Llad Phillips1 Introduction to Economics Distribution of Income Public Goods Http://.
-
Upload
clara-kennedy -
Category
Documents
-
view
219 -
download
0
Transcript of Llad Phillips1 Introduction to Economics Distribution of Income Public Goods Http://.
Llad Phillips 1
Introduction to Economics
Distribution of Income
Public Goods
Http://www.econ.ucsb.edu
Llad Phillips 2
Two Basic Perspectives in Economics
• Efficiency– competitive markets insure that consumers pay
a price for goods and services equal to their marginal cost of production
– On the frontier versus within production possibility frontier
• Equity– should goods and services go to those who can
afford them?– Should one dollar = one vote?
3Llad Phillips
SMCISMCII
Quantity
MC, ,ATC
Optimal Size of the Firm: Constant Returns to Scale
If market price is above long run marginal cost, the firm willmake the same excess profit per unit of output in a large plant as in a small plant. The firm may prefer larger to smaller. As long as firms are making excess profits, other firms will enter the industry,increasing supply, and driving price down to LMC. Lecture 14
SATCISATCII
LATC, LMCpM
Llad Phillips 4
Inefficient use of Labor, Land and Capital
Agriculture
Manufacturingetc. (Non-Ag) Production Possibility
Frontier: Real GDP
Fig. 1.1 in text
Llad Phillips 5
Is an Efficient Economy the Same as a Decent Society?
• Is a meritocracy fair?
• Our society and American economists tend to focus more on efficiency
Llad Phillips 6
http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/
Income Inequality Across the World
Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises, World Bank Links
Llad Phillips 7
How Do Countries Like Sweden Attain Low Gini Coefficients,( More Equity)?
• Government taxes citizens and redistributes income
Llad Phillips 8
Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises,
“Taking a Look at the Level of Economic Development and Well-Being in Countries Around the World”
Link to Handbook of InternationalEconomic Statistics
Llad Phillips 9
Income Inequality: Brazil Versus Hungary
World Bank Development Education ProgramBeyond Economic Growth, Online Student Book
Llad Phillips 10
Lorenz Curves for Hungary and Brazil
Llad Phillips 11
Poverty Around the World
Population living on lessthan $1 per day
Llad Phillips 12
World Distribution of People Living on Less Than $1 Per Day
Beyond Economic Growth, Online Student Book
13Llad Phillips
Poverty in the USPoverty in the US• US Government Definition of Poverty
– Subsistence wage: $17603 in 2000• a non-farm family of four
• cost of inexpensive but nutritious food times 3– assume food is 1/3 of budget
• Trends in Poverty
• Incidence of Poverty– elderly– children/families headed by single women– rural
Llad Phillips 14
Poverty in the United States
• Economic Issues
• Political Issues
• Social Issues– changing behaviors– marriage trends– divorce trends– births out of wedlock
Llad Phillips 15
Poverty Trends: 1959-2000
Lab10: Children, Poverty, and Politics: US Census Bureau: Poverty in the United States: 2000
Llad Phillips 16
Poverty and Female Heads of Households
Lab10: Children, Poverty, and Politics: US Census Bureau: Poverty in the United States: 2000
Llad Phillips 17
Poverty and Youth
Lab 10: Children, Poverty, and Politics
Llad Phillips 18
Child Poverty
Lab 10: Children, Poverty and Politics: “ChildPoverty in the States ….”
19Llad Phillips
20Llad Phillips
Percentage of Births Occuring Out of Wedlock, . White Women by Age Group, US .
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980
Year
Perc
en
t
15-19
20-24
25-29
21Llad Phillips
Percentage of Births Occurring Out of Wedlock, . Black Mothers By Age Group, US
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980
Year
Perc
en
t
15-19
20-24
25-29
22Llad Phillips
US Families Headed By Women in Percent .
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1940 1950 1960 1970 1983
Year
Perc
en
t
White
Black
23Llad Phillips
Marriage and Divorce Rates Per 1000 Population, US .
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
19
50
19
53
19
56
19
59
19
62
19
65
19
68
19
71
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
86
19
89
19
92
Year
Rate
Marriages
Divorces
24Llad Phillips
US Marrige Rates Per 1000 Population, . Unmarried Women 15-44 Years Old
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
19
70
19
72
19
74
19
76
19
78
19
80
19
82
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
Year
Rate
25Llad Phillips
Summary-Vocabulary-ConceptsSummary-Vocabulary-Concepts• input factor shares• distribution of
personal income• distribution of family
income• frequency distribution
of income• cumulative
distribution of income• Lorenz curve• Gini coefficient• median family income
• part-time, part-year worker
• full-time, full-year worker
• within group variation in earnings
• ability differential• between group
variation in earnings• education differential• experience differential• definition of poverty
Llad Phillips 26
Public Goods
• Domestic Tranquility: The protection of life, liberty and property (role for government)
• Safety– safe air– safe water– safe food– safe transportation: highwaymen & pirates– safe communications
Llad Phillips 27
Domestic Safety
• Control of Crime (control of pollution)
• Air travel: the history of skyjacking
• The incidence of robbery and burglary– the burden of the poor– economic notion of public goods
Llad Phillips 28
Social Control of Problems
• Pollution
• Crime
Llad Phillips 29
Propositions
• People would like zero pollution and zero crime
• Society can not achieve zero levels of these “bads” because of diminishing returns to abatement activities
• People are reluctant to give up consumption and pay more taxes for safety from pollution and crime
Llad Phillips 30
Crime Control or Pollution Abatement
Offenses(Pollution)
Arrests
(Cleanup)
Where does crime (pollution) comefrom? It is generated by the economic,social and political processes associatedwith growth.
Supply of Offenses
Diminishing returns principle
Llad Phillips 31
Expenditure on Enforcement (Pollution Abatement)
ControlExpenditure
Cost in $
Arrests (Cleanup)
Assume costs of control areproportional to the level of abatement activity.
Llad Phillips 32
Budget Constraint: GDP = Control Expenditures + Consumption
ControlExpenditures
Consumption
The opportunity cost of controlling crimeor cleaning up pollutionis less consumption, for a given level of GDP(scarcity principle).
Llad Phillips 33
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Llad Phillips 34
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Abatement Cost
Arrests
Llad Phillips 35
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Abatement Cost
Supply of Offenses (pollution)
Arrests
Llad Phillips 36
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Abatement Cost
Arrests
Llad Phillips 37
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Abatement Cost
Arrests
Llad Phillips 38
Synthesis: the Crime (pollution)Problem-Consumption Tradeoff
Expenditure on Control
Consumption
Budget Constraint
Offenses (pollution)
Abatement Cost
Arrests
Llad Phillips 39
Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier
Consumption: good
Offenses (pollution): bad
The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice
Llad Phillips 40
Reality Check About Bads
• People would like zero bads: not possible
Llad Phillips 41
Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier
Consumption: good
Offenses (pollution): bad
The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice
Minimum possible
Llad Phillips 42
Reality Check About Bads
• People would like zero bads: not possible
• People don’t want to bear the costs of controlling bads: creates a problem for politicians– people demand less crime and less pollution,
but do not want higher taxes– opportunity cost of less crime and less pollution
gets higher and higher
Llad Phillips 43
Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier
Consumption: good
Offenses (pollution): bad
The first step of the paradigm: the options for choice
Opportunity cost ofless crime
Llad Phillips 44
Community Values Confront Reality:Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier
Consumption: good
Offenses (pollution): bad
The second step of the paradigm: pricing the options
Community preferences
Community wishlist
Whose community (social)values? The pharoah’s, the king’s, the peoples’?
Llad Phillips 45
Community Values Confront Reality:Crime (pollution) - Consumption Possibility Frontier
Consumption: good
Offenses (pollution): bad
The third step of the paradigm: choosing the best option
Community preferencesFeasible options
Best option givencommunity preferences
Llad Phillips 46
Pollution Control Expenditures as a % of GDP
Lab 7, Ch. 23, Internet Exercises, “Taking a Look at …”,Handbookof International Economic Statistics”
Llad Phillips 47
Growth Versus the Environment
• Ironically, while much pollution is associated with growth, it is the developed countries that can afford to clean up their environment, as the previous slide shows.
• The developing countries create a fair amount of pollution, but have so many pressing needs that cleaning up pollution tends to get a lower priority
Llad Phillips 48
Brief History of Skyjacking• Skyjackings Abroad: many motivated by
terrorism and politics, especially in the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s.
• Skyjackings in the US: Only one was politically motivated
• Yet US Skyjackings appear to be linked to foreign skyjackings
• Efforts to deter skyjackings by screening passengers helps but does not solve the problem (US Civil Aviation Act of 1973)
Llad Phillips 49
Skyjackings
• The first skyjacking was a Peruvian carrier in February 1931
• The first skyjacking of a US carrier was a National Airlines flight destined for Key West Florida on May 1, 1961
Llad Phillips 50
Skyjackings Involving US Civil Aviation .
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
19
31
19
34
19
37
19
40
19
43
19
46
19
49
19
52
19
55
19
58
19
61
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
Year
Nu
mb
er
Llad Phillips 51
The Legend of D. B. CooperThe Legend of D. B. Cooper
Llad Phillips 52
Llad Phillips 53
US Response to Domestic Skyjackings
• Armed Federal Marshals on Flights– mostly on flights on the Eastern seaboard
corridor
• Congress Passes the US Civil Aviation Security Program in 1973
Llad Phillips 54
Airline Passengers Screened, in Millions, US .
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
14001
97
6
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
Year
Mil
lio
ns
Llad Phillips 55
Firearms Detected From Screening Airline Passengers, US .
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
40001
97
6
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
Year
Nu
mb
er
Llad Phillips 56
Explosive Devices Detected From Screening Airline Passengers .
1
10
100
10001
97
6
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
Year
Nu
mb
er
Llad Phillips 57
Skyjackings: Foreign and Domestic .
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
19
61
19
63
19
65
19
67
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
Year
Nu
mb
er
US
Foreign
Llad Phillips 58
US Versus Foreign Skyjackings .
1983
1990
1980
1973
1972
1968
1961
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Foreign
US
Llad Phillips 59
Domestic Vs. Foreign Skyjackings and the Security Act of '73 .
1990
1973
1968
1972
1969
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Foreign
US
US
Fitted
Llad Phillips 60
Terrorism
Foreign Skyjackings
USSkyjackings
Model of US Skyjackings and Bomb Threats
Bomb Threatsto US Aircraft Inspection
2 Year Lag
Llad Phillips 61
Bomb Threats to US Aircraft .
0
500
1000
1500
2000
25001
96
1
19
63
19
65
19
67
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
Year
Nu
mb
er
Llad Phillips 62
Bomb Threats To US Aircraft Vs. Foreign Skyjackings (Lagged Two Years) .
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
19
61
19
63
19
65
19
67
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
Year
Nu
mb
er
Bomb Threats
Fitted
63Llad Phillips
Recent History of US TerrorismPrior to September 11, 2001
• Bombings– World Trade Center, New York– Murtaugh Federal Building, Oklahoma City– Black Churches
http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/pgtrpt/2001/
http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/pgtrpt/2001/html/10273.htm
Llad Phillips 64
Llad Phillips 65
http://www.state.govhttp://www.state.govOffice of the CoordinatorOffice of the Coordinatorfor Counter-Terrorismfor Counter-TerrorismPatterns of Global TerrorismPatterns of Global Terrorism
Llad Phillips 66
Llad Phillips 67
Llad Phillips 68
Llad Phillips 69
Actual and Attempted Bombings in the US .
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
35001
97
3
19
74
19
75
19
76
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
Year
Nu
mb
er
Llad Phillips 70
Casualties from Bombings, US .
1
10
100
1000
100001
97
3
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
Year
Nu
mb
er
Injured
Killed
Llad Phillips 71
The Burden of Crime by Income Group
• Burden is on the poor
72Llad Phillips
Victimization Rates by Income ClassVictimization Rates by Income Class
Income Class Burglary Rate* RobberyRate†
-$7500 86 97,500-9,999 60 7
10,000-14,999 67 515,000-24,999 59 525,000-29,999 54 530,000-49,999 58 4
50,000- 56 3 * Per 1000 Households † Per 1,000 Persons
Source: Report to the Nation on Crime and Justice, Second edition
73Llad Phillips
Lorenz Curves For Robbery and Burglary Victims .
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
% Families
% V
ictim
s
BurglaryRobberyEqual
Robbery
Burglary
equality
Llad Phillips 74
Why is Robbery More Unequal Than Burglary?
• Protection from burglary may be more of a private good– buy locks, dogs, security alarms and
surveilance services
• Protection from robbery may be more of a public good– safe streets
75Llad Phillips
Public Goods and Private GoodsPublic Goods and Private Goods
• Private Goods– consumption uses them up
• what you eat is not available to nourish others
• Public Goods– consumption does not use them up
• national defense
• safe streets
• educated citizenry
76Llad Phillips
PublicGoods
Private Goods
Optimal Mix
Too Few Public Goods
Slope of the Production PossibilityFrontier:Marginal Cost of Public Goods÷ Marginal Cost of Private Goods
How Much Government Should There Be?What is the right mix of public goods and private goods?
Llad Phillips 77
Central Government Expenditure as a % of GDP, 1995
http://www.worldbank.org/depweb
Llad Phillips 78
Increase in Private Sector Output between 1990 and 1995, for Countries with a History of Socialism
The Triumph of Capitalism