Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 7 Risk Structure and Term...

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Transcript of Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 7 Risk Structure and Term...

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 7

Risk Structure and Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Default Risk

• Default risk is measured relative to risk-free U.S. Treasury bonds.

• Default-risk premium = bond yield - yield on a comparable default-risk-free bond.

• The risk premium reflects in part the bond rating.

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Table 7.1 Reading the Ratings Provided by Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s

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Figure 7.1 Determining Default Risk Premium in Yields

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Figure 7.2 Long-Term and Short-Term Yields in the United States, 1960–2006

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Figure 7.3 Effect on the Risk Premium of a Decrease in Liquidity

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Figure 7.4 Effect on Risk Premium of an Increase in Information Costs

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Figure 7.5 Effect of Differences in Tax Treatment on Yields

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Table 7.2 Risk Structure of Interest Rates

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Yield Curve

• Yield curve is a graph of U.S. Treasury debt instruments as a function of maturity.

• Yield curve generally slopes upward.

• Yields on Treasury securities of different maturities have typically moved together.

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Table 7.3 Theories of the Term Structure

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Figure 7.6 Using the Yield Curve to Predict Interest Rates: The Expectations Theory

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Figure 7.7 Interpreting the Yield Curve