Post on 30-Dec-2015
Overview
ICP 2004 expenditure questionnaire
Handling of the software
Sources for final consumption expenditure by households
Main rules to be remembered
What does this mean?
brave estimates maybe necessary to establish weights for each basic headingheroic assumptions may have to be madecomparison, comparison, comparisoncross checking, cross checking, cross checkingbelieve in common sense
ICP 2004 expenditure questionnaire
Structure of the questionnaires (1)
• follows the ICP expenditure classification• Maximum version as used by Eurostat/
OECD• Minimum version for ICP• regions may decide on intermediate levels• regions may split certain basic headings
ICP 2004 expenditure questionnaire
Structure of the questionnaires (2)
222/ 158 Basic Headings (level 6 of the software)
152/ 126 Classes (level 5 of the software)
71/ 61 Groups (level 4 of the software)
31/ 26 Categories (level 3 of the software)
7/ 7 Main Aggregates (level 2 of the software)
1/ 1 GDP (level 1 of the software)
Handling of the software
weights at Basic Headings’ level to be entered
all subsequent aggregations are calculated
if weights only exist at aggregated level, formula can be overwritten by respective number
manually entered aggregated numbers are copied to all levels they belong to and are used for all subsequent aggregations
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Reminder 1
we want to compare price levels and volumes
not only structure of GDP (weights), but also level of GDP matters
in parallel to price collection GDP must be improved, particularly exhaustiveness
consistency between prices collected and prices underlying GDP is important
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Reminder 2
• always cross-check different sources
simple comparison, common sense, what do you believe more?
set up simple use and supply tables (SUT) or input output tables (IOT)
use product balances and commodity flow
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Reminder 3
National Accounts is not the police
we do not care if something is legal or illegal
all economic activity and all expenditure should be covered in exhaustive accounts
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Supporting NA material from Eurostat
Exhaustiveness project guidelines and templates
Guidelines and analytical tables for private household consumption estimates
NA questionnaire on income in kind, own account production and tips
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Need for co-operation (1)
Coverage and structure of GDP can only be improved if there is good co-operation between:Statistical officesMinistry of Finance/ Economy/ PlanningTax offices (VAT, income taxes)Police and customsprofessional and consumers organisationsCharities
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Need for co-operation (2)
RC should recommend countries’ NSI to invite these other bodies and explain them objectives and scope of the exercisewin understanding and supportget access to sources you did not know they exist or which were confidentialRC may try to help NSI with particular co-operation problems
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Timing of weights exercise
RC provide countries with the expenditure weights questionnaire and NA questionnaires after this workshop Countries complete questionnaires with the most recent information available by June 2003RC analyse responses and identify countries in need for technical assistance by September 2003discussion at regional workshopsRC/ global office organise technical assistance from January 2004acceptable weights available by mid-2005
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Typical sources: expenditure point of view
household budget/ expenditure surveys (HBS)
typical problems:undercoverage of certain expenditureundercoverage of poor and very rich households
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Typical sources: production point of view
Retail trade statistics (RT)Production statistics (industry, agriculture)VAT or sales tax statisticsSales by utility companies and state monopoliesImport and export statisticstypical problems:undercoverage of small units, thresholdstax aviation, “double” bookkeeping, underground economysmuggling
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Typical sources: others
Nutrition surveys/ health statisticsnational food balancesFAO food balances’ databaseMotor vehicle registrationstatistics by professional organisations
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Food and non-alcoholic beverages
less problematic, but watch: own account production charities
sources: HBS RT, VAT, production statistics, imports, exports food balances, nutrition surveys
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Alcoholic beverages and tobacco
very problematic:own account production HBS understates considerablyproduction statistics and RT underreport foreign trade statistics underreport (smuggling)
additional sources:Ministry of health (smoking and drinking habits)capture rates of customs/ policemirror foreign trade statistics
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Narcotics
Politically very problematic, but if important production/ expenditure exists, estimate should be made
additional sources:Ministry of healthcapture rates of customs/ policeassistance organisations for drug addicts number of consumers of drugs by type of drug per head consumption street prices
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Clothing and footwear
less problematic, but watch: own account production charities
sources: HBS RT, VAT, production statistics, imports, exports
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Actual rents for housing
often problematic:unrepresentative rental marketsstate regulated rental marketssubsidies, social transfers in cash and kindinfrequent sources with often small sample size
sources:rent, real-estate agency surveyscensus, micro-censusadministrative information
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Imputed rents for housing (1)
Stratification or user cost?
Stratification: assume for owner-occupied dwelling same rent as for similar rented dwelling
sufficiently big rental market must exist
rents used must be representative
leads to rents approach in PPP
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Imputed rents for housing (2)
User cost: Establish GVA (as for other non-market production) by sum of the cost
criteria for stratification not fulfilled because of high owner-occupation
good estimate of capital stock necessary as consumption of fixed capital is vital part of the user cost method
see Eurostat project guidelines and templates
leads to quantity approach in PPP
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Water, Gas, electricity, other fuel
Problematic because of income in kind and social transfers in cash and kind
sources:
HBSRTsales by utility companies and state monopoliesimports and exportsadministrative sources on free of charge (or at reduced prices) provision to households
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Furnishings, household equipment etc
less problematic, but watch: own account production for furniture
sources: HBS RT, VAT, production statistics, imports, exports
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Health
problematic because ofdifferent social security systemsmixture of state and private systemssubsidies, social transfers in cash and kind
sources:social security, ministry of healthhospital statisticsHBSproduction statistics, imports, exportsstatistics on pharmaceutical bulk and retail trade
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Purchases of vehicles
problematic because ofsecond hand cars, smuggling of stolen carsdiscounts
sources:HBSRT, VATproduction statistics, imports, exportscar registration informationinformation from car dealer organisations and automobile clubs on discounts
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Operation of personal transport equipment
fuelHBSRT, VAT, mineral oil taxproduction statistics, exports, imports
maintenance and repair:HBSservice statistics information from automobile clubswatch: do it yourself, helping neighbors, black market for making stolen cars not recognizable
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Transport services
problematic because ofmixture of state and private systemssubsidies, social transfers in cash and kind
sources:ministry of transport, service statisticsHBSsales by state monopoliesadministrative sources on free of charge (or at reduced prices) provision to householdsinternet
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Communication
problematic because of mixture of state and private systems mixture of services and goods
sources: ministry of communication, service statistics HBS sales by state monopolies internet
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Recreation items and equipment, personal effects
less problematic
sources: HBS RT, VAT, production statistics, imports, exports
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Recreational and culture services
less problematic, but watchsubsidies, social transfers in cash and kind
sources:ministry of culture, sport, tourismculture statisticstourism statisticsHBSinternet
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Education
problematic because ofmixture of state and private systemssubsidiessocial transfers in cash and kind
sources:ministry of education, service statisticseducation statisticsHBS
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Restaurants and hotels, personal care
problematic because of tips consistency of prices in PPP and NA
sources: service statistics tourism statistics HBS
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Prostitution
Politically very problematic, but if important production/ expenditure exists, estimate should be madeproblematic borderline to legal services like massage and sauna clubs
sources:Ministry of healthpoliceassistance organisations for prostitutes number of persons providing and consuming services prices, intermediate consumption
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Social protection
content: payments of households for assistance and supports services provided to persons who are elderly, disabled, survivors, homeless etc.
sources: HBSorganisations providing such servicesrespective ministries of health, social affairs etc.
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Insurance
Reminder: we are only looking at the service charge
Sources: insurance supervising bodies ministry of finance/ economy consumer organisations insurance dealers insurance company business accounts
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH FISIM/ Other financial services
FISIM: calculations by the statistical offices based on information from:
ministry of finance/ economynational central banksbanking and finance supervising bodies
Other financial services (banks charges):banking supervising bodiesnational central banksconsumer organisationsfinancial dealers
Sources for final consumption expenditure by HH Net purchases abroad
Purchases by residents abroad:HBStourist surveysnational bank (money exchange)
Purchases by non-residents on economic territory of the country
tourist surveysnational bank (money exchange)special survey among retail traders