1

Martin Faulstich

Mario Mocker, Markus Köglmeier

German Advisory Council on the Environment, BerlinInstitute of Resource and Energy Technology, TU München

ATZ Development Center, Sulzbach-Rosenberg

DAAD Alumni ConferenceSydney, 26th March 2010

SustainabilityHarmonising Growth and

Usage of Resources

2

Sustainable industrial society

Content

Opportunities in the value chain

Global Challenges

Conclusion and outlook

Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

3

Sustainable industrial society

Content

Opportunities in the value chain

Global Challenges

Conclusion and outlook

Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

4Source: BGR Study on Energy Resources 2009; diagram modified

Range of coverage for non-renewable energy sources

275

132

43

61

40

4168

2838

345

79

24

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000Years

64

140

388

2970

4443

Resources

Reserves

Availability of resources

Global Challenges

Brown coal

Hard coal

Uranium

Natural gas

Crude oil

5

Development of the global mean temperature

Climate Change

Global Challenges

Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). "Climate change 2007“

6

Political objectives

Limit warming on 2°C „noticed“

Reduce emissions

Formulate reduction objectives

Greenhouse gas reduction

IPCC EU D USA

2020 - 25-40%* - 20-30% - 40% - 20%

2050 - 80-95%* - 80-95%* - 80%* - 80%

* For industrialized countries

Reductions compared with 1990, USA: Reductions compared with 2005

Global Challenges

7

Range of coverage for selected metals

Availability of resources

Global Challenges

Reserves

44

39

34

31

29

22

20

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Nickel

Wolfram

Cadmium

Copper

Tantalum

Zinc

Lead

Years

Reserves

Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008

8

Range of coverage for selected metals in years (static)

Lead

Zinc

Tantalium

Copper

Cadmium

Wolfram

Nickel

20

22

29

31

34

39

44

Global ChallengesAvailability of resources

Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008

9

Global Challenges

Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008

Resource Coverage 3 Countries 3 Companies Substitution

[a] [%] [%]

Platinum 154 92 73 No

Molybdenum 46 79 49 No

Tin 20 80,6 39,5 Yes

Criteria for risk assessment

Range of coverage

Regional concentration

Entrepreneurial concentration

Substitution

Availability of resources

10

Quelle: Sustainable Europe Research Institute, www.materialflows.net, 2005,US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual, 2005

Resource consumption in Mg/Person/YearEnergy consumption in MWh/Person/Year

99,851,6

4,322,7

13,0

2,7

Global fairness

Global Challenges

11

Sustainable industrial society

Content

Opportunities in the value chain

Global Challenges

Conclusion and outlook

Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

12

raw material exploitation

base material production

goods production

waste management

productsusage

? ? ? ? ?

Opportunities in the value chainBasic options and effort

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

13

Impacts on sustainability

durability

Goods production and usage

recyclingcomfort

benefit

design

material consumption

repair

energy consumption

abrasion

production

lifestyle demounting

Opportunities in the value chain

14

www.kle.nw.schule.de

Quelle: Regierung der Oberpfalz

www.köster-bau.de

Urban Mining

www.hdgb.de

Opportunities in the value chainWaste management

Deposited domestic waste: 960 Mio. MgFe- + NE-Metals: 32 Mio. Mg (Germany)

Deposited sludge: 10 Mio. MgPhosphate: 1 Mio. Mg (Germany)

Installed infrastructure: amount ???Potential for raw materials: ???

Deponsited iron dross: 50 Mio. Mg Zinc: 70.000 Mg; Lead: 25.000 Mg

www.geo-reisecommunity.de

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Model for tomorrow

raw material exploitation

base material production

goods production

waste management

products usage

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

time

effo

rt

rebound-effekt

?

?

?

Opportunities in the value chain

16

Sustainable industrial society

Content

Opportunities in the value chain

Global Challenges

Conclusion and outlook

Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

17

Sustainable industrial societyBasic options for sustainability

Sustainability

EnergyCarbon

Metals / MineralsSufficiency

18

Dematerialisation Leasing instead of purchase Information instead of material Repair-friendly / easy of maintenance Recycling friendly design New materials Consistent material legislation Timeless design classics Long-life products open for innovations

Conditioning & Production

Demounting & Recycling

Sustainable industrial societySystem Innovation: integrated circular flow economy

MineralsMetals

WaterBiomass

Resources

Home

Car Bicycle

Machine

Goods & Use

Fridge

Notebook

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Sustainable industrial societySystem Innovation: integrated circular flow economy

Long-life products open for innovation

Leasingconcepts

Information vs material

Recyclingfriendly design

Timelessclassics

Multiple usedevices

Stop lossof resources

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Generation of primary energy

Solar Biomass

Wind Hydro

Geothermal Tidal

electricity

hydrogen

methane

ConversionTransportStorage

Consumption of secondary energy

Heat Electricity/Heat

Cooling energy Electricity

MobilityMobility

System innovation: integrated energy supply

Sustainable industrial society

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Sustainable industrial societySystem innovation: integrated energy supply

Quelle: www.desertec.org/DLR

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Industrial energy+ carbon supply

System innovation: integrated base material production

Iron

Cement Chemicals

Steel Aluminium

Copper

Solar Biomass

Wind Water

Geothermal Tidal

electricity

hydrogen

methane

Primary energy production Conversion

TransportStorage

Sustainable industrial society

23

Sustainable industrial society

Content

Opportunities in the value chain

Global Challenges

Conclusion and outlook

Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

24

Challenges and Chances

Conclusion and outlook

Global Challenges climate change scarcity of raw materials sufficiency and efficiency increase

Starting point value added chain depleted natural deposits optimized base material production secondary raw material as upcoming basis

Sustainable industrial society integrated circular flow economy renewable energy and material supply managing system changes

25

Integration… living today…

… living and driving tomorrow?

… driving today…

„Example“ for harmonising growth and use of resources

Conclusion and outlook

26

DAAD Alumni ConferenceSydney, 26th March 2010

Thank you for

your kindly attention!

SustainabilityHarmonising Growth and

Usage of Resources