Post on 31-Mar-2015
1
Martin Faulstich
Mario Mocker, Markus Köglmeier
German Advisory Council on the Environment, BerlinInstitute of Resource and Energy Technology, TU München
ATZ Development Center, Sulzbach-Rosenberg
DAAD Alumni ConferenceSydney, 26th March 2010
SustainabilityHarmonising Growth and
Usage of Resources
2
Sustainable industrial society
Content
Opportunities in the value chain
Global Challenges
Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources
3
Sustainable industrial society
Content
Opportunities in the value chain
Global Challenges
Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources
4Source: BGR Study on Energy Resources 2009; diagram modified
Range of coverage for non-renewable energy sources
275
132
43
61
40
4168
2838
345
79
24
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000Years
64
140
388
2970
4443
Resources
Reserves
Availability of resources
Global Challenges
Brown coal
Hard coal
Uranium
Natural gas
Crude oil
5
Development of the global mean temperature
Climate Change
Global Challenges
Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). "Climate change 2007“
6
Political objectives
Limit warming on 2°C „noticed“
Reduce emissions
Formulate reduction objectives
Greenhouse gas reduction
IPCC EU D USA
2020 - 25-40%* - 20-30% - 40% - 20%
2050 - 80-95%* - 80-95%* - 80%* - 80%
* For industrialized countries
Reductions compared with 1990, USA: Reductions compared with 2005
Global Challenges
7
Range of coverage for selected metals
Availability of resources
Global Challenges
Reserves
44
39
34
31
29
22
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Nickel
Wolfram
Cadmium
Copper
Tantalum
Zinc
Lead
Years
Reserves
Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
8
Range of coverage for selected metals in years (static)
Lead
Zinc
Tantalium
Copper
Cadmium
Wolfram
Nickel
20
22
29
31
34
39
44
Global ChallengesAvailability of resources
Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
9
Global Challenges
Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
Resource Coverage 3 Countries 3 Companies Substitution
[a] [%] [%]
Platinum 154 92 73 No
Molybdenum 46 79 49 No
Tin 20 80,6 39,5 Yes
Criteria for risk assessment
Range of coverage
Regional concentration
Entrepreneurial concentration
Substitution
Availability of resources
10
Quelle: Sustainable Europe Research Institute, www.materialflows.net, 2005,US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual, 2005
Resource consumption in Mg/Person/YearEnergy consumption in MWh/Person/Year
99,851,6
4,322,7
13,0
2,7
Global fairness
Global Challenges
11
Sustainable industrial society
Content
Opportunities in the value chain
Global Challenges
Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources
12
raw material exploitation
base material production
goods production
waste management
productsusage
? ? ? ? ?
Opportunities in the value chainBasic options and effort
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
13
Impacts on sustainability
durability
Goods production and usage
recyclingcomfort
benefit
design
material consumption
repair
energy consumption
abrasion
production
lifestyle demounting
Opportunities in the value chain
14
www.kle.nw.schule.de
Quelle: Regierung der Oberpfalz
www.köster-bau.de
Urban Mining
www.hdgb.de
Opportunities in the value chainWaste management
Deposited domestic waste: 960 Mio. MgFe- + NE-Metals: 32 Mio. Mg (Germany)
Deposited sludge: 10 Mio. MgPhosphate: 1 Mio. Mg (Germany)
Installed infrastructure: amount ???Potential for raw materials: ???
Deponsited iron dross: 50 Mio. Mg Zinc: 70.000 Mg; Lead: 25.000 Mg
www.geo-reisecommunity.de
15
Model for tomorrow
raw material exploitation
base material production
goods production
waste management
products usage
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
time
effo
rt
rebound-effekt
?
?
?
Opportunities in the value chain
16
Sustainable industrial society
Content
Opportunities in the value chain
Global Challenges
Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources
17
Sustainable industrial societyBasic options for sustainability
Sustainability
EnergyCarbon
Metals / MineralsSufficiency
18
Dematerialisation Leasing instead of purchase Information instead of material Repair-friendly / easy of maintenance Recycling friendly design New materials Consistent material legislation Timeless design classics Long-life products open for innovations
Conditioning & Production
Demounting & Recycling
Sustainable industrial societySystem Innovation: integrated circular flow economy
MineralsMetals
WaterBiomass
Resources
Home
Car Bicycle
Machine
Goods & Use
Fridge
Notebook
19
Sustainable industrial societySystem Innovation: integrated circular flow economy
Long-life products open for innovation
Leasingconcepts
Information vs material
Recyclingfriendly design
Timelessclassics
Multiple usedevices
Stop lossof resources
20
Generation of primary energy
Solar Biomass
Wind Hydro
Geothermal Tidal
electricity
hydrogen
methane
ConversionTransportStorage
Consumption of secondary energy
Heat Electricity/Heat
Cooling energy Electricity
MobilityMobility
System innovation: integrated energy supply
Sustainable industrial society
21
Sustainable industrial societySystem innovation: integrated energy supply
Quelle: www.desertec.org/DLR
22
Industrial energy+ carbon supply
System innovation: integrated base material production
Iron
Cement Chemicals
Steel Aluminium
Copper
Solar Biomass
Wind Water
Geothermal Tidal
electricity
hydrogen
methane
Primary energy production Conversion
TransportStorage
Sustainable industrial society
23
Sustainable industrial society
Content
Opportunities in the value chain
Global Challenges
Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources
24
Challenges and Chances
Conclusion and outlook
Global Challenges climate change scarcity of raw materials sufficiency and efficiency increase
Starting point value added chain depleted natural deposits optimized base material production secondary raw material as upcoming basis
Sustainable industrial society integrated circular flow economy renewable energy and material supply managing system changes
25
Integration… living today…
… living and driving tomorrow?
… driving today…
„Example“ for harmonising growth and use of resources
Conclusion and outlook
26
DAAD Alumni ConferenceSydney, 26th March 2010
Thank you for
your kindly attention!
SustainabilityHarmonising Growth and
Usage of Resources