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the future of the globaleconomy to 2030alasdair keith richard o’brien michael prest
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contents
Introduction page 4
The Scenarios page 5
Future uncertainties
-Sustainability page 6
-People page 7
-Technology page 8
-Political models and stability page 9
-Economic outcomes page 10
What the Scenarios tell us page 11
Participants page 13
Rapid innovation
T e c h n o l o g y
Allocation of resources
Stifled innovation
C o n t r o l
F
r e em ar k e t
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Outsights is very grateful for the ideas and input ofall the participants in developing the main areas ofuncertainty and the draft scenarios at the workshopheld in London in early May 2008.
The full scenarios were then developed byOutsights based on the participants' insights andfurther Outsights research.
Participants' attendance does not imply
endorsement of the content of the scenarios bythemselves or their organisations.
Salman Ahmed Goldman Sachs
Stephen Browne International Trade Centre, Geneva
Simon Bryceson Simon Bryceson Communications Consulting
Robert Ciemniak Thomson Reuters
Peter Cornelius AlpInvest Partners
Tapan Datta Hewitt
Jeff Donahue BHP Billiton
Patrick Foley Lloyds TSB
Ifigenia Gioka BHP Billiton
David Goodhart Prospect Magazine
Tim Harford Financial Times
Ian Harwood Independent economist
Sarah Hewin Standard Chartered GroupCho Khong Shell
Julie Hoey Strategy Unit, Scottish Government
Jothi Jayadevan Outsights
Alasdair Keith Outsights
David Lascelles Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation
Paul Mortimer-Lee BNP-Paribas
Julie Mosmuller Outsights
Richard O'Brien Outsights
Michael Prest breakingviews.com
Alun Rhydderch Horizon Scanning Centre, Department for Innovation, Universities and Skills
James Watson Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform
Stephen Yeo Centre for Economic Policy Research
participants
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Outsights on the Future of the Global Economy to 2030 © Outsights
www.outsights.co.uk
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