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Page 1: Product management in an era of disruptive innovation

Product Managementin the era of

Disruptive Innovation

Krishnan & Nag at SP Jain, Aug ‘12

Page 2: Product management in an era of disruptive innovation

The product manager is the product’s CEO

ProductManagementR&D

Sales (+ Marketing)Markets + Customers

Executives

Page 3: Product management in an era of disruptive innovation

The product manager is the product’s CEO

ProductManagementR&D

Sales (+ Marketing)Markets + Customers

Executives

budgets staff

targets

strategy forecastscommitmentscompetitive intelligence

segmentation, messagespricing, roadmap, demos

market feedback

product

MRD, roadmap, priorities, personas

Source: Rich Mironov

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Once upon a time in Product Management land…

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Product Management (‘70s-’00s)

Develop conceptGet funding

Build product Alpha / beta test

Customer Shipment

Write business plan

Build the product Test / fix Ship / fix

Planning / collateral PR / plan launch Launch / Demand gen.

Initial sales rep Build sales team / selling

Build product and offering

Alpha testMarket test

Big-BangLaunch after

3-5 years

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Cautionary tale

Source: Steve Blank

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1987: Iridium founded

1990: Spun out

of Motorola

1997:Launch

1998:Bankrupt

$5.2b investment15 rockets

72 satellites

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1987: Iridium founded

1990: Spun out

of Motorola

1997:Launch

1998:Bankrupt

$5.2b investment15 rockets

72 satellites

Target price: $7/minTarget users: 42million

Viable price: $0.5/minActual users: 30,000

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Develop conceptGet funding

Build product Alpha / beta test

Customer Shipment

Build product and offering

Alpha testMarket test

Unbridled enthusiasm

Rude awakening

False sense of security

Resettingexpectations

Predictable disaster

“Big Up Front Design”

Big-BangLaunch after

3-5 years

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Disruptive change is becoming commonplace

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Dramatic change of fortunes

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Source: Innosight – “Creative destruction whips through Corporate America”

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Source: Innosight – “Creative destruction whips through Corporate America”

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Agony and Ecstasy

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Launched: 2007$22b / qtr

Founded: 1975$17b / qtr

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Reasons for increasing pace of disruptive change

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90-95% of new ventures fail to meet projections

The old ways of Product Management aren’t working

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Adaptive Product Management

Limited planning, more experimentation and exploration

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Develop conceptGet funding

Build product Alpha / beta test

Customer Shipment

Build product and offering

Alpha testMarket test

BUFD

Front-end planning & design

Back-end execution

Big-BangLaunch after

3-5 years

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Existing market New marketE

xist

ing

p

rod

uct

New

p

rod

uct

Highest success rate

Lowest success rate

When does BUFD work?

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BUFD is unlikely to work for…

Start-up companies

New products in established companies

Major new features/markets for established products

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Visionaries

Steve BlankCustomer Development

Martin FowlerAgile Methods

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2 stages of Customer Development

Search Scale

Source: Steve Blank

Focus on Experimentation

Focus on Execution

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Iterative model – with checkpoints

Customer

discovery

Customer

validation

Customer

creation

Business

expansion

Pivot / Course correct

Search Scale

Source: Steve Blank

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Search Principle # 1: Business Model Canvas

VALUE

PROPOSITION

CHANNELS

CUSTOMER

RELATIONSHIPS

CUSTOMERSEGMENTS

REVENUE STREAMS COST STRUCTURE

KEY

PARTNERS

KEY

RESOURCES

KEY

ACTIVITIES

Source: “Business Model Generation”, Osterwalder & Pigneur

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iTunes market place

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Search Principle #2: Minimum Viable Product

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Minimum

Viable

Too-basic products no one wants

Incumbentproducts

Minimum + ViableFertile area for new

products

Source: Start-up Chronicles

• Demonstrate value• Gather feedback

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If you’re building an Excel competitor, what’s the MVP?

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Minimum Viable ?

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Minimum Viable ?

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Minimum Viable Product for Google Docs

Value prop

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Learn

Ideas

Build

OfferingMeasure

Data

Minimise the total time through the

loop

Search Principle #3: Focus on exploration

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How it all fits together

Agile software development

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Predictive (BUFD) | Adaptive

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If da Vinci was an adaptive painter…

Source: A Series of Tubes

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Questions? Comments?

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