Topic: Our chance estimates of uncertain events; e.g.: Hillary Clinton next president of the US. Adapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective.
Adapting de Finetti's Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to Modern Decision Theories of Ambiguity Gijs van de Kuilen, Theo Offerman,
Gijs van de Kuilen, Theo Offerman, Joep Sonnemans, & Peter P. Wakker June 23, 2006 FUR, Rome
A dapting de Finetti's proper scoring rules for Eliciting Bayesian Beliefs to Prospect Theory