Llad Phillips1 Introduction to Economics Distribution of Income Public Goods Http://.

Post on 25-Dec-2015

222 views 0 download

Tags:

Transcript of Llad Phillips1 Introduction to Economics Distribution of Income Public Goods Http://.

Llad Phillips 1

Introduction to Economics

Distribution of Income

Public Goods

Http://www.econ.ucsb.edu

Llad Phillips 2

Two Basic Perspectives in Economics

• Efficiency– competitive markets insure that consumers pay

a price for goods and services equal to their marginal cost of production

– On the frontier versus within production possibility frontier

• Equity– should goods and services go to those who can

afford them?– Should one dollar = one vote?

3Llad Phillips

SMCISMCII

Quantity

MC, ,ATC

Optimal Size of the Firm: Constant Returns to Scale

If market price is above long run marginal cost, the firm willmake the same excess profit per unit of output in a large plant as in a small plant. The firm may prefer larger to smaller. As long as firms are making excess profits, other firms will enter the industry,increasing supply, and driving price down to LMC. Lecture 14

SATCISATCII

LATC, LMCpM

Llad Phillips 4

Inefficient use of Labor, Land and Capital

Agriculture

Manufacturingetc. (Non-Ag) Production Possibility

Frontier: Real GDP

Fig. 1.1 in text

Llad Phillips 5

Is an Efficient Economy the Same as a Decent Society?

• Is a meritocracy fair?

• Our society and American economists tend to focus more on efficiency

Llad Phillips 6

http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/

Income Inequality Across the World

Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises, World Bank Links

Llad Phillips 7

How Do Countries Like Sweden Attain Low Gini Coefficients,( More Equity)?

• Government taxes citizens and redistributes income

Llad Phillips 8

Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises,

“Taking a Look at the Level of Economic Development and Well-Being in Countries Around the World”

Link to Handbook of InternationalEconomic Statistics

Llad Phillips 9

Income Inequality: Brazil Versus Hungary

World Bank Development Education ProgramBeyond Economic Growth, Online Student Book

Llad Phillips 10

Lorenz Curves for Hungary and Brazil

Llad Phillips 11

Poverty Around the World

Population living on lessthan $1 per day

Llad Phillips 12

World Distribution of People Living on Less Than $1 Per Day

Beyond Economic Growth, Online Student Book

13Llad Phillips

Poverty in the USPoverty in the US• US Government Definition of Poverty

– Subsistence wage: $17603 in 2000• a non-farm family of four

• cost of inexpensive but nutritious food times 3– assume food is 1/3 of budget

• Trends in Poverty

• Incidence of Poverty– elderly– children/families headed by single women– rural

Llad Phillips 14

Poverty in the United States

• Economic Issues

• Political Issues

• Social Issues– changing behaviors– marriage trends– divorce trends– births out of wedlock

Llad Phillips 15

Poverty Trends: 1959-2000

Lab10: Children, Poverty, and Politics: US Census Bureau: Poverty in the United States: 2000

Llad Phillips 16

Poverty and Female Heads of Households

Lab10: Children, Poverty, and Politics: US Census Bureau: Poverty in the United States: 2000

Llad Phillips 17

Poverty and Youth

Lab 10: Children, Poverty, and Politics

Llad Phillips 18

Child Poverty

Lab 10: Children, Poverty and Politics: “ChildPoverty in the States ….”

19Llad Phillips

20Llad Phillips

Percentage of Births Occuring Out of Wedlock, . White Women by Age Group, US .

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980

Year

Perc

en

t

15-19

20-24

25-29

21Llad Phillips

Percentage of Births Occurring Out of Wedlock, . Black Mothers By Age Group, US

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980

Year

Perc

en

t

15-19

20-24

25-29

22Llad Phillips

US Families Headed By Women in Percent .

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1940 1950 1960 1970 1983

Year

Perc

en

t

White

Black

23Llad Phillips

Marriage and Divorce Rates Per 1000 Population, US .

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

19

50

19

53

19

56

19

59

19

62

19

65

19

68

19

71

19

74

19

77

19

80

19

83

19

86

19

89

19

92

Year

Rate

Marriages

Divorces

24Llad Phillips

US Marrige Rates Per 1000 Population, . Unmarried Women 15-44 Years Old

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

19

70

19

72

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

Year

Rate

25Llad Phillips

Summary-Vocabulary-ConceptsSummary-Vocabulary-Concepts• input factor shares• distribution of

personal income• distribution of family

income• frequency distribution

of income• cumulative

distribution of income• Lorenz curve• Gini coefficient• median family income

• part-time, part-year worker

• full-time, full-year worker

• within group variation in earnings

• ability differential• between group

variation in earnings• education differential• experience differential• definition of poverty

Llad Phillips 26

Public Goods

• Domestic Tranquility: The protection of life, liberty and property (role for government)

• Safety– safe air– safe water– safe food– safe transportation: highwaymen & pirates– safe communications

Llad Phillips 27

Domestic Safety

• Control of Crime (control of pollution)

• Air travel: the history of skyjacking

• The incidence of robbery and burglary– the burden of the poor– economic notion of public goods

Llad Phillips 28

Social Control of Problems

• Pollution

• Crime

Llad Phillips 29

Propositions

• People would like zero pollution and zero crime

• Society can not achieve zero levels of these “bads” because of diminishing returns to abatement activities

• People are reluctant to give up consumption and pay more taxes for safety from pollution and crime

Llad Phillips 30

Crime Control or Pollution Abatement

Offenses(Pollution)

Arrests

(Cleanup)

Where does crime (pollution) comefrom? It is generated by the economic,social and political processes associatedwith growth.

Supply of Offenses

Diminishing returns principle

Llad Phillips 31

Expenditure on Enforcement (Pollution Abatement)

ControlExpenditure

Cost in $

Arrests (Cleanup)

Assume costs of control areproportional to the level of abatement activity.

Llad Phillips 32

Budget Constraint: GDP = Control Expenditures + Consumption

ControlExpenditures

Consumption

The opportunity cost of controlling crimeor cleaning up pollutionis less consumption, for a given level of GDP(scarcity principle).

Llad Phillips 33

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Llad Phillips 34

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Abatement Cost

Arrests

Llad Phillips 35

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Abatement Cost

Supply of Offenses (pollution)

Arrests

Llad Phillips 36

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Abatement Cost

Arrests

Llad Phillips 37

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Abatement Cost

Arrests

Llad Phillips 38

Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff

Expenditure on Control

Consumption

Budget Constraint

Offenses (pollution)

Abatement Cost

Arrests

Llad Phillips 39

Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier

Consumption: good

Offenses (pollution): bad

The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice

Llad Phillips 40

Reality Check About Bads

• People would like zero bads: not possible

Llad Phillips 41

Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier

Consumption: good

Offenses (pollution): bad

The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice

Minimum possible

Llad Phillips 42

Reality Check About Bads

• People would like zero bads: not possible

• People don’t want to bear the costs of controlling bads: creates a problem for politicians– people demand less crime and less pollution,

but do not want higher taxes– opportunity cost of less crime and less pollution

gets higher and higher

Llad Phillips 43

Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier

Consumption: good

Offenses (pollution): bad

The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice

Opportunity cost ofless crime

Llad Phillips 44

Community Values Confront Reality:Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier

Consumption: good

Offenses (pollution): bad

The second step of the paradigm: pricing the options

Community preferences

Community wishlist

Whose community (social)values? The pharoah’s, the king’s, the peoples’?

Llad Phillips 45

Community Values Confront Reality:Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier

Consumption: good

Offenses (pollution): bad

The third step of the paradigm: choosing the best option

Community preferencesFeasible options

Best option givencommunity preferences

Llad Phillips 46

Pollution Control Expenditures as a % of GDP

Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises, “Taking a Look at …”,Handbookof International Economic Statistics”

Llad Phillips 47

Growth Versus the Environment

• Ironically, while much pollution is associated with growth, it is the developed countries that can afford to clean up their environment, as the previous slide shows.

• The developing countries create a fair amount of pollution, but have so many pressing needs that cleaning up pollution tends to get a lower priority

Llad Phillips 48

Brief History of Skyjacking• Skyjackings Abroad: many motivated by

terrorism and politics, especially in the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s.

• Skyjackings in the US: Only one was politically motivated

• Yet US Skyjackings appear to be linked to foreign skyjackings

• Efforts to deter skyjackings by screening passengers helps but does not solve the problem (US Civil Aviation Act of 1973)

Llad Phillips 49

Skyjackings

• The first skyjacking was a Peruvian carrier in February 1931

• The first skyjacking of a US carrier was a National Airlines flight destined for Key West Florida on May 1, 1961

Llad Phillips 50

Skyjackings Involving US Civil Aviation .

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

19

31

19

34

19

37

19

40

19

43

19

46

19

49

19

52

19

55

19

58

19

61

19

64

19

67

19

70

19

73

19

76

19

79

19

82

19

85

19

88

Year

Nu

mb

er

Llad Phillips 51

The Legend of D. B. CooperThe Legend of D. B. Cooper

Llad Phillips 52

Llad Phillips 53

US Response to Domestic Skyjackings

• Armed Federal Marshals on Flights– mostly on flights on the Eastern seaboard

corridor

• Congress Passes the US Civil Aviation Security Program in 1973

Llad Phillips 54

Airline Passengers Screened, in Millions, US .

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

14001

97

6

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

Year

Mil

lio

ns

Llad Phillips 55

Firearms Detected From Screening Airline Passengers, US .

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

40001

97

6

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

Year

Nu

mb

er

Llad Phillips 56

Explosive Devices Detected From Screening Airline Passengers .

1

10

100

10001

97

6

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

Year

Nu

mb

er

Llad Phillips 57

Skyjackings: Foreign and Domestic .

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

19

61

19

63

19

65

19

67

19

69

19

71

19

73

19

75

19

77

19

79

19

81

19

83

19

85

19

87

19

89

Year

Nu

mb

er

US

Foreign

Llad Phillips 58

US Versus Foreign Skyjackings .

1983

1990

1980

1973

1972

1968

1961

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Foreign

US

Llad Phillips 59

Domestic Vs. Foreign Skyjackings and the Security Act of '73 .

1990

1973

1968

1972

1969

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Foreign

US

US

Fitted

Llad Phillips 60

Terrorism

Foreign Skyjackings

USSkyjackings

Model of US Skyjackings and Bomb Threats

Bomb Threatsto US Aircraft Inspection

2 Year Lag

Llad Phillips 61

Bomb Threats to US Aircraft .

0

500

1000

1500

2000

25001

96

1

19

63

19

65

19

67

19

69

19

71

19

73

19

75

19

77

19

79

19

81

19

83

19

85

19

87

19

89

Year

Nu

mb

er

Llad Phillips 62

Bomb Threats To US Aircraft Vs. Foreign Skyjackings (Lagged Two Years) .

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

19

61

19

63

19

65

19

67

19

69

19

71

19

73

19

75

19

77

19

79

19

81

19

83

19

85

19

87

19

89

Year

Nu

mb

er

Bomb Threats

Fitted

Llad Phillips 64

Llad Phillips 65

http://www.state.govhttp://www.state.govOffice of the CoordinatorOffice of the Coordinatorfor Counter-Terrorismfor Counter-TerrorismPatterns of Global TerrorismPatterns of Global Terrorism

Llad Phillips 66

Llad Phillips 67

Llad Phillips 68

Llad Phillips 69

Actual and Attempted Bombings in the US .

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

35001

97

3

19

74

19

75

19

76

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

Year

Nu

mb

er

Llad Phillips 70

Casualties from Bombings, US .

1

10

100

1000

100001

97

3

19

75

19

77

19

79

19

81

19

83

19

85

19

87

19

89

19

91

19

93

Year

Nu

mb

er

Injured

Killed

Llad Phillips 71

The Burden of Crime by Income Group

• Burden is on the poor

72Llad Phillips

Victimization Rates by Income ClassVictimization Rates by Income Class

Income Class Burglary Rate* RobberyRate†

-$7500 86 97,500-9,999 60 7

10,000-14,999 67 515,000-24,999 59 525,000-29,999 54 530,000-49,999 58 4

50,000- 56 3 * Per 1000 Households † Per 1,000 Persons

Source: Report to the Nation on Crime and Justice, Second edition

73Llad Phillips

Lorenz Curves For Robbery and Burglary Victims .

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

% Families

% V

ictim

s

BurglaryRobberyEqual

Robbery

Burglary

equality

Llad Phillips 74

Why is Robbery More Unequal Than Burglary?

• Protection from burglary may be more of a private good– buy locks, dogs, security alarms and

surveilance services

• Protection from robbery may be more of a public good– safe streets

75Llad Phillips

Public Goods and Private GoodsPublic Goods and Private Goods

• Private Goods– consumption uses them up

• what you eat is not available to nourish others

• Public Goods– consumption does not use them up

• national defense

• safe streets

• educated citizenry

76Llad Phillips

PublicGoods

Private Goods

Optimal Mix

Too Few Public Goods

Slope of the Production PossibilityFrontier:Marginal Cost of Public Goods÷ Marginal Cost of Private Goods

How Much Government Should There Be?What is the right mix of public goods and private goods?

Llad Phillips 77

Central Government Expenditure as a % of GDP, 1995

http://www.worldbank.org/depweb

Llad Phillips 78

Increase in Private Sector Output between 1990 and 1995, for Countries with a History of Socialism

The Triumph of Capitalism