Trends in the Wireless Industry - National Academies of...

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Illinois Institute of Technology 1

Trends in the Wireless Industry

Dennis A. Roberson

WiNCom - Wireless Network & Communications Research Center

Illinois Institute of Technology

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Fundamental Challenge

Spectrum Scarcity!

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Conundrum!Most of the Spectrum…

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Conundrum!

Most of the Spectrum…

In most of the Places…

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Conundrum!

Most of the Spectrum…In most of the Places…

Most of the Time…

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Conundrum!

Most of the Spectrum…In most of the Places…

Most of the Time…

is completely unused!

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Conundrum!

Most of the Spectrum…In most of the Places…

Most of the Time…is completely unused!

For your purposes, So far, so good!

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New York City(August 2004 - during Republican Convention)

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High Utilization (Public Safety Band)

High Bandwidth, Spread Spectrum Signal

Upper Bound (Frequency Resolution 65 MHz/501=130 kHz/bin) 50% Duty Cycle is too High, 19% Utilization Measured Using Small

Frequency Bins (450-455 MHz)

17% Duty Cycle

High Bandwidth, Spread Spectrum Signal

Upper Bound (Frequency Resolution 65 MHz/501=130 kHz/bin)

17% Duty Cycle

High Bandwidth, Spread Spectrum Signal

Upper Bound (Frequency Resolution 65 MHz/501=130 kHz/bin)

17% Duty Cycle

Courtesy of Mark McHenrry, Shared Spectrum

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Measured Spectrum Occupancy At Seven Locations

0.0% 25.0% 50.0% 75.0% 100.0%

Riverbend Park, Great Falls, VA

Tysons Corner, VA

NSF Roof, Arlington, VA

New York City

NRAO, Greenbank, WV

SSC Roof, Vienna, VA

Chicago, IL

Average

Spectrum Occupancy

17.4%

13.1%

<10.0%

NSF

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As the Wireless Industry would see it, the Fundamental Challenge is:

RegulatedSpectrum Scarcity!

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Environment

• Regulated Spectrum Scarcity• “Real” Spectrum Abundance – Space /

Time- Couple with -

• “The Quadruple Whammy!”=> Exponential Growth in Spectrum Use

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Fundamental Challenge • The Quadruple Whammy

– Number of Applications– Penetration – Duty Cycle– Performance Demands

• “Application per band”no longer works!

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Most Successful Wireless Application (to date):

• Easily the Cell phone!

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Cell Phone Statistics*• Global Cell Phone Users > 2 Billion• New Cell Phone Sales > 1 Billion (2006)• #1 Cell Phone Country – China > 400M• European Union > 450M• U.S. > 200M• Recorded usage in 221 Countries• SMS Messages - 235M (36/user/month)*2006 (or earlier) statistics all numbers are larger today

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Radios per Cell Phone Increasing!

• Six Cellular Bands (.8, .9, 1.7, 1.8, 1.9, 2.1 GHz)

• GPS Receiver• Bluetooth• Wi-Fi• Family Radio• Wi-Max?

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Other Wireless Technologies • Wi-Fi Sales ~200M (2006) => > 250+M (2007)• Wi-Fi Hotspots > 150K (U.S.) => FREE• Bluetooth ~ 600M (2006)• Microwave Ovens ~ 90M (U.S.)• Garage Door Openers ~ 3M / year• Zigbie – 1M (2005) -> Ubiquity (e.g. Fire

Extinguishers)• WiMAX – Just Starting - $550M -> $5.5 (2010)

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Still Other Consumer Wireless Technologies / Devices

• AM / FM / Satellite Radio

• Television• Cordless Phones • Baby Monitors • Television “Clickers”• Citizen Band Radio • Family Radio

• Car Door Openers / Starters

• Automotive Radar • Wireless Pay Fobs • RFID • Game Controllers• Wireless Last Mile• Ultrawideband

Interconnections

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Number of Applications Growing / Dramatic Pace of Enhancements

• IEEE 802 – LAN / MAN Standards Committee formed February 1980

• Active 802 Wireless Working Groups include: .11, .15, .16, .20, .21, .22

• Current 802.11 (Wi-Fi) Wireless LAN standards include: a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j, k, l, m, n, p, r, s, T, u, v, w, y (plus 802.11.2007)

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Government & Emergency Services Wireless Drivers

• Same “Quadruple Whammy” Trend• Enhancing Efficiency & Safety of

Personnel is a Mantra • Public Safety “911 Drive”• Advanced Warfighter Initiatives• From interference perspective lower impact

only based on numbers of participants and geographic specificity of engagements

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Environment

• Regulated Spectrum Scarcity!• “Real” Spectrum Abundance – Space / Time

- Couple with -• “The Quadruple Whammy!” - Rapid

Applications Growth, Deployments, Duty Cycle, Performance

⇒ Exponential Growth in Spectrum Usage ⇒ Application / Band no longer viable

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Three Regulatory Solutions

1. Creation of Unlicensed Bands (esp. ISM / UNII – 0.9, 2.4, 5 GHz)

2. Underlays (e.g. Ultrawideband –UWB – min. 500 MHz bandwidth)

3. Overlays (e.g. Cognitive Radio –Frequency Agile / Smart Radios / Software Defined Radio)

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Unlicensed Band

Courtesy of Mark McHenrry, Shared Spectrum

16% Duty Cycle

Illinois Institute of Technology 26Courtesy of Wilbur Vincent,Naval Post Graduate School

Interference

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The “New” No. 1 Problem!

Interference!

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Problem Statement• Wireless Interference is radically

increasing - trend accelerating! – Density of radiating devices

(esp. ISM / UNII)– Spectrum sharing (diverse waveforms)

• Wireless Interference threatens– Capacity– Performance – Connectivity

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The “New” No. 1 Problem!

Interferenceboth the

Good News and the Bad News!

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Environment• Regulated Spectrum Scarcity!• “Real” Spectrum Abundance – Space / Time

- Couple with -• “The Quadruple Whammy!”=> Exponential Growth in Spectrum Usage /

Interference Impacts=> Dramatic Opportunities for Dynamic

Spectrum Re-use – i.e. Cognitive Radio

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The Challenges

• Where to apply cognitive radio technology? (Spectrum / Space / Time)

• What information can be made available to facilitate this usage?

• What technique to use to optimally apply the technology?

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Information Needs• Transmit Power

– Power Spectral Density– Unique – Directionality / Orientation

• Timing– Duty Cycle– Time of Day / Day of Week

• Transmitter / Receiver – Modulation Scheme(s)– Intelligence – Power Mgmt. / Directionality…– Receiver Selectivity

• Applications Characteristics / Criticality

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Cognitive Radio –Four Opportunity Classes

1. Unused – i.e. unoccupied spectrum2. Well-used with Holes – i.e. fixed signals,

with defined time and/or space gaps 3. Randomly Used – i.e. utilized bands with

time / space based capacity available4. Use with Care! – i.e. infrequently used

“critical” use spectrum (military / emergency services)

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Spectrum Observatory Characteristics

• Unobstructed line of sight to area under investigation (e.g. Chicago Loop)

• Adequate power, antennas / mounting space and appropriate lightening protection

• Available “Radio Room” to house spectrum capture / analysis equipment and researchers

• High Speed Internet connection

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Spectrum Occupancy StudiesChicago – November 2005

and July 2007 – October 2010

Illinois Institute of Technology 36Measurement location - IIT

Downtown Chicago

3 miles

Measurement location - IIT

Downtown Chicago

3 miles

Chicago Measurement Site

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Antenna locationAntenna location

IIT Tower –Top View

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Discone AntennaDiscone Antenna30 MHz to 1 GHz30 MHz to 1 GHz

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Discone Antenna Discone Antenna ––Chicago Skyline / Chicago Skyline /

IIT Campus IIT Campus

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Spectrum ObservatoryControl Room

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Class 2 (also 1)TV Band (2-6) - 24 hour scan

71%

12 2 2 2

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Class 3 900 MHz Unlicensed Band

9%

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Class 3 (Chicago)2.4 GHz Unlicensed Band

31%

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Class 3 (New York)2.4 GHz, Unlicensed Band

Courtesy of Mark McHenrry, Shared Spectrum

16% Duty Cycle

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Class 3 (Dublin)2.4 GHz, Unlicensed Band

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Class 4 (&1? - Chicago)Civilian / Military Government Bands

<1%

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Classes 1 and 3 (Chicago)Sirius and XM Satellite Radio

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Class 2 (also 1 - Chicago)Broadcast Television

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Measured Spectrum Occupancy in Chicago and New York City

0.0% 25.0% 50.0% 75.0% 100.0%

PLM, Amateur, others: 30-54 MHzTV 2-6, RC: 54-88 MHz

Air traffic Control, Aero Nav: 108-138 MHzFixed Mobile, Amateur, others:138-174 MHz

TV 7-13: 174-216 MHzMaritime Mobile, Amateur, others: 216-225 MHz

Fixed Mobile, Aero, others: 225-406 MHzAmateur, Fixed, Mobile, Radiolocation, 406-470 MHz

TV 14-20: 470-512 MHzTV 21-36: 512-608 MHzTV 37-51: 608-698 MHzTV 52-69: 698-806 MHz

Cell phone and SMR: 806-902 MHzUnlicensed: 902-928 MHz

Paging, SMS, Fixed, BX Aux, and FMS: 928-906 MHzIFF, TACAN, GPS, others: 960-1240 MHz

Amateur: 1240-1300 MHzAero Radar, Military: 1300-1400 MHz

Space/Satellite, Fixed Mobile, Telemetry: 1400-1525 MHzMobile Satellite, GPS, Meteorologicial: 1525-1710 MHz

Fixed, Fixed Mobile: 1710-1850 MHzPCS, Asyn, Iso: 1850-1990 MHz

TV Aux: 1990-2110 MHzCommon Carriers, Private, MDS: 2110-2200 MHz

Space Operation, Fixed: 2200-2300 MHzAmateur, WCS, DARS: 2300-2360 MHz

Telemetry: 2360-2390 MHzU-PCS, ISM (Unlicensed): 2390-2500 MHz

ITFS, MMDS: 2500-2686 MHzSurveillance Radar: 2686-2900 MHz

Spectrum Occupancy

ChicagoNew York City

Aug 2004 / Nov 2005

Class 1/4 Opportunities

NSF

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Academic Opportunities

• Wireless comm. and networking classes– Introduction to “Real” Spectrum Usage– Numerous Homework Opportunities– In-depth Occupancy Analysis

• Research– Data sets– Directed research

• Basis for Cognitive Radio / adv. studies

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Government / PolicyBenefits

• Baseline + trends information by band (including noise floor)

• “Open Source / Wiki” enhancements for information capture techniques

• Open / available unbiased information • Provides basis for decision-making• Opportunity for detailed investigations• Variety of “Open” studies to enhance

confidence in information

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Next Steps

• “Perfect” measurement techniques / system• Characterize urban environments - baseline

and trends (starting in Chicago)– Spectrum / Space / Time - Noise Floor!

• Initiate Sensor Network investigations• Establish efficient means of communicating

captured information (web +)• Understand networking stack relationships

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Opportunities• Apply knowledge to Cognitive Radio

development, deployment & operation– Spectrum Observatory / Sensor System– Fully Characterize Opportunity Classes – Interference Source Spatial Positioning– Application Signatures– Enhanced Simulation Capability

• Noise Studies for Research Community

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Questions?

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The Proposed Solution

A national (global) system of Spectrum Observatories combined with sensor networks and a dedicated broadcast control channel.

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• Map of US with Spectrum Observatories

Vision: Establish a U.S. National System of Vision: Establish a U.S. National System of Spectrum Observatories and Sensor Arrays Spectrum Observatories and Sensor Arrays

to monitor and predict spectral activityto monitor and predict spectral activity

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Beginning with the Major Urban Centers

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Multi-faceted Views• Devices

– Transmitters• Intentional – Homo / Heterogeneous• Unintentional

– Receivers• Protocol layers• Performance implications• Cognitive strategies