501550155015501550

    100459100934998781018851017721006669762694768920828955787184

    80307530703065306030553050304530403035303030

    00000000000

    254460257033292264294853331217351797372662413570467694522040579890

    0806217540559123538043400685550000

    2605010000100001000010000100001000010000100001000010000

    19553000360434244109451949715369579960896393

    3729145006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    06007216858229049941074116012181279

    10037211375136641298115577171351884820356219852308424238

    165668150603157455137570145941134356117940117336125923131719137805

    00000000000

    29753000300030003000300030003000300030003000

    168643153603160455140570148941137356120940120336128923134719140805

    49725853727283959795114031326715343176202004722635

    4946849468494684946849468494684946849468494684946849468

    31378481107507096419123013153570188987228424271684317806366982

    8084697577124538145887172481203038238455277891321152367274416450

    254460257033292264294853331217351797372662413570467694522040579890

    banlance?OKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOKOK

    -

    Debt

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    0806217540559123538043400685550000

    5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%

    224943533753315124501187239000

    2605010000100001000010000100001000010000100001000010000

    5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%5.58%

    1006558558558558558558558558558

    00000000000

    0000000000

    5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%5.85%

    0000000000

    2605090621854056912363804440061855510000100001000010000

    00000000000

    2605090621854056912363804440061855510000100001000010000

    325549114311370930081745797558558558

    000000227895690598619142903

    45006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    64443450065406151358616296779274571103326143884189948238798

    2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%2.25%

    6165575936367288011001139118782412

    Cash

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    +17612283802247327994321653728141512455374855051764

    +83785525605659936113610660405858568655255373

    +479500500500500500500500500500500

    -10169415665738713017781085917560816555115787

    +25000000000

    =84558-78032192712157921590309613523040309435594906451850

    --24000000000

    -0000000000

    -6000500080006000500030003000300030003000

    =-7296-5976-5000-8000-6000-5000-3000-3000-3000-3000-3000

    +-16050000000000

    +0000000000

    +0000000000

    -0000000000

    =-50604-16050000000000

    26658-100059142711357915590259613223037309405594606448850

    64443-35616-21344-776678253378666016103326143884189948

    -100059142711357915590259613223037309405594606448850

    64443-35616-21344-776678253378666016103326143884189948238798

    45006540615135861629677927457180537869809132995895

    /-80621-75405-59123-53804-34006-8555227895690598619142903

    000000227895690598619142903

    806217540559123538043400685550000

    450065406151358616296779274571103326143884189948238798

    WACC

    5.58%

    4.74%

    6.57%

    3.60%

    1.230

    9.44%

    15.21%

    65.00%

    WACC10.20%

    20042014

    6035100005.580%5.580%

    6035100005.58%5.58%

    005.76%5.76%

    8581843908515.21%0.00%

    8084641645015.21%0.00%

    49722263515.21%0.00%

    91853449085

    6.57%2.23%

    93.43%97.77%

    95.60%

    1-3

    DCF

    20052006E2007E2008E2009E2010E2011E2012E2013E2014E2015E

    (UFCF)9883-86960130051170513101227142770831690343393937941656

    01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.0

    0.910.820.750.680.620.560.510.460.420.38

    -789121070987478884139771547216058157901643115772

    42927

    (WACC)10.20%

    1.0%

    173174

    EV2161015.58%

    644434.74%

    15746.57%

    03.60%

    2821171.230

    -260509.44%

    -497215.21%

    25109565.00%

    49468WACC10.20%

    5.1g1.00%

    WACC

    g5.18%9%10%11%12%

    0%6.85.74.84.23.6

    1%7.56.25.24.53.8

    2%8.56.95.74.84.15.2

    3%9.97.86.45.34.5

    2005A2006E2007E2008E2005A2006E2007E2008E

    23634025985131213129652584558-780321927121579

    224479259851312131296525-7296-5976-5000-8000

    11666000-8893-6000-5000-8000

    15306179412201419810-50604645717540559123

    326726394354371826658-194378967672702

    10616184422971723532

    175830133710592005A2006E2007E2008E

    -25088114191124

    981916732269612134915.5%9.9%20.1%-5.0%

    EPS0.1980.3380.5450.432-21.8%70.4%61.1%-20.8%

    644434500654061513585.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    00004.2%6.4%8.6%7.2%

    22046240033604041086ROE12.1%17.1%21.6%14.6%

    50000ROIC21.5%15.0%17.2%12.2%

    31853450065406151358

    260063300439644410867.5513.0312.008.88

    1443981470191838061848877.727.817.286.50

    1574155015501550

    1004591009349987810188566.3%59.8%54.9%47.7%

    80307530703065300.870.981.171.34

    00000.680.680.820.97

    254460257033292264294853

    260509062185405691230.1980.3380.5450.432

    372914560654781520421.631.972.522.95

    1023271437617268164051.71-1.580.390.44

    165668150603157455137570

    00002005A2006E2007E2008E

    2975300030003000PE28.216.610.313.0

    168643153603160455140570PB3.42.82.21.9

    4972585372728395EV/EBITDA16.6917.3010.4612.44

    49468494684946849468PEG3.592.43-0.49--

    31378481107507096419EV/IC6.672.462.222.01

    8084697577124538145887ROIC/WACC2.111.471.691.19

    254460257033292264294853REP3.171.681.321.68

    0

    20012002200320042005Q12005Q22005Q32005

    2727128485391543777035534300562747864443

    0040301030050

    458406128944275183565728207032309322046

    9708292821637289149168917563315605

    181381356529731132022907155891826016913

    2643356748215123666244660548545580031853

    135235206568142995117877122657139311137222144398

    148972150066151872153130152219152632152807162272

    4968355280559696234764040652146702267455

    9928992718957959050888089873318570194817

    719911213302531053392629774015643

    6978899328773935661308050618893

    251292319262251341221307222536241231238585254460

    18777680751944011587181833365797106035

    106001769911865500610358500

    2581747383341873724732302376543702737291

    335712383317114913511372386531955

    141174226503144816122735123381160617156270165668

    4107020094300512004520000000

    4187123327328922232422552275228522975

    183045249830177709145059145933163369159122168643

    62096079597352214690478047854972

    4946849468494684946849468494684946849468

    6519865198651986519865198651986519865198

    6177363354676597102671914730827467780846

    251026319262251341221307222536241231238585254460

    EV310931317754313429289582286030

    IC99043127777824196852977672798676009825837

    20766024131028404523634041217118968189510272892

    19840624038427527422447937367111229178666251179

    898159243053367888205536519819

    33383-385737480520531649-133293007984558

    26405-475667192716596-13-164092501875664

    72.8%78.3%70.7%65.5%65.6%67.7%66.7%66.3%

    0.960.910.990.960.990.870.880.87

    0.770.660.840.660.630.530.520.68

    /22.1%25.4%15.6%7.8%14.1%17.4%12.2%8.1%

    4.534.515.387.553.426.099.1413.51

    7.515.787.037.720.922.433.867.33

    /37.18-24.2317.386.100.73-6.498.248.61

    4.5%0.4%3.1%5.0%9.3%6.5%5.7%8.0%

    0.4%0.7%1.5%1.4%2.2%1.7%1.9%3.6%

    ROE1.5%2.5%6.4%4.7%1.2%2.8%4.9%12.1%

    ROIC-1.9%-16.6%-5.6%-3.7%-0.1%0.7%0.5%21.5%

    REP-12.53-399.9255.22108.755.25

    5.60

    inc

    0

    2003Q12003Q22003Q32004Q12004Q22004Q32005Q12005Q22005Q3

    0000000000000000

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0000000000000000

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    EPS0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    /0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    /0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    /0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    /0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

    0000000000000000

    Sheet1

    inc

    12/31/9812/31/9912/31/0012/31/0112/31/0212/31/0312/31/043/31/056/30/059/30/0512/31/053/31/06

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    bla

    12/31/9812/31/9912/31/0012/31/0112/31/0212/31/0312/31/043/31/056/30/059/30/0512/31/053/31/06

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    120.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    130.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    140.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    150.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    160.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    170.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    180.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    190.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    220.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    230.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    240.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    250.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    260.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    270.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    280.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    310.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    320.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    330.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    350.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    360.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    :

    370.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    380.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    390.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    410.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    420.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    430.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    440.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    450.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    460.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    470.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    480.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    490.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    510.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    520.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    530.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    540.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    550.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    560.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    570.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    580.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    590.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    6020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    610.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    620.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    630.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    640.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    6520.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

  • 3 201012504000

    42%

  • 4

  • 5

    2006-2008142648.21402010+3500607EPS0.83118

    20062007EPS0.34EPS0.55126-6.6.

  • :

  • 1

  • 2

    2001-2005

    Chart1

    199.50.152

    250.40.2551378446

    320.60.2803514377

    435.80.3593262633

    534.60.2267094998

    ()

    (%)

    20010.4426200117521

    200224803

    200336813

    200451861

    20052.31200559639

    ()

    20003744.50%

    2001362-3.21%

    2002322-11.05%

    200336312.73%

    200445324.79%

    200551914.57%

    2005()

    20052004

    1078021.56%945614%

    752815.06%59425-87%

    582211.64%509314%

    530710.61%51114%

    36667.33%305920%

    32946.59%32800%

    21934.39%2617-16%

    14292.86%120019%

    14232.85%118021%

    10872.17%10335%

    2005()

    20052004

    132591057325.40%

    950989596.14%

    5100408025.00%

    487946594.72%

    3295288414.25%

    316931321.18%

    2815236219.18%

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    1141102111.75%

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

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    1996199719981999200020012002200320042005

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    200220032004200520062007200820091010

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    77.55%39.74%44.17%33.33%21.33%20.00%20.00%

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    ()

    ()

    20012002200320042005

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    ()2470026000286945006654427

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    000

    000

    000

    000

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    &A

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    20012002200320042005

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    ()6.2811.116.321.8

    ()1752124803368135186159639

    24.70%41.56%48.42%40.88%15.00%

    25.30%29.40%33%32.80%36.30%

    39.30%39.30%38.60%37.40%39.70%

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    &A

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  • 3 20032005200578%

    Chart2

    51.331.2463894967

    63.220.2944307944

    67.90.9040942232

    69.030.0750661891

    133.740.4494418554

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    138.780.2596895707

    80.430.5669199299

    128.311.0295792471

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    215.970.6148497084

    150.360.588925288

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    203.930.9911150166

    178.280.7547244094

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    272.040.9602248163

    132.940.6528658461

    199.480.5546722781

    %

    1_%2004-022006-032006-05-12241.50

    2_%2004-022006-032006-05-12241.50

    3_%2004-022006-032006-05-12241.50

    4_%2004-022006-032006-05-12241.50

    5_2003-022006-032006-05-12351.50

    6_2003-022006-032006-05-12351.50

    7_2003-022006-032006-05-12351.50

    8_2003-022006-032006-05-12351.50

    __

    ()()%

    2003-0211.6511.222.8522.85

    2003-0339.2532.4471.6948.84

    2003-0459.3448.01107.3535.66

    2003-0592.0479.52171.5664.21

    2003-06137.93125.9263.8392.27

    2003-07173.22155.19328.4164.58

    2003-08202.74180.36383.154.69

    2003-09234.09222.71456.873.7

    2003-10269.39259.36528.7571.95

    2003-11301.35292.33593.6864.93

    2003-12363.54340.31703.85110.17

    2004-1224.1527.1851.3351.33124.64%

    2004-0358.1456.41114.5563.2229.44%

    2004-0494.5987.86182.4567.990.41%

    2004-05130.69120.79251.4869.037.51%

    2004-06208.83176.39385.22133.7444.94%

    2004-07262.43217.42479.8594.6346.53%

    2004-08308.17257.56565.7385.8857.03%

    2004-09362.37305.78668.15102.4238.97%

    2004-10417.28352.47769.75101.641.21%

    2004-11477.04398.44875.48105.7362.84%

    2004-12555.86458.41014.26138.7825.97%0.4410172622

    2005-1246.4533.9880.4380.4356.69%

    2005-03116.7691.98208.74128.31102.96%

    2005-04175.67142.91318.58109.8461.77%

    2005-05249.17217.24466.41147.83114.15%

    2005-06374.11308.27682.38215.9761.48%

    2005-07452.03380.71832.74150.3658.89%

    2005-08545.19439.41984.6151.8676.83%

    2005-09659.34529.191188.53203.9399.11%

    2005-10767.84598.971366.81178.2875.47%

    2005-11865.56666.911532.47165.6656.68%

    2005-121020.6783.911804.51272.0496.02%0.7791394711

    2006-1278.3554.59132.94132.9465.29%

    2006-03199.73132.69332.42199.4855.47%0.5925074255

    00

    00

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    &A

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  • 4

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  • 518

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    20062007EPS0.580.8018PE12-14

  • :

  • 1 2006

    Chart1

    0.4440.4

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    (%)

    Sheet1

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    262

    411

    350

    343

    316

    340

    350

    420

    480

    560

    773

    0

    199220842%

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    200034919.11%

    200142622.06%

    200262346.24%

    (%)

    (%)

    2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

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    ()

    2005/

    10581917.70%413094%4%

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    5237-8.60%108556%21%2085

    7607317%1640769%22%

    1711-6.50%

    10760

    137075-2.44%

    2006

    1322936%

    5771130%

    1225734%

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    03(1-3)31.60%33.90%

    03(1-4)30.50%35%

    03(1-5)31.70%34.90%

    03(1-6)32.80%34.10%

    03(1-7)32.70%34.50%

    03(1-8)32.40%34.80%

    03(1-9)31.40%33.90%

    03(1-10)30.20%34.80%

    03(1-11)29.60%32.50%

    03(1-12)28.40%39.80%

    04(1-2)53%68.30%

    04(1-3)47.80%57.60%

    04(1-4)42.80%52.20%5.90%

    04(1-5)34.80%41.50%-15.70%

    04(1-6)31.00%40.50%9.60%

    04(1-7)31.10%40.10%6.30%

    04(1-8)30.30%

    04(1-9)29.90%

    04(1-10)29.50%

    04(1-11)28.90%

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2003-2004()

  • 2 12%76%

    37%21%

  • 2003-2006

  • 3

    25%2.32000

    Chart1

    3.2927879811

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    9.5265497398

    26.1376244788

    7.336239275

    10.2416353675

    13.8627200992

    03

    ...().................%...().................

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    CN: FAI: ytd: Primary IndustryCN: FAI: ytd: Primary Industry: Farming, Forestry, Animal HusbandryCN: FAI: ytd: Secondary Industry (SI)CN: FAI: ytd: SI: MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Coal MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Petroleum and Natural GasCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Ferrous Metal MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Non Ferrous Metal MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Non Metal MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mining: Other MiningCN: FAI: ytd: SI: ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Agricultural & Sideline Food ProcessingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Food ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Beverage ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Tobacco ProcessingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Textile IndustryCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Garment, Footwear & Headgear ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Leather, Fur, Down & Related ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Timber Processing, Bamboo, Cane. Palm FibreCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Furniture ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Paper Making & Paper ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Printing & Record Medium ReproductionCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Cultural, Educational & Sports ArticlesCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Petroleum, Coking & Nuclear Fuels ProcessingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Chemical Material and ProductCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Medical & Pharmaceutical ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Chemical Fiber IndustryCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Rubber ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Plastic ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Non Metal Mineral ProductCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Smelting & Pressing of Ferrous MetalsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Smelting & Pressing of Non Ferrous MetalsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Metal ProductsCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Universal Equipment ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Special Purpose EquipmentCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Transportation EquipmentCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Electric Machinery and InstrumentCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Communication, Computer & Other Electronic EqCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Instructment, Meters, Cultural & Office MachinCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Handicraft & Other ManufacturingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Mfg: Waste Resources & Materials Recovery & ProcessCN: FAI: ytd: SI: Electricity, Gas & Water Production and SupplyCN: FAI: ytd: SI: EG: Electricity & HeatingCN: FAI: ytd: SI: EG: GasCN: FAI: ytd: SI: EG: WaterCN: FAI: ytd: SI: ConstructionCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary IndustryCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Transport, Storage & Postal Service (TS)CN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: TS: Railway TransportCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: TS: Highway TransportCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: TS: Urban Public TransitCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: TS: Waterway TransportCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: TS: Air TransportCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Info Transmission, Computer & SoftwareCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Wholesale and Retail TradeCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Accommodation and Catering TradeCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Banking and InsuranceCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Real EstateCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Leasing and Commercial ServiceCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Scientific Research, Polytechnic ServiceCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Water Conservancy, Environment Manage (WE)CN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: WE: Water ConservancyCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: WE: Environment ManagementCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: WE: Utility ManagementCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Resident and Other ServicesCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: EducationCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Health Care, Social Security & Welfare (HW)CN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: HW: Health CareCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Culture, Sport & EntertainmentCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: Public Administration & Social OrganizationCN: FAI: ytd: Teritary Ind: International Organization

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    M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006N: :M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Feb-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-2006M: Jan-2004: Mar-20060000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

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