Modeling swarms: A path toward determining short- term probabilities Andrea Llenos USGS Menlo Park Workshop on Time-Dependent Models in UCERF3 8 June 2011.
If we build an ETAS model based primarily on information from smaller earthquakes, will it work for forecasting the larger (M≥6.5) potentially damaging.
UCERF2 California Catalog The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)