Energetics A Reality Check
OnAlternative Energies
Something that caneffectively replace
something else.
‘Alternative’
In Quantity
And in Quality
Solar
Some Options forAlternative Energy
Tidal/Wave
Wind
Nuclear
Bio Fuels Hydrogen
Fuel Cells
Fusion
Tar Sands
Anything that replaces FOSSIL FUELS
Geothermal
LIQUID FUELS ELECTRICITY
Hydro
87% is Fossil Fuels
Concept Reality
Money Energy
Mind vs Body
Quantity Quality
Economics Energetics
1st Law of Economics
Growth
Laws of Money
Laws of Money
Compound Growth
Exponential Growth
Perpetual Exponential Growth
Money
Curve
NO LIMITSThe Money Onion
This looks DANGEROUS!
Exponential Growth
NO LIMITS
Becomes 100 Crores
At 7% doubles in 10 years.
1024 times
BUTSo does use of RESOURCES
10 lakhs
10 decades…..
Money vs Energy
Money
Energy
1860
OIL
#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture
Electricity
#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture
Electricity
#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture
Electricity
#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture
Electricity
#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture
Electricity
From 1 barrel (42 gallons) of oil
Only 78% goes to make petrol
#2 - World BUILT with oil.
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
#2 - World BUILT with oil.
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
#2 - World BUILT with oil.
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
#2 - World BUILT with oil.
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
#2 - World BUILT with oil.
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Rest goes into making.
Ammonia, Anesthetics, Antihistamines, Artificial limbs, Artificial Turf, Antiseptics, Aspirin, Auto Parts, Awnings, Balloons, Ballpoint pens, Bandages, Beach Umbrellas, Boats, Cameras, Candles, Car Battery Cases, Carpets, Caulking, Combs, Cortisones, Cosmetics, Crayons, Credit Cards, Curtains, Deodorants, Detergents, Dice, Disposable Diapers, Dolls, Dyes, Eye Glasses, Electrical Wiring Insulation, Faucet Washers, Fishing Rods, Fishing Line, Fishing Lures, Food Preservatives, Food Packaging, Garden Hose, Glue, Hair Coloring, Hair Curlers, Hand Lotion, Hearing Aids, Heart Valves, Ink, Insect Repellant, Insecticides, Linoleum, Lip Stick, Milk Jugs, Nail Polish, Oil Filters, Panty Hose, Perfume, Petroleum Jelly, Rubber Cement, Rubbing Alcohol, Shampoo, Shaving Cream, Shoes, Toothpaste, Trash Bags, Upholstery, Vitamin Capsules, Water Pipes, Yarn
42 of 6000 items from Oil.
Solvents Diesel fuel Motor Oil Bearing Grease Ink Floor Wax Ballpoint Pens Football Cleats Upholstery Sweaters Boats Insecticides Bicycle Tires Sports Car Bodies Nail Polish Fishing lures Dresses Tires Golf Bags Perfumes Cassettes Dishwasher parts Tool Boxes Shoe Polish Motorcycle Helmet Caulking Petroleum Jelly Transparent Tape CD Player Faucet Washers Antiseptics Clothesline Curtains Food Preservatives Basketballs Soap Vitamin Capsules Antihistamines Purses Shoes Dashboards Cortisone Deodorant Footballs Putty Dyes Panty Hose Refrigerant Percolators Life Jackets Rubbing Alcohol Linings Skis TV Cabinets Shag Rugs Electrician's Tape Tool Racks Car Battery Cases Epoxy Paint Mops Slacks Insect Repellent Oil Filters Umbrellas Yarn Fertilizers Hair Coloring Roofing Toilet Seats Fishing Rods Lipstick Denture Adhesive Linoleum Ice Cube Trays Synthetic Rubber Speakers Plastic Wood Electric Blankets Glycerin Tennis Rackets Rubber Cement Fishing Boots Dice Nylon Rope Candles Trash Bags House Paint Water Pipes Hand Lotion Roller Skates Surf Boards Shampoo Wheels Paint Rollers Shower Curtains Guitar Strings Luggage Aspirin Safety Glasses Antifreeze Football Helmets Awnings Eyeglasses Clothes Toothbrushes Ice Chests Footballs Combs CD's & DVD's Paint Brushes Detergents Vaporizers Balloons Sun Glasses Tents Heart Valves Crayons Parachutes Telephones Enamel Pillows Dishes Cameras Anesthetics Artificial Turf Artificial limbs Bandages Dentures Model Cars Folding Doors Hair Curlers Cold cream Movie film Soft Contact lenses Drinking Cups Fan Belts Car Enamel Shaving Cream Ammonia Refrigerators Golf Balls Toothpaste Gasoline
#3 – Non-Renewable
Sun
Oil
Ancient Sunlight
300 Million Years of sunlight
150 years
Laws of Energy
Finite
ALL RESOURCESLaws of Geology
Hubberts Curve
Peak
Hubbert’s Curve
Total Region
Real WorldConcept & Reality
RealityConcept
OilMoney
Exponential Bell
Money vs Oil
01/02/12
Money
Oil
Phase 1Paradise Times
Layers of Concepts
The Money Onion
Phase # 2Body Collapse
Concept # 5Stock Market
Concept # 6Fractional Reserve Banking
Concept # 7No Gold Standard
Concept # 8Leveraging
Concept # 8Leveraging
Concept # 9Options
Concept # 10Derivatives
Concept # 10Derivatives
Concept # 11Glass Steagel Act
Concept # 12Complex Financial Instruments
The Money OnionConcept Withers
Unbelievable GrowthCrazy Risk
The Growth Trap
Peak OilConcept Withers
1,000 TRILLION
100 TRILLION
50 TRILLION
14 TRILLION
March, 2008
KABOOM!
Financial Collapse
50 Trillion dollars
2005
Peak Oil
What do Alternative Energies need to achieve?
Run the Modern Industrial World the way it runs now!
WHILE FIGHTING ENERGY DESCENT!
Why Alternative Energies?
To mitigateClimate Change?
Challenge to Alternatives
Maintain Perpetual Exponential Growth of Modern Industrial
World.
Follow Rules of Energetics
RULE #1
Rules of Energetics
Net Energy (ERoEI)
The Net Energy Gained has to besuitably high for the alternative tobe viable.
RULE #2
Oil Replaceability
Redesign the Modern Industrial World to run on Electricity.Entails a huge embedded energy cost.
Rules of Energetics
RULE #3
Oil Dependency
The alternative must not be too dependent on oil and its price.
Rules of Energetics
RULE #4
Energy Density
The energy density must compare with oil.
Rules of Energetics
RULE #5
Energy Density
The energy density must compare with oil.
Rules of Energetics
RULE #6
Scalability
The alternative has to be scalable to replace oil.
Rules of Energetics
RULE #7
Oil Byproducts
The alternative must give the byproducts of oil that are crucial to building, running & maintaining the Modern Industrial World
Rules of Energetics
All Alternative Energies are….
ENERGY CONVERTERS
The Energetics Truth
Alternative Energies are useful ONLY if we….
• Accept Energy Descent
The Economic/Industrial Truth
• Do honest Energy Accounting
It is not merely Alternative Energies that we are
seeking…
It is and Alternative World
The Whole Truth
EnergeticsA Reality Check
OfAlternative Energies
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