Post on 20-Jun-2015
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Weekly Chart BookMay 5, 2014
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
4
Developed Markets
5
Emerging Markets
6
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period
7
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
8
AAII Bullishness Index - % Bullish
9
StateStreet Investor Confidence Index
10
Global Financial Stress Index (Higher = More Stress)
11
Citi Macro Risk Index
12
SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Overnight Lending Rate)
13
S&P 500 – This Week
14
10 Year UST Yields – This Week
15
Gold Price – This Week
Fixed Income & Credit
17
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
18
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
19
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
20
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
21
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
22
Investment Grade Bond Prices
23
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
24
High Yield Bond Prices
25
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
26
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)
27
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
Global Equities
29
World Equity Indices
30
MSCI All Country World Index
31
S&P 500 Index
32
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
33
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
34
Equity Risk Premiums by Country
35
Sector Performance by Region (YTD)
36
Earnings Scorecard: Q1 2014 S&P 500
The Economy
38
Last week’s Economic Calendar
39
Next week’s Economic Calendar
40
Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)
41
US Consumer Confidence
42
US Personal Income Growth (Year over Year)
43
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Above 50 = Expansion)
44
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Monthly Change)
45
6 Month Outlook for Increase Capital Expenditures
46
NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures
47
Fed’s Total Credit Market Borrowing and Lending
48
US Auto Sales Total (Annualized SA)
Currencies & Commodities
50
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
51
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q3 2014)
52
US Dollar Index
53
Euro €
54
Japanese Yen ¥
55
Mexican Peso
56
Brazilian Real
57
Russian Ruble
58
Indian Rupee
59
Chinese Renminbi
60
US Dollar vs. S&P500 to EM Ratio
61
Japanese Yen vs. 10 Year UST Yield (12 years)
62
Japanese Yen vs. 10 Year UST Yield (YTD)
63
Global Commodity Prices
64
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
65
Gold Prices – 5 Years
66
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years
Investment Themes & Value
68
Industry - Valuations
69
Technology
70
U.S. Financials Services
71
Energy Exploration & Production
72
Goldcorp
73
Yamana
74
High Yield Bonds
75
US Dollar Bullish