Belgian Road Research Centre
SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY ?
YOU CAN GET WHAT YOU WANT
IF…Optimism Final Conference – 16th September 2013
Wanda DEBAUCHEHead of the Mobility – Safety - Road Management
Division
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Shortage of resources
Pressure on the
environment
Technology changes
Social and demographic
changes
The main challenges we are facing
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Urban population will still increase
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GENERATION EFFECTS
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Silent Baby boomer
X (baby bust)NIX
Generation
YPeter Pan
ZC generation
Looks for long-term, stable employement
Low birth rate Digital natives (wide access to the internet and to computers
C=communication, creativity, connection and collaboration
Longer education Web 2,0, (social media)
Expansion of physical workspace : development of satellite offices and teleworking
Working hours concept disappears
Zapping generation Not the location, but the activity on the worldwide web is important
Shift in old age limit (60 to 80 years=period of full independence
Mobility demand
High professional mobility
Nomads, constantly on line
Higher purchasing power and car ownership
Less attached to the car as a status symbol
1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
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Vehicle technologies and energyImprovement in fuel consumptionDiversity of vehicles running on unconventional fuels
But…
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There are still profound uncertainties in energy issues
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Connectivity
Huge changes in consumer attitude and behaviour, as well as in transport and mobility
Wide range of online services
“The world in my pocket”
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The shape of future passenger transport
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Will transport demand still continue to grow ?
OECD PASSENGERSPassengers-kilometres
GOODSTonnes-kilometres
-
-
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The car will remain the major transport mode but…
EU: car =70 % of passenger-
kms in 203065 % in 2050
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What could bring ICT in this context ?
ICT technologies should contribute to a :• Smarter• Cleaner• Saferpassenger transport system
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ICT … in travel demand information
Static
Dynamic
Separate transport mode
Multimodal approach
Displayed for all travellers
Customized
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Single mode
Multimodal
ICT … in mobility services
Ownership
Use
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Ownership Transport modes use
Private Rent Fleet Car pool Share
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Stand-alone system
Cooperative systems
ICT … in traffic management
Communication• Infra-to-infra
• Vehicle-to-infra
• Vehicle-to-vehicle
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Autonomous vehicle: the technology is available, but …
ICT … and vehicles
ROBOTCROSSING
AHEAD
ROBOTCROSSING
AHEAD
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Transport SYSTEM
Human factors
Physical factors
Environment
How to make that all efficient?
Technologies
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21Belgian Road Research CentreInnovate …in infrastructure
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Urban public space should beredesigned and
optimized
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…in new vehicles
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…in management and funding
Greater coordination of all authorities
Evaluation culture (prioritization)
New ways of funding
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BRRC: Belgian Road Research CentreMobility, Safety, Road Management [email protected]@brrc.be
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