The ClearSky Field-Burning Decision Support System
Joe Vaughan,
Charleston Ramos, Brian Lamb
Laboratory for Atmospheric Research
WSU-Pullman
NW-AIRQUEST NASA-ROSES Project Confab
April 13, 2007
Outline ClearWhat? Original and current system Ensemble Experiment Current Directions ClearSky and NASA-ROSES project
Initial ClearSky Evaluation Rahul Jain’s Findings:
ClearSky is highly sensitive to Wind Speed & Wind Direction
Small differences in Wind Direction determine whether or not smoke plumes are predicted to affect an air quality monitoring station
Recognized a need to represent the uncertainty of the meteorological conditions…
ATHOL
Thus arose the idea of using Ensemble Meteorology !
Ensemble ClearSky Implementation
CALMETCALPUFF
u, v formattedfor each layer of CALMET
u, v formattedfor each layer of CALMET
3D met field-----------------
u, v, w, T, BL variables
3D met field-----------------
u, v, w, T, BL variables
Web-served PM2.5 plume animations
Web-served PM2.5 plume animations
PM2.5emissions from web-
baseduser interface
MCIP
IC/BClanduseterrain University of
Washington Mesoscale Ensemble
System
WSU ClearSky Ensemble System
MM5MM5
MM5MM5
Time Series of Wind Directions at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
270
300
330
360
8:00 9:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00
Time (PST)
Wind Direction (degrees)
OBS
OCS
CMCG
CMCG+
ETA
ETA+
GASP
GASP+
GFS
GFS+
JMA
JMA+
NGPS
NGPS+
TCWB
UKMO
UKMO+
Time Series of Wind Speeds at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8:00 9:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00
Time (PST)
Wind Speed (m/s)
OBS
OCS
CMCG
CMCG+
ETA
ETA+
GASP
GASP+
GFS
GFS+
JMA
JMA+
NGPS
NGPS+
TCWB
UKMO
UKMO+
Time Series of PM 2.5 Concentrations at Coeur d'Alene, ID for 09/08/04
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8:00 9:00 10:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:00Time (PST)
PM
2.5 Concentration (
μ/g m
3 )
OBS
OCS
AVE
CMCG
CMCG+
ETA
ETA+
GASP
GASP+
GFS
GFS+
J MA
J MA+
NGPS
NGPS+
TCWB
UKMO
UKMO+
OCS AVE ETA GFS+ UKMO
Observations (OBS), original ClearSky (OCS), and ensemble average (AVE) are shown with the 15 ensemble ClearSky members
Current Research and Operational Product Efforts
Experiments with 1-km domain MM5 to drive ClearSky to get better terrain resolution, for better winds.
Use of a 3-D CALPUFF version to investigate vertical dimension of puff/plumes.
Addition of wind roses for post hoc review of how predicted and observed winds differ by site.
Forecasting orchard tear-out pile burns. Getting CALMET and CALPUFF running in new
rainier system. Investigation of tech-transfer from IDEQ
Emergency Response CALPUFFF system to ClearSky.
Applied Sciences Program Approach to Integrated System Solutions forA Comprehensive Regional Air-Quality Decision Support System for the Pacific Northwest
NASA ROSES
2nd Fire Behavior and Fuels Conference
(IAWF & WSU Extension)
Several talks on satellite fire detection for prescribed and wild-land fires… and some maps show that agricultural burning is also being picked up.
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