Transcript of Analysing and Managing
- 1. ANALYZING AND MANAGING POLITICAL AND BUSINESS RISKS IN
MYANMAR Thet Aung Min Latt Managing Director Diamond Intelligence
Co., Ltd www.diamondconsultantgroup.co m Myanmar Oil and Gas
conference
- 2. AGENDA 1. An assessment of the Myanmar General elections,
key players 2. Analysis on the general elections impact on Myanmar
business community 3. When major initiatives will happen and why?
4. Now, 2015 and beyond, community organization and NGO: impact on
pipeline, environmental regulations and labour dispute. 5. Ethnic
Politics and hate speech issues impact offshore and onshore blocks
in Myanmar 6. Different scenario in 2015 Myanmar general
election
- 3. THE KEY PLAYERS The Military USDP NLD Ethnic political
parties
- 4. THE MILITARY Senior General Min Aung Hlaing General Wai Lwin
General Mya Tun Oo
- 5. USDP U Thein Sein current president U Thura Shwe Mann
current speaker of the house U Htay Oo Vice chairman of USDP
- 6. NLD Daw Aung San Suu Kyi
- 7. ETHNIC POLITICAL PARTIES Rakhine National Party U Aung Thar
Aung Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (white tiger) Sai Ai Pao
SNLD Khun Htun Oo
- 8. THE ELECTION USDP NLD The Military (25% and former General)
Ethnic political parties
- 9. USDP West policy Party Congress (President and MPs)
Rebuilding image Controversial Ministers, MPs
- 10. NLD NLD congress Lack of MPs for election BIG challenge The
management committee Would like to choose Youth and Women
- 11. ETHNIC POLITICAL PARTIES Likely to win major vote in ethnic
region Shan, Rahkine and Mon
- 12. THE MILITARY Senior General Min Aung Hlaing Recent visit
Last year Korea, Japan This year Pakistan, Serbia, UAE Good
relationship with Thai army Building diplomatic image Rebuild
Myanmar army image during Kokant conflict
- 13. PERMANENT SECRETARY www.moi.gov.mm
- 14. PERMANENT SECRETARY permanent secretaries will run the
government During prepare for election and after the election
- 15. THE GOVERNMENT AFTER ELECTION President Vice President
Speaker of the house Commander in Chief * [ One vice president as
National Energy Planning committee ]
- 16. MAJOR INITIATIVES 2015 2016 Very likely to become coalition
government USDP, NLD, ethnic parties 2017 Likely to prove new
bills, effective government
- 17. INSTABILITY - INTERNAL Rise of Labor Union example Zawtika
project
- 18. INSTABILITY EXTERNAL Arakan army current conflict with army
Anti Muslim movement New tension in Kayah with KNPP
- 19. Photo from bnionline.net
- 20. IN RAKHINE Rakhine party and armed group interest 2008
Constitution Appendix I and II changes Their resources for their
region Their region with their leader as Chief Minister
- 21. WHAT THE GOVERNMENT IS DOING Stability Electricity for
Rakhine state Not accepting yet AA, TNLA, MNDAA in NCA
- 22. RECOMMENDATION Effective CSR Environmental Employee
Emergency plan review External Communication (PR)
- 23. THANKS Q&A Thet Aung Min Latt Managing Director Diamond
Intelligence Co., Ltd www.diamondconsultantgroup.com